Veteran Leaver RNorth speaks out on UK No Deal Plans & Unicorns
http://www.eureferendum.com/blogview.aspx?blogno=87089
the idea that the UK government can make any meaningful preparations for a "no deal" Brexit, with the expenditure of a mere £2 billion is absurd.
Apart from anything else, there are 320 workstreams across Whitehall on "no-deal" with each workstream likely containing numerous plans.
In government terms, the amounts are trivial.
< the EU know this >
That amount of money, therefore, is likely to be only a down-payment – with no top limit.^
^And government expenditure will doubtless be only a fraction of the amount borne by businesses and the population at large, in lost opportunities and additional costs.
With 100 days left before Brexit day,businesses are having to commit huge sums to executing contingency plans.
These will move into high gear as HM Revenue & Customs email 80,000 businesses this week to explain the impact, providing 100 pages of updated advice online on possible changes at borders.
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There are several possible scenarios, but the most likely is a logjam at the ferry ports, specifically the Channel ports at the European end.
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Statutory checks < required by WTO at the EU end > will so delay the trucks that the build-up at the ports will prevent the ferries being offloaded.
And, if they can't be offloaded, they can't return to be loaded with new goods, and the whole system seizes up.
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The trouble is that there is no rational way of countering this stupidity,
as Raab – like many of his "ultra" fellow travellers – is not acting on a rational level.
This is unicorn farming at its highest level, an article of faith that requires none of the inconvenient things like reality to make it happen.