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Education

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Whitehall “braced for private schools collapse” 7

885 replies

ICouldBeVioletSky · 17/06/2025 00:02

Continuation of previous threads discussing VAT on independent school fees. The thread title is a headline from a Times article last autumn.

https://www.mumsnet.com/talk/education/5237575-whitehall-braced-for-private-schools-collapse
https://www.mumsnet.com/talk/education/5242586-whitehall-braced-for-private-schools-collapse-2
https://www.mumsnet.com/talk/education/5280646-whitehall-braced-for-private-schools-collapse-3
https://www.mumsnet.com/talk/education/5301690-whitehall-braced-for-private-schools-collapse-4
https://www.mumsnet.com/talk/education/5317397-whitehall-braced-for-private-schools-collapse-5
https://www.mumsnet.com/talk/education/5337850-whitehall-braced-for-private-schools-collapse-6

Whitehall “braced for private schools collapse” 5 | Mumsnet

Starting a continuation thread in anticipation of the fourth one filling up… https://www.mumsnet.com/talk/education/5301690-whitehall-braced-for-priv...

https://www.mumsnet.com/talk/education/5317397-whitehall-braced-for-private-schools-collapse-5

OP posts:
Thread gallery
28
CorneliaCupp · 06/02/2026 22:52

strawberrybubblegum · 06/02/2026 22:44

And FFS, of course making a bunch of families £4-5k worse off per child harms the whole family, including the kids. Regardless of whether the kids have the disruption of being forced to change schools - sometimes in exam years and sometimes to schools which had already failed them.

Shall we deliberately make some state school families poorer for no benefit to anyone??

No one is making anyone poorer, there is a free alternative.

CorneliaCupp · 06/02/2026 22:53

strawberrybubblegum · 06/02/2026 22:49

uh-huh, much better for the schools to keep the same funding for the same number of children than it would have been to keep the same funding for a smaller number of children.

Per-child funding is the government's choice.

And it's 11,000 to 16,696 fewer pupils in private schools this year. 5 times more than the government initially claimed there would be. (a court case disclosure revealed the 3000 estimate as a lie - they always knew the polucy would be loss-making)

Edited

Thanks for the info, I didn't realise the projection had been shown to be wrong.

More children in a school means more funding for that school. It's a good thing for the school, the children in it, and the staff working there.

EasternStandard · 06/02/2026 22:54

CorneliaCupp · 06/02/2026 22:28

I suppose I am pretty indifferent really. I can't see the case for private schools existing, and the VAT is such a niche issue that I don't think it registers with 95% of the population.
From what I have read, the falling birthday rates have had a far bigger impact on private school numbers than VAT.
Of course I understand that if your family is one of the ones who has been priced out of private school that it must be incredibly difficult.

What are the positives of the policy?

strawberrybubblegum · 06/02/2026 22:55

CorneliaCupp · 06/02/2026 22:52

No one is making anyone poorer, there is a free alternative.

If the government adds VAT to meat, will you be no poorer: because you could just go vegetarian?

Or will you recognise that if you continue your current behaviour, then you will be poorer. And having to accept an alternative that isn't what you would have chosen is harm.

CorneliaCupp · 06/02/2026 22:57

strawberrybubblegum · 06/02/2026 22:55

If the government adds VAT to meat, will you be no poorer: because you could just go vegetarian?

Or will you recognise that if you continue your current behaviour, then you will be poorer. And having to accept an alternative that isn't what you would have chosen is harm.

If there is a free meat option, I'll take that.

strawberrybubblegum · 06/02/2026 22:58

£24.5 billion is spent on meat each year.

We should tell the government that this is an easy way to raise £5bn without anyone being any poorer!

strawberrybubblegum · 06/02/2026 22:58

CorneliaCupp · 06/02/2026 22:57

If there is a free meat option, I'll take that.

State schools aren't free... they're taxpayer funded.

And lentils are a perfectly adequate source of protein. Just not what you want to buy and eat.

CorneliaCupp · 06/02/2026 23:02

strawberrybubblegum · 06/02/2026 22:58

State schools aren't free... they're taxpayer funded.

And lentils are a perfectly adequate source of protein. Just not what you want to buy and eat.

Edited

They're free at the point of use, and I'm v happy to pay tax if it means every child can be educated.

strawberrybubblegum · 06/02/2026 23:13

I'm very happy that lentils are a cheap, nutritious form of protein.

It still harms me if the government add a 20% tax to meat and then just flush that money down the toilet, without it even bringing any benefit to anyone.

CorneliaCupp · 06/02/2026 23:20

Even if there is very good meat that is available for free? I get that it isn't the meat you would have chosen, but good meat nonetheless.

ICouldBeVioletSky · 06/02/2026 23:35

CorneliaCupp · 06/02/2026 23:20

Even if there is very good meat that is available for free? I get that it isn't the meat you would have chosen, but good meat nonetheless.

So on the one hand you’re saying the state education system is broken and in serious need of reform.

And on the other, you’re saying that “very good” state education, of apparently comparable quality to independent education, is universally available.

Which is it…?

OP posts:
strawberrybubblegum · 06/02/2026 23:41

CorneliaCupp · 06/02/2026 23:20

Even if there is very good meat that is available for free? I get that it isn't the meat you would have chosen, but good meat nonetheless.

Once again, would you be OK going vegetarian, and not feel that the government had made you poorer if they introduced 20% VAT on meat.

There are perfectly adequate, nutritious, tasty vegetarian foods you can choose from, as you know. But if you continue to buy meat - which you have been buying until now - you need to pay an extra 20% VAT, which the government will flush away with no benefit to anyone.

BustopherPonsonbyJones · 07/02/2026 07:51

CorneliaCupp · 06/02/2026 22:34

I don't think it is harming 5% of the population. Government forecasting shows that at most it will mean that 0.5% of school age children have to move from private to state. I also don't think that state schools are harmful.

What about the jobs of the people who work in private schools: teachers, office staff, cleaners, catering groundsmen? Then all the associated jobs like food suppliers, plumbers and so on? The ripples are felt across a community when even a small school closes or ‘joins forces’. And even if they don’t close, the pay and conditions deteriorate as management desperately try to save money. So it doesn’t matter to YOU but the great thing about the Labour Party is that that they will probably do something that messes up your life at some point in the next few years. They might do the Labour flip-flap at some point but you’ll find the damage is done before they go into reverse.

CatkinToadflax · 07/02/2026 08:28

If only state schools were actually available to every single child. They aren’t.

SheilaFentiman · 07/02/2026 08:37

All kinds of policies and political decisions (made by any party or organisation, local or national) can end up with people losing jobs - increases in minimum/living wage might mean a struggling business can take on fewer people, say. Designating Liverpool as a city of culture and not Manchester means people in Liverpool have job opportunities not available in Manchester. Deciding to support the Ukrainian war effort means that (say) drone manufacturers do better than the firm making widgets for warships.

I realise that only one way of thinking is acceptable in this thread (that Labour are spiteful and vindictive idiots) and that my words will fall on barren ground, which is why I have largely given up commenting.

Save yourself, @CorneliaCupp - don’t get drawn in. There’s birds to be watched 😀

EasternStandard · 07/02/2026 08:40

SheilaFentiman · 07/02/2026 08:37

All kinds of policies and political decisions (made by any party or organisation, local or national) can end up with people losing jobs - increases in minimum/living wage might mean a struggling business can take on fewer people, say. Designating Liverpool as a city of culture and not Manchester means people in Liverpool have job opportunities not available in Manchester. Deciding to support the Ukrainian war effort means that (say) drone manufacturers do better than the firm making widgets for warships.

I realise that only one way of thinking is acceptable in this thread (that Labour are spiteful and vindictive idiots) and that my words will fall on barren ground, which is why I have largely given up commenting.

Save yourself, @CorneliaCupp - don’t get drawn in. There’s birds to be watched 😀

Edited

Well it’s looking dicey for Starmer and co so it could be dropped sooner rather than later.

Good stuff. Terrible policy which is for the birds too.

CorneliaCupp · 07/02/2026 08:57

strawberrybubblegum · 06/02/2026 23:41

Once again, would you be OK going vegetarian, and not feel that the government had made you poorer if they introduced 20% VAT on meat.

There are perfectly adequate, nutritious, tasty vegetarian foods you can choose from, as you know. But if you continue to buy meat - which you have been buying until now - you need to pay an extra 20% VAT, which the government will flush away with no benefit to anyone.

Edited

I reject the premise. The choice isn't meat or veg, it's meat or a different meat.

CorneliaCupp · 07/02/2026 08:58

SheilaFentiman · 07/02/2026 08:37

All kinds of policies and political decisions (made by any party or organisation, local or national) can end up with people losing jobs - increases in minimum/living wage might mean a struggling business can take on fewer people, say. Designating Liverpool as a city of culture and not Manchester means people in Liverpool have job opportunities not available in Manchester. Deciding to support the Ukrainian war effort means that (say) drone manufacturers do better than the firm making widgets for warships.

I realise that only one way of thinking is acceptable in this thread (that Labour are spiteful and vindictive idiots) and that my words will fall on barren ground, which is why I have largely given up commenting.

Save yourself, @CorneliaCupp - don’t get drawn in. There’s birds to be watched 😀

Edited

You're right!

I can't see this policy being dropped, the vast majority of the population are either in favour or don't care.

strawberrybubblegum · 07/02/2026 09:21

It's true, discussion is pretty pointless. You can lead a horse to water.

strawberrybubblegum · 07/02/2026 09:25

Hope the 'vast majority of the population' are equally in favour/don't care about the impact on the UK, including state schools, of Labour's economic mismanagement.

ICouldBeVioletSky · 07/02/2026 09:35

CorneliaCupp · 07/02/2026 08:57

I reject the premise. The choice isn't meat or veg, it's meat or a different meat.

“The choice isn't meat or veg, it's meat or a different, rancid-crawling-with-flies and bacteria-meat.”
**
”The entire system is broken and needs a full rethink@CorneliaCupp

Not sure why you’re so intent on flogging this rancid (according to you) meat.

It’s bizarre.

OP posts:
CorneliaCupp · 07/02/2026 09:35

ICouldBeVioletSky · 07/02/2026 09:35

“The choice isn't meat or veg, it's meat or a different, rancid-crawling-with-flies and bacteria-meat.”
**
”The entire system is broken and needs a full rethink@CorneliaCupp

Not sure why you’re so intent on flogging this rancid (according to you) meat.

It’s bizarre.

I'm simply replying to the question asked. It wasn't my analogy to begin with.

BustopherPonsonbyJones · 07/02/2026 09:46

SheilaFentiman · 07/02/2026 08:37

All kinds of policies and political decisions (made by any party or organisation, local or national) can end up with people losing jobs - increases in minimum/living wage might mean a struggling business can take on fewer people, say. Designating Liverpool as a city of culture and not Manchester means people in Liverpool have job opportunities not available in Manchester. Deciding to support the Ukrainian war effort means that (say) drone manufacturers do better than the firm making widgets for warships.

I realise that only one way of thinking is acceptable in this thread (that Labour are spiteful and vindictive idiots) and that my words will fall on barren ground, which is why I have largely given up commenting.

Save yourself, @CorneliaCupp - don’t get drawn in. There’s birds to be watched 😀

Edited

Because this policy has really helped state schools, hasn’t it? Have they even got the ‘slice and a half of white bread and a cup of orange squash’ breakfast club for every child yet or was the money diverted to some other rubbish scheme? Neither do your examples match the situation. By all means make Liverpool the City of Culture but don’t make Manchester charge more for all theatre, museum and art gallery tickets at the same time. Labour would swoop in to help some industries (good, Labour industries like steel) but deliberately damage those they see as Enemies Of The People. Your flippant comments are disrespectful to those of us who are impacted by Labour policies. It isn’t a fun game of ideological point scoring for people who need to pay the mortgage and for young children who have to move schools.

Labour are spiteful, stupid vindictive idiots. None of the other parties are any better but Labour are the spiteful, stupid, vindictive idiots who though of this cracking policy.

SheilaFentiman · 07/02/2026 09:52

NB I have children in private school and am financially impacted by the policy.

My comments aren’t flippant - those are all consequences of political decisions on jobs (as a PP was complaining about lost work for janitors and grounds people)

But again: the way you respond, accusing those with a different view of being flippant, disrespectful and point scoring is why I stopped posting on these threads. Because the - what, seven of you? - want to go round in circles agreeing with each other.

I will leave you to it.

BustopherPonsonbyJones · 07/02/2026 09:53

CorneliaCupp · 07/02/2026 08:58

You're right!

I can't see this policy being dropped, the vast majority of the population are either in favour or don't care.

I agree. However, I think it is important to keep highlighting all of Labour’s crap decisions so we are all aware of the whole bucket of crapness they are creating. It will be general awareness of constant poor decisions and highlighting unpleasant impact of policy that brings down a Prime Minister and causes a government to collapse. No one cares unless it impacts them but Labour has upset so many people, they are in trouble. That’s not including the whole disgusting Epstein revelations.