Data & analysis thread, started 9th April 2022

[Jenasaurus]

Welcome to another instalment of the DATA thread.

Our preference is for factual, data driven and analytical contributions.
Please try to keep discussion focused on these

UK govt press conferences slides & data www.gov.uk/government/collections/slides-and-datasets-to-accompany-coronavirus-press-conferences#history
UKHSA Variants of Concern Technical Briefings www.gov.uk/government/publications/investigation-of-sars-cov-2-variants-technical-briefing
UKHSA Vaccine efficacy www.gov.uk/guidance/monitoring-reports-of-the-effectiveness-of-covid-19-vaccination
SAGE : Minutes and Models www.gov.uk/government/collections/scientific-evidence-supporting-the-government-response-to-coronavirus-covid-19
Data Dashboard coronavirus.data.gov.uk/ includes R estimates
UKHSA Weekly Flu & Covid Surveiilance Reports 2021-22 Season www.gov.uk/government/statistics/national-flu-and-covid-19-surveillance-reports-2021-to-2022-season
Dashboard Vaccine Map to MSOA level coronavirus.data.gov.uk/details/interactive-map/vaccinations
Covid 19 Genomics www.cogconsortium.uk/tools-analysis/public-data-analysis-2/
Sanger Genome Maps & Data covid19.sanger.ac.uk/lineages/raw
UCL Virus Watch ucl-virus-watch.net/
NHS Vaccination data www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-vaccinations/
Sewage www.gov.uk/government/publications/wastewater-testing-coverage-data-for-19-may-2021-emhp-programme/wastewater-testing-coverage-data-for-the-environmental-monitoring-for-health-protection-emhp-programme.
Sewage reports www.gov.uk/government/publications/monitoring-of-sars-cov-2-rna-in-england-wastewater-monthly-statistics-june-2021
Global vaccination data ourworldindata.org/covid-vaccinations
R estimates UK & English regions www.gov.uk/guidance/the-r-number-in-the-uk
Imperial UK weekly LAs, cases / 100k, table, map, hotspots statistics imperialcollegelondon.github.io/covid19local/#map
NHS England Hospital activity www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-hospital-activity/
NHS England Daily deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/
Cases Tracker England Local Government lginform.local.gov.uk/reports/view/lga-research/covid-19-case-tracker
ONS MSOA Map English deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/

Scot gov Daily data www.gov.scot/publications/coronavirus-covid-19-daily-data-for-scotland/
Scotland TravellingTabby LAs, care homes, hospitals, tests, t&t www.travellingtabby.com/scotland-coronavirus-tracker/
PH Wales LAs, cases, tests, deaths Dashboard public.tableau.com/profile/public.health.wales.health.protection#!/vizhome/RapidCOVID-19virology-Public/Headlinesummary
ICNRC Intensive Care National Audit & Research reports www.icnarc.org/Our-Audit/Audits/Cmp/Reports
NHS t&t England & UK testing Weekly stats www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
PHE Surveillance reports & LA Local Watchlist Maps by LSOA (from last summer) www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
ONS England infection surveillance report each Friday www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/bulletins/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveypilot/previousReleases
Datasets for ONS surveillance reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/datasets/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveydata/2020
ONS Roundup deaths, infections & economic reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/articles/coronaviruscovid19roundup/2020-03-26
Zoe UK data covid.joinzoe.com/data#interactive-map
ECDC (European Centre for Disease Control rolling 14-day incidence EEA & UK www.ecdc.europa.eu/en/cases-2019-ncov-eueea
Worldometer UK page www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/uk/
Our World in Data GB test positivity etc, DIY country graphs ourworldindata.org/coronavirus/country/united-kingdom?country=~GBR
FT DIY graphs compare deaths, cases, raw / million pop ig.ft.com/coronavirus-chart/?areas=eur&areas=usa&areas=bra&areas=gbr&areas=cze&areas=hun&areasRegional=usny&areasRegional=usnj&areasRegional=usaz&areasRegional=usca&areasRegional=usnd&areasRegional=ussd&cumulative=0&logScale=0&per100K=1&startDate=2020-09-01&values=deaths
PHE local health data fingertips.phe.org.uk/profile/health-profiles
Alama Personal COVID risk assessment alama.org.uk/covid-19-medical-risk-assessment/
Local Mobility Reports for countries www.google.com/covid19/mobility/
UK Highstreet Tracker for cities & large towns Footfall, spend index, workers, visitors, economic recovery www.centreforcities.org/data/high-streets-recovery-tracker/

@sirfredfredgeorge its being paused as of tomorrow www.bmj.com/content/378/bmj.o2099

Thanks again boys, I still check in on this thread!

Pneumonia of unknown origin in Argentina.

www.newscientist.com/article/2336438-what-we-know-about-the-mysterious-pneumonia-in-argentina/

Thought I'd share this with the group. It's interesting to see how they're managing it and if lessons have been learned from the early days of covid.

It's now been identified as a rare form of Legionnaire's, hasn't it?

news.sky.com/story/amp/covid-19-new-programme-of-variant-busting-jabs-begins-in-england-for-the-housebound-and-care-home-residents-and-staff-12690369

I'm glad the most vulnerable are getting boosters but given that best protection only lasts a few weeks, won't it have worn off by the winter and inevitable post christmas and new year wave?

@containsnuts The vaccine is still very effective at preventing serious outcomes, so there is that.

However I do agree on timing, the flu vaccine reportedly typically protects against infection at all after a delay, so the most vulnerable being flu vaccinated early makes sense, but as you imply the covid vaccine protects only very short term from infection, so it would make more sense to align it with a peak - however I suspect a lot of the peak would come from timing of when vaccines wane, so there may not be any point at all - we don't have enough seasonality at all in covid for it to be anything else.

Perhaps the results of the omicron laced booster will be better than expected though.

Children turning 5 from this month onwards are no longer eligible for the covid vaccine. Was this change announced?

twitter.com/chrischirp/status/1566839736869830656

The uptake was never that great and I suppose most people who want their DCs vaccinated will have done it by now (or the kids have had covid and survived). They admit the vaccine only works a short while and there never seemed to be a plan for 2nd or booster doses so maybe they've just given up and feel it's no longer worth it?

What happened to giving people the choice though? I wonder if it will be available privately?

Here's an update on new variants from Tom Peacock.

threadreaderapp.com/thread/1567468060377759744.html

Ds (15yo but CV) has been called for his 4th jab.
Unfortunately there don't seem to be any appointments though.

update for health metrics in England; although contextualising first with the ONS survey figs published this Monday but presumably back to the standard Friday tomorrow. Not that I've actually checked. ONS survey results heading in the right direction still. Not much above this time last year.

health metric wide starting with numbers on mechanical ventilators in England - which has as this graph shows taken a slight upward turn

but in the wider picture numbers still very significantly lower than this time last year.

deaths within 28 days of a positive test by date of death

the comparison with previous years

then the comparative graph but based on deaths with C19 recorded on the death certificate, again by date of death. These have a longer reporting delay so take the end of the current year graph with a slight pinch of salt.

and finally the last few months with both metrics

onto admissions

regional per capita rates for admissions with this going back to last November

individual region admission graphs - both numbers, and one showing the per capita rate.

For simplicity starting with East of England

London admissions

Midlands

North East and Yorkshire

North West

South East