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Data, Stats and Daily Numbers started 1st January 2022

992 replies

boys3 · 01/01/2022 18:49

Whilst I'd love to say all is quiet on New Years Day the reality is:

Welcome to yet another DATA thread.

Our preference is - still - for factual, data driven and analytical contributions.

Please try to keep discussion focused on these.

All the usual links below; New for '22 suggestions always welcome, and there may well be some that just need to go.

UK govt press conferences slides & data www.gov.uk/government/collections/slides-and-datasets-to-accompany-coronavirus-press-conferences#history
UKHSA Variants of Concern Technical Briefings www.gov.uk/government/publications/investigation-of-sars-cov-2-variants-technical-briefing
UKHSA Vaccine efficacy www.gov.uk/guidance/monitoring-reports-of-the-effectiveness-of-covid-19-vaccination
SAGE : Minutes and Models www.gov.uk/government/collections/scientific-evidence-supporting-the-government-response-to-coronavirus-covid-19
Data Dashboard coronavirus.data.gov.uk/ includes R estimates
UKHSA Weekly Flu & Covid Surveiilance Reports 2021-22 Season www.gov.uk/government/statistics/national-flu-and-covid-19-surveillance-reports-2021-to-2022-season
Dashboard Vaccine Map to MSOA level coronavirus.data.gov.uk/details/interactive-map/vaccinations
Covid 19 Genomics www.cogconsortium.uk/tools-analysis/public-data-analysis-2/
Sanger Genome Maps & Data covid19.sanger.ac.uk/lineages/raw
UCL Virus Watch ucl-virus-watch.net/
NHS Vaccination data www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-vaccinations/
Sewage www.gov.uk/government/publications/wastewater-testing-coverage-data-for-19-may-2021-emhp-programme/wastewater-testing-coverage-data-for-the-environmental-monitoring-for-health-protection-emhp-programme.
Sewage reports www.gov.uk/government/publications/monitoring-of-sars-cov-2-rna-in-england-wastewater-monthly-statistics-june-2021
Global vaccination data ourworldindata.org/covid-vaccinations
R estimates UK & English regions www.gov.uk/guidance/the-r-number-in-the-uk
Imperial UK weekly LAs, cases / 100k, table, map, hotspots statistics imperialcollegelondon.github.io/covid19local/#map
NHS England Hospital activity www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-hospital-activity/
NHS England Daily deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/
Cases Tracker England Local Government lginform.local.gov.uk/reports/view/lga-research/covid-19-case-tracker
ONS MSOA Map English deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/

Scot gov Daily data www.gov.scot/publications/coronavirus-covid-19-daily-data-for-scotland/
Scotland TravellingTabby LAs, care homes, hospitals, tests, t&t www.travellingtabby.com/scotland-coronavirus-tracker/
PH Wales LAs, cases, tests, deaths Dashboard public.tableau.com/profile/public.health.wales.health.protection#!/vizhome/RapidCOVID-19virology-Public/Headlinesummary
ICNRC Intensive Care National Audit & Research reports www.icnarc.org/Our-Audit/Audits/Cmp/Reports
NHS t&t England & UK testing Weekly stats www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
PHE Surveillance reports & LA Local Watchlist Maps by LSOA (from last summer) www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
ONS England infection surveillance report each Friday www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/bulletins/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveypilot/previousReleases
Datasets for ONS surveillance reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/datasets/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveydata/2020
ONS Roundup deaths, infections & economic reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/articles/coronaviruscovid19roundup/2020-03-26
Zoe UK data covid.joinzoe.com/data#interactive-map
ECDC (European Centre for Disease Control rolling 14-day incidence EEA & UK www.ecdc.europa.eu/en/cases-2019-ncov-eueea

Worldometer UK page www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/uk/
Our World in Data GB test positivity etc, DIY country graphs ourworldindata.org/coronavirus/country/united-kingdom?country=~GBR
FT DIY graphs compare deaths, cases, raw / million pop ig.ft.com/coronavirus-chart/?areas=eur&areas=usa&areas=bra&areas=gbr&areas=cze&areas=hun&areasRegional=usny&areasRegional=usnj&areasRegional=usaz&areasRegional=usca&areasRegional=usnd&areasRegional=ussd&cumulative=0&logScale=0&per100K=1&startDate=2020-09-01&values=deaths

PHE local health data fingertips.phe.org.uk/profile/health-profiles
Alama Personal COVID risk assessment alama.org.uk/covid-19-medical-risk-assessment/
Local Mobility Reports for countries www.google.com/covid19/mobility/
UK Highstreet Tracker for cities & large towns Footfall, spend index, workers, visitors, economic recovery www.centreforcities.org/data/high-streets-recovery-tracker/

OP posts:
Thread gallery
230
boys3 · 05/01/2022 20:51

then admissions and patients in hospital by NHS England region, both actual daily and seven day average of the same graphs.

This is the North West, latest admissions number almost matching the peak day in January; the sharp increase in numbers in hospital also places the current position very close to the same point last year.

OP posts:
boys3 · 05/01/2022 20:54

Similar picture admissions wise in the North East and Yorkshire more of a gaps when it comes to the number in hospital.

Data, Stats and Daily Numbers started 1st January 2022
Data, Stats and Daily Numbers started 1st January 2022
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boys3 · 05/01/2022 20:55

conversely a significant gap for the South East

Data, Stats and Daily Numbers started 1st January 2022
Data, Stats and Daily Numbers started 1st January 2022
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boys3 · 05/01/2022 20:58

South West - admissions quite close, but a reasonable gap for numbers in hospital

Data, Stats and Daily Numbers started 1st January 2022
Data, Stats and Daily Numbers started 1st January 2022
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Neurodiversitydoctor · 05/01/2022 20:59

Yes I am in South East close to the epicentre of alpha inpatient numbers between a quarter and a fifth of this time last year (60 vs 300).

boys3 · 05/01/2022 20:59

which leaves London

Data, Stats and Daily Numbers started 1st January 2022
Data, Stats and Daily Numbers started 1st January 2022
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boys3 · 05/01/2022 21:00

Midlands

Data, Stats and Daily Numbers started 1st January 2022
Data, Stats and Daily Numbers started 1st January 2022
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boys3 · 05/01/2022 21:03

and East of England

Data, Stats and Daily Numbers started 1st January 2022
Data, Stats and Daily Numbers started 1st January 2022
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sirfredfredgeorge · 05/01/2022 21:09

Denmark seemingly turned the corner and coming down. Do we know of any reasons this is due to anything other than the "wave running out" like testing delays etc. or any restrictions they've introduced?

Spain, France etc. still going up fast.

Italy going up super fast too and some of the regions about to trigger full lockdown for the unvaccinated (unable to enter any business or leave your home council area) - not sure this would make a dent in cases, but could prevent some unvaccinated being infected of course which would limit hospital load.

boys3 · 05/01/2022 21:10

and back to the overall England level all metrics plus cases on one graph.

Admissions and deaths plot against the secondary y-axis

Cases and numbers in hospital on the primary y-axis. up until Omicron arrived this seemed a good idea, but with the seven day average for cases now past 140,000 now it all just looks a bit...........odd

Data, Stats and Daily Numbers started 1st January 2022
OP posts:
PrincessNutNuts · 05/01/2022 21:26

Thanks @boys3. It does a bit.

Dghgcotcitc · 05/01/2022 21:30

Denmark shut some stuff not full lockdown but cinemas, theatres some other things, stricter than here but not lockdown

Dghgcotcitc · 05/01/2022 21:32

Info here www.euronews.com/2021/12/17/covid-denmark-closes-theatres-and-museums-as-omicron-cases-surge

Unconvinced it’s the main reason but three weeks ago so could have had an impact

Wrongkindofovercoat · 05/01/2022 21:41

However, a lot of people were encouraged to stay at home when very ill with covid and some died at home, while being told they were not ill enough to come to hospital (lips not blue enough etc)

By those working in the community care teams ? Like I mentioned before, we follow the same escalation criteria for the deteriorating patient as the acute sector and we didn't change any of the protocols, I know there was some discussion about some of the ambulance services doing so back in 2020, is that what you mean ? We have patients who are having a really good day if their oxygen saturation readings are 89% , so do not need to be escalated as that is their norm. If you had sats of 89% when they are usually 99%, I would probably have my special professionally worried face on and be suggesting you pack a bag of stuff to take with you to the hospital. It isn't about how ill someone is, it is about the difference in their health, so you can have a very ill person who pootles along at that level for a very long time with the odd little dip and you can have someone who is usually fine who has a sudden big dip, the latter is more worrying.

The biggest difference between community teams and the ambulance service is that we tend to have a previous relationship with our patients before they become actutely unwell, so we know their normal, we might see them every day or more than once a day, or a couple of times a week over a prolonged period of time, we know how they are emotionally, mentally, physically day to day and we notice changes, big or small. The same can be said for good care providers, who are the eyes and the ears for everyone above them in the healthcare heirarchy.
Sorry for the de-rail, if you want to ask anything else @herecomesthsun I am happy to answer by PM

CatAlice · 05/01/2022 21:44

@herecomesthsun

I know about virtual wards to some extent, and also that in the first wave people were cared for in settings other than ICUs and some recovered well.

However, a lot of people were encouraged to stay at home when very ill with covid and some died at home, while being told they were not ill enough to come to hospital (lips not blue enough etc)

I am curious about the virtual ward arrangement and the reality it might encompass as the number of cases & very ill people increases.

I was on a virtual ward. Not to be confused with Oximetry at Home. When I tested positive I was invited to Oximetry at Home as I am CEV. This was subcontracted in my local ccg to a private company. The staff were operating a script to some degree, not medics. They gave me a pulse oximeter and some advice plus a daily phone call. Eventually they advised me to go to A&E where I was admitted. After a night on a covid ward I was discharged home but on a "virtual covid ward". This was more closely monitored than the OAH and managed entirely by the respiratory department of the hospital. I got daily calls from a specialist nurse and on one occasiona home visit by a nurse. I was readmitted after a few days for another week. My feeling was there was an abundance of caution in whether I stayed at home or went back into hospital.

This was in August when the numbers were verys high locally but not nationally. I couldn't speculate what it would be like now.

sirfredfredgeorge · 05/01/2022 21:48

three weeks ago so could have had an impact

I think it's unlikely a small change 3 weeks ago would suddenly kick in after over 2 weeks (5 generations of omicron)?

herecomesthsun · 05/01/2022 21:49

Thank you both, that's very interesting.

Wrongkindofovercoat · 05/01/2022 21:49

@CatAlice that is really interesting, I haven't had any experience of OAH, would you mind telling me what area of the country you live in ?

RoyalFamilyFan · 05/01/2022 21:54

@sirfredfredgeorge

Your risk of a heart attack doubles for a month after having covid. For most people that is fine as their risk is still low, but for those already at a high risk of a heart attack, covid could be the trigger

Majority of that would be within the 28 days, so would not explain the missing increase, it would also, if attributed to the covid be coded as covid death even if outside the 28 days.

Except plenty of people who have a heart attack, survive, but die within months. I have seen this happen myself. Same with strokes.
RoyalFamilyFan · 05/01/2022 21:55

Is there criteria for virtual wards about having to have family you live who can look after you?

MarshaBradyo · 05/01/2022 21:56

Cat thanks for sharing I found that interesting

Sounds well done

CatAlice · 05/01/2022 22:28

@RoyalFamilyFan

Is there criteria for virtual wards about having to have family you live who can look after you?
Possibly. I wasn't allowed home until they were satisfied that there was someone at home (DH) and he had arranged for a bed downstairs. That was just my experience though.
JanglyBeads · 05/01/2022 22:33

Thread from a HCP explaining all the operational effects of "incidental" covid:

twitter.com/sam_halman/status/1478232195487744003?s=21

Firefliess · 05/01/2022 22:41

Nice graph showing what the latest ONS report shows is going on in London twitter.com/PaulMainwood/status/1478739628735803398?t=j4o8KFSb7Kmz8XO3-14Ixg&s=19

Much smoother than the case counts and looks to have peaked in late December

moimichme · 06/01/2022 04:45

@Firefliess

Nice graph showing what the latest ONS report shows is going on in London twitter.com/PaulMainwood/status/1478739628735803398?t=j4o8KFSb7Kmz8XO3-14Ixg&s=19

Much smoother than the case counts and looks to have peaked in late December

Do the ONS have one like that for e.g. the North West that they've shared? Looking like a difficult time ahead in other regions now and we tend to have fewer options for moving staff to different sites (larger distances to cover outside the big cities). But I do really hope London has properly peaked and doesn't go up anymore.