FT article yesterday…
Unjabbed Teenagers Risk Turning Schools into Viral Reservoirs
The UK cannot achieve herd immunity against Covid-19 without vaccinating its over-12s.
www.ft.com/content/eb4be47a-56b7-4f38-b8ec-70d61cd7227b
Couple of quotes…
Christina Pagel, a member of the Independent Sage group of science advisers, notes that herd immunity requires about 85 per cent of the population to be immune, and children make up 21 per cent of the UK population. In short, the UK’s “vaccine wall” has a large, teen-shaped hole in it. That, in turn, means either ongoing transmission, with all its risks (the vaccines are great but not perfect) or continued interventions like social distancing. This capricious virus has the capacity to evolve further. Leaving older children unjabbed risks creating viral reservoirs capable of cooking up future variants, some of which might not be as benign to the young.
…and…
Arguably, offering (not mandating) first doses to willing teens, supply permitting, before school ends this month would have been a reasonable strategy to protect children, blunt community transmission and favourably adjust the risk ahead of a September return to the classroom.
Instead, the UK is entering the second summer of the Covid-19 pandemic much as it entered the first: talking tough against a shape-shifting virus that responds only to deeds, not words. Without fast, strategic thinking on difficult issues such as teenage vaccination and indoor ventilation, Javid’s bid to loosen all restrictions on July 19 will spell Freedom Day for the virus, as well as for us.