Data, Stats Thread June 11

[PatriciaHolm]

UK govt pressers Slides & data

www.gov.uk/government/collections/slides-and-datasets-to-accompany-coronavirus-press-conferences#history

Data Dashboard coronavirus.data.gov.uk/
Covid 19 Genomics www.cogconsortium.uk/tools-analysis/public-data-analysis-2/
Covid 19 Variant Mapping Sanger Institute covid19.sanger.ac.uk/lineages/raw
NHS Vaccination data www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-vaccinations/
Global vaccination data ourworldindata.org/covid-vaccinations
R estimates UK & English regions www.gov.uk/guidance/the-r-number-in-the-uk
Imperial UK weekly LAs, cases / 100k, table, map, hotspots statistics imperialcollegelondon.github.io/covid19local/#map
NHS England Hospital activity www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-hospital-activity/
NHs England Daily deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/
Cases Tracker England Local Government lginform.local.gov.uk/reports/view/lga-research/covid-19-case-tracker
ONS MSAO Map English deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/
CovidMessenger live update by council area in England www.covidmessenger.com/
Scot gov Daily data www.gov.scot/publications/coronavirus-covid-19-daily-data-for-scotland/
Scotland TravellingTabby LAs, care homes, hospitals, tests, t&t www.travellingtabby.com/scotland-coronavirus-tracker/
PH Wales LAs, cases, tests, deaths Dashboard public.tableau.com/profile/public.health.wales.health.protection#!/vizhome/RapidCOVID-19virology-Public/Headlinesummary
ICNRC Intensive Care National Audit & Research reports www.icnarc.org/Our-Audit/Audits/Cmp/Reports
NHS t&t England & UK testing Weekly stats www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
PHE Surveillance reports & LA Local Watchlist Maps by LSOA (from last summer) www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
ONS England infection surveillance report each Friday www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/bulletins/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveypilot/previousReleases
Datasets for ONS surveillance reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/datasets/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveydata/2020
ONS Roundup deaths, infections & economic reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/articles/coronaviruscovid19roundup/2020-03-26
Zoe UK data covid.joinzoe.com/data#interactive-map
ECDC (European Centre for Disease Control rolling 14-day incidence EEA & UK www.ecdc.europa.eu/en/cases-2019-ncov-eueea
Worldometer UK page www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/uk/
Our World in Data GB test positivity etc, DIY country graphs ourworldindata.org/coronavirus/country/united-kingdom?country=~GBR
FT DIY graphs compare deaths, cases, raw / million pop ig.ft.com/coronavirus-chart/?areas=eur&areas=usa&areas=bra&areas=gbr&areas=cze&areas=hun&areasRegional=usny&areasRegional=usnj&areasRegional=usaz&areasRegional=usca&areasRegional=usnd&areasRegional=ussd&cumulative=0&logScale=0&per100K=1&startDate=2020-09-01&values=deaths
PHE local health data fingertips.phe.org.uk/profile/health-profiles
Alama Personal COVID risk assessment alama.org.uk/covid-19-medical-risk-assessment/
Local Mobility Reports for countries www.google.com/covid19/mobility/
UK Highstreet Tracker for cities & large towns Footfall, spend index, workers, visitors, economic recovery www.centreforcities.org/data/high-streets-recovery-tracker/

⏭ Our STUDIES Corner ⏮ www.mumsnet.com/Talk/coronavirus/3869571-Studies-corner?msgid=99913434

We welcome factual, data driven and analytical contributions
Please try to keep discussion focused on these

East 2 of 2

East 2 of 2 including attachment d'uh

South East 1 of 3

South East 2 of 3

South East 3 of 3

South West

West Mids

Yorks & Humber

North East

All come from here covid19.sanger.ac.uk/downloads

Reminder of the Sanger caveat

The dataset below aggregates genomes sequenced at the Wellcome Sanger Institute to monitor COVID-19 dynamics. Lineages are assigned using pangolin, and the number of each lineage is enumerated by week and local authority. Dates reflect the date on which the sample was collected.

This dataset includes only genomes sequenced for general surveillance, excluding those sequenced in special studies or with a known recent travel history.

To avoid disclosure, lineage data for a specific week in a specific local authority may be suppressed if either the number of total coronavirus cases (whether sequenced or not) is very low in that local authority in that week, or if a particular lineage is present at a very substantially greater proportion than in the country as a whole.

Couple of LAs; for example Bradford, had particularly low surveillance numbers at odds with their size; presumably due to the middle paragraph above.

I hope it's ok to ask here as you all seem like a knowledgeable bunch... Does anyone have any links to information about why exactly the Delta variant makes the 1st vaccination only 33% effective? I know previously it was said the 1st vaccine gave the most protection and the 2nd was just to ensure long lasting protection, so this seems like quite a big drop especially as overall the vaccinations still offer good protection (after the 2nd jab).

The ONS antibody survey estimated that in mid May half of 16-25 year olds had antibodies to Covid and around 60% of 25-34. As infection has been increasing in those age groups more than any other age except 10-14 and we also began to vaccinate 30+ in time for antibodies to show anyone care to estimate what the next survey will show re antibody levels? It's due out on Friday and should prove very interesting.

Thanks boys3

Delta variant is now present in 74 countries

Some people in mn defend the Australian model and that the UK should have done that approach, well this is not even safe "One case in point has been Australia, where a new sub-lineage of the Delta variant appears to have been responsible for new outbreaks, some apparently unrelated to imported cases identified among people in hotel quarantine."

www.theguardian.com/world/2021/jun/14/delta-variant-of-covid-spreading-rapidly-and-detected-in-74-countries

[quote EasterIssland]Delta variant is now present in 74 countries

Some people in mn defend the Australian model and that the UK should have done that approach, well this is not even safe "One case in point has been Australia, where a new sub-lineage of the Delta variant appears to have been responsible for new outbreaks, some apparently unrelated to imported cases identified among people in hotel quarantine."

www.theguardian.com/world/2021/jun/14/delta-variant-of-covid-spreading-rapidly-and-detected-in-74-countries[/quote]
I haven’t read article but I’m not surprised. A new more transmissible variant will spread like this.

Out of interest how much was the red list India an issue for us?

Versus say Europe

This is the only place one can ask without just vectors aimed back ;

Huge thank you to everyone who has kept this thread going - it’s a space for sanity and reason in what has otherwise been a challenging year for many reasons.

I do still miss Little Owls daily emails though.

Quick question for today - I appear to have lost the cases by age section on my areas daily reports. I liked checking it as you can clearly see the vaccine effect in far fewer older people being infected.

Has it disappeared for all areas or had it just moved somewhere else?

@buzzing

Huge thank you to everyone who has kept this thread going - it’s a space for sanity and reason in what has otherwise been a challenging year for many reasons.

I do still miss Little Owls daily emails though.

Quick question for today - I appear to have lost the cases by age section on my areas daily reports. I liked checking it as you can clearly see the vaccine effect in far fewer older people being infected.

Has it disappeared for all areas or had it just moved somewhere else?

you're right, it was there few hours ago as I did some info with some friends but I cant see it now

@TheSunIsStillShining

I was musing on an another aspect of this whole pandemic. This was not a highly contagious or extremely deadly virus. We can say that in terms of pandemics, we actually got off lightly. Think Ebola as a measure.

But.... Even this, which has relatively low hospitalization (around 10% of all identified cases) has bought our NHS to it's knees.
There were all together less than 500k patients hospitalized in the past 1+ year.
The outcome is over stresses/worked staff, years of backlog accumulated.

I think that's actually an important and overlooked point - it really doesn't take all that much to bring the NHS to its knees. This is part of the answer to the thing that puzzles a lot of people "if we've vaccinated almost all the vulnerable, how can we possibly have a third wave?" The answer is that the hospitalised cases in a third wave will be largely the unvaccinated old and the people whose individual risk of hospitalisation is low due to young age and/or vaccination, but there are lots of them. Individually many people may be happy to take the risk of Covid, but the NHS won't cope if they all just take their chances.

Ironically a more deadly virus can be less damaging to the NHS - if it kills quickly it doesnt take up many beds. The problem with this virus is that you can save some people but it takes a lot of resources in people and equipment to do so. And it is pretty infectious so difficult to stop people picking it up in hospital, especially when you havent always been able to test for it.

The NHS is currently seeing more accidents as people get out and about. I wish there was a vaccination for stupid because some of them were just asking for trouble.

I don't think people understand how overstretched and underfunded our NHS is.
Instead of demonstrating against lockdown and such millions should be marching for better funding. Because at the end of the day, if something goes wrong you are saved by the doctors (hopefully).

It’d be good if we could be healthier as a nation as that puts a lot of strain on NHS. Can’t recall figure. It’s a thorny issue though.

But also agree with resource intensive disease for Covid. I wonder if we see some lightening of this as double vaccination are in older groups

Also do what proportion do we pay for NHS through contributions? Wondering when people say underfunded what part does actually fund it

This was a point @bigchocfrenzy used to make last year, wasn’t it - comparing funding of German health service with ours. More money equalled more beds etc etc.

@buzzing

Huge thank you to everyone who has kept this thread going - it’s a space for sanity and reason in what has otherwise been a challenging year for many reasons.

I do still miss Little Owls daily emails though.

Quick question for today - I appear to have lost the cases by age section on my areas daily reports. I liked checking it as you can clearly see the vaccine effect in far fewer older people being infected.

Has it disappeared for all areas or had it just moved somewhere else?

@buzzing the age heat map shows on the dashboard at council level. Well at least for Adur which is the first council I clicked on.

The download section looks to be fine as well, but possibly isn’t There is the equivalent downloads for age demographic of cases by specimen date files, on the right hand side under supplementary downloads. I’ve just downloaded the England one and have an empty file.

However if you use the filters and select an LA from the main download section that appears to sort of work. And shows data up to 13 June, so the five day lag has gone. But for every date there is no rolling rate for the 0 to 59 total or the two youngest five year age bands.

Yes higher taxes to health in Germany iirc

But when people say more funding do they mean everyone’s NI goes up? As we fund it

I’m also used to Aus system which has a minimal fee for services, for those who can. I think it’s a good way to introduce idea of value

I do think the NHS is good here, always impressed (I don’t use it much though (touch wood!) but sometimes it feels taken a bit for granted (I realise my o/s view is part of this)