Data, Stat, Daily Numbers started 26th May 2021

[boys3]

UK govt pressers Slides & data www.gov.uk/government/collections/slides-and-datasets-to-accompany-coronavirus-press-conferences#history
Data Dashboard coronavirus.data.gov.uk/
Covid 19 Genomics www.cogconsortium.uk/tools-analysis/public-data-analysis-2/
Covid 19 Variant Mapping Sanger Institute covid19.sanger.ac.uk/lineages/raw
NHS Vaccination data www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-vaccinations/
Global vaccination data ourworldindata.org/covid-vaccinations
R estimates UK & English regions www.gov.uk/guidance/the-r-number-in-the-uk
Imperial UK weekly LAs, cases / 100k, table, map, hotspots statistics imperialcollegelondon.github.io/covid19local/#map
NHS England Hospital activity www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-hospital-activity/
NHs England Daily deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/
Cases Tracker England Local Government lginform.local.gov.uk/reports/view/lga-research/covid-19-case-tracker
ONS MSAO Map English deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/
CovidMessenger live update by council area in England www.covidmessenger.com/
Scot gov Daily data www.gov.scot/publications/coronavirus-covid-19-daily-data-for-scotland/
Scotland TravellingTabby LAs, care homes, hospitals, tests, t&t www.travellingtabby.com/scotland-coronavirus-tracker/
PH Wales LAs, cases, tests, deaths Dashboard public.tableau.com/profile/public.health.wales.health.protection#!/vizhome/RapidCOVID-19virology-Public/Headlinesummary
ICNRC Intensive Care National Audit & Research reports www.icnarc.org/Our-Audit/Audits/Cmp/Reports
NHS t&t England & UK testing Weekly stats www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
PHE Surveillance reports & LA Local Watchlist Maps by LSOA (from last summer) www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
ONS England infection surveillance report each Friday www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/bulletins/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveypilot/previousReleases
Datasets for ONS surveillance reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/datasets/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveydata/2020
ONS Roundup deaths, infections & economic reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/articles/coronaviruscovid19roundup/2020-03-26
Zoe UK data covid.joinzoe.com/data#interactive-map
ECDC (European Centre for Disease Control rolling 14-day incidence EEA & UK www.ecdc.europa.eu/en/cases-2019-ncov-eueea

Worldometer UK page www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/uk/
Our World in Data GB test positivity etc, DIY country graphs ourworldindata.org/coronavirus/country/united-kingdom?country=~GBR
FT DIY graphs compare deaths, cases, raw / million pop ig.ft.com/coronavirus-chart/?areas=eur&areas=usa&areas=bra&areas=gbr&areas=cze&areas=hun&areasRegional=usny&areasRegional=usnj&areasRegional=usaz&areasRegional=usca&areasRegional=usnd&areasRegional=ussd&cumulative=0&logScale=0&per100K=1&startDate=2020-09-01&values=deaths

PHE local health data fingertips.phe.org.uk/profile/health-profiles
Alama Personal COVID risk assessment alama.org.uk/covid-19-medical-risk-assessment/
Local Mobility Reports for countries www.google.com/covid19/mobility/
UK Highstreet Tracker for cities & large towns Footfall, spend index, workers, visitors, economic recovery www.centreforcities.org/data/high-streets-recovery-tracker/

⏭ Our STUDIES Corner ⏮ www.mumsnet.com/Talk/coronavirus/3869571-Studies-corner?msgid=99913434

We welcome factual, data driven and analytical contributions
Please try to keep discussion focused on these

I am strongly reminded of last autumn, where lots of commentary on the changes in the different indicators was along the lines of 'well, yes, but it's fine because...[insert detail here]'

If admissions AND numbers in hospital remain flat over the next 2 weeks and so do deaths over the next 4, in the face of significant case rises, then that is a good thing. However, a 20%+ rise in hospital admissions after not much more than a week of rising cases does not make me feel comfortable.

By short stay ward you mean the ward off A and E? My understanding was always that it does not count as an admission in the stats.
But I have just googled and I was wrong. If you are admitted to a ward of any kind, then yes it is an admission.
But waiting in A and E assessment whether in a chair or a bed is not an admission.

www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/2019/07/AE-Attendances-Emergency-Definitions-v4.0-final-July-2019.pdf

I think what people are saying is the admitted patients in this case seem to not be staying long enough to be counted in the patients in hospital numbers. One is going up and the other is going down. At the moment anyway.

UK wide numbers for hospital admissions are not particularly reliable when they are low. The figures are skewed by Wales that counts all suspected Covid cases as "Covid admissions". For example, on the latest available date for healthcare data (May 27th) Wales reported 27 Covid admissions, 17 Covid patients in hospitals and 58 new Covid cases. It is quite clear the admission number is non-sensical.

England only numbers give a much more realistic view of what is happening in hospitals..

But I do not think that is what is happening. Older people were staying in hospital for many months. The younger people being admitted now will largely be in for short amount of times. So as older patients leave, the overall numbers will go down even if more people are admitted.

@kindofcoping

But I do not think that is what is happening. Older people were staying in hospital for many months. The younger people being admitted now will largely be in for short amount of times. So as older patients leave, the overall numbers will go down even if more people are admitted.

Hmm, not sure about this. I read that older people die faster and younger people occupy beds for longer.

@wintertravel1980

UK wide numbers for hospital admissions are not particularly reliable when they are low. The figures are skewed by Wales that counts all suspected Covid cases as "Covid admissions". For example, on the latest available date for healthcare data (May 27th) Wales reported 27 Covid admissions, 17 Covid patients in hospitals and 58 new Covid cases. It is quite clear the admission number is non-sensical.

England only numbers give a much more realistic view of what is happening in hospitals..

I think this is very true. David Paton @cricketwyvern does an excellent daily table of all England stats. He’s having a few days off but this is yesterday’s

twitter.com/cricketwyvern/status/1398307428194832391/photo/1

@kindofcoping

But I do not think that is what is happening. Older people were staying in hospital for many months. The younger people being admitted now will largely be in for short amount of times. So as older patients leave, the overall numbers will go down even if more people are admitted.

Interesting point

It is definitely a possibility

However are we not trying to achieve less serious illness and shorter hospital stays. So that is ultimately the way the government are expecting this too go.

Older people either die quickly or take a long time to recover.

As far as I know, in this area anyway, there has been no change in the definition of 'admitted'. People get kept in for a few hours observation, the paperwork is done, they are given a wristband and they are referred to as having been admitted. But they may be discharged the same day.

@amicissimma It sounds like we have very different hospital experiences. My local hospital do not admit you if you are just in A and E treatment area. And you can easily be in there for a few hours. I have been in there six hours.

Any idea why the numbers are circa 700 lower today than yesterday?

Any idea why the numbers are circa 700 lower today than yesterday?

Lower testing.

Saturday is always lower than Friday. Sunday is generally lower than Saturday.

The highest numbers are usually reported on Tuesday to Friday. If cases are on the rise, Friday will be the highest. If cases are dropping or flat, the weekly peak will be on Wednesday or Thursday.

@wintertravel1980

Any idea why the numbers are circa 700 lower today than yesterday?

Lower testing.

Saturday is always lower than Friday. Sunday is generally lower than Saturday.

The highest numbers are usually reported on Tuesday to Friday. If cases are on the rise, Friday will be the highest. If cases are dropping or flat, the weekly peak will be on Wednesday or Thursday.

Thank you 🙂 I knew Sunday’s were usually lower but didn’t realise Saturdays were... so not good news then that they are lower?

It is the trend that matters.

@BanditoShipman
Well given the pattern, if they were higher today that would be really bad. As it stands they don’t reflect much of a change since yesterday.

Presumably numbers of recorded LFTs will decrease:

1 because of half term (although the instruction is to keep testing of course)

2 because many Y11/13s have now left. This latter effect will last until the start of the new school year. It may have started last week actually.

As we know the numbers recorded, certainly for negatives, is probably quite a bit lower than tests actually taken. This applies to school and presumably all LFTs.

Just read that there are over 3000 new IV cases since Wednesday.

Bet there's a dip this week. I'm not doing the lateral flows as not only do I not want to be the person to make half the class isolate I also want to stick my fingers in my ears and go 'blah blah blah' just for one week . Judging on the numbers who missed school yesterday I think there's a huge amount of families going away who probably feel the same .

@JanFebAnyMonth

Just read that there are over 3000 new IV cases since Wednesday.

Not cases. Positive tests. An important difference!

Thanks @Cactusali. Remind me, is that because a case is a hospitalisation?

A case is someone who has symptoms. Lots of positive cases are asymptomatic

@feelinggeriatric

Bet there's a dip this week. I'm not doing the lateral flows as not only do I not want to be the person to make half the class isolate I also want to stick my fingers in my ears and go 'blah blah blah' just for one week . Judging on the numbers who missed school yesterday I think there's a huge amount of families going away who probably feel the same .

Er, is this for real? You know what the alternative is to making half the class isolate if you have the virus and don't tell people?

Banstead/Tattenham, Kingston upon Thames, Hillingdon, Lancashire, Greater Manchester... I'm getting a nasty feeling. The only thing making it a little better is the ridiculously low cases age 65+ everywhere and half term. We need two doses into everyone quickly. It's not good for those who've been frightened away from vaccines, but hopefully they will be few enough in number who get very ill.

So actually there could be something a bit worrying happening next week: it’s a crucial week for data, but testing figures are going to dip. But I suppose that’s no longer as important as the hospitalisations data.