And yet anyone under the age of 70 is it at very very low risk of getting ill with covid
People keep saying this: a small proportion of younger people and children ARE badly affected and a small proportion of a large number is still a large number in absolute terms and can cause strain on the NHS. It won't be as bad as before unless we get a vaccine evading variant, but staff are tired, worn down and leaving the service. The resources aren't there as they were before. And they were stretched before.
In Brazil it's been reported 1,300 babies have died from covid, because they've let the virus get out of control. This is a tragedy - these deaths were preventable. www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-latin-america-56696907
There is a lot of anecdotal data that the indian variant MAY not only be more transmissible but also more lethal (and to lower age groups). There are a lot of doctors in the thick of it in India saying it's younger people being affected now.
This is why we need to be precautionary. If we wait for full scientific evidence about this variant, it will be too late to do anything. We've already acted too late on preventing community transmission of it in this country.
I really don't see the down side to being precautionary - wearing a mask for a few extra months while we gather more data on the Indian variant and we get more adults vaccinated. The current data is concerning enough - you'd think we might learn that early action saves lives and also prevents more drastic measures being needed down the line.
I think vaccinating all adults in areas where there are outbreaks of the India variant would be good but they seem reluctant to deviate from the current strategy for logistical reasons. Which I think makes it even more important to be precautionary.
www.nature.com/articles/d41586-021-01274-7 - summary in nature about what is known about india variant.
"Evidence is growing that one variant first detected in India might be more transmissible and slightly better at evading immunity than existing variants. Animal models also hint that it might be able to cause more severe disease."