Good News Part 8

[BBCONEANDTWO]

Previous thread here:

www.mumsnet.com/Talk/coronavirus/4144814-Good-news-part-7?watched=1&msgid=104169501#104169501

Useful links:

coronavirus.data.gov.uk

www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/

www.covidmessenger.com. thanks to LittleOwl for all her hard work!

ourworldindata.org/covid-vaccinations

www.omnicalculator.com/health/vaccine-queue-uk
NB Please don’t take this too seriously- it depends what vaccine delivery speed and uptake you estimate so it’s not written in stone.

And may I say that's an excellent name for a cat.

My vaccine predictions are:

10.9mil tomorrow
12.5mil by Monday

@louisejxxx

My vaccine predictions are:

10.9mil tomorrow
12.5mil by Monday

OK I'm going to be really mental

11.2mil tomorrow
13.2 mil by Monday

Now wouldn't that be amazing.

@FuzzyPuffling hope you're cat is ok

We have been given our shifts at the vaccine hub for the week after next (w/c 15th Feb), open all week which is great news that they know that much vaccine will be available then.

At our hub 2 people every 5 minutes were being vaccinated, 100% attendance whilst I was there, hub open 8-8.

HalfDutchGirl that's really good news on the vaccines front. Go you!

Sorry, I know it's not good news, but I do wish they'd get a move on with London vaccinations. There's a lot of threatening-looking purple there and we know how connected it is with the rest of the country. It's the worst place to fall behind.

Good that the rest of the country's doing so well, though, and I hope the other big purple blobs are getting their jabs quickly.

I'm taking my dad to have his vaccine this weekend at a hub. What do you think my chances are of them saying they have enough spares/unfilled slots that I can nab one too? I'm definitely not expecting it to happen but would be thrilled if it was possible.

@amicissimma - according to press reports, London has vaccinated over 60% of their 70-75 year olds. This is compared to under 30% in the north east for example. So that’s some good news for you!

Yep London are doing much better now than a couple of weeks ago. Thank goodness. Still lower BAME take up but improving.

I think Hancock and the vaccine minister set up more help. Plus loads of extra vaccine hubs opened up.

Have we had this yet? This was in a telegraph article this evening:

"Scientists at University College (UCL) London believe the rate as of Tuesday was 0.65 to 0.86, considerably better than the official Government estimate of 0.7 to 1.1 published last Friday.

They use a more complex and nuanced approach to estimate the current real-world rate of infection rather than looking back roughly two weeks, as Sage does.

The UCL team said their modelling showed that the third national lockdown was the most important factor in explaining the drop in cases from the early January peak.

However, they added that the figures cannot be fully explained without taking into account the growing impact of Covid vaccines, which they believe have an efficacy of at least 56.5 per cent"

"'R' rate hits lowest level in 10 months with herd immunity possible by July" www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2021/02/04/r-rate-hits-lowest-level-since-april-suggesting-covid-vaccines/

So we think vaccines are already having an impact on the R rate? So exciting!

I barely dare say in case I invoke the doomsters but someone smarter than me thinks so.

I had my mine yesterday (social care staff but only started my job last week!!) phone call at 5, jab at 7. Parents are vaccinators and their centre is in the second week of 70-74 and open all week for the first time this week ..it is really ramping up. We are North East.

@FourTeaFallOut let’s all quietly whisper woohoo and hope the doom muppets don’t hear us 😆

[quote FourTeaFallOut]"'R' rate hits lowest level in 10 months with herd immunity possible by July" www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2021/02/04/r-rate-hits-lowest-level-since-april-suggesting-covid-vaccines/[/quote]
Wow this is great news - does anyone have access to the article, I'd love to look at the original report from ucl if it's linked in there?

There is no link in the article @ArianaVenti. Maybe these details will help you find it:

Professor Karl Friston, the scientific director of the Wellcome Centre for Human Neuroimaging at UCL, who led the research, said: "The bottom line is that vaccination appears to be having a tangible effect on confirmed new cases and daily death rates recorded over the past few weeks.

"If the vaccination programme continues to unfold at its current pace – and lockdown is eased gradually as a function of declining prevalence – we might attain herd immunity by as early as July.

It doesn't say but the study was done by Prof Friston, who is the scientific director at the Wellcome Centre for Human Neuroimaging. That might help to find it?

X-post

My dad had his vaccine tonight 😊 he was booked in for next week but had a cancellation. This is a guy who refuses the flu vaccine normally. I can update on side effects if yous want?

@TheFerretsSleeping

My dad had his vaccine tonight 😊 he was booked in for next week but had a cancellation. This is a guy who refuses the flu vaccine normally. I can update on side effects if yous want?

Lovely news

Sounds like people understand how important it is to get too. Bet your relieved. I thought my mother inlaw would be ackward but she was bloody over the moon to get it in December ❤

This isn't good news but I've been thinking it's Saturday all day today 🧐

I swear I don't work for The Times but here's another Times screenshot:-

I've never done a link before but there is a very positive summary of reasons why we should be hopeful on the BBC news home page this morning

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-55941234