Daily numbers, graphs, analysis thread

[NoGoodPunsLeft]

UK govt pressers Slides & data www.gov.uk/government/collections/slides-and-datasets-to-accompany-coronavirus-press-conferences#history
R estimates UK & English regions www.gov.uk/guidance/the-r-number-in-the-uk
Imperial UK weekly LAs, cases / 100k, table, map, hotspots imperialcollegelondon.github.io/covid19local/#table
School statistics Attendance explore-education-statistics.service.gov.uk/find-statistics/attendance-in-education-and-early-years-settings-during-the-coronavirus-covid-19-outbreak
Modelling real number of UK infections February to date Link broken?
NHS England Hospital activity www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-hospital-activity/
NHs England Daily deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/
MSAO Map of English cases Link broken?
Cases Tracker England Local Government lginform.local.gov.uk/reports/view/lga-research/covid-19-case-tracker
ONS MSAO Map English deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/
CovidMessenger live update by council district in England www.covidmessenger.com/
Scot gov Daily data www.gov.scot/publications/coronavirus-covid-19-daily-data-for-scotland/
Scotland TravellingTabby LAs, care homes, hospitals, tests, t&t www.travellingtabby.com/scotland-coronavirus-tracker/
PH Wales LAs, tests, ONS deaths public.tableau.com/profile/public.health.wales.health.protection#!/vizhome/RapidCOVID-19virology-Public/Headlinesummary
NI Dashboard app.powerbi.com/view?r=eyJrIjoiZGYxNjYzNmUtOTlmZS00ODAxLWE1YTEtMjA0NjZhMzlmN2JmIiwidCI6IjljOWEzMGRlLWQ4ZDctNGFhNC05NjAwLTRiZTc2MjVmZjZjNSIsImMiOjh9
ICNRC Intensive Care National Audit & Research reports www.icnarc.org/Our-Audit/Audits/Cmp/Reports
NHS t&t England & UK testing Weekly stats www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
PHE Surveillance reports & LA Local Watchlist Maps by LSOA www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
ONS England infection surveillance report each Friday www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/bulletins/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveypilot/previousReleases
Datasets for ONS surveillance reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/datasets/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveydata/2020
ONS Roundup deaths, infections & economic reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/articles/coronaviruscovid19roundup/2020-03-26
Zoe Uk data covid.joinzoe.com/data#interactive-map
ECDC rolling 14-day incidence EEA & UK read://https_www.ecdc.europa.eu/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.ecdc.europa.eu%2Fen%2Fcases-2019-ncov-eueea
Worldometer UK page www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/uk/
Our World in Data GB test positivity etc, DIY country graphs ourworldindata.org/coronavirus/country/united-kingdom?country=~GBR
FT DIY graphs compare deaths, cases, raw / million pop ig.ft.com/coronavirus-chart/?areas=gbr&areas=fra&areas=esp&areas=ita&areas=deu&areas=swe&areasRegional=usny&areasRegional=usnj&byDate=1&cumulative=1&logScale=1&per100K=1&values=deaths
Alama Personal COVID risk assessment alama.org.uk/covid-19-medical-risk-assessment/
Local Mobility Reports for countries www.google.com/covid19/mobility/
UK Highstreet Tracker for cities & large towns Footfall, spend index, workers, visitors, economic recovery www.centreforcities.org/data/high-streets-recovery-tracker/

⏭ Our STUDIES Corner ⏮www.mumsnet.com/Talk/coronavirus/3869571-Studies-corner?msgid=99913434

We welcome factual, data driven and analytical contributions
Please try to keep discussion focused on these

On the day of the decision, the 7-day rates were 167 (Guildford) and 144 (Waverley). Not hugely different and when 7-day rate of growth is considered it is 60% (Guildford) and 86% (Waverley) – Waverley is growing much faster.
So, we have the same NHS trust (which doesn’t seem to be anywhere near its limits), we have very similar case rates and Waverley has a much faster growth rate. How on earth is it correct for Waverley and Guildford to be in different Tiers? It is fortunate for our MP that she lives in Waverley, not Guildford

This from a local paper...... a lot of very unhappy locals....and yes, increasing rates quite possibly from care homes, the area is packed with them!

And yes, it would be useful to know where outbreaks are. Recent Woking spikes down to one large school, very difficult to find, but a trawl of local news, twitter, nextdoor etc etc eventually throws up the reason.

It's madness. Even the hard figures don't make sense when you look at the northern cities, Leeds for eg was 138 and falling (although pretty static tbh) and was left in Tier 3.

Are the gov releasing a breakdown of how they came to their decisions again?

Borris holding a press conference later today.

Hancock did mention when doing the tier review that the House of Commons Library would be publishing something. Must admit have not yet looked to see if anything is up yet.

And having had a cursory glance nothing jumped out

I was going to switch off from news for a few days later today but that’s obviously not going to happen now !

I'm guessing its to do with this new strain and the south east, by what I have read they want to stop travel out of these areas.

@Castiel07

I'm guessing its to do with this new strain and the south east, by what I have read they want to stop travel out of these areas.

Good luck with that round here...... everyone seems to be have gone down to Cornwall this weekend.

The cynic in me feels they can't yet know enough about the new strain to blame it for increased transmission.

However, they can use it as an excuse to make sudden and unpopular changes.

I'm fine with that. I don't care about their excuses. I just think it's time for action!

BBC’s Laura K is tweeting there is significant concern about the new strain.

I actually can’t bear this

I don't live in London but I'm not to far away from there, my husbands family live in Cornwall and I wouldn't dream of going down there atm even though we were invited for christmas to be apart of their bubble.
How on earth would they implement a travel ban? Would it be police and the Army and have boarders?
What about people who work in London that live outside of the area?
I just start to think things might get a little better with the vaccine and then something else happens.

Seems irresponsible of LK to be tweeting that type of thing. She can't have the details and it will frighten people.

Having said that maybe some people could do with being a bit more worried.

I think she will have had an OTR briefing

I don't think it's irresponsible, I've been watching the patterns of transmission and I've read the information available so far and as I've been saying the last few days it's looking like a new big problem.

Breaking news on bbc is that there's going to be a tier 4.....

I think it should be easy to encourage better social distancing if they just come out and explain the impact of that increased transmission; the increased risk for any workplaces where people are in unventilated spaces (regardless of distance), higher rate of children being infected etc. My fear is that they won't give that info until the research completes in January, and people will think it's really no different than the strain before.

@MRex

I think it should be easy to encourage better social distancing if they just come out and explain the impact of that increased transmission; the increased risk for any workplaces where people are in unventilated spaces (regardless of distance), higher rate of children being infected etc. My fear is that they won't give that info until the research completes in January, and people will think it's really no different than the strain before.

I totally agree especially that people need to understand the effects of being in unventilated spaces (natural not air conditioning), the use of visors rather than masks etc..

Has the virus become more infectious or is it the effect of the weather on the virus and human behaviour. Ventilation will have gone to shite. London should never have been in tier 2.

Increase R by 0.4 - new variant

Well, at least we didn't spend long in tier 3. I thought we were there to stay. 🤣

Those graphs showed the problem pretty clearly!

@Perihelion - the weather has been shit for ages, and consistently shit across the area. Meanwhile cases linked with the new variant have been increasing more rapidly and it's spreading like a wave (tsunami). It's the variant.

Wales is back in lockdown from midnight tonight, what a bloody year.

The daily cases in each council in England has been updated now on www.covidmessenger.com

Well I know you all put up with my little rant earlier this week about cases in councils in Kent doubling. I feel I have been walking around like a ghost the last few days with people locally not seeming to understand at all how quickly things were deteriorating.

Well I am somewhat relieved that the govt obviously did take notice and have locked us down here in Kent. I am so sad for Christmas and so many reunions unable to occur but, goodnees, when you see the rise in cases with capacity in our surrounding hospitals fairly full, it is hard to see how they could have done anything else.

I hope everyone is ok and can have a happy and safe Christmas even if it not the one we all had originally envisaged.