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Original poster

Will anywhere be in tier 1?

85 replies

notevenat20 · 26/11/2020 07:13

Do you think anywhere will be in tier 1? Looking at www.covidmessenger.com/coronavirusliveupdate/ the place with the fewest new cases is Teignbridge which is on 53 cases per 100,000 over the last 7 days. It wasn’t long ago when being above 50 was really bad.

OP posts:
AaronPurr · 26/11/2020 07:20

I would be very surprised if they were any tier 1 areas.

Hugosmugo · 26/11/2020 07:20

I hope some places will be in tier 1 otherwise it won't feel much different as you can't even go for food or coffee out of your household in tier 2. I'm happy that shops can open as well as hospitality (in tier 2 at least) but if you can't go for food with others in tier 2 then I don't think they will get as much money in as they hoped.

Does anyone know what time we may find out today?

mummyh2016 · 26/11/2020 07:27

11.30am I've heard.

Hugosmugo · 26/11/2020 07:30

Oh earlier than I was thinking. Thank you. Getting really stressed about it tbh.

AaronPurr · 26/11/2020 07:30

@mummyh2016

11.30am I've heard.
Yes I just heard the same on the news. I was surprised as I expected it to be this evening, like the briefings used to be.
StillDumDeDumming · 26/11/2020 07:33

Interesting that lots of areas on the messenger are falling now. Unless it’s less testing- it would mean that locking down does work. Not that I want to continue with it of course.

Clearasmuddypuddles · 26/11/2020 07:33

Everywhere will be 2 or 3. It’s been sold like some sort of positive but in reality it’s going to be the same as lockdown for most. I’m glad my kids activities are back running again, but frustrated I still can’t meet a friend for coffee and go to my parents for dinner.

Saisong · 26/11/2020 07:41

I've just looked up our area on the gov covid website, if i put in our postcode it shows our local area at 35 per 100k - can that be right? It was over 80 last time i looked. That said all the surrounding boroughs are much higher, and the whole county has a couple of (city based) hot spots. It's unlikely we'd get Tier 1 in isolation!

skankingpiglet · 26/11/2020 07:41

We were just over 100/100,000 before lockdown and in tier 1, so I'm hoping we should still be as the area has now dropped to below 100. It would be pretty crap if we come out with more restrictions than before with lower numbers. Even more so as the area is mostly quite rural and our and the neighbouring villages are between 0 and 20/100,000. Our nearest hospital is coping and the number of deaths is very low.

Original poster
notevenat20 · 26/11/2020 07:54

Interesting that lots of areas on the messenger are falling now. Unless it’s less testing- it would mean that locking down does work. Not that I want to continue with it of course.

Yes. If the numbers really are falling as fast as it seems part me wants them to extend our lockdown by a week. I am not sure I could bear the numbers shooting straight back up again.

OP posts:
Mumisnotmyonlyname · 26/11/2020 07:59

And according to the Guardian, likely to continue until spring 😳

ChasingRainbows19 · 26/11/2020 08:04

I live in Greater Manchester and went back into restrictions in July and we were under 50! Our cases are now dropping from in the 600s ( slowly rose throughout august/September so the restrictions didn’t work our peak was later than London so cases hadn’t dropped as low when lockdown ended!)

We are back in the 200/300 depending on area. Been downwards for a goodcouple of weeks and dropping quickly. I expect tier 3 as hospitals busy and also they are proving a point to Andy Burnham who dared push the government for better support ( which they gave immediately when London affected through lockdown). Hope they review weekly though as our hospitality as been hardest hit from no mixing since July inside. Bolton had pubs etc closed. My family members were furloughed and made redundant from hospitality and if this carries on more will go...

unicornparty · 26/11/2020 08:07

My area is 87 per 100k. I'm not sure if thats good or bad. It says cases are falling here.

DebbieFiderer · 26/11/2020 08:26

I live on the edge of one borough, bordering two others. All 3 are between 120-150/100,000, all are falling, hospitals are coping fine (local one has approx 60 cases, 2 in ICU). I'm hopeful but not too hopeful. Cynically I'm also wondering if this might actually be a good time to be living in a Tory stronghold 😉

Whatever9999 · 26/11/2020 08:43

I'm in North Essex and our numbers are well below 100/100000. Local councils are basically begging for us not to be lumped in with South Essex (up to 5x higher than here), both my district and the neighbouring one are in the lowest 15% of the country (we were third lowest until a couple of days ago but an extra couple of cases a day is enough to bump us up from the high 50s to the low 70s.

Original poster
notevenat20 · 26/11/2020 08:47

@Whatever9999 Could that work without banning all travel between North and South Essex?

OP posts:
southeastdweller · 26/11/2020 08:51

I think Cornwall and East Anglia.

Underhisi · 26/11/2020 08:51

We were in tier 2 for a few weeks just before lockdown and it worked so I hope we go back into it at least for now - cases just over 100 from being over 300.

HoneyBee03 · 26/11/2020 08:54

We're at 59 cases per 100k and it's never really picked up where I am, so I'm hoping for tier 1. I think a lot of people and businesses will be quite perplexed if we get put into tier 2.

I know the news is suggesting that hardly anywhere will be tier 1 though, so I guess we'll have to wait and see!

Waxonwaxoff0 · 26/11/2020 08:57

I'm just praying for tier 2! Cases 265/100,000 and falling but a lot of variation across the county.

Can't see anywhere being tier 1 apart from maybe Cornwall, Suffolk and possibly Isle of Wight.

Hardbackwriter · 26/11/2020 08:58

[quote notevenat20]@Whatever9999 Could that work without banning all travel between North and South Essex?[/quote]
But by that logic local restrictions are always pointless, because neither local authorities or counties are particularly meaningful borders for most people, so you get lots of movement between them. When they put the whole of Essex into tier 2 in October I knew a lot of people confused about what they could and couldn't do because they live in Essex but they work, have family, and would normally shop/go for coffee/eat out in Suffolk, for instance.

Waxonwaxoff0 · 26/11/2020 08:59

I think the general consensus is to keep it simple this time by lumping whole counties into one tier rather than different tiers for different boroughs/councils like before.

Hardbackwriter · 26/11/2020 09:00

I think Essex will be tier 2 as a whole, by the way, which won't do much for public anger about the fact that the council inexplicably asked for us to enter it in October.

I don't really understand why media coverage is so obsessed with what pubs and hospitality can do in each tier - for everyone I know it's the 'can you see a friend without having to stand outside in the freezing cold?' that is the meaningful distinction...

MRex · 26/11/2020 09:04

I'd really like to see cases in my area back down at 30/100,000 before restrictions get relaxed too much, I felt very comfortable at that level that it was all under control. It doesn't matter though, because other London Boroughs will keep us in Tier 2 for a while yet, maybe long enough to get there.

EffOrf · 26/11/2020 09:08

IoW, Cornwall and some rural East Anglia maybe for tier 1, expecting tier 2 in my area Northamptonshire and hope surrounding places like MK and Bedfordshire are in same tier which I suspect they will be as it is difficult for exercise, shopping etc if places are in different tiers as you aren’t supposed to travel into different levels to your own