I know people who have died, people over 60 but under 70 and who may have had existing conditions but would have lived for years to come if it hadn't been for Covid.
I agree that it's a balancing act, too many restrictions and economy collapses and suicide rates increase etc but without restrictions this thing will go wild. It's not strictly about Covid either.
If a significant amount of the population get Covid at once then that can collapse the economy and business as, mass amounts of people take sick leave at once.
As a country which is much more population dense than other countries we are at higher rates of transmission, so things could potentially become catastrophic very quickly. Those 99.whatever survival rates will very quickly reduce as there is greater demands for medical care.
These mild symptoms people keep describing at hardly mild. Many of the mild cases are suffering months later. It's mild as in they didn't need hospitalisation but not really mild as in they had a sniffle and just stayed in and watched Netflix all day for 48 hours. Although there are obvious exceptions to that rule too. however people I know who had it were really poorly and in their 30-50s and some even now say they are short of breath and really tired all the time.
But more than anything, unless your heartless enough to assume we just paint something on the door of Covid sufferers and leave them to their chances, is that hospitals will get over run with patients and the risk to staff increases. This all has a huge impact on the other services. If all staff are covering and dealing with Covid than the rest of us suffer even with non Covid issues.
Imagine the impact of A&Es started to have to close, even for short periods, cancer referrals stopped, chemo stopped, all surgeries stopped. You child falls off the sofa and breaks their arm but there is no A&E service through the night so they have to wait until morning in pain. Or has an uncontrolled asthma attack. The NHS could very quickly get overwhelmed by inpatients. The amount of staff absences is really high already due to the self isolation laws, it really could be catastrophic in weeks.
I was referred under the 2 week pathway for a consultation and a scan, the consultation will take 8 weeks and the scan 11 weeks, and that was only after complaining as I had been bleeding for 65 days and was fainting constantly.
The impact of a new disease is wider reaching their then disease itself. Most of us will be fine long term from the disease , but frankly I'd rather not take my chances and I don't want to even have this "mild" illness. I don't want to lose my 65 year old mum with severe health issues. I don't want her to become a statistic of this disease, she will likely survive for many more years yet, but if we decide to just think our ourselves than so many people will die. And the rate will be higher than 99%.
This disease has already killed significantly more than those from flu each year, and it's still in its infancy. I am no expert, I assume the disease is something we need to just learn to live with, but the slower we allow this disease to roll out the better. If we throw out arms up in the air and declare we all just take our chances like some scene from the hungry games than will lose a lot more people than from the disease itself. However if we can find that sweet spot where we limp along but still move forward and keep the disease on the back burner than we stand all stand a greater chance.
We should be celebrating the fact that the survival rate is so high rather than using it as an excuse to test out that statistic, it's so high because it's still very well controlled, NHS workers than pay attention and patients fully, but if the hospitals fill up then it would be impossible.
I hope I am wrong, I hope we don't get back to that state. I think it's been an absolutely horrific year and we all have suffered greatly in different ways. I think these restrictions will have a detrimental affect and I think our government have been shocking but I also believe we need to balance the rate of the transmission against everything else.