Thoughts on UK lockdown - what will happen on 7th may?

[Bumpandus]

Obviously no one can predict anything

But what are your opinions of what will happen and why?

For example:

Lockdown still for a few more weeks?
Or Ease restrictions but how?

Just interested in people’s thoughts.

They'll have to keep lockdown over the bank holiday surely? If they don't a lot of people will go mad. I just want to see my parents, be quite happy with that.
I wonder if shops will start to reopen after bank holiday.

Drawonyoursister I’m worried about that, too. My children are much older but I’d be very concerned about the lasting effects of this

There’s a bank holiday at the end of the month as well

I think it should be up to parents if they send their children back to school particularly if there are vulnerable people at home. I will not send my children back if I'm not confident they can keep a safe distance from others and obviously they can't.
As I'm pregnant I won't send them back until at least September and I'm sure other parents will feel the same.

I think that’s fair enough

Rosebel school either has to start or it doesn't. If it is left up to parents how are the children who are kept at home going to catch up?
Home schooling, in the current format is a very poor substitute for a professional teacher in a class. Whether they go for part time, or certain years or what ever all kids need to be on the same footing.

@blackbear KIds and their families need to be safe. And decisions need to be made based on reality not on some unrealistic ideal that children will socially distance, especially during lunchtime and breaks.

Normally I would agree but I'm afraid I'm not going to put my unborn babies health at risk. My youngest is also asthmatic so is at risk too.
Health before education I'm afraid.

@rosebel I am the same, I am not sending my kids back based on some rubbish idea that children will socially distance.
And I honestly think that anyone who can say that will happen has zero understanding of what children are like in school.Either that or they just don't care that children will infect schools staff and parents.

@Pleasedontdrawonyoursister Either there is no attempt at all at social distancing, or yes children will be frightened and upset by it. I think it is far more frightening for children to be told to stay well away physically from friends and classmates at all times in the same room, than being at home and told they can't visit friends.

pmk

I never said kids don't need to be safe. I just can't see how it would work if some kids in a class go back and some don't based on parents discretion.
Switzerland seem to think under 10s can't pass on the virus which could be a pure blessing for young kids who will never SD.

Why would Switzerland think that?
I would want to see scientific evidence first that children can't pass it on, not the opinion of a politician. There is none.
And I am not sending my children back until it is safe to do so. I know the government will not put the safety of our family first, but it is my job as a mother to do that.
If there was scientific evidence that children do not pass covid 19 onto adults along with a credible scientific explanation of why this is, then fine. But it does not currently exist.

@Cantory - here is your medical evidence from the Royal College of Paediatricians that based on on all the track and trace programmes that there is absolutely no evidence of a child ever passing COVID to an adult

https://apple.news/AnSw90nS4TuayJY0-bO1zEgg_).

The article also has a link to the Don't blow bubbles medical paper explaining the analysis in much more detail.

@1dayatatime That is a short news article, not research. It also does not say what you says it does. It says there is little evidence of asymptomatic children passing it on. I already know that. They are saying few adults have been proven to catch covid 19 through asymptomatic children.
Lack of evidence does not mean it is not the case. But lets say it is true that few infected children who have no symptoms pass it on to adults. But children with symptoms still pass it on to adults.
This research is being used to say children do not pass covid 19 on to adults. That is not what it says.

The short news article contains a link to the full medical paper by the Royal College of Paediatricians:

dontforgetthebubbles.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/04/COVID-data-top-10.pdf

It gives the example of a 9 year old UK boy who caught the virus in Austria and despite being in contact with 170 people on his return to the UK failed to pass it on to any of them.

Your statement that a lack of evidence does mean it is true is like saying there is a lack of evidence that unicorns actually exist (I personally haven't seen any) but that doesn't mean they don't exist.

@1dayatatime Yes a lot is being made of that 1 boy. You do know public health policy is not usually made based on what happens with person? You do know that some people will not be particularly infectious while others are?

And it is about children with no symptoms. Lots of children do still get symptoms but very mild ones.

I agree that one should not base medical policy on what happened with just one person but the medical paper is based on 78 cases of children worldwide. Again I agree that 78 cases is also not a lot but this is due to the fact that the vast majority of children do not actually catch the virus:

"This has also been seen in the Italian town of Vo, which screening 70% of its population and found 0 children

With schools I am worried about kids being subject to abuse due to being at home so much and not just the obvious ones I think there will come a time where it will be safer to go to school than to not catch the virus for many children.

@Pleasedontdrawonyoursister.. I agree..DS(6) is already scared of touching anything that comes into the house. I watch him pull his hand away in fear when DH says don't touch. School would be impossible with the way kids learn and interact. This whole thing is setting up our children for a life-time of fear and OCD!