I have relatives who live in other city outside HuiBei, their province only had cases just passed 1000 and a few death. I believe this figure. As within my relative and friends circle in this province , no one caught it. A couple of my friends are doctors in the hospital in the capital city of the province, they had a quiet time, as nobody went to hospital for any non-emergency issue. There were daily update in the news, there is even an app telling you the cases around you. My relative lives in a big city, they had stayed at home since the lockdown in Wuhan started, they checked the app daily, can see there were cases later appeared in the area close to them, but their residential area never had any case. Outside Hubei, since there are few cases, beside lock down, government were able to check and trace thoroughly. Basically, if you came back from Wuhan, you told the management of your residential area, if you developed temperature, then you got tested. One of my friend , her daughter came back from Wuhan and her uni friend in Wuhan had temperature, then she immediately reported and she got tested. Luckily she didn’t caught it. Once case is confirmed, then all the close contact are traced and checked. From the first case appearing soon after the Wuhan lockdown at 3rd Jan, the cases increase and peaked at around 7th Feb.
The death rate is quite low in the provinces outside Hubei, one reason I think is there was enough medical resource due to low cases. The other reason is the age of the patients. People went to Wuhan and came back to their family during new year holiday, they are much younger population. And because of the strict lockdown and check and trace, it didn’t spread out. Also, the most important reason is most of the cases have been counted, even the mild one.
The other thing is the ability of home delivery service. My relatives didn’t need to go out, as all their shopping are delivered. Delivery man wearing PPE deliver the goods to the gate of the residential area, then my relative wearing glove and mask go out to collect it.
Actually, if people don’t believe Chinese figure, you can look at Singapore figure, the other provinces outside Hubei did similar thing as Singapore did. Their pattern are similar I think.
The figure in Wuhan might not be that accurate, as the situation was intensive there initially, lots of patient flooded into the hospital. There were not enough testing kit, testing result time were too long, I remembered it was 2 day initially. There was a time, doctors suggested to use chest scan picture to decide as well, so some cases without CV must have been included for a while. Some patient died without even admitted to hospital, so their death didn’t count. It turned better once the aid from other provinces coming in. There must be lots of cases with mild symptoms and non symptoms , but nobody knows as they are not tested.