How long do you think this will last for?

[millerjane]

Coronavirus - the more extremem measures in particular

Of course this is pure speculation and should not be taken seriously at all. What is your gut telling you?

Months

Until at least sep

3 months until we start going back to work and can we put this in the correct section please?

We should have a sweepstake.

I'll opt for July 17th.

Months, quite a few, in general. Lockdown? Could be a month, will be longer if people actually listen. Which they aren't (most people are but it only takes a few)

Depends on people. If people will start behaving as needed it will last month. If not we can well be on a lockdown for 2 or 3🤷🏻
I am basing this on reports from other countries.
We are quite behind....

I am talking about lockdown. Not the whole thing

I'm saying June. I hope so.

We will have an enforced 200m limit from our homes except for buying food and travel to work for (actual, not just long list) key workers by Thursday. Then twelve weeks from there hopefully we will be in a position to start rolling back on some controls (in reverse order, I suppose?). Shops and pubs by mid July. I don’t expect the schools to reopen until September.

I don’t know, I can’t let myself think past three months tbh. If we do t get a grip on this now the economy will be dead. Major recession, houses being lost, no money, no work.

This is going to be catastrophic for us as a nation.

I suspect July/August. I don't think the kids will be back at school this academic year.

Lockdown - a month....

It depends entirely on how we deal with it. Hard lockdown (harder than we currently have) with the smallest possible number of people out and about, combined with finding and isolating as many current cases as we can, proper contact tracing, rinse and repeat ... we could crack this in a few weeks. If the virus has nowhere left to go it will die out.

Soft 'lockdown', followed by release for a bit, followed by another soft lockdown, with the intention to just let it run but slow it down a bit, no testing, no contact tracing ... this will run for months and months.

Lockdown I’d say until July

Lockdown until early June

Based on what's happening elsewhere I think we could start easing off in a couple of months. China is, they went into lockdown on 23rd Jan I believe.
The issue is that isolation isn't really the answer unless we isolate the whole world until all cases disappear. Surely if we just start mixing again it'll start spreading again until we all either die or become immune?

Lockdown will be at least 3 months I would think. Maybe 4. That makes it late June/early July. The schools won’t go back until September.

It could go on much longer judging by the number of utter twats who still don’t think the rules apply to them.

China is, they went into lockdown on 23rd Jan I believe.

There’s a post somewhere (possibly on the CV board but not entirely sure) from a person in China, some distance from Wuhan. The conditions they described were much harsher than conditions here and depended much more on technology to keep track of where you’d been and who was there with you, so I’m not looking to China for any sort of comparison. I think we’ll follow the European countries if only we can behave ourselves.

Financially? Years.

The issue is that isolation isn't really the answer unless we isolate the whole world until all cases disappear
There are talks about borders remaining closed in some countries for up to a year

Thanks for your replies - it's easier to prepare mentally with a timeframe in mind

I think if bussinesses close for more than 3 months the country will go bankrupt.
The goverment will not be able to sustain this 80% pay thing for months on end and a lot of small bussinesses will go under anyway.

I dont even think its started yet. I walked to work and back this morning and there was still plenty of people about. I went to asda for milk for my baby and there was loads of people in there not following distancing rules.

A year. Until next April.

there was loads of people in there not following distancing rules.

Face masks and stricter rules will be next in few days. If people can't follow simple instructions like social distancing, it will have to be forced upon them properly.

Lockdown will probably go on until June/July. I don’t think we’ll start to thing about things starting to get back to normal again until at least September. But you never know. Someone could invent the vaccine faster than expected, they might find drugs so that people get lesser symptoms and recover quicker. We just don’t know at this stage.