My worry with the behavioural science team is that their thinking just isn't complex enough- if you close schools completely, people will have grandparents look after kids- yes, but what if you reduced the school population by getting rid of fines, allowed immune suppressed or vulnerable children to stay home, closed only schools with corona for deep cleans for a week then reopened (many schools with a child haven't even had this basic basic measure!), had a skeleton staff, had only Year 11's in secondary and so on. Looked at other countries who have continued free school meals for the poorest- how are they delivering them? Bringing forward Easter by a week.
There are so many different permutations of 'closing the schools' that you could go for, I am not convinced their models can take account of all these parameters- and I also don't understand why some modelling shows good results for school closure, what's wrong with their models.
Similarly- if they close large football stadiums, people will go to pubs- what? In many countries pubs have closed, theatres have closed, museums have closed. People then have to socialize sparsely, spread out and in small groups. This isn't a watch in a stadium/watch in a pub dichotomy.
They seem seduced by the 'people are irrational, we have to do counter-intuitive things' rhetoric, but I disagree that people are stupid. Actually, people's instinct to stay away from potentially sick people is pretty rational, and for those who don't find it so, fines/social disapproval can also work.
I also get the point about fatigue, but honestly, on an island we should have been able to contain this. We haven't even tried. MH even admitted tonight he's just instituted better advice at airports from those returning from Italy today- after two weeks of criticism that people are literally walking in from hot spots straight onto public transport. They are slow and cumbersome and not learning from elsewhere.