For those who (understandably) are clinging to the “but it hasn’t got bad in the hospitals here yet, so it can’t be that widespread” please read the comments by the critical care high consequences infectious diseases doctor on reddit:
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“In a little over a week our (national) critical care occupancy for COVID has increased from 1 to ~20. There are a number of patients now on ECMO.
Perhaps more worryingly, we have positive tests in a number of inpatients, on open wards, across different sites, with no travel history.
A significant number of new diagnoses are patients presenting to the emergency department with hypoxaemia, fever, lymphopaenia, bilateral CXR infiltrates. This wasn't happening a week ago.”
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We’re nowhere near Italy level yet, obviously, but it’s coming. And this thing blows up abruptly, as he also says (and Italian doctors have said):
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“Again, my personal opinion, is there is a problem in the UK amongst decision makers with denial, and concern about the political optics of early population measures that affect the economy. The problem is, with outbreaks like this, you won't see that you are about to be overwhelmed until the day before, and you needed to have taken action at least two weeks before that. Lessons from China, from South Korea, and current lessons from Italy and Iran are not being listened to.”
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He also comments on these Covid ICU numbers being kept from the press “for some reason.”
www.reddit.com/r/Coronavirus/comments/fgfspi/im_a_critical_care_doctor_working_in_a_uk_hcid/