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Conflict in the Middle East

US, Iran and mediators discuss terms for a 45-day ceasefire

837 replies

Twiglets1 · 06/04/2026 10:19

As reported by Axios, the U.S., Iran and a group of regional mediators are discussing the terms for a potential 45-day ceasefire that could lead to a permanent end to the war, according to four U.S., Israeli and regional sources with knowledge of the talks.

Four sources with knowledge of the diplomatic efforts said the negotiations are taking place through Pakistani, Egyptian and Turkish mediators and also through text messages sent between Trump's envoy Steve Witkoff and Iran's Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi.

  • A U.S. official said the Trump administration gave Iran several proposals in recent days, but so far Iranian officials hadn't accepted them.
  • The sources said the mediators are discussing with the parties the terms for two-phased deal; the first phase would a potential 45-day ceasefire during which a permanent end to the war would be negotiated.
  • The ceasefire could be extended if more time were needed for talks, one of the sources said.
  • The second phase would be an agreement on ending the war.
  • The sources said mediators think that fully reopening the Strait of Hormuz and a solution for Iran's highly enriched Uranium — either through its removal from the country or dilution — could only be a result of a final deal.
  • These two issues are Iran's main bargaining chips in the negotiations and the Iranians will not agree to fully give up on them for only 45 days of ceasefire, two of the sources said.
  • The mediators want to see whether Iran could take partial step on both issues in the first phase of the deal. They are also working on steps the Trump administration could take to give Iran guarantees that the ceasefire will not be temporary and that the war will not resume.

www.axios.com/2026/04/06/iran-war-us-tehran-ceasefire-talks

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Islandsofsand · 17/05/2026 20:33

@GentleSheepThe wars in the region have been an entire environmental disaster. This definitely adds to it.

TooBigForMyBoots · 18/05/2026 02:29

GentleSheep · 17/05/2026 19:55

So - now we have an environmental catastrophe added to everything else going on in the area of the SoH. The oil spillage (some of which is on purpose of course, from the IRGC) has reached Kuwait.

https://edition.cnn.com/2026/04/21/climate/iran-war-oil-spills-persian-gulf-satellite-images

This war has been an environmental disaster from the beginning. Wars in regions rich in oil, with oil refineries and pipes are always environmental disasters.😢

RedTagAlan · 18/05/2026 03:00

TopPocketFind · 17/05/2026 18:43

Iran is moving on from charging tolls to pass through the Strait of Hormuz, according to Eurasia Group. They now have Hormuz Safe Insurance Platform, paid in cr*pto, which already has a few countries signed up.

I suggested a while back that this is what they would do. It's a UNCLOS thing. Article 26 :

"Charges which may be levied upon foreign ships
1.
No charge may be levied upon foreign ships by reason only of their passage through the territorial sea.
2.
Charges may be levied upon a foreign ship passing through the territorial sea as payment only for specific services rendered to the ship. These charges shall be levied without discrimination."

(Italics from UNCLOS website)

Para 2. I think this is for likes of pilotage etc, but it can apply to insurance too. Oil spill insurance perhaps ?They could not do this for the whole of the SOH of course, just their half.

GentleSheep · 18/05/2026 09:07

Hormuz Safe Insurance Platform

😅

"You go first!"
"Uhh no, after you!"

TopPocketFind · 19/05/2026 12:38

https://news.sky.com/video/iran-school-bombing-months-on-still-no-answers-from-the-trump-administration-13545753

The US answers on Iran school strike are always the same

In Minab, Iran, more than a hundred women and children were killed after an airstrike hit a school at the beginning of US military action in the country.

TopPocketFind · 19/05/2026 12:48

And a further analysis by Dominic Waghorn

Utter horror and carnage - how Trump's war with Iran went very, very wrong

By Dominic Waghorn, international affairs editor in Minab

Right at the start of America's war with Iran, something went very, very wrong.
We can say that with even more clarity as the first news team from outside Iran to reach where it happened.
You need to walk through the rubble in the wrecked classrooms of the primary school in Minab for the full enormity of the atrocity here to hit home.
You have to talk to the people who raced to the scene that morning after the missiles came in to have a sense of the utter horror and carnage that followed.
They could not tell if they were alive or in a nightmare as they picked up the body parts of children scattered across the car park and playground.
You have to listen to a mother who could only bury part of the torso of her dead nine-year-old wrapped in a shroud because that was all that was left of him, to understand the depth of their grief.

https://news.sky.com/video/sky-news-is-the-first-international-news-team-at-school-hit-by-alleged-us-strike-13545637

TopPocketFind · 19/05/2026 13:00

Meanwhile, Trump has called off strikes on Iran at the request of the Gulf states and Iran has sent a new proposal for ending the war to the US.

RedTagAlan · 20/05/2026 06:47

Meanwhile, after the Trump and Xi meet never produced anything worth yelling about. this weeks Putin and Xi meet appears to have big success scripted in already.

Putin kicks off 25th China visit, hails ties as reaching ‘truly unprecedented level’; non-alliance partnership advances multipolarity, global stability: experts - Global Times

"In a video address delivered before his state visit to China, Putin said Russia-China relations have reached "a truly unprecedented level," Xinhua News Agency reported"

"The special nature of Russia-China relations is reflected in the atmosphere of mutual understanding and trust, a commitment to pursuing win-win and equitable cooperation, conducting respectful dialogue, and supporting each other on matters affecting the core interests of both countries, including protection of sovereignty and state unity, he said."

Reminder that both the PRC and Russia are on Irans side. And looking at todays edition of PRC state media. The Global Times (screen shot att), Trump has been pushed down onto what is effectively page 2. Smaller than a cyberattack warning, and smaller than a vid of Putin taking his jacket off.

This is what I said upthread about taking PRC state media as a whole. Trump has been pushed well down.

US, Iran and mediators discuss terms for a 45-day ceasefire
TopPocketFind · 20/05/2026 15:28

Trump says he is in no hurry with Iran

(Reuters) - The closure of the Strait of Hormuz is the beginning of a "systemic agrifood shock" that could trigger a severe global food price crisis within six to 12 months, the United Nations Food and Agriculture Organization said on Wednesday

https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/hormuz-closure-could-trigger-agrifood-shock-price-crisis-within-year-fao-warns-2026-05-20/

Islandsofsand · 20/05/2026 20:36

TopPocketFind · 20/05/2026 15:28

Trump says he is in no hurry with Iran

(Reuters) - The closure of the Strait of Hormuz is the beginning of a "systemic agrifood shock" that could trigger a severe global food price crisis within six to 12 months, the United Nations Food and Agriculture Organization said on Wednesday

https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/hormuz-closure-could-trigger-agrifood-shock-price-crisis-within-year-fao-warns-2026-05-20/

He clearly said he wasn’t considering the needs of US citizens in his negotiations with Iran- so he’s clearly not going to care on impact on others from other countries.

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