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Conflict in the Middle East

It's not about genocide but about winning

256 replies

Mikkymik · 24/08/2025 12:36

Further to my reply in the (now full) famine thread: www.mumsnet.com/talk/conflict-in-the-middle-east/5396637-a-famine-has-been-declared-in-gaza-city?page=40&reply=146639624

I should point out that in my above post I've accepted - for argument's sake - that Israel is committing war crimes in its mission to win.

What Israel is absolutely not doing nor is it intent on doing, is genocide. Israel's aim is to win, which means disarming of Gaza and the return of the hostages. Once that happens not one more Palestinian has to die. It's not about killing a people (genocide) but about winning at all costs.

And frankly, as I said, the onus is on Gaza to surrender, seeing as they started this futile war.

OP posts:
BoredZelda · 25/08/2025 11:42

Mikkymik · 25/08/2025 11:33

I don't speak for Israel nor am I privy to their internal war plans, but the way I see it is thus:

Israel has been implementing ceasefires since its inception, to the detriment of both sides. All ceasefires have ever done is kick the can further along the line, allowing the enemy to regroup and re-arm, which lead to more bloodshed.

For 18 years Israel tried to ignore Gaza and the attacks against civilians coming out from there, rationalising that it would be worse and more costly to deal with it than to mainly ignore. The events of 7 October put paid to that delusion, and now Israel has changed tactic.

It now understands that this is a war which it must win, and crucially Hamas/Gaza must lose. The only way forward ever, with any war, is for one side to be unequivocally defeated, and from there on rebuilding is possible.

As soon as Hamas/Gaza accepts defeat, lays down its weapons and releases the hostages, the acute stage of the war is over. From then, my assumption is that Israel would have some kind of long term plan of (a) deradicalisation, probably by re-education, (b) rebuilding, but with full oversight, making sure there are no tunnels, and (c) handing over the governance to a neutral Arab state.

This broad plan isn't different to how we dealt with Nazi Germany or fascist Japan post war. First there was a clear winner, then rehabilitation of the enemy.

The quicker Gaza/Hamas realises Israel is here to stay, and the most beneficial and prosperous way forward for them is to focus on their own flourishing rather than the destruction of Israel, the fewer lives will be lost.

This is a war that was foisted upon Israel, but now it has a moral duty - to its own citizens, but in the long term, also to the Gazans - to win. Hamas/Gaza can end their misery immediately by surrendering.

Are we just going to keep ignoring Israel’s occupation of Palestinian territory, which long pre-dated Hamas? Their decades long oppression, leaving Palestine unable to thrive? Netanyahu’s declaration he is against a two state solution? Him not wanting Palestine next door goes way beyond wanting Israel to be secure.

Mikkymik · 25/08/2025 11:47

BoredZelda · 25/08/2025 11:42

Are we just going to keep ignoring Israel’s occupation of Palestinian territory, which long pre-dated Hamas? Their decades long oppression, leaving Palestine unable to thrive? Netanyahu’s declaration he is against a two state solution? Him not wanting Palestine next door goes way beyond wanting Israel to be secure.

When have the Palestinians ever indicated they would be agreeable to a two state solution?

Starting with the rejection of the partition plan, all the way through Camp David and later the Olmert offer, they have consistently rejected any kind of peace plan that leaves the Jews with even an inch of sovereignty.

This is the majority popular opinion to this day, as is evident by both official polls and unofficial polling eg The Ask Project.

OP posts:
PinkBobby · 25/08/2025 11:52

Mikkymik · 25/08/2025 11:47

When have the Palestinians ever indicated they would be agreeable to a two state solution?

Starting with the rejection of the partition plan, all the way through Camp David and later the Olmert offer, they have consistently rejected any kind of peace plan that leaves the Jews with even an inch of sovereignty.

This is the majority popular opinion to this day, as is evident by both official polls and unofficial polling eg The Ask Project.

Over the last couple of decades, interest in the two state option has been fairly matched between Israeli people and Palestinian people. High to begin with and decreasing as time went on.

Twiglets1 · 25/08/2025 11:54

PinkBobby · 25/08/2025 10:41

This is what I mean - the general assembly is clearly biased/heavily politicised because it’s just the member states getting together and exposing their allegiances/hatred for certain other countries/inability to take any public stance.

The UNRWA is made up of specialists in humanitarian aid. They are multinational in their make up but they don’t represent or look to appease all the states. They regularly speak out against different states because their focus is on humanitarian law/aid/rights. You can still question their bias based on their experience and background but they are not the same as the general assembly.

So we agree the UN are biased due to alliances or historic grievances.

Twiglets1 · 25/08/2025 11:55

Mikkymik · 25/08/2025 11:47

When have the Palestinians ever indicated they would be agreeable to a two state solution?

Starting with the rejection of the partition plan, all the way through Camp David and later the Olmert offer, they have consistently rejected any kind of peace plan that leaves the Jews with even an inch of sovereignty.

This is the majority popular opinion to this day, as is evident by both official polls and unofficial polling eg The Ask Project.

They haven’t.

Neither side seems to want it.

PinkBobby · 25/08/2025 12:01

Twiglets1 · 25/08/2025 11:54

So we agree the UN are biased due to alliances or historic grievances.

The general assembly yes. Humanitarian entities working under the U.N. label, not necessarily.

Mikkymik · 25/08/2025 12:04

PinkBobby · 25/08/2025 11:52

Over the last couple of decades, interest in the two state option has been fairly matched between Israeli people and Palestinian people. High to begin with and decreasing as time went on.

@Twiglets1

The Israeli withdrawal from Gaza and handing it over to the Palestinians was a huge step in the direction of complete Palestinian statehood. If only they'd seized the opportunity to build their own autonomous enclave, rather than using it as a base to attack Israel almost from day one.

The difference between Israeli antipathy to the TSS and Palestinian opposition, is Israelis aren't convinced it will bring peace. On the contrary, they rightfully suspect it will just bring Palestinian terrorism closer to home.

The majority of Israelis, and that includes much of the right, were once pro TSS if it would mean long term peace. Over the years they've come to understand that it would just bring the opposite.

Whereas the Palestinian opposition is rooted in their refusal to grant the Jews even an inch of sovereignty in the Holy Land. They don't oppose the TSS out of fear, but out of hatred.

OP posts:
PinkBobby · 25/08/2025 12:22

Mikkymik · 25/08/2025 12:04

@Twiglets1

The Israeli withdrawal from Gaza and handing it over to the Palestinians was a huge step in the direction of complete Palestinian statehood. If only they'd seized the opportunity to build their own autonomous enclave, rather than using it as a base to attack Israel almost from day one.

The difference between Israeli antipathy to the TSS and Palestinian opposition, is Israelis aren't convinced it will bring peace. On the contrary, they rightfully suspect it will just bring Palestinian terrorism closer to home.

The majority of Israelis, and that includes much of the right, were once pro TSS if it would mean long term peace. Over the years they've come to understand that it would just bring the opposite.

Whereas the Palestinian opposition is rooted in their refusal to grant the Jews even an inch of sovereignty in the Holy Land. They don't oppose the TSS out of fear, but out of hatred.

Edited

If you look into why they couldn’t (and still can’t) be autonomous, you’ll very quickly see that that’s on Israel too. Who controlled all border into Gaza effectively controlling its ability to export/import and become autonomous. Who provides permits to Palestinians that they need to do pretty much anything (build schools, medical facilities, water systems) and rejects them over 90% of the time? Who rips down those building if they don’t get a permit? Who allows illegal settlements and violent settler activity?

For anyone who doesn’t know about this stuff, please do some research into what Palestinians were actually able to do for themselves over the past few decades. I don’t mind explaining over and over but if you want to keep saying that allPalestinians were too busy being evil bloodthirsty psychopaths to bother becoming autonomous, at least try and check if your opinion is grounded in any actual fact. Palestinians didn’t have autonomy of their lives/land/movement. They weren’t treated as equal. Perfect example - Palestinian children are tried as adults military court. Settler children (who are illegally on Palestinian land) are tried as children in civil court.

All of this context matters, including when we assess why both sides went off the idea of a two state option and why there is so much hatred. It doesn’t make any act of terrorism acceptable. It doesn’t justify the actions of Hamas but if we ignore all this history, it’ll just repeat itself and, as I’ve stressed before, this means more Palestinian AND more Israeli deaths.

Twiglets1 · 25/08/2025 12:23

Mikkymik · 25/08/2025 12:04

@Twiglets1

The Israeli withdrawal from Gaza and handing it over to the Palestinians was a huge step in the direction of complete Palestinian statehood. If only they'd seized the opportunity to build their own autonomous enclave, rather than using it as a base to attack Israel almost from day one.

The difference between Israeli antipathy to the TSS and Palestinian opposition, is Israelis aren't convinced it will bring peace. On the contrary, they rightfully suspect it will just bring Palestinian terrorism closer to home.

The majority of Israelis, and that includes much of the right, were once pro TSS if it would mean long term peace. Over the years they've come to understand that it would just bring the opposite.

Whereas the Palestinian opposition is rooted in their refusal to grant the Jews even an inch of sovereignty in the Holy Land. They don't oppose the TSS out of fear, but out of hatred.

Edited

Thanks for your explanation

Twiglets1 · 25/08/2025 12:24

As I’ve mentioned before, whereas I used to be in favour of a 2 state solution now I doubt that it is possible, unfortunately.

PinkBobby · 25/08/2025 12:33

Twiglets1 · 25/08/2025 11:55

They haven’t.

Neither side seems to want it.

In 2018, it was 53% and 58% in favour of a two state solution (Palestinians then Israelis)

In 2020, it was 43% and 42% in favour of a two state solution (Palestinians then Israelis)

In 2023, it was down to 33% and 34%.

I know poll data isn’t perfect but I don’t think it is fair to say that there was no interest in a two state solution. It totally ignores what actual Palestinians and Israelis have said over time.

Twiglets1 · 25/08/2025 12:37

PinkBobby · 25/08/2025 12:33

In 2018, it was 53% and 58% in favour of a two state solution (Palestinians then Israelis)

In 2020, it was 43% and 42% in favour of a two state solution (Palestinians then Israelis)

In 2023, it was down to 33% and 34%.

I know poll data isn’t perfect but I don’t think it is fair to say that there was no interest in a two state solution. It totally ignores what actual Palestinians and Israelis have said over time.

More against it than in favour of it even before 7/10/23 and the violent aftermath.

PinkBobby · 25/08/2025 12:38

Twiglets1 · 25/08/2025 12:23

Thanks for your explanation

Please research the treatment of Palestinians/limitations on their lives over the past couple of decades before you take any of this as fact. Telling Palestinians they should‘ve ‘seized the opportunity’ is grossly unfair and erases the actual reality of Israel/Palestinian relations

Mikkymik · 25/08/2025 12:52

@PinkBobby
Who controlled all border into Gaza effectively controlling its ability to export/import and become autonomous. Who provides permits to Palestinians that they need to do pretty much anything (build schools, medical facilities, water systems) and rejects them over 90% of the time? Who rips down those building if they don’t get a permit? Who allows illegal settlements and violent settler activity?

Leaving aside the first part, which was necessary for Israel in order to at least limit the number of weapons brought into Gaza, the rest is simply untrue. And even the first part was pretty relaxed up until the democratic elections when Gazans voted in the death cult named Hamas.

Israel didn't control any part of civilian infrastructure in Gaza post 2005, nor did they enter Gaza to rip down any buildings. And certainly there were no settlers there. Not even dead Jews remained in Gaza post 2005.

OP posts:
Mikkymik · 25/08/2025 12:54

PinkBobby · 25/08/2025 12:38

Please research the treatment of Palestinians/limitations on their lives over the past couple of decades before you take any of this as fact. Telling Palestinians they should‘ve ‘seized the opportunity’ is grossly unfair and erases the actual reality of Israel/Palestinian relations

Ever since 2005, Palestinians in Gaza were ruled solely by the freely elected Gazan government, aka Hamas. Any mistreatment they suffered cannot be blamed on the Jews. Unfortunately.

OP posts:
PinkBobby · 25/08/2025 12:59

Twiglets1 · 25/08/2025 12:37

More against it than in favour of it even before 7/10/23 and the violent aftermath.

I can go back further when that wasn’t the case. But even in recent history, it wasn’t like there was no interest in two states.

PinkBobby · 25/08/2025 13:06

Mikkymik · 25/08/2025 12:52

@PinkBobby
Who controlled all border into Gaza effectively controlling its ability to export/import and become autonomous. Who provides permits to Palestinians that they need to do pretty much anything (build schools, medical facilities, water systems) and rejects them over 90% of the time? Who rips down those building if they don’t get a permit? Who allows illegal settlements and violent settler activity?

Leaving aside the first part, which was necessary for Israel in order to at least limit the number of weapons brought into Gaza, the rest is simply untrue. And even the first part was pretty relaxed up until the democratic elections when Gazans voted in the death cult named Hamas.

Israel didn't control any part of civilian infrastructure in Gaza post 2005, nor did they enter Gaza to rip down any buildings. And certainly there were no settlers there. Not even dead Jews remained in Gaza post 2005.

So the blockade on Gaza was purely weapons based. Everything else was allowed in? Please actually research how the blockade affected things like water systems, hospitals, the free movement of people etc before you conclude that Hamas were the only ones who had an impact on Gaza.

And Palestinians live in Gaza and the West Bank. The Israeli government’s treatment of ALL Palestinians needs to change.

Twiglets1 · 25/08/2025 13:08

PinkBobby · 25/08/2025 12:59

I can go back further when that wasn’t the case. But even in recent history, it wasn’t like there was no interest in two states.

As you know I'm a pragmatist.

It seems clear enough to me that neither side wants a 2 state solution now or will agree to it.

Maybe in the future - medium to long term after the war ends but not short term.

PinkBobby · 25/08/2025 13:10

Mikkymik · 25/08/2025 12:54

Ever since 2005, Palestinians in Gaza were ruled solely by the freely elected Gazan government, aka Hamas. Any mistreatment they suffered cannot be blamed on the Jews. Unfortunately.

Obviously any mistreatment can’t be blamed on Jewish people. What an odd way to phrase it. The Israeli government past and present doesn’t represent or reflect on Jewish people.

PinkBobby · 25/08/2025 13:12

Twiglets1 · 25/08/2025 13:08

As you know I'm a pragmatist.

It seems clear enough to me that neither side wants a 2 state solution now or will agree to it.

Maybe in the future - medium to long term after the war ends but not short term.

Oh that I totally agree with you on that.

I was providing stats as there seemed to be a suggestion that Palestinian never had any interest in it and were all just desperate to destroy Israel. Maybe it was an unfair inference but in terms of interest in two states, Israeli and Palestinian people have been relatively similar in interest.

Zonder · 25/08/2025 14:09

Mikkymik · 25/08/2025 11:33

I don't speak for Israel nor am I privy to their internal war plans, but the way I see it is thus:

Israel has been implementing ceasefires since its inception, to the detriment of both sides. All ceasefires have ever done is kick the can further along the line, allowing the enemy to regroup and re-arm, which lead to more bloodshed.

For 18 years Israel tried to ignore Gaza and the attacks against civilians coming out from there, rationalising that it would be worse and more costly to deal with it than to mainly ignore. The events of 7 October put paid to that delusion, and now Israel has changed tactic.

It now understands that this is a war which it must win, and crucially Hamas/Gaza must lose. The only way forward ever, with any war, is for one side to be unequivocally defeated, and from there on rebuilding is possible.

As soon as Hamas/Gaza accepts defeat, lays down its weapons and releases the hostages, the acute stage of the war is over. From then, my assumption is that Israel would have some kind of long term plan of (a) deradicalisation, probably by re-education, (b) rebuilding, but with full oversight, making sure there are no tunnels, and (c) handing over the governance to a neutral Arab state.

This broad plan isn't different to how we dealt with Nazi Germany or fascist Japan post war. First there was a clear winner, then rehabilitation of the enemy.

The quicker Gaza/Hamas realises Israel is here to stay, and the most beneficial and prosperous way forward for them is to focus on their own flourishing rather than the destruction of Israel, the fewer lives will be lost.

This is a war that was foisted upon Israel, but now it has a moral duty - to its own citizens, but in the long term, also to the Gazans - to win. Hamas/Gaza can end their misery immediately by surrendering.

Well that's an interesting perspective. Explains a lot about the thread.

Mikkymik · 25/08/2025 14:16

PinkBobby · 25/08/2025 13:06

So the blockade on Gaza was purely weapons based. Everything else was allowed in? Please actually research how the blockade affected things like water systems, hospitals, the free movement of people etc before you conclude that Hamas were the only ones who had an impact on Gaza.

And Palestinians live in Gaza and the West Bank. The Israeli government’s treatment of ALL Palestinians needs to change.

The blockade only started after Hamas was elected. And they managed to smuggle in a shitload of weapons, which raises the question why they couldn't smuggle in essentials.

The truth is that for those connected, pre-7 October Gaza was a beautiful seaside resort, replete with luxury villas and fancy malls.

As to the West Bank, what does that have anything to do with Gaza?

OP posts:
PinkBobby · 25/08/2025 14:21

Zonder · 25/08/2025 14:09

Well that's an interesting perspective. Explains a lot about the thread.

@Mikkymik Very interesting. No mention of the role Israel has played over the last few decades… it’s going to have a really tough time deradicalising anyone through education if it attempts to gaslight them into thinking Israel had no impact on them pre 7/10. It’s like them hearing Netenyahu say there is no starvation in Gaza when they’re watching their children die. It is literally pushing angry, heartbroken, desperate people into the hands of extremists.

Again, not condoning what Hamas did. No context makes terrorism acceptable but if we don’t bother looking at why people turn to extremism, there is zero chance of stopping it from happening again.

PinkBobby · 25/08/2025 14:22

Mikkymik · 25/08/2025 14:16

The blockade only started after Hamas was elected. And they managed to smuggle in a shitload of weapons, which raises the question why they couldn't smuggle in essentials.

The truth is that for those connected, pre-7 October Gaza was a beautiful seaside resort, replete with luxury villas and fancy malls.

As to the West Bank, what does that have anything to do with Gaza?

Why on earth should essentials needed to be smuggled in?

PinkBobby · 25/08/2025 14:23

PinkBobby · 25/08/2025 14:22

Why on earth should essentials needed to be smuggled in?

Oh and Palestinians live in Gaza and the West Bank. So all West Bank activity is relevant if we’re discussing peace between the two sides. Or are you hoping for a two tier Palestinian system? The ones in Gaza are going to be reeducated and looked after and the ones in the West Bank dehumanised?