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AIBU?

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Baffling logic of weather warnings and AIBU to want to cancel short break to lakes this weekend?

50 replies

CtrlAltDeleaf · 22/10/2026 08:05

We’re away in the Lake District for the weekend so I’ve been keeping an eye on the weather (using Keswick forecast).
It looks atrocious - torrential rain all day on Friday and Saturday, with wind gusts 50-60 mph on Saturday & Sunday.
What I can’t understand is why there are no weather warnings for the region, while there are warnings in place for areas where the forecast is not so severe (e.g Bristol). I know there are other factors at play that determine where a warning is issued but the absence of a warning in these situations doesn’t help people make the necessary decisions.

I’ll walk in wind and rain but there are limits and it wouldn’t be safe with these winds.

We are supposed to be staying in a static caravan (might think differently if it was a hotel with a spa!). Has anyone successfully cancelled or rebooked in similar circumstances? There is nothing in the T&Cs that gives us the right to but I wonder if it’s worth trying.
I know it’s difficult as the holiday park still has staff to pay etc.. but on the other hand they have had an exceptionally good year.
It’s also not just about actually staying there but travelling by car in awful conditions.

its going to be similar at home and I worry about leaving the house in case of damage while away.

OP posts:
likelysuspect · 22/10/2026 08:08

I would go, be nice to hunker down and be all cosy at pubs etc.

JellyIegs · 22/10/2026 08:09

Is it just a yellow weather warning where you are (home) or has it gone up a level? Yellows never concern me too much, I often think yellow warning days aren’t as bad as other random days in the year! I am unsure of the reasoning behind warnings but as someone living in Scotland I often feel less fuss is made of weather conditions here and in northern England than in the south.

Are there many facilities at your holiday park? Could you maybe work out shorter or more sheltered walking routes and look forward to getting cosy afterwards?

edit for typos

pulpJarvis · 22/10/2026 08:09

You can only ask.

I’m in the north west too and honestly those conditions seem fairly normal for a yellow warning and wouldn’t put me off too much. Sunday looks better rain wise and there’s a definite gap on Friday for travel. I’d take books and games for Saturday or films. It won’t be brilliant but I doubt they’ll let you cancel.

Strawberryteabag · 22/10/2026 08:12

This will completely depend on the holiday park, but i doubt you would get a refund at this late stage.

I went to keswick during a storm last year and was watching the weather all week worried but it turned out to be the best trip to keswick ive ever had. Got a bit wet and had to turn back on Catbells near the summit, but the usually rammed Keswick was like a ghost town the pubs were empty and no fighting for space/seats in pubs.

I think you will still have a great time

Vroomfondleswaistcoat · 22/10/2026 08:17

Weather warnings aren't given for the weather itself but where there is likely to be damage because of the weather. Bristol is a more built up area and is therefore likely to suffer more structural damage to buildings than the Lakes, where fallen trees are one of the biggest hazards.

To be honest, I live in the north, and storms are so common in October that it's almost normal, and you really do take your chances going to the Lake district in autumn.

faithfultoGeorgeMichael · 22/10/2026 08:17

Its the Lake District, it rains all the time. We once went in May and it sleeted for 2 days 😂They always warn places in the South because the bad weather is rarer there and more disruptive. Every farmer in in Cumbria will be out working outside, nothing changes. Weather forecasts are not for holiday makers specifically and this weather is normal in this area.

24Dogcuddler · 22/10/2026 08:30

If everyone cancelled a Lake District break due to wind and rain all of the businesses would go under. The weather is notoriously changeable.
There will still be things you can visit, maybe a shorter walk, pubs, hot chocolate and films in the caravan.
I wouldn’t expect a refund if you cancel.

Winederlust · 22/10/2026 08:31

You have the forecast, you know the likely windspeed and have determined it's not walking weather. Not sure what difference an official weather warning would make?
That forecast seems fairly normal for this time of year.

MurphysColeslaw · 22/10/2026 08:34

That’s Lake District bread and butter weather to be honest.

Doctordoolittle · 22/10/2026 08:40

Some holiday parks where I live in the SW have already announced they are closing and evacuating the park for the weekend. Guests will be fully refunded. I would imagine unless yours do this then you won’t get a refund.

Wheesht2 · 22/10/2026 08:43

That’s the beauty of the Lakes. Normal Autumn weather.

cardiqueen · 22/10/2026 08:44

I might decide not to go, simply because I wouldn't want to be in a static caravan in that weather. If it was a cottage, I wouldn't mind so much. But as PP said, this weather is not unusual for the time of year and you can't expect a refund.

But I agree about the uselessness of weather warnings. I'm on the coast and quite often days with weather warnings are 'better' than days with no warning.

drspouse · 22/10/2026 08:46

We are not far from the Lakes and have fairly normal weather tomorrow, stay in and play board games weather on Sat and windy but showery on Sun.

glassof · 22/10/2026 08:48

I live just south of the lakes, it's standard weather! Big coat on and head to the pub! Even a yellow warning isn't a reason to cancel!

Nktes · 22/10/2026 08:49

No one goes to the Lake Distrct for the weather. I'd go, stick to short low level walks, take a book and make good use of the fireside in the lovely pubs.

byedriver · 22/10/2026 08:52

You booked a caravan holiday in the North of England at the end of October. This is your cost to eat. Don't try and pin it on the he business, ridiculously entitled behaviour.

'On the other hand they have had an exceptionally good year...'

Lol.

Shedmistress · 22/10/2026 09:01

We once booked a week in Scarborough the first week of the summer hols. As soon as we got there we had to go buy warm clothes due to it being freezing, and the castle and beach were shut the whole time we were there due to the wind. We went to Whitby one day and nearly froze to death even in the pub which had the fires blazing, in July.

God it was miserable.

And we still didn't complain to the owners or cancel due to them once having a bonus season.

Nktes · 22/10/2026 09:06

I don't think the Lakes have had a particularly good season? DS lives there and was getting a lot of rain while we sweated.

faithfultoGeorgeMichael · 22/10/2026 09:07

byedriver · 22/10/2026 08:52

You booked a caravan holiday in the North of England at the end of October. This is your cost to eat. Don't try and pin it on the he business, ridiculously entitled behaviour.

'On the other hand they have had an exceptionally good year...'

Lol.

I wondered what that meant? Have you been thru the company accounts OP? 😂

Mulledjuice · 22/10/2026 09:24
  1. forecasts are always pessimistic these days.
  2. how do you know whaf sort of year theyve had??
MiddleAgedDread · 22/10/2026 09:28

50-60mph winds in a static caravan sounds pretty hellish to me!! i'm also wondering why we don't have a weather warning for wind on Sat/Sun, there's a yellow one for rain on Friday but nothing for Sat but the wind forecast is definitely in the category of causing damage.

EmeraldRoulette · 22/10/2026 09:33

Weather warnings don’t mean much, they’ve developed some bizarre matrix behind them

Anyway…. Just look at the weather forecast…. Ask yourself if you want to go or if you want to cancel.

No, you can’t have a refund. It’s October. It’s very predictable weather.

CtrlAltDeleaf · 22/10/2026 09:43

24Dogcuddler · 22/10/2026 08:30

If everyone cancelled a Lake District break due to wind and rain all of the businesses would go under. The weather is notoriously changeable.
There will still be things you can visit, maybe a shorter walk, pubs, hot chocolate and films in the caravan.
I wouldn’t expect a refund if you cancel.

It’s not just wind and rain. I said in the OP, I’m not bothered by weather, but it’s completely different when it’s as extreme as forecast - solid torrential downpours and gusts to 60mph. Even driving in that weather is dodgy never mind walking!
Not really expecting a refund, just changing dates would be fine.

OP posts:
EmeraldRoulette · 22/10/2026 09:46

CtrlAltDeleaf · 22/10/2026 09:43

It’s not just wind and rain. I said in the OP, I’m not bothered by weather, but it’s completely different when it’s as extreme as forecast - solid torrential downpours and gusts to 60mph. Even driving in that weather is dodgy never mind walking!
Not really expecting a refund, just changing dates would be fine.

Have we really hit the point where people book a winter break in a caravan and want to change date or get a refund when the weather is forecast to be like this?!

CtrlAltDeleaf · 22/10/2026 09:46

JellyIegs · 22/10/2026 08:09

Is it just a yellow weather warning where you are (home) or has it gone up a level? Yellows never concern me too much, I often think yellow warning days aren’t as bad as other random days in the year! I am unsure of the reasoning behind warnings but as someone living in Scotland I often feel less fuss is made of weather conditions here and in northern England than in the south.

Are there many facilities at your holiday park? Could you maybe work out shorter or more sheltered walking routes and look forward to getting cosy afterwards?

edit for typos

Edited

No warnings. I live in the north, well accustomed to bad weather. Similar forecast where I live but there is no warning here either.

OP posts: