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AIBU to think Burnham’s words may haunt his premiership?

799 replies

Greyrock79 · 10/09/2026 07:16

To think that Burnham’s words are going to haunt his premiership?

‘…national security can’t come at the expense of social security…’

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nomas · 10/09/2026 10:37

Greyrock79 · 10/09/2026 10:30

Yes, that’s correct re the Greek tax regime.

Mittal, Fredriksen, Platt and others have all left - all billionaires.

Then we can get into the UHNW and HNW etc.

Doesn't sound like Mittal was paying much tax anyway?

Under standard non-dom rules during much of his residency, individuals who lived in the UK for long periods paid a flat annual remittance charge (ranging from £30,000 to £60,000 depending on the length of residency) if they wished to keep foreign earnings offshore, a negligible amount relative to a fortune worth over £15 billion.

A £393m payday... but tycoon Lakshmi Mittal won't be taxed on it here as he's a 'non-dom' | London Evening Standard | The Standard

EasternStandard · 10/09/2026 10:37

RedToothBrush · 10/09/2026 10:35

I think we might all be experts on the bond markets soon.

Every decision Burnham makes is going to come back to this.

It's not been a good week and everything suggests it's going to get worse.

This is pretty much it. That other line he used about not being in hoc to them was tested as soon as he started.

RedToothBrush · 10/09/2026 10:38

I think Burnhams mistake here is suggesting differently and that he has the freedom to do anything for social security. I honestly don't think he's going to have the headroom to do that tbh.

Swiftie1878 · 10/09/2026 10:38

Pluto46 · 10/09/2026 10:35

Re Thatcher's interview - pretty insightful isn't it...shame more people don't reflect on it

It’s very insightful. It shows for the whole world to see what an absolute bitch the woman was and how little she regarded people. Real people.

Greyrock79 · 10/09/2026 10:38

RedToothBrush · 10/09/2026 10:35

We are fucked?!

I see….

With Labour in government, I am inclined to agree.

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Greyrock79 · 10/09/2026 10:40

nomas · 10/09/2026 10:37

Doesn't sound like Mittal was paying much tax anyway?

Under standard non-dom rules during much of his residency, individuals who lived in the UK for long periods paid a flat annual remittance charge (ranging from £30,000 to £60,000 depending on the length of residency) if they wished to keep foreign earnings offshore, a negligible amount relative to a fortune worth over £15 billion.

A £393m payday... but tycoon Lakshmi Mittal won't be taxed on it here as he's a 'non-dom' | London Evening Standard | The Standard

Again, you seek to explain it away.

You do understand that London was a nexus for these people - they employed people, invested, spent.

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Lalgarh · 10/09/2026 10:41

RedToothBrush · 10/09/2026 10:35

I think we might all be experts on the bond markets soon.

Every decision Burnham makes is going to come back to this.

It's not been a good week and everything suggests it's going to get worse.

In the last week there have been at least 2 separate news items on a looming debt crisis and whether a global recession is about to kick off.

Gordon Brown did at least have the heft to try and bring together world leaders to counteract the worst excesses of a financial collapse but that led to QE and austerity. What would happen now.

RedToothBrush · 10/09/2026 10:41

Greyrock79 · 10/09/2026 10:38

I see….

With Labour in government, I am inclined to agree.

I think we are fucked regardless of who is in government in the next few years.

I don't think any party would manage to get out of this mess.

Blaming Burnham is missing the point and failing to understand where we are.

Greyrock79 · 10/09/2026 10:43

RedToothBrush · 10/09/2026 10:41

I think we are fucked regardless of who is in government in the next few years.

I don't think any party would manage to get out of this mess.

Blaming Burnham is missing the point and failing to understand where we are.

Look at the damage Labour have achieved in two years - and they are powerless to stop.

I genuinely predict a financial crisis - perhaps bond market led, or a banking run.

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Ponoka7 · 10/09/2026 10:44

LuckyHazelFox · 10/09/2026 09:21

Awful awful man for saving this country from a takeover. What was he thinking. In fact, if he were alive today, he would wonder why he bothered.

Oh, I thought it was the combination of a willing parliament, good military leadership, the men from the commonwealth who all got behind the war effort, the world wide merchant navy and then the women who kept things going. You're right though, awful, awful man. Chamberlain needed to go, I'll give you that.

MargoLivebetter · 10/09/2026 10:45

@RedToothBrush I am less pessimistic but I do think until we address the fact that all the majority of wealth in the country is tied up in land ownership we will not get our economy back on track. Without the economy generating money, we will always be caught robbing Peter to pay Paul, whilst still increasing our debt.

CoventryCity · 10/09/2026 10:46

Tryagain26 · 10/09/2026 10:20

It sounds like a very reasonable statement.
Everyone has assumed social security means social benefits and jumped on thw band waggon but it's doesn't mean that! It means the security of society.
He is right.

No. 'Social Security' means the the benefits system. I linked a pp to the gvt report on this very thing, earlier on the thread. Read it, maybe?

ukathleticscoach2012 · 10/09/2026 10:46

There was no need to waste money on bombs until Trump failed to stand up to Putin then started an illegal war

We have nuclear weapons that why Ukraine was invaded not us. Increasing the army or adding more ships is not making much difference. Once the white house idiots term is over maybe things will return back to normal.

We need to spend more on NHS not guns

weetumshie · 10/09/2026 10:47

I think only those who are either stupid or pretending to be so will misunderstand what Burnham said. Hard to imagine people who have been made homeless, had benefits cut to starvation levels and seen their crippled nan’s disability payments cut rushing to defend the country. We can have all the weapons in Kemi’s dreams, but with no-one willing to use them they’re a bit pointless. Social security is where the citizens feel valued, have a stake in society and where government doesn’t aim to make people’s lives worse, rather than better.

Pluto46 · 10/09/2026 10:48

RedToothBrush · 10/09/2026 10:32

I think there's a need here to understand how defence strategy has changed in the last two weeks.

The modern methods of warfare have changed with the Ukraine - Russia war.

The US model has been to spend big and have bigger bombs. This is being shown up by Iran as not being as effective as it was in the past with Iraq.

Afghanistan proved that the US couldnt win a war with ground troops due to the loss of soldiers being unacceptable to domestic politics interests.

The big bombs of the past aren't enough either. Iran planned strategically for years for this. They understood that they needed to create small military units that could function independently and we're not centralised.

We are also seeing a shift in strategic targets. Oil is the key here. Iran can survive an oil and price crisis better than the US because the public expectation is so much lower plus their economy was built around sanctions so it's localised and simple. The US economy has massive supply chains and complex logistics.

And drones. Drones are cheap compared to missiles. They are easier to construct. And they cause chaos.

The nuclear deterrent and the threat of missiles doesn't hold the same power. Using a nuke isn't really viable or if it is used it's self defeating.

The point is the fear of US military might is disappearing.

Worse, EU reliance on the support of the US military to protect them is evaporating because it's clear the US are already over stretched and don't have the stockpile to carry on a long war. And we don't have a strategy to protect against drones.

It's dawning that logistics and supply chains are the west's Achilles Heal. We are vulnerable to supply shock and our population has high demands for quality of life. We are highly dependent on technology and energy.

China and Russia will be watching this - they know that NATOs capacity to defend an article 5 violation is limited. Russia has been carrying out sabotage in Germany and the government has done very little - it's targeted airports and power stations. So far unsuccessfully. Politically getting NATO members to actually act is possibly going to be harder than it should be because everyone is so scared to actually act. Poland is recognising this and it's defensive strategy is now to say they will go it alone if they have to. Norway, Finland and Sweden are having a joint conversation on how much they can rely on others - they don't believe they will get the support they should if the moment comes.

The UK and France are talking to each other about defensive strategy in a way I haven't seen. The Macron / Burnham meeting was eye-opening. It's clear they are trying to put together something because they know they can't rely on the US.

Asymmetric warfare is what the British special forces excelled at. We aren't the best at it anymore.

Economically we are exposed. Our equipment is becoming essentially obsolete for warfare in 2026. Why would China need to use bombs when it could squeeze us through technology and economics. That's precisely the point of hybrid warfare.

Politically we are exposed. And militarily our defence partner is over stretched already.

If China wanted to take Taiwan tomorrow, there would be little the US could do effectively.

A lot of people are worried about WWIII. Others are saying it's already started, we just don't realise it yet. I don't know where I stand with this but I think we have a massive problem here and I think European Governments are starting to wake up to this new reality that frankly they are going to have to work their own shit out, without relying on the US and to be wary of even their European partners commitment to them.

In the midst of this you have the UK-Ukraine relationship. This isn't insignificant. It's about trying to hold UK and EU political defensive strategy together. They fight so we don't have to. Russia understands the logic in this too. This may change if Russia thinks that strategic sabotage might draw cracks and force domestic opinion to start to oppose support for Ukraine.

But yeah. Fear of NATO, of the US military and western economic power has disappeared and is now potentially a massive weakness that others can see ways to exploit.

That's why there's a drive to build up defence and recalling vets. Why we are being told to have supplies. Not necessarily because there's a clear threat. But because we aren't as protected as we were and because there needs to be a major overhaul in what our strategy actually is.

If I were China I'd be letting everyone else self implode precisely so I had to do fuck all but wait and then use economics and technology.

Recalling veterans ?? - I'm sure they'll be queuing up to support a Labour Gov after Starmer's antics

MargoLivebetter · 10/09/2026 10:48

@Greyrock79 as a result of the Liz Truss experiment, the country faces a higher premium on selling its debt relative to even similarly indebted peers! Surely even you have to acknowledge the damage she managed in her incredibly brief tenure.

DeftGoldHedgehog · 10/09/2026 10:52

Sounds like a reasonable statement to me. Government have to balance both. Need to defend the country but also have something worth defending.

ShitHoleDweller · 10/09/2026 10:52

nomas · 10/09/2026 10:37

Doesn't sound like Mittal was paying much tax anyway?

Under standard non-dom rules during much of his residency, individuals who lived in the UK for long periods paid a flat annual remittance charge (ranging from £30,000 to £60,000 depending on the length of residency) if they wished to keep foreign earnings offshore, a negligible amount relative to a fortune worth over £15 billion.

A £393m payday... but tycoon Lakshmi Mittal won't be taxed on it here as he's a 'non-dom' | London Evening Standard | The Standard

You happy to step up and pay the minimal amount of tax that he now isnt paying, in his absence?

nomas · 10/09/2026 10:53

Greyrock79 · 10/09/2026 10:43

Look at the damage Labour have achieved in two years - and they are powerless to stop.

I genuinely predict a financial crisis - perhaps bond market led, or a banking run.

What has Labour done that's worse than the Tories?

Have you forgotten Liz Truss' tax cuts effect on bond confidence so easily?

nomas · 10/09/2026 10:54

ShitHoleDweller · 10/09/2026 10:52

You happy to step up and pay the minimal amount of tax that he now isnt paying, in his absence?

Why is it up to me to make up the shortfall? Do you think I told them to leave or something? 😂

sunshinesuki · 10/09/2026 10:55

11AndCounting · 10/09/2026 08:50

I thought the thread was about national security?

I for one am really happy to see dangerous traitors - the type who get funded by the Kremlin, or the owners of cryptocurrency platforms that help Russia evade sanctions - getting exposed for what they are.

Gill and Farage, reunited at last, and our nation will be a lot more secure for it.

"I for one am really happy to see dangerous traitors - the type who get funded by the Kremlin, or the owners of cryptocurrency platforms that help Russia evade sanctions - getting exposed for what they are."

You've been reading too much John le Carre and now you're seeing too many spooks.👀

Greyrock79 · 10/09/2026 10:55

MargoLivebetter · 10/09/2026 10:48

@Greyrock79 as a result of the Liz Truss experiment, the country faces a higher premium on selling its debt relative to even similarly indebted peers! Surely even you have to acknowledge the damage she managed in her incredibly brief tenure.

Can we be serious now, please?

Where were 10-year gilt yields during the Truss budget, and how quickly did they fall?
Where are 10-year gilt yields now, and what was the high during Reeves’s tenure?

Would you like me to tell you?

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ShitHoleDweller · 10/09/2026 10:56

DeftGoldHedgehog · 10/09/2026 10:52

Sounds like a reasonable statement to me. Government have to balance both. Need to defend the country but also have something worth defending.

You realise if you don’t defend the country, then the people who live there are at the mercy of whoever steps into the vacuum? It’s like not bothering to lock the front door because you’ve closed an interior door. We have to keep the invaders out as a priority or a country that is perceived as weak is incredibly vulnerable, particularly now as previously peaceful regimes are looking to collect land.

Greyrock79 · 10/09/2026 10:57

nomas · 10/09/2026 10:53

What has Labour done that's worse than the Tories?

Have you forgotten Liz Truss' tax cuts effect on bond confidence so easily?

See my reply to the PP.

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RedToothBrush · 10/09/2026 10:57

Lalgarh · 10/09/2026 10:41

In the last week there have been at least 2 separate news items on a looming debt crisis and whether a global recession is about to kick off.

Gordon Brown did at least have the heft to try and bring together world leaders to counteract the worst excesses of a financial collapse but that led to QE and austerity. What would happen now.

Quite.

I've been looking at this all week.

The thing is, Trump potentially has incentive to crash the global economy including the dollar. That's what really scares me.

The assumption is he would work in the best interests of the American people. But what if that's not true? What if he is more interested in his own financial interests and power. With the ability to know the inside decisions be can make financial decisions that benefit his empire at the expense of others. An Oligarchs charter if you will.

Putin did similar within Russia and essentially robbed the Russian population.

High unemployment and poverty traps people. Yes riots would happen but that gives the trigger to enact emergency powers too... Messy.

And the power of America isn't lost. It's just gets privatised in Trumps name.

All this noise about Canada and Greenland makes sense if he's looking for mass defaults around the world with US money (private money) being the only way that other economies can bail themselves out of that mess.

The option to tax the super rich or the banks isn't going to be one open to us at that point. Even if a PM wanted to.

Looking at the Iran crisis - Trump has too things here. He wants to destroy the Iranian Republic. He's willing to take down everyone in the process because he doesn't personally lose because disaster capitalism ensures he wins one way or another.

China is acting to insulate itself against an oil supply shock. Take note.

I am struggling to see how there isn't going to be a recession - a big one - with interest rate hikes. And that's not pretty.

It doesn't matter what policy any PM had at this point. We are passengers who aren't in control. That's the issue. We can pretend differently but it won't change much. The 'middle class quality of life' thread which is running may not age well.

It scares me.

I sincerely hoping I'm going to look a prat with this post in twelve months time and my fears never come to pass.

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