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AIBU?

Share your dilemmas and get honest opinions from other Mumsnetters.

Burnham has won. More turmoil?

719 replies

KatiePricesKnickers · Yesterday 05:51

Now Burnham has won, it will trigger a leadership contest, and if he wins, a new chancellor of the exchequer.

Surely this cannot be good for the country, or its finances?

YABU - Burnham is a true leader who will improve the UK for everyone and be a competent and respected leader.

YANBU - FFS, here we go again.

OP posts:
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Endgames · Yesterday 08:25

the simple point is KS, RR and BP rushed in a tonne of policies most people didn’t want and that were hugely unpopular.

Dragonflyy · Yesterday 08:26

BIossomtoes · Yesterday 08:18

It’s not “facts”. Turnout was 20% higher. That alone would explain the result. You’ll be telling me there are fairies at the bottom of your garden next.

It's not a fact the Reform cleaned up in Makerfield in the local elections? Are you sure about that?
The people of Makerfield want a change of prime minister more than they want a Reform MP.

No I don't have fairies in my garden. Do you always suggest that people who you disagree with are suffering a lapse in mental health?

HRTQueen · Yesterday 08:26

I am relieved he has won because reform winning another seat is not what the country needs.

I hope Burnham doesn’t try to rush the headship challenge but his ego is desire to be PM so I think he will likely do this quickly. Starmer has his strong points and at present we need stability and a PM who shows commitment and strength particularly when dealing with world leaders.

i think Burnham will be more popular with voters and is more likely to win the next election, but that doesn’t make him a better PM just possibly a more popular one and he is more likely to make choices to increase his popularity t

ForGreenHiker · Yesterday 08:26

DandelionFarmer · Yesterday 08:14

Why not? Its the vety definition of it. Judging someone by the colour of their skin and their sex.

Because the statement I assume (and don’t want to speak on behalf of the poster) was meant that white males are over represented in positions of high office. Wanted a change from that is not sexist or racist.

it also plays into the far-right notion of their being “anti-white racism” in this country. Which is bollocks. There is racism in this country. It is increasing. And it isn’t against white people

BIossomtoes · Yesterday 08:26

Endgames · Yesterday 08:23

Reform still got 42 percent though - no evidence the shine is coming off, AB’s speech was dead on, it’s much more like voters in that region (I work mostly there) are giving labour one last chance to implement some policies most people think are good ideas.

Reform got 32% of the vote.

june35 · Yesterday 08:26

MulberryBrandy · Yesterday 08:22

There was a real trend towards tactical voting to keep out Reform. Look at Lib Dems, Greens - maybe even Conservative vote?

I doubt it. A win for Reform in Makerfield wouldn’t have given us a Reform government and made Farage PM. They would just have added 1 MP to their relatively small number.

It was a vote to get Starmer out and make AB PM. If you wanted Starmer out, you would need to vote Labour. If you were of the mind that you think Starmer should stay, you would vote for the biggest party that wasn’t Labour.

jobnotsure · Yesterday 08:28

Settlersa · Yesterday 06:31

I am quite fascinated though by how Burnham is morphing into Starmer. They have the same looks and mannerisms

What is this obsession people have about people's mannerisms and looks in politics. It seems if people disagree with someone's politics they feel happy in providing a personal critique of the mannerisms or dress sense or how they eat.

Quite frankly I couldn't give a flying fig as long as they do a decent job and things get better for everyone.

Twiglets1 · Yesterday 08:28

EasternStandard · Yesterday 08:23

Starmer is too disliked. Maybe you’ll have more of a chance with Burnham.

I don't think so.

Starmer wasn't particularly disliked on day 1 but it didn't take any time at all for people to start criticising him for everything wrong in the world and their lives.

The same thing will happen with Burnham and I think the media bears a lot of the responsibility - particularly social media.

People just want someone to blame - and seem so angry these days.

CaesarAugusta · Yesterday 08:28

I hope Burnham has the sense to see that the country's interests require him to work with Starmer. It's really only journos who want a leadership contest so that they have something to write about.

MyFellowScroller · Yesterday 08:28

This will cause noise and drama for a few weeks until Andy is defeated and Keir continues. Rachel and Ed will continue with their agendas.
It will not be good for any of us.

EasternStandard · Yesterday 08:29

Twiglets1 · Yesterday 08:28

I don't think so.

Starmer wasn't particularly disliked on day 1 but it didn't take any time at all for people to start criticising him for everything wrong in the world and their lives.

The same thing will happen with Burnham and I think the media bears a lot of the responsibility - particularly social media.

People just want someone to blame - and seem so angry these days.

You’re right he wasn’t. He got there by policy and behaviour.

And Starmer blaming others is part of it.

EdithBond · Yesterday 08:29

FinchiePink · Yesterday 08:17

I know I've been quite circumspect above but what I do think is that it's very unlikely that Starmer will fall on his sword! He has no good reason to, at present. At least that we know of.

For what it's worth, I agree that no politician - of any colour or stripe - is going to be able to fix the issues we have currently. Unfortunately we're in a period of contraction globally. As a race we've overextended ourselves and over consumed our resources and as a species we've been living the relative high life for a few decades. Now it's coming to an end and people are going to be unhappy and struggle as things revert to normal. Short of a major technological advancement happening imminently (like mastering nuclear fusion at scale which means very cheap clean energy for all) then we are all going to have to get used to our quality of life getting worse. There is no politician in the world who can fix that.

But isn’t the problem that not everyone is struggling (to pay rent, pay for heating or put food on the table)? We’re not all in it together. Some people are doing very well indeed.

There’s growing wealth inequality, including big regional disparities. And the UK is far worse than many other countries in terms of income inequality and compared to previous decades.

Shoola · Yesterday 08:30

MrsBennetsPoorNervesAreBack · Yesterday 07:13

What makes you think that people who believe in higher taxes aren't already higher earners?

If you are unable to even imagine that some people might vote against their own self interest because they want a fairer society, then doesn't that make you the economically selfish one?

It isn't really about whether you are wealthy enough to selflessly believe in higher taxes or not. There is generally a tipping point. We don't live in isolation and London is one of the most international cities in the world which means that it has very mobile community of higher rate tax payers. If you look at our higher rate tax, it is fairly similar to other equivalent European countries. To raise more tax you have to bring more people into paying more tax. Then you have problems with it not paying to work and low productivity. People stick to part time work, don't take promotions and spend a bit less. This is already happening a lot in my work. When people spend less there is less VAT coming in and also businesses close. Businesses closing means less jobs, less spending less taxes and more demand on benefits.

Obviously, that is a very simple summary but the vast majority of people have finely balanced finances and small changes can have a big impact on them.

RosieHosie · Yesterday 08:30

PistachioTiramisu · Yesterday 08:16

Another upcoming lurch to the Left then? Not good news.

On the other hand, congratulations to the Conservatives for taking Aberdeen South from the SNP - onwards and upwards!

I was surprised to read this. I thought the tories were toast in Scotland

ClarkeandNewman · Yesterday 08:30

june35 · Yesterday 07:55

If Reform had won nothing would have changed, winning Makerfield wouldn’t have put them in government or made Farage prime minister. They would just have had one more MP.

What it would have done is stopped Burnham from winning and (probably) launching a bid to become prime minister.

This was not a Reform v Labour vote, it was a ‘Burnham to be prime minister or not vote’.

So if Reform had won, we wouldn’t now have the possibility of Burnham being PM.

Edited

Flawed analysis. This by-election was a test to see if Reform could win the next general election. Had they taken the Makerfield seat it would have been game over for Labour. This is not about one seat for one party, it's a significant marker in the fight against the far right.

Twiglets1 · Yesterday 08:30

EasternStandard · Yesterday 08:29

You’re right he wasn’t. He got there by policy and behaviour.

And Starmer blaming others is part of it.

Edited

Have to agree to disagree there.

Endgames · Yesterday 08:31

BBC has reform 35 and restore 7 percent - had lumped them together. The point stands - Burnham appears to get it…

EasternStandard · Yesterday 08:31

Twiglets1 · Yesterday 08:30

Have to agree to disagree there.

Ok but ignoring Starmer’s very bad ratings won’t help Labour.

TemperanceWest · Yesterday 08:33

Even the Telegraph is admitting that Burnham did well. "An astonishing achievement." Poor Badenoch is reduced to "small beer".

Burnham has won. More turmoil?
Gasp0deTheW0nderD0g · Yesterday 08:34

dottiehens · Yesterday 08:06

I can’t believe people get away with this type of comments.

What is there to get away with? 50% of the UK population is female. Why hasn't the Labour Party managed to produce a brilliant female politician who could lead their party and win an election for them? The Tories have had four women as leaders!

And what's wrong with pointing out that the Labour Party has also not yet managed to elect a leader who wouldn't tick the White British box on an ethnic monitoring form? Again, all the others have.

It's all of a piece for me with their supposed commitment to women's rights, which is so superficial that they've steadfastly ignored the problems with identity politics and gender ideology in particular. Tickbox exercise at best.

june35 · Yesterday 08:35

ClarkeandNewman · Yesterday 08:30

Flawed analysis. This by-election was a test to see if Reform could win the next general election. Had they taken the Makerfield seat it would have been game over for Labour. This is not about one seat for one party, it's a significant marker in the fight against the far right.

I respectfully disagree. It was a vote on whether you want Starmer out or not.

Want Starmer out? Vote Labour

Think Starmer should stay as you don’t think we need yet another PM and it will (probably) just be more of the same? Vote for the biggest opposition (in this case, Reform).

Clearly more people wanted Starmer out than in. Possibly many people who would vote Reform (or for other parties) in a GE voted Labour in this just to rid of Starmer.

BIossomtoes · Yesterday 08:37

june35 · Yesterday 08:35

I respectfully disagree. It was a vote on whether you want Starmer out or not.

Want Starmer out? Vote Labour

Think Starmer should stay as you don’t think we need yet another PM and it will (probably) just be more of the same? Vote for the biggest opposition (in this case, Reform).

Clearly more people wanted Starmer out than in. Possibly many people who would vote Reform (or for other parties) in a GE voted Labour in this just to rid of Starmer.

Farage said this by-election was existential. @ClarkeandNewman’s analysis is correct.

luckylavender · Yesterday 08:37

Settlersa · Yesterday 06:05

At least now we won’t get PM Ange, Ed or salesman Streeting and Keir will be gone. Don’t like Burnham but best of bad bunch

He's good friends with Ange and Milliband

MulberryBrandy · Yesterday 08:39

june35 · Yesterday 08:35

I respectfully disagree. It was a vote on whether you want Starmer out or not.

Want Starmer out? Vote Labour

Think Starmer should stay as you don’t think we need yet another PM and it will (probably) just be more of the same? Vote for the biggest opposition (in this case, Reform).

Clearly more people wanted Starmer out than in. Possibly many people who would vote Reform (or for other parties) in a GE voted Labour in this just to rid of Starmer.

There are vast numbers of us who could never vote Reform or Restore. We may have wanted to do something tactical but some things are really off limits!

Twiglets1 · Yesterday 08:40

EasternStandard · Yesterday 08:31

Ok but ignoring Starmer’s very bad ratings won’t help Labour.

I don't ignore his bad ratings and don't love him myself but to me it's a truth that the media came for him from day 1 and the same thing will happen to Burnham or whoever replaces Starmer (assuming he loses a leadership challenge).

And people use social media to spread hate towards public figures. No one is immune because no politician can please everyone.