Not sure why most of your post discussing school numbers is relevant to my post
OPs school closed
Many schools have closed because of the increase in fees
I tagged your post about how it affects children as you asked for info on that
however
as a completely separate point
Most New Indi schools that have opened are reported to be small schools dealing with ND children. This is down to a growing demand for such specialist schools.
These are not your standard Indi schools and do not therefore reflect a growth in that area.
Then there’s this from the ISC ( 5th October 2025 ) indicating the drop in numbers
‘ Julie Robinson, CEO of the Independent Schools Council (ISC), has voiced concerns over the decline in pupil numbers at independent schools following the introduction of the VAT on fees policy.
Speaking to The Sunday Times, Ms Robinson highlighted findings from a survey of 1,150 schools conducted by the Independent Schools Council (ISC), which revealed a decline of 16,696 students in the year to last month. This marks a 3.6 per cent drop, the largest since records began in 1982. The survey reported a 4.5 per cent decrease at girls’ schools, 3.6 per cent at co-educational schools, and 2.7 per cent at boys’ schools.’
This increased and sudden drop is at a time of higher fees due to the VAT … This is not just a coincidence.
I agree. Fewer pupils are joining and there was an article on This a while ago ( can’t remember where, it could also have been the ISC ? )
but again, with increased fees over and above the usual it is not surprising less people can afford the few years they were planning on in the past.
It’s also worth noting, and this is just from my friendship group, that parents have removed their kids prior to senior school and some after GCSEs but prior to Alevels because of the cost and less and/or reduced bursaries and exhibitions.
A few Others have removed them as they believe they will not be as adversely affected re Uni if their kids qualifications come from state. ( their words not mine ) but they were doing that long before the VAT was added, so nothing new there.
The main reason now is the additional cost overall and / or reduced financial support and loss of bursaries and that substantiates the ISC findings aswell
However
as i said
I tagged you re the affect on kids moving as you asked about it
Not the numbers issue