Applicants not appointees? If it was 63% of appointees and there are unemployed UKGs, I agree that is a problem.
A lot of FY2s did not apply for specialty training. I know a lot who are planning a year out, to go travelling, to locum, to work overseas. Similarly quite a few IMT3s didn’t apply for training either. People who want to do dermatology, cardiology etc and want to improve their CV, or who want to spend a year as a teaching fellow, or who want a year out. They do plan to return to training eventually, just not this year.
If there are large numbers who applied for training and were unsuccessful then yes I do agree that is a problem. I am more than willing to believe that is the case - I just haven’t seen any data to confirm that yet.
I think the large numbers taking a year out, working LTFT for lifestyle reasons (not caring commitments or health), not sitting exams etc is a different but actually greater problem tbh - we have some very unhappy and disaffected resident doctors. A lot who fundamentally don’t enjoy the job of being a doctor. I don’t know what you do about that, because the things they complain about are exactly the same when you are a consultant, and the same in every country I have worked in. The hours, dealing with demanding patients and relatives, dealing with clinical uncertainty, keeping up with clinic admin, meeting revalidation requirements, the politics of working in an MDT. None of those things are going to change as they progress, in fact they will probably get worse.