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AIBU?

Share your dilemmas and get honest opinions from other Mumsnetters.

To be starting to worry that Reform will win next GE?

952 replies

TortoiseMantle · 29/08/2025 16:10

The polls have shown a consistent lead. Is there any realistic chance of Reform actually winning the next election?

I vote Labour, but it’s hard to see how they’ve managed to throw away such a lead in just a year, and it’s hard to see how their polling improves. The Tories maybe have more opportunity for improving, but we’re going to see a Reform government, aren’t we? Nigel Farage is going to be our next PM.

OP posts:
Thread gallery
27
Elseaknows · 30/08/2025 06:58

I volunteer for a charity that now has been crippled by the government's national insurance hike. They can luckily keep the doors open but job cuts are coming. They need to streamline their services.

I don't know what will happen until the next general election.

Calling Reform voters thick won't get you anywhere though. The general community here consider them the answer (not my organisation though). The "operation restoring justice" Bill is a very scary eye opening insight into one of their ideas. As a Christian woman I can't vote in favour of them. Some of the men I know currently protesting about the immigrant hotel wanting to keep our women and children safe (in my local town) could light up a Claires Law check like a christmas tree. Its not right.

Mumofnarnia · 30/08/2025 07:01

LancashireButterPie · 30/08/2025 01:36

Well I say this as a lifelong Labour voter but I'm appalled at a lot of what is happening right now.

The closing down of any sort of protest is a complete affront to democracy. Really really sickening.

The stupid policy of relaxing building regs and building all over farmland, when as a country we are already not producing enough food to feed ourselves. Let alone the effects on wildlife.

Inheritance tax destroying farms, again where are we going to produce food?

Just waiting for the great pensions raid.

NHS is in chaos, I work as a clinician, there are only 4 clinicians in my service, we should have 8. To get to my office I have to walk along a corridor of around 40 admin staff and managers. Everyone's a bloody manager, monitoring performance and quality but no one is doing the actual work!

I couldn't make this up. I had such high hopes for Labour but they've sold out. I will never vote for them again. The conservatives feel more left wing right now.

Why did you have such high hopes for a party with a leader who has an emotionless blank facial expression, zero personality, very wooden, is unable to answer a question and completely dodges questions by answering them with something completely unrelated to what he was asked and appears to be only interested in how he appears on the world stage to other world leaders?
I’m not sure what people actually saw in him!

sillyrubberduck · 30/08/2025 07:01

Really worried that they will. I do hope they will not though. Scary times .

itsgettingweird · 30/08/2025 07:08

Rosscameasdoody · 29/08/2025 21:00

This. And this is the reason that disability benefits are universal. It’s really noticeable that on threads like these it’s always sickness and disability benefits that are proposed for the chop. Never child benefit or the vast amounts paid for children via UC.

True.

Usually people are being encouraged to pay more into pensions to keep childcare funding.

ThatCyanCat · 30/08/2025 07:39

Mumofnarnia · 30/08/2025 07:01

Why did you have such high hopes for a party with a leader who has an emotionless blank facial expression, zero personality, very wooden, is unable to answer a question and completely dodges questions by answering them with something completely unrelated to what he was asked and appears to be only interested in how he appears on the world stage to other world leaders?
I’m not sure what people actually saw in him!

Edited

They didn't see much in him. Ironically, he is in power because of Reform, who split the Tory vote.

Shessweetbutapsycho · 30/08/2025 07:41

yellowspanner · 29/08/2025 16:16

I hope Reform do win. We need them and I'll be voting for them. Labour have already proved they're incompetent . I can't believe anybody would vote for them.

Out of interest which of their key policies do you support?

Mumofnarnia · 30/08/2025 07:44

ThatCyanCat · 30/08/2025 07:39

They didn't see much in him. Ironically, he is in power because of Reform, who split the Tory vote.

The particular poster I quoted said they are a life long Labour voter and had high hopes for Labour so people obviously saw something in Labour and were roped in by Keir Starmer’s lies, despite his robotic like (non) personality and his blank facial expression. He was very manipulative and said literally anything to get the public vote. I remember threads on here just before the election where people were praising him and the Labour Party so whilst reform may have split some of the vote, people still fell for Labour’s lies.

sandwichlover93 · 30/08/2025 07:47

yellowspanner · 29/08/2025 16:16

I hope Reform do win. We need them and I'll be voting for them. Labour have already proved they're incompetent . I can't believe anybody would vote for them.

Which Reform policies interest you? What impresses you about Nigel Farage?

whatcanthematterbe81 · 30/08/2025 07:49

Literally none of the parties are capable of running the country, it’s embarrassing really

NewsdeskJC · 30/08/2025 07:51

Genuinely I could see it.
I'm a labour voter and know that Labour won because people were heartily sick of the Tories.
At the next election if people are heartily sick of Labour and crucially don't normally bother to vote, they may well come out to vote for the gimp.
What we really need is a convincing centre party. This country is not naturally leaning to the left.

TranceNation · 30/08/2025 07:56

Reform's economic policies ring similar Lizz Truss alarm bells for me. I haven't voted for anyone in the last two elections because I simply think they are all the same slippery self serving politicians under a different colour. They all tend to promise everything in their manifesto but quickly change their tone once in power, this time under the guise of blaming the previous government. Reform's economic policies are just too laced with risk for my liking so I will probably remain politically homeless.

TeenagersAngst · 30/08/2025 07:58

LarkspurLane · 29/08/2025 17:32

Labour are an established party with a large number of experienced MPs, whatever you think of them. If they are not happy with Starmer, there is a process to remove him and pick someone else.

There is no such process in Reform. It's Farage and no one else.

Who are all these experienced Labour MPs? More than half the current number were voted in last year. It’s a huge shift in the demographics of the PLP.

And Labour politicians tend to be career public servants which is not a good thing. We need parties to have a true mix of knowledge and experience.

Alexandra2001 · 30/08/2025 07:59

NewsdeskJC · 30/08/2025 07:51

Genuinely I could see it.
I'm a labour voter and know that Labour won because people were heartily sick of the Tories.
At the next election if people are heartily sick of Labour and crucially don't normally bother to vote, they may well come out to vote for the gimp.
What we really need is a convincing centre party. This country is not naturally leaning to the left.

Edited

Yet historically, even when the Cons win, more people vote for left leaning parties.

We are currently heading for a minority Govt, who ever wins the next GE is unlikely to get more than 30% of the vote, on a, predicted, very low turnout, leaving the vast majority very unhappy.

LancashireButterPie · 30/08/2025 08:06

Mumofnarnia · 30/08/2025 07:01

Why did you have such high hopes for a party with a leader who has an emotionless blank facial expression, zero personality, very wooden, is unable to answer a question and completely dodges questions by answering them with something completely unrelated to what he was asked and appears to be only interested in how he appears on the world stage to other world leaders?
I’m not sure what people actually saw in him!

Edited

I do not vote for people on personality, the sound of their voice or what they look like.
I voted for what I believed would be a safe, calm and reasoned pair of hands. Someone who would consider risks before just jumping straight in (Liz Truss!!).
"Sir" Kier Starmer seemed experienced in law and as a human rights lawyer I thought he would have compassion for the very people Labour have always claimed to represent.
He seemed the very opposite of Boris.

That's why I voted for him.

Mumofnarnia · 30/08/2025 08:14

LancashireButterPie · 30/08/2025 08:06

I do not vote for people on personality, the sound of their voice or what they look like.
I voted for what I believed would be a safe, calm and reasoned pair of hands. Someone who would consider risks before just jumping straight in (Liz Truss!!).
"Sir" Kier Starmer seemed experienced in law and as a human rights lawyer I thought he would have compassion for the very people Labour have always claimed to represent.
He seemed the very opposite of Boris.

That's why I voted for him.

And there lies a problem, what you believe in and what he told you were plainly obvious lies looking from the outside in. He was supposed to be the one to deliver what you believed in but he didn’t. I would never take anyone seriously who appears to be completely wooden, nothing there, emotionless, robotic, no personality and cannot answer a simple question and instead dodges questions. It was obvious he was never going to live up to what you believe in. Unfortunately personally does play a huge part in it. If someone has no real personality or interest in engaging with the public or answering questions properly then it says a lot about who they are.

CaveMum · 30/08/2025 08:17

TranceNation · 30/08/2025 07:56

Reform's economic policies ring similar Lizz Truss alarm bells for me. I haven't voted for anyone in the last two elections because I simply think they are all the same slippery self serving politicians under a different colour. They all tend to promise everything in their manifesto but quickly change their tone once in power, this time under the guise of blaming the previous government. Reform's economic policies are just too laced with risk for my liking so I will probably remain politically homeless.

Genuine question and not at all trying to snarky, but do you not think that failure to vote results in exactly the situation we are in now? 30-40% of people not bothering to vote in a GE is enough to more than swing an election from one party to another.

I do think we need compulsory voting now. There’s no excuse for not knowing about an election taking place, and if you really don’t think you can vote for someone then spoil your ballot but at least turn up and participate in democracy!

Julen7 · 30/08/2025 08:20

LancashireButterPie · 30/08/2025 08:06

I do not vote for people on personality, the sound of their voice or what they look like.
I voted for what I believed would be a safe, calm and reasoned pair of hands. Someone who would consider risks before just jumping straight in (Liz Truss!!).
"Sir" Kier Starmer seemed experienced in law and as a human rights lawyer I thought he would have compassion for the very people Labour have always claimed to represent.
He seemed the very opposite of Boris.

That's why I voted for him.

You must feel very disappointed then.

LancashireButterPie · 30/08/2025 08:23

Julen7 · 30/08/2025 08:20

You must feel very disappointed then.

Disappointed would be a huge understatement.
I am utterly appalled.

TeenagersAngst · 30/08/2025 08:26

Onthebusses · 29/08/2025 18:02

They just want to sell us to the US. It was a good run guys. See you on the other side.

By the time our election rolls round, Donald Trump will no longer be president unless he changes the US constitution and manages to win a third term well into his 80s.

And what does ‘sell us to the US’ even mean? All governments have effectively done that over previous decades by allowing so much American investment into our economy. UK born companies often end up selling to Americans because they just can’t raise enough capital over here. And our governments sit back and let it happen.

Hiddendisability12 · 30/08/2025 08:28

Hitler got into power in a depressed economy by a country that was disenfranchised and poor. His technique is as old as time; turn people's mind away from the real source of the problems: government and those in power then reset your target to pray on people's vulnerability by weaponising one group of humans against another to make people feel powerful. I had this discussion with a reform voting family member and he shut me down by telling me I was asleep and need to wake up. Such an intelligent well thought out counter argument!
I do NOT like the current Labour set up but skipping blindly into a fucking reform government is repeating a history so closely in a way that it has me frightened.

2dogsandabudgie · 30/08/2025 08:28

NewsdeskJC · 30/08/2025 07:51

Genuinely I could see it.
I'm a labour voter and know that Labour won because people were heartily sick of the Tories.
At the next election if people are heartily sick of Labour and crucially don't normally bother to vote, they may well come out to vote for the gimp.
What we really need is a convincing centre party. This country is not naturally leaning to the left.

Edited

You do realise that the word "gimp" is a derogatory term used for a disabled person don't you?

cramptramp · 30/08/2025 08:32

I felt the same about Labour. There is nothing you can do.

2dogsandabudgie · 30/08/2025 08:33

Shessweetbutapsycho · 30/08/2025 07:41

Out of interest which of their key policies do you support?

It's a bit premature to be talking about policies when a GE won't likely be for another 4 years. No doubt that will be when all parties reveal what will be in their manifesto.

TeenagersAngst · 30/08/2025 08:34

LandRites · 29/08/2025 18:25

The issue for me is why Labour haven't done so much better to bring people they need to represent along with them. They had long enough in opposition to learn the lessons of Corbyn's unpopularity and the many mistakes made by the Conservatives failed leaders.

They should have been alerted by the Brexit vote and the popular response to the 'trans' and similar narrow obsessions that they were losing their connections with ordinary workers. People had clearly had enough of the Tories and I bet most people couldn't tell you what the LibGreenEtcs stood for. They gave Labour a very decent majority and mandate, even in Scotland they came back from the dead.

But almost immediately, Labour began losing people's trust with some tone-deaf flagship policies (winter fuel, farmers) and when they made belated noises about illegal immigration and rowed back on some of the metropolitan culture wars they looked like disapproving schoolteachers reluctantly allowing the kids to play conkers at break. Starmer gives the impression of being a leader who will change his direction to appease threats from inside his own party or from what his researchers tell him various bits of the electorate are thinking.

I live in what was once a northern Labour heartland, a large, enterprising market town near a large city which was red practically from the beginning of Labour. After the Brexit and Boris years, my town mostly voted - not overwhelmingly, but decisively - for Labour again at the last election. Locals in person and on social media now constantly criticise Labour's economic and social policies and Labour is no nearer to a rapport with these constituents than they were in their wilderness years. Labour no longer represent the working people of my town. I would add that the town is not uniformly white, and the longstanding south Asian community don't like Labour any better than anyone else.

Labour politicians come from too narrow a political, social and regional class. They don't seem to want the voters they actually have, maybe they want fantasy voters conjoured up from the pages of the Guardian. I think the broad political instinct where I live is socially conservative, old moderate Labour, old Liberal party. But those parties no longer exist.

People round here respect the idea of their country - not uncritically - hard work and community. They are small business owners, government office workers, farmers, hairdressers, publicans, nurses, tradies, drivers, pharmacists, teachers, IT bods, forces families, market-stall holders, cleaners, retirees in bungalows, dog-walkers and multigenerational restauranteurs. They're recyclers who look after the environment, grateful for state benefits where needed, for local parks, the local hospital and council carers. Previous generations of their families knew harder times. They are not fools or uneducated, regardless of whether they went to yooni.

Now we've got Reform councillors and St. George crosses painted on the roundabouts. Will they give Farage a go?What astonishes me is how quickly Labour lost them.

There’s been much debate on this very point on political podcasts and the conclusion is that Labour thought just not being the Tories was going to be enough to turn things around.

They fell for the media rhetoric that the Tory in-fighting was the cause of the country’s decline.

Being in opposition is fairly easy and they seemed to think being in government wouldn’t be that much harder. They were woefully under prepared.

ThatWaryOchreQuoter · 30/08/2025 08:35

Hiddendisability12 · 30/08/2025 08:28

Hitler got into power in a depressed economy by a country that was disenfranchised and poor. His technique is as old as time; turn people's mind away from the real source of the problems: government and those in power then reset your target to pray on people's vulnerability by weaponising one group of humans against another to make people feel powerful. I had this discussion with a reform voting family member and he shut me down by telling me I was asleep and need to wake up. Such an intelligent well thought out counter argument!
I do NOT like the current Labour set up but skipping blindly into a fucking reform government is repeating a history so closely in a way that it has me frightened.

weaponising one group of humans against another to make people feel powerful

I think you’re talking about Reform with this, but this could equally apply to Labour and their rhetoric towards children at non state schools and their parents.