To be starting to worry that Reform will win next GE?

[TortoiseMantle]

The polls have shown a consistent lead. Is there any realistic chance of Reform actually winning the next election?

I vote Labour, but it’s hard to see how they’ve managed to throw away such a lead in just a year, and it’s hard to see how their polling improves. The Tories maybe have more opportunity for improving, but we’re going to see a Reform government, aren’t we? Nigel Farage is going to be our next PM.

Well, Labour is completely fucked, isn't it? They have gone from a landslide victory with 34% of the vote share to 18-20% voting intention, Starmer's popularity is on its arse, (is it a popularity rating of -54 now?) they can't even get backbenchers to rally behind their policies, they have failed to smash the gangs, a third of their members are so disillusioned that are waiting to switch to Corbyn's party and this is all before they stick their hand in your pocket in the Autumn to pay for Reeves' attack on business.

So at this point I think the only way that reform won't win is is they self destruct.

No they weren’t. There was no concerted tactical voting before 2024.

https://www.britannica.com/topic/Conservative-Party-political-party-United-Kingdom

Hello @Upstartled. Tired of your new name already?

I mean 🤷🏼‍♀️I use them interchangeably, it's not like I'm masquerading with two sets of opinions.

Nice you are keeping up though @Blossomtoes, that's not stalkery at all.

It's jam tomorrow from a bunch of idiots who don't know how to turn on a cooker. If they win we really are in trouble.

Yes, there was. Perhaps you’re not old enough to remember them, but there absolutely was.

https://tacticalvote.co.uk/tactical2017/

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/ng-interactive/2015/may/05/election-2015-where-should-you-vote-tactically

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2019/dec/08/tactical-voting-guide-2019-keep-tories-out-remain-voter-general-election

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2010/may/02/tactical-vote-election-2010

Not sure why you’ve sent that link. The Conservative Party was created in the 1800s, and their ancestors, the Tories, in the 1600s.

Maybe OP, but it is a long time until the election.

Certainly Labour shows no signs of understanding why they are losing voters.

Well I say this as a lifelong Labour voter but I'm appalled at a lot of what is happening right now.

The closing down of any sort of protest is a complete affront to democracy. Really really sickening.

The stupid policy of relaxing building regs and building all over farmland, when as a country we are already not producing enough food to feed ourselves. Let alone the effects on wildlife.

Inheritance tax destroying farms, again where are we going to produce food?

Just waiting for the great pensions raid.

NHS is in chaos, I work as a clinician, there are only 4 clinicians in my service, we should have 8. To get to my office I have to walk along a corridor of around 40 admin staff and managers. Everyone's a bloody manager, monitoring performance and quality but no one is doing the actual work!

I couldn't make this up. I had such high hopes for Labour but they've sold out. I will never vote for them again. The conservatives feel more left wing right now.

100% with you here
How people can support Liebour is beyond me. Seriously, what positive thing has come from this Government? Let Lucy Connolly do the talking and the rest of you may get it!!!!

Really? A political party so far ahead in the polls will have no problem attracting candidates, probably largely tory defectors.
I wonder if Julia HB would stand for them too.

What am I supposed to 'get' from Lucy Connolly, an incredibly stupid racist?

Which neutral countries? How would that work? Do you not think these simplistic ideas have been discussed before? It’s ridiculous to think immigration can be “solved” with populist reductionism.

Labour are the disease, and Reform are the cure.

Let’s just hope that the patient is still alive.

Reform currently poling 34 percent, so yes they will likely be the next government.

The rhetoric around immigrants and the coverage Farage gets is worying - he is being treated as if Reform are a serious party and he will be the next PM. It feels like a self fufilling prophecy.

At the moment around here it does look like the turkeys will be voting for Christmas.

That was last July.

This government is already finished. I've never seen a new government be so unpopular so quickly as this government. I don't think Reform will get enough seats to form a government though so my money is on a coalition government.

All the local turkeys moaning that Labour are cutting benefits will get a nasty shock if Farage gets in.

Are you serious comparing disabled people to Turkeys?

God, I hope they do. Labour have and continue to destroy our country and its people. It’s horrific what they are doing.

No detailed information about the economy then? More front line police, more front line nhs, less tax…….how they funding this?

No, calm down.

avantiagain is referring to the common analogy of turkeys voting for Xmas.

"Are you serious comparing disabled people to Turkeys?"

I haven't mentioned disabled people.

The UK will not snap out of its malaise anytime soon as long as people believe that you can tax your way to prosperity. Wow.