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Reform UK neck and neck with Labour?

1000 replies

NeatDog · 10/01/2025 11:09

Absolutely shocked to read that in a poll Reform UK are neck and neck with Labour...

About 25% polling share for Reform and Labour.

I thought Blair was the worst PM ever, but Starmer seems to be giving him a run for his money.

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username299 · 10/01/2025 15:50

NeatDog · 10/01/2025 15:42

Apart from you, we all know "refugees" and "asylum seekers" get free money from the British taxpayer.

We've had to put up the pension ages because we don't have enough money. The Winter Fuel Allowance has been scrapped. Plenty money to put refugees up in hotels though.

Asylum seekers are put up in hotels while their claims are assessed. Refugees are free to work and aren't housed by the government.

Alexandra2001 · 10/01/2025 15:50

lifeturnsonadime · 10/01/2025 14:22

What behaviours?

It is acknowledged that part of the reason Trump won in the US is because the Democrats failed to address the concerns of the electorate. The electorate didn't feel listened to, they felt sneered at.

In the run up to the last UK election many traditionally left wing female voters felt that Starmer and other Labour politicians were sneering at us, or calling our reasonable and lawful views bigoted. Some women went on to vote Tory. I wasn't one of them.

In the run up to Brexit remain (I am a remainer) belittled Brexiteers and literally called them stupid, many still do. Calling them stupid didn't change their vote. Turkey's voting for Christmas comes to mind.

Now we have the provocateur Musk poking the bear here, and rather than accepting that there are issues that people are concerned about (often with good reason) we are being told to ignore the issues because they are 'far right' Starmer even said that.

On this thread we are told that our 'behaviours' are wrong. You are telling me I am behaving badly because I don't agree with you and have said things that piss you off because they are inconvenient.

You don't see at all that responding in the way you do closes down debate. You are entirely tribal. Good luck with that.

Yes yes but i haven't done any of that.. you on the other hand have & no you don't piss me off, i'm just calling you out for your hypocrisy.

On Trans.. this site was full of people, allegedly would be Labour voters, saying Labour will "Erase women" ...

6 months in, we are still here and always will be.... people will always raise scare stories, both sides do it, Sunak wont jail sex offenders and Starmer is a rape apologist are 2 recent examples.

On Brexit, Leave won, not because of sneery remainers but because Leave had the most articulate speakers and they had a great strategist in Cummings.

The economic argument was hard to get across to people who have very little, they still have v little 8 years later.... so they turn to the next Genie in the bottle - Reform.

Trump won, primarily because they had an opponent that at times seemed senile, followed by a Black woman....

Its lazy to present the left as sneery and thats why they lose... or do you think the right lost in july because they were sneery?

NeatDog · 10/01/2025 15:52

Seemingly, many asylum seekers get a UK passport then go back to the country they "fled" from.

The whole asylum system is broken.

The EU etc has really let Europeans down by not enforcing the borders.

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MrsSchrute · 10/01/2025 15:55

NeatDog · 10/01/2025 15:42

Apart from you, we all know "refugees" and "asylum seekers" get free money from the British taxpayer.

We've had to put up the pension ages because we don't have enough money. The Winter Fuel Allowance has been scrapped. Plenty money to put refugees up in hotels though.

But what you're saying is very clearly untrue. It's not my opinion, it is a fact.

NeatDog · 10/01/2025 15:55

username299 · 10/01/2025 15:50

Asylum seekers are put up in hotels while their claims are assessed. Refugees are free to work and aren't housed by the government.

Do you really think the average refugee has the skills to get a job and not need help from the taxpayer?

Do you think someone that doesn't speak English will end up in a high paying job?

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Flustration · 10/01/2025 15:56

NeatDog · 10/01/2025 15:22

Of course refugees get free money....

They also get put up In hotels.

On the one hand many Brits are struggling to pay bills and get accommodation. Then the next minute some "asylum seeker" comes from France and gets put up in a hotel and gets free money.

Then if you question this you get called a "far right extremist".

It's no wonder people are moving away from Labour and the Tories.

I do think a lot of what you are saying is true and I think it's wrong to label your perfectly moderate concerns as far right extremism.

We do spend a lot of money keeping asylum seekers in hotels. It's very unpleasant for them and very expensive for us. It benefits no one. I think pretty much everyone would be behind a push to process applications and appeals much faster and quickly repatriate those whose applications are refused. That does not seem controversial.

I suppose what we differ on is whether Reform will (a) deliver on its promises (b) whether delivering on their promises will lead to a better quality of life for those who voted for them and (c) whether it's a smokescreen for unchecked capitalism and the exploitation of the UK by international big business (and resulting greater income inequality).

I hope Labour read the room quickly before it's too late.

lifeturnsonadime · 10/01/2025 15:56

Its lazy to present the left as sneery and thats why they lose... or do you think the right lost in july because they were sneery?

I don't think that the Tories lost because they are sneery. I think they lost because they are a bunch of incompetent liars.

I think you are the hypocrite so we'll have to agree to disagree on that one ; )

Upstartled · 10/01/2025 15:56

letsallchant · 10/01/2025 15:47

[Keyboard fail - reposting my reply but actually quoting the post I was replying to this time]

Even there you aren't transparent. Starmer didn't do his undergraduate degree at Oxford (unlike the conveyor belt of Tory PMs who did, excepting Major). He went to Leeds but did then do his postgraduate law qualification at Oxford. There's a difference in the experience and the typical level of privilege brought to it. But I think you know that and are now mixing factual errors with selective presentation to create the impression you want.

You do know there's already been an inquiry and that the full recommendations haven't been implemented yet because the previous Tory government sat on them? Didn't see Elon tweeting about it then.

There was a national inquiry on CSE generally that included a section on the grooming gangs and in which it was clear that the picture on it was confused because of basic things, like how the data was collated in different ways by policing districts. Beyond that, other inquiries were limited and local. This is why many people would like a national inquiry, 77% of people, actually.

Crikeyalmighty · 10/01/2025 15:57

@caringcarer I came across a bunch on a recent stay in my home town- the hotel they were in I personally wouldn't rate even a 2 star - I do stay in a fair few 4 stars in London for work quite regularly- have never come across anyone who is an asylum seeker or seen any hanging around outside etc- however being honest where would you place them as they aren't free to just be on the street and roam around whilst they are being processed- ?? You can't just send them back as it breaks every international convention . Lots of them were on that large boat -

username299 · 10/01/2025 15:58

NeatDog · 10/01/2025 15:55

Do you really think the average refugee has the skills to get a job and not need help from the taxpayer?

Do you think someone that doesn't speak English will end up in a high paying job?

They're usually given ESOL classes. Many people come here because they can speak English.

There are plenty of refugees who are highly skilled in their own countries. We import thousands of people to do low paid work for example, the hospitality sector and care work.

EasternStandard · 10/01/2025 15:59

All this is as expected given the system we have. You can see it in the EU and US with recent shifts.

There’s been head in the sand and politicians gaslighting, but that inability to deal with those issues will see them out of power.

LessonsinChemistryandLove · 10/01/2025 15:59

NeatDog · 10/01/2025 11:35

Starmer was a human rights lawyer. His job was basically fighting to keep undesirable people in the UK because of human rights...

You think that is ‘basically’ the job of a human rights lawyer. Wow

MrsSchrute · 10/01/2025 16:00

NeatDog · 10/01/2025 15:55

Do you really think the average refugee has the skills to get a job and not need help from the taxpayer?

Do you think someone that doesn't speak English will end up in a high paying job?

We don't take in refugees because it is of economic benefit to the UK, I don't know if it is or not. We take in refugees because we have a moral, and legal, obligation to do so.

We cannot claim to be a civilised country if we don't.

Immigrants may be a different argument, and I agree that we need to look again at our immigration system, but that is an entirely separate issue.

lifeturnsonadime · 10/01/2025 16:01

EasternStandard · 10/01/2025 15:59

All this is as expected given the system we have. You can see it in the EU and US with recent shifts.

There’s been head in the sand and politicians gaslighting, but that inability to deal with those issues will see them out of power.

Don't go talking sense now Eastern.

dingledangledoos · 10/01/2025 16:01

@caringcarer this article explains it all. What's particularly interesting is that while still in the EU the UK did have a system of sending asylum seekers back to other EU states that they'd travelled through. Brexit brought an end to that. Nice own goal for Farage and his cronies.

freemovement.org.uk/are-refugees-obliged-to-claim-asylum-in-the-first-safe-country-they-reach/

MrsSchrute · 10/01/2025 16:01

We do spend a lot of money keeping asylum seekers in hotels. It's very unpleasant for them and very expensive for us. It benefits no one. I think pretty much everyone would be behind a push to process applications and appeals much faster and quickly repatriate those whose applications are refused. That does not seem controversial.

Totally agree.

Icanthinkformyselfthanks · 10/01/2025 16:02

username299 · 10/01/2025 13:57

No they wouldn't. How many times was Farage rejected as an MP? Labour won over 400 seats, that's a landslide.

@username299 , 400 seats but with a tiny proportion of the overall vote share. Electoral reform is long overdue. What you fail to comprehend but I’ll do my best to explain in the most simple terms I can for you is that Reform attained approaching half the votes Labour did but because of the way first past the post works that didn’t translate into many seats. The thing is they came 2nd in very many seats, it wouldn’t take much to turn those into wins and losses for Labour. And then there’s the Muslim vote which Labour so rely on, it wouldn’t surprise me if by the next election there are many more independents running on a Muslim interest basis and then the likes of Jess Phillips could kiss her seat goodbye. We are looking at a sea change of our political landscape however much you tell yourself otherwise.

Rummly · 10/01/2025 16:04

Locutus2000 · 10/01/2025 15:29

Got any evidence for that claim? The left is not the same as the right.

Seriously?

Well, I’ll give you two and you can go off and trawl though billions of TV and radio shows, newspaper articles and internet posts and the rest, to find all the others.

The following two stories as debunked by Full Fact were circulated and repeated millions upon millions of times, including by posters on MN:

https://fullfact.org/health/NHS-test-and-trace-app-37-billion-instagram/

https://fullfact.org/online/ulez-expansion-letter/

The left is every bit as bad as the right.

The Government did not spend £37 billion on the NHS Test and Trace app - Full Fact

A post on Instagram has claimed that £37 billion was “wasted” on the NHS Test and Trace app when it actually cost about £35 million in its first year.

https://fullfact.org/health/NHS-test-and-trace-app-37-billion-instagram

Alexandra2001 · 10/01/2025 16:04

lifeturnsonadime · 10/01/2025 15:56

Its lazy to present the left as sneery and thats why they lose... or do you think the right lost in july because they were sneery?

I don't think that the Tories lost because they are sneery. I think they lost because they are a bunch of incompetent liars.

I think you are the hypocrite so we'll have to agree to disagree on that one ; )

You name called those on the left, you'll have to point to where i did similar...

But you cannot, because i didn't.... thats the difference between us.

EasternStandard · 10/01/2025 16:04

dingledangledoos · 10/01/2025 16:01

@caringcarer this article explains it all. What's particularly interesting is that while still in the EU the UK did have a system of sending asylum seekers back to other EU states that they'd travelled through. Brexit brought an end to that. Nice own goal for Farage and his cronies.

freemovement.org.uk/are-refugees-obliged-to-claim-asylum-in-the-first-safe-country-they-reach/

The Dublin convention meant only a few were moved. And we took more than returned anyway

EU countries still have this in place, do you think Germany doesn’t have the same issues with this?

dingledangledoos · 10/01/2025 16:06

NeatDog · 10/01/2025 15:52

Seemingly, many asylum seekers get a UK passport then go back to the country they "fled" from.

The whole asylum system is broken.

The EU etc has really let Europeans down by not enforcing the borders.

Is this true? Where are the stats on that?
Becoming a UK citizen is a long and pretty expensive process. If a former asylum seeker has managed to get through it then they deserve that passport.

AsFunAsEnglishWeather · 10/01/2025 16:06

NeatDog · 10/01/2025 15:34

Yeah, that's right.

Anyone that posts something you disagree with is obviously a "bot".

It's really no wonder that Labour and the Tories are losing popular support.

You've spectacularly missed the point there, and come to a very odd conclusion that reinforces your own biases.

NeatDog · 10/01/2025 16:06

MrsSchrute · 10/01/2025 16:00

We don't take in refugees because it is of economic benefit to the UK, I don't know if it is or not. We take in refugees because we have a moral, and legal, obligation to do so.

We cannot claim to be a civilised country if we don't.

Immigrants may be a different argument, and I agree that we need to look again at our immigration system, but that is an entirely separate issue.

The refugees are coming from France.....

I'm still not understanding why places like Saudi/ Japan/ Korea don't accept asylum seekers.... but Europeans are....

Why should Europeans have our quality of life reduced by accepting asylum seekers? Especially when so many of these asylum seekers hate our secular democracies...

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username299 · 10/01/2025 16:06

Icanthinkformyselfthanks · 10/01/2025 16:02

@username299 , 400 seats but with a tiny proportion of the overall vote share. Electoral reform is long overdue. What you fail to comprehend but I’ll do my best to explain in the most simple terms I can for you is that Reform attained approaching half the votes Labour did but because of the way first past the post works that didn’t translate into many seats. The thing is they came 2nd in very many seats, it wouldn’t take much to turn those into wins and losses for Labour. And then there’s the Muslim vote which Labour so rely on, it wouldn’t surprise me if by the next election there are many more independents running on a Muslim interest basis and then the likes of Jess Phillips could kiss her seat goodbye. We are looking at a sea change of our political landscape however much you tell yourself otherwise.

Ignoring the irony of a Reform voter having to speak to me in simple terms, Labour won over 400 seats. It doesn't matter how many people voted for them, they are the overwhelming majority in parliament.

Reform won 4 seats. I doubt Farage will hang onto his. Many people voted Reform to oust the Tories. A lot of people tactically voted in the last election.

You can talk as simply or as complicated as you like. Four seats and 400 speak for themselves.

Baaaddaaaaaad · 10/01/2025 16:07

letsallchant · 10/01/2025 11:33

Think back now, all the way to June: how many seats were Reform predicted to win in the general election? And how many did they actually get?

I believe in taking polls seriously but not too seriously. Reform as a new and unconventionally run party have some things in the favour but are lacking in others like activists on the ground. Labour shouldn't be complacent but neither should Reform.

Democrats had all the ‘on the ground’ activists going in the US election. It doesn’t count for very much these days it seems

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