A big part of the rationale for implementing asap and mid year was to catch people off guard and maximise the initial revenue before parents had a chance to make alternative provision. It is almost like they are afraid of proper scrutiny of the financial or societal impacts of the policy.
wouldn’t be surprised if there is a delay. Also wouldn’t be surprised if there are additional exceptions made for send (beyond just those with school named in EHCP), military families and faith schools, which will add to complexity of implementation while lowering the revenue potential. I would be surprised if they drop this altogether, though, as I Ithink they feel politically beholden to delivering something from their manifesto, even if utterly pointless and flawed.