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AIBU?

Share your dilemmas and get honest opinions from other Mumsnetters.

To think that the election results don't add up?

305 replies

RobynRB · 05/07/2024 12:35

How did LibDem get 70 odd seats and Reform 4 when Reform got 14% of the vote. I mean, I understand how it works... but it's hardly cause for LibDem's 'greatest result' ever is it? I bet Nigel is fuming. And rightly so.

To think that the election results don't add up?
OP posts:
Somerandomerontheinternet · 05/07/2024 14:56

The Libdems made a referendum on the alternative vote representation a condition of coalition as their vote share has consistently been larger than the numbers of seats they secure in parliament. However there was a low turnout and landslide to retain FPTP. So the idiot saying there would be outrage if this happened to “leftie” parties is not terribly well informed and forgive me for being 🙄 about the revisionist arguments about Reform being hard done by.

IClaudine · 05/07/2024 14:56

Very curious, Farage is saying exactly the same thing as OP at his press conference. Maybe he reads Mumsnet.

FangsForTheMemory · 05/07/2024 14:57

If you have PR you vote for a party, you don’t have an MP that is accountable to you and small extremist groups can get into power and be a pita. There are ways around this but those are some of the problems with PR.

mumwheresmyribena · 05/07/2024 14:59

Gertrudetheadelie · 05/07/2024 12:46

The Liberals really pushed for changes to the system towards proportional representation way back when but were defeated in the referendum. Of all people to blame, it isn't the liberals!

The 2011 referendum was for an AV system not PR. I think one of the reasons it failed was precisely because PR wasn't an option.

User135644 · 05/07/2024 14:59

FPTP is a crock of shit bit it is what it is and Lib Dems have made the best of it.

They know where to target for seats.

tryingsomethingnew · 05/07/2024 14:59

Okay- I'm embarrassed to ask- but Mumsnet is mums net so help a gal out. I remember being told this when I was younger but can someone explain FPTP and PR to me in real simple terms.

Would help if you could use this elections numbers. So 412 seats means 412 candidates won their seat. That means there's 412 MPs sitting in Labour side of the House of Commons. Is this right?

rkahic · 05/07/2024 15:01

You get just over 30% of the total votes cast but 60% of the seats, not a fair system but neither Labour or the tories would want to change it as it vastly favours them

BlondiBleach · 05/07/2024 15:01

FangsForTheMemory · 05/07/2024 14:57

If you have PR you vote for a party, you don’t have an MP that is accountable to you and small extremist groups can get into power and be a pita. There are ways around this but those are some of the problems with PR.

Not necessarily true.
there’s many forms of PR (not just list PR)
Ireland has PR STV & you vote for a candidate

User135644 · 05/07/2024 15:01

FangsForTheMemory · 05/07/2024 14:57

If you have PR you vote for a party, you don’t have an MP that is accountable to you and small extremist groups can get into power and be a pita. There are ways around this but those are some of the problems with PR.

Most people vote for the party anyway in reality.

Everyone should have an equal vote. I live in a safe Labour constituency where turnout was extremely low because it's pointless voting.

PoppyCherryDog · 05/07/2024 15:04

BlondiBleach · 05/07/2024 15:01

Not necessarily true.
there’s many forms of PR (not just list PR)
Ireland has PR STV & you vote for a candidate

This. There’s a few different ways to do PR.

I think one I read about once was you get two votes one for the “national” candidate/party to represent you and one for the “local” individual person to represent you. Then the seats in parliament represent a mixture of the MPs. It would mean larger constituencies though. Not sure what it’s called exactly but it’s the method of PR that gives the best of both.

triangleatthetop · 05/07/2024 15:09

RobynRB · 05/07/2024 12:35

How did LibDem get 70 odd seats and Reform 4 when Reform got 14% of the vote. I mean, I understand how it works... but it's hardly cause for LibDem's 'greatest result' ever is it? I bet Nigel is fuming. And rightly so.

For the same reason Labour got two thirds of the seats with only one third of the votes 🤷‍♀️

Labour didn’t increase their % of votes, but did increase their seats.

Its the FPTP system.

triangleatthetop · 05/07/2024 15:10

PoppyCherryDog · 05/07/2024 15:04

This. There’s a few different ways to do PR.

I think one I read about once was you get two votes one for the “national” candidate/party to represent you and one for the “local” individual person to represent you. Then the seats in parliament represent a mixture of the MPs. It would mean larger constituencies though. Not sure what it’s called exactly but it’s the method of PR that gives the best of both.

This is the system for the Scottish Parliament elections

fleabites · 05/07/2024 15:12

As everyone except Keir Starmer seems to realise, this was not a Labour victory, it was people turning their backs on the Conservatives

You think he doesn't realise that? He's not thick you know. I think it was fairly obvious that he has a complete grasp of the situation from what he said in his speech - referencing those who voted Labour and then those who did not vote Labour.

Shitandrun · 05/07/2024 15:12

So do those results mean 14% of the people voted for Reform?

TheShellBeach · 05/07/2024 15:12

DreadPirateRobots · 05/07/2024 12:53

The fact that percent of votes won nationally and percent of seats won don't correlate has nothing to do with FPTP.

It has everything to do with FPTP!

FangsForTheMemory · 05/07/2024 15:13

BlondiBleach · 05/07/2024 15:01

Not necessarily true.
there’s many forms of PR (not just list PR)
Ireland has PR STV & you vote for a candidate

I said there are ways round it. I was explaining it in the simplest terms.

FangsForTheMemory · 05/07/2024 15:15

BlondiBleach · 05/07/2024 15:01

Not necessarily true.
there’s many forms of PR (not just list PR)
Ireland has PR STV & you vote for a candidate

I said there are ways round it. I was explaining it in the simplest terms.

parkrun500club · 05/07/2024 15:17

As I said on the other thread about this, if we had PR or another form of voting, people would vote in a different way.

I vote LD anyway, but I also voted LD because they had the best chance to beat the Tories in my area. But if we had PR, that consideration wouldn't apply and if eg I liked the Greens I might vote for them instead. I imagine the Greens would actually be the biggest beneficiary of a proportional system, rather than Reform or UKIP before them.

surreygirl1987 · 05/07/2024 15:17

cakeorwine · 05/07/2024 12:52

Would be interesting to look at each constituency and see where the Reform vote is localised.

Same for Labour, Conservative and Lib Dem.

If we had a different voting system, then I am sure vote shares would change as well compared to what is seen now

Yes - I only voted Lib Dem because that was the best chance we had in my area to get rid of the Tory seat (it was so close but Conservative just held it). But if we used PR instead of FPTP I would have voted Labour. Lots of people voted tactically, understanding the FPTP system, so you can't really rely on the percentage of votes to give a full picture.

surreygirl1987 · 05/07/2024 15:18

parkrun500club · 05/07/2024 15:17

As I said on the other thread about this, if we had PR or another form of voting, people would vote in a different way.

I vote LD anyway, but I also voted LD because they had the best chance to beat the Tories in my area. But if we had PR, that consideration wouldn't apply and if eg I liked the Greens I might vote for them instead. I imagine the Greens would actually be the biggest beneficiary of a proportional system, rather than Reform or UKIP before them.

Good point. I think you're right about Greens.

parkrun500club · 05/07/2024 15:19

FangsForTheMemory · 05/07/2024 14:57

If you have PR you vote for a party, you don’t have an MP that is accountable to you and small extremist groups can get into power and be a pita. There are ways around this but those are some of the problems with PR.

There are measures to combat the small extremist groups eg having a 5% or 10% threshold that a party needs to achieve to get MPs.

BarHumbugs · 05/07/2024 15:19

fallenover · 05/07/2024 12:42

Labour has less total votes than Corbyn at the last election.

Yet a slightly higher vote share, and extra 2%.

chaostherapy · 05/07/2024 15:20

I think there is a good chance that LibDems (who pushed for the 2011 referendum) are now thinking 'be careful what you wish for' and 'everything happens for a reason'... Disaster averted! The international press might otherwise not be reporting now on a landslide centre-left victory but on how the UK is another victim of far-right ideologies.

parkrun500club · 05/07/2024 15:21

It's also worth noting that one of the reasons the Tories did so well in 2019 was because the Brexit party as it then was didn't stand. As I recall, they didn't get a massive share of the vote either, yet had a large majority.

Itslevioosanotleviosaa · 05/07/2024 15:22

Because we have a system in which you're really supposed to pick an mp who you think represents your consituancy best not just vote for who you want to lead the country.

Yes people can and do vote tactically but generally people won't vote in large numbers unless there is a good quality MP standing in their region who is going to advocate for their needs in the HOC. The LD's may have had less proportion of the votes but don't even try to tell me that Reform have more credible mps.

It's actually proof that the system works imo and is probably our best bet at keeping nutjobs out of politics