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AIBU?

Share your dilemmas and get honest opinions from other Mumsnetters.

To think that the election results don't add up?

305 replies

RobynRB · 05/07/2024 12:35

How did LibDem get 70 odd seats and Reform 4 when Reform got 14% of the vote. I mean, I understand how it works... but it's hardly cause for LibDem's 'greatest result' ever is it? I bet Nigel is fuming. And rightly so.

To think that the election results don't add up?
OP posts:
BlondiBleach · 05/07/2024 14:36

Interested in views in a wider context.

IMO FPTP is outdated. It is only representative for mono-cultures or where 2 dominant cultures.

PR gives a variety of views which is far more reflective of the UK’s multicultural & complex society.

FPTP tends to send the 2 parties to extremes (see America) despite the majority of people being centrist.

then the 2 parties come back towards centre, but the more extreme members have nowhere to go & “upset” the vote.

i accept it is tricky to manage in government but PR gives a plurality of views far more reflective of our actual society. Surely this is a good thing for a government rather than them enacting a minority’s vision? Thoughts?

NightIbble · 05/07/2024 14:37

If it was under PR I'd have voted Green but I just wanted the tories out so voted Labour. I've heard a lot of people say they preferred the Greens but didn't vote for them as they eirther didn't have one standing in their constituency or they hadn't a hope in hell of winning.
I think the people voting Reform partly did so as a protest vote so that might be why they got such a high percentage.

SeriaMau · 05/07/2024 14:38

DreadPirateRobots · 05/07/2024 12:51

If you're genuinely interested in understanding, and not just narked because "your" preferred party didn't get the result you want, definitely do some reading around political systems and how First Past The Post compares to proportional representation (PR). (Spoiler alert, PR has some serious drawbacks too.) But the fact that the national fraction of the vote a party got doesn't equate to the seats it won has nothing to do with FPTP. Everywhere, people vote for a representative from their direct area, and the person with the most votes is elected, because you can't elect part of a representative. It wouldn't matter if there were only two candidates in every constituency and Reform got 49% of the vote in every single one, thus winning 49% of the vote nationally; they would still have won 0 seats.

A bit like not getting 52% of Brexit 😀

Jaxhog · 05/07/2024 14:40

It's pretty horrible that Labour won a landslide number of seats on such a low vote, compared to the Tories. It's ironic that the Liberals won almost exactly the number of seats their vote suggested.

paperrocksiscissors · 05/07/2024 14:40

redexrt123 · 05/07/2024 14:24

Come Sunday I think Marine le Pen will also feel hard done by. Her party received a similar vote share to Labour in the first round of the French elections on higher voter turount so would have a majority under the UK FPTP system but is still unlikely to get in as the Left and Centre are tactially pulling candidates out of the second round to prevent that from happening. So whilst the UK system does allow the largest party to have a better chance of a majority and therefore a stable government it does not necessarily preclude a more radical party from coming to power.

Not really. That's the French system and people vote accordingly knowing there is a second round. Its a bit like saying Greens got 2 million votes and its not fair because we have FPTP, The Greens were simply smarter than Farage and focused on seats they could win on the ground, the result is Greens -2 million votes- 4 seats. Reform 4 million votes, - 4 seats.

Also what you're saying doesn't make any sense as French anti Le Pen parties would adapt tactics and not run in the first round if there was only 1 round first past the post.

RobynRB · 05/07/2024 14:40

greenpolarbear · 05/07/2024 14:20

It's a safe way to have a system because otherwise you get fringe maniacs on both sides running riot and doing dodgy deals with people forced to deal with them to get anything done.

Or worse, you end up with what happened in Germany that led to the Nazi party rule.

They don't know what they're doing, they have some ideas that sound good to some people but don't actually work in practice. As you saw when Liz Truss (who is right enough for reform) decided to do whatever she wanted and tanked the economy in five minutes.

It's best to let the moderates control and have enough democracy so that the crazies (Piers Corbyn, Nigel Farage) are allowed to have opinions but can't do any damage.

Edited

I think this is utter bollocks. The system is not 'designed' to prevent fringe parties getting elected - if they are fringe parties they won't get into power? If a 'far-right' party got 40% of the vote they are not 'fringe' they are 'mainstream' by definition. It's presumably (like a lot of things in England) a leftover system that evolved from centuries old ways of doing things and no one wants to change it.

OP posts:
easylikeasundaymorn · 05/07/2024 14:40

JennieTheZebra · 05/07/2024 12:44

Reform, like UKIP before them, can’t consolidate votes. Lots of votes/a large vote share doesn’t necessarily translate into lots of seats. It’s a foible of the system and one that has screwed NF over many a time.

Honestly, I do want PR, really I do, but this is one the few things that gives me pause. I know that FPTP isn’t very democratic but at least it keeps NF and co in check.

Same! I'm really torn. Its obvious that FPTP isn't objectively fair, which is why multiple countries who initially used it have moved to something else....but at the same time the alternative would have been a nightmare in this particular election.

But if I believe in democracy shouldn't I accept that if thats what the people want that should happen? Its giving me food for thought!

GETTINGLIKEMYMOTHER · 05/07/2024 14:41

Barleysugar86 · 05/07/2024 12:39

Because people are voting for a candidate in each constituency. Lib Dem clearly had many more beloved candidates that won their area. Reform presumably didn't have many candidates people really wanted in many places, their votes were people voting for an idea.

Edited

IMO quite a few LD seats won’t have been won because of any great love for, or great faith in the LDs - more often a tactical vote in areas like mine, where it’s LD or Tory - and Labour tag along far behind.

MissScarletInTheBallroom · 05/07/2024 14:43

Reform actually boosted the Lib Dems by taking votes away from the Tories in seats where the Lib Dems had a chance of winning.

Ellie56 · 05/07/2024 14:44

Bjorkdidit · 05/07/2024 13:03

Such as Reform having about 90 MPs under PR, instead of 4 that they have now.

Oh God that doesn't bear thinking about. Farage will be insufferable as it is.

BlondiBleach · 05/07/2024 14:44

@DreadPirateRobots

PR constituencies have multiple candidates for that exact reason - to return a proportional result. No need to split anyone King Solomon style 😅

lavenderlou · 05/07/2024 14:44

That's the UK electoral system. A lot of people don't end up voting for their true preference. Unless they are truly clueless, Reform voters will also have known that their vote was more likely to end up with a Labour candidate winning than a Reform one. The Daily Mail pointed it out to them enough times. I think a lot of Reform voters were disgruntled Tories who wanted to get the Conservatives out but couldn't bring themselves to vote Labour.

RobynRB · 05/07/2024 14:46

It seems to me the problem with PR is how to implement it while maintaining the system we already have - ie 650 MPs. As someone commented above, if you are then going to assign MPs to areas which didn't vote for your party then that's a bit hopeless.
I appreciate that bringing up this today was always going to make it look like I'm annoyed because 'MY' party was done down by the system, but I am not invested in any one party enough to be that annoyed. Honestly.

OP posts:
RobynRB · 05/07/2024 14:47

And to be honest, given that my area has been a safe seat since 1868 I don't see any great need to bother my arse next time.

OP posts:
RobynRB · 05/07/2024 14:48

lavenderlou · 05/07/2024 14:44

That's the UK electoral system. A lot of people don't end up voting for their true preference. Unless they are truly clueless, Reform voters will also have known that their vote was more likely to end up with a Labour candidate winning than a Reform one. The Daily Mail pointed it out to them enough times. I think a lot of Reform voters were disgruntled Tories who wanted to get the Conservatives out but couldn't bring themselves to vote Labour.

I think that's true, Reform is the obvious choice for disgruntled Conservative voters. As everyone except Keir Starmer seems to realise, this was not a Labour victory, it was people turning their backs on the Conservatives.

OP posts:
Oganesson118 · 05/07/2024 14:49

This is where I feel like PR would potentially be fairer, but I also like the system we have now with constituent MPs. Going to go read up on ways of doing it. Not that I can change it but I’m interested now.

Barleysugar86 · 05/07/2024 14:49

GETTINGLIKEMYMOTHER · 05/07/2024 14:41

IMO quite a few LD seats won’t have been won because of any great love for, or great faith in the LDs - more often a tactical vote in areas like mine, where it’s LD or Tory - and Labour tag along far behind.

A good point. My area swings back and forth between Labour and Conservative and Lib Dems don’t seem to make a dent so I just assumed they had better presence elsewhere, but this makes sense!

paperrocksiscissors · 05/07/2024 14:50

RobynRB · 05/07/2024 14:40

I think this is utter bollocks. The system is not 'designed' to prevent fringe parties getting elected - if they are fringe parties they won't get into power? If a 'far-right' party got 40% of the vote they are not 'fringe' they are 'mainstream' by definition. It's presumably (like a lot of things in England) a leftover system that evolved from centuries old ways of doing things and no one wants to change it.

But it does encourage local , boots on the ground work from the parties, picking up thousands of votes coming 2nd or 3rd across the UK might give you millions of votes, but unless you win over the local ward, it means nothing.

That's why the Greens got half the number of votes but the same number of seats as Reform, they laser targeted their seats, Reform went for number of votes to get headlines, rather than seats.

lavenderlou · 05/07/2024 14:50

I think Starmer knew perfectly well that to win a good majority in Parliament you don't need a huge share of the vote, you need a large number of seats. I think they campaigned on that basis.

Finnished · 05/07/2024 14:51

FOJN · 05/07/2024 12:40

I think NF is delighted. It will bolster his campaign for voting Reform.

Yes, but there was a referendum already on it, and people said no. And I believe NF is against second referendums so what can he do 🤔

Payattentioninclass · 05/07/2024 14:53

RobynRB · 05/07/2024 14:46

It seems to me the problem with PR is how to implement it while maintaining the system we already have - ie 650 MPs. As someone commented above, if you are then going to assign MPs to areas which didn't vote for your party then that's a bit hopeless.
I appreciate that bringing up this today was always going to make it look like I'm annoyed because 'MY' party was done down by the system, but I am not invested in any one party enough to be that annoyed. Honestly.

Why maintain 650 MPs? Germany has fewer representatives in the Bundestag, despite a much bigger population, as does France which has about the same population. There is nothing sacrosanct about the total number so that could be reformed. And a modernised House of Commons with enough seating space would be useful too!

paperrocksiscissors · 05/07/2024 14:55

RobynRB · 05/07/2024 14:48

I think that's true, Reform is the obvious choice for disgruntled Conservative voters. As everyone except Keir Starmer seems to realise, this was not a Labour victory, it was people turning their backs on the Conservatives.

Jesus christ, what does it matter if Labour are sitting in number 10 with a stonking majority ? Get over it.

SootBusters · 05/07/2024 14:55

I don't think that's true, they came second in many constituencies and had over 4 million votes. They had no voter information, no voter base to draw from. What I did see at two polling stations the Lib Dems had people sat by the door asking for your polling card number. They got more votes than the Lib Dems. Anyone that voted for them, has baffled me, As give it a couple of weeks and they will roll out the CAZ charge to all non electric vehicles. It has been running in Bath for a couple of years and no evidence that it's lowered pollution in Bath. I think this is proof that FPTP is undemocratic. I'm wishing Labour well but I do think this way of calculating votes and seats is unfair on Reform and the Green Party! We all need to push for PR. That way it is fair for everyone, everyone's vote should be of equal importance!

Fungkew · 05/07/2024 14:56

It is all such a bunch of phoney baloney from bottom to top anyway.
Most of these MPs are career politicians with no real life experience. The ones that advocate for the redistribution of wealth blah blah blah are multi millionaires or will be when they quit office and write a book.
They are all, without fail, essentially conservative and they do not practise what they preach.
We’re heading really quickly towards a communist state; you won’t own anything in 20 years time because it will all be far too bloody expensive. Good luck if you continue to live in Britain!!!

paperrocksiscissors · 05/07/2024 14:56

Finnished · 05/07/2024 14:51

Yes, but there was a referendum already on it, and people said no. And I believe NF is against second referendums so what can he do 🤔

Fuck all, as the Remainers ( myself included ) would smell blood for a second Brexit vote.