Sorry not read through most recent posts but just sharing a good summary on Twitter by a social policy expert on how yesterday’s budget will affect the sick and disabled. As we knew, the whole thing is a cost cutting exercise on some sick and disabled claimants (particularly those with considerable mental health problems) with no care of the damaging effect on those sick and disabled who it will effect. The OBR report even acknowledges tightening the WCA criteria is expected by by 2028-29, to mean 𝟑𝟕𝟏,𝟎𝟎𝟎 fewer people will be protected from conditionality & from a higher rate of benefit, yet they only expect 10,000 of these to get back into employment! So just a cruel financial cut for 361,000 people. This group of people with be too sick to work but will get the same as someone unemployed but fit and healthy. Unemployment support is set low as it it’s supposed to be temporary.
X/Twitter thread:
“It's understandable, given that I think the Government has wilfully blurred the lines, but there's been some misreading of what yesterday's announcements will mean for ill & disabled people so I thought it was worth offering my interpretation of where things stand... [1/10]
The key announcement was planned changes to the criteria for the Work Capability Assessment (WCA), to kick in from 2025, meaning fewer people with mobility issues & mental health problems will be declared to have 'limited capability for work related activity' (LCWRA) [2/10]
People in this group get an additional £390 a month & are exempt from conditionality. Many people will instead be placed in the 'limited capability for work' (LCW) group, where they would lose this additional payment & be required to 'prepare for' but not apply for work [3/10]
Initially these changes would just affect new applicants, but increasingly also people who are being reassessed. The OBR expects to see 371,000 fewer people in the more protected group by 2028-29 than under current rules & most of these would instead be in the LCW group [4/10]
These proposals are deeply worrying, particularly as the OBR only expects 10,000 of this 371,000 to have moved into work by this time. So people will have lower benefits & more pressure & threats, but are unlikely to have found the jobs this is supposed to be all about [5/10]
However, some of the harsher threats that have been announced - around people losing benefits altogether if they fail to seek work for six months, or being pushed into mandatory work placements after 18 months - would not currently affect people in the LCWRA or LCW groups [6/10]
These threats are aimed at people subject to 'full work requirements', which would mean they've either never flagged an illness/disability or have been assessed as 'fit for work' (although, of course, neither of these is guaranteed to mean the person is not ill/disabled) [7/10]
None of this is to downplay concerns about the planned reforms, but it's important for ill & disabled people already in the system to know that these changes will not happen overnight & that they are not likely to suddenly be expected to seek work under threat of sanctions [8/10]
However, there are worrying longer-term implications as the Government has said it would like to ultimately scrap the WCA & leave conditionality entirely at work coach discretion. This would be incredibly dangerous, especially given the harsher punishments being planned [9/10]
There will be time to scrutinise & challenge these proposed changes before they are implemented & there will of course be an election before then too!
What this group needs is security & genuine support offered on a voluntary basis, not more pressure & threats of cuts [10/10] “