To wonder why the Met Office are keeping this quiet

[MonZb]

If this is correct for Thursday then it will be the worst storm ever to hit the UK. Gusts of 120mph possible along the south coast....

m.facebook.com/story.php?story_fbid=pfbid0qHcNKAXqu25nPVUxDq3Do3K5TQjwgJVn1CR7S7vYyyjfnfHWsmngi372cs98piJNl&id=100064242267092

"Amber 'danger to life' warning issued as UK braces for another drenching: Met Office alert after Britain is ravaged by heavy rain - with deluge to intensify overnight | Daily Mail Online" https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-12684097/Amber-danger-life-warning-issued-UK-Met-Office-alert-Britain-heavy-rain.html

Exactly! Bit like the lack of preparedness for COVID. Looked like a car crash in slow motion to some and all the more terrifying when viewed alongside the ‘never going to happen here’ attitudes of others.

@SurprisedWithAHorse
Agreed, this thread's a bit of a storm in a teacup!

https://www.mumsnet.com/talk/weather/4929935-potential-named-storm-for-around-1st2nd-nov?latest=1 thread in the weather section.

It looks potentially very serious.
We have a lot of weather currently happening. Will need to play catch up tomorrow night.

"@CesareBorgia
John Kettley is a weatherman, a weatherman, a weatherman, John Kettley is a weatherman, and so is Michael Fish.

Ah, the 80s. "

"and so is Wincy Willis!"

In 35 years, the weather models and supercomputers have been improved to the extent that the five day forecast now is as accurate as the 48 hour forecast was in the eighties.

I thought this thread would be about the police. The Met Office, if they are indeed trying to keep this quiet, have done an awful job as even my Apple weather app knows the weather will be very bad on Thursday. What a disappointing g thread this turned out to be 😔

And so is Rusty Goffe (if you had the dubious pleasure of cable TV and the trampoline weather forecast) 😃

I don’t think they are trying to keep it quiet. There is a big storm coming through tonight and more windy weather before.

Not sure why there is not a warning as apparently they can be issued up to a week before. Makes sense for it to be issued nearer the time when the models are more accurate.

That was covered a fair bit on the news, it's frankly all quite terrifying

There really wasn't a media blackout on the hurricane that wreaked such terrible damage on Acapulco a few days ago. Remember seeing this on the TV and it's still there on the BBC website. Sadly more than two dozen people lost their lives and the damage to the tourist industry is immense. I heard a report that the President went to visit but his official car could only get so far and he had to walk the last few km on foot.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-latin-america-67216467?ns_mchannel=social&ns_source=twitter&ns_campaign=bbc_live&ns_linkname=67216467%26Seaside%20hotels%20smashed%20by%20Hurricane%20Otis%20in%20Mexico%262023-10-26T06%3A54%3A34.000Z&ns_fee=0&pinned_post_locator=urn:bbc:cps:curie:asset:b24b4ccc-ef1a-45e5-8bfc-fd718fec7a53&pinned_post_asset_id=67216467&pinned_post_type=share

Actually it was only a tropical storm, then turned into not only a Cat 5 but the worst storm in history for that coast. In a matter of hours. Incredible there's still so many climate deniers!

larkstar · Yesterday 23:35

As others have said, it’s far too premature to take any advance forecast that seriously.

Yes; and Windy are particularly prone to doom and gloom, which turns out to be exaggerated. I'm currently on a ship, off the East Coast, we do seabed surveys an obviously monitor the weather closely, as we tow pieces of equipment, which can be lost / damaged in bad weather.

Last week, they had 3 - 3.5 m waves of the Dutch coast, where we were then. It was about 1m.

The Met and Méteo-France are far more reliable.

You might be interested in the MN Climate Change topic

There's also a separate ethical living topic

it's gales they are talking about so far

I was going by Met Office. Not wherever that image is from.

@junbean
thanks for correcting me. Regardless of the actual storm media outlets should be reporting this fact. It’s never happened before. The storm is awful but this fact is dreadful news.

Issuing a warning for something that might happen next Thursday is way too early.

yesterday the forecast for where I am was showing heavy rain and thunderstorms for most of the day. My third lot of washing is currently drying outside in the sunshine.

OP, for what reason do you think the Met Office would purposefully keep bad weather to itself?

They won't keep it quiet OP.

They learnt their lesson with Michael Fish.

Unfortunately it's probably already inevitable,

“It appears we may have lost control of the west Antarctic ice shelf melting over the 21st century,” said Kaitlin Naughten, an ocean modeler with the British Antarctic Survey, who is the lead author of the new study. “West Antarctic ice shelf melting is one impact of climate change that we’re probably just going to have to adapt to, and that very likely means some amount of sea level rise we cannot avoid. Coastal communities will either have to build around or be abandoned.”

There you go, it's officially named. Now just to wait & watch the track. I'm on the North Coast of Cornwall so...

Theres a weather warning for Thursday but only a yellow one. Hardly a met office blackout 😆

@PansyP tbh it's even quite early to put a warning out, of any colour. I suspect the colour might change, especially for the south coast

@PansyP tbh it's even quite early to put a warning out, of any colour. I suspect the colour might change, especially for the south coast

The weather warning is high impact but low likelihood. So they are agreeing with the original source that if it comes off it will be bad.