I can’t see the Tories getting anywhere near to winning, despite all this desperate scrabbling around trying to find new culture wars to fight. They’re a split, disunited party now, the one thing that you could have said about Johnson was that he brought some sense of unity and (however deeply misguided) optimism. Sunak has none of that. Half his own party are out to get him, and it’s obvious that his only trick left is to fan the flames of division and culture wars- there’s nothing positive at all that he can point to. The more he tries to appeal to the far right, the more votes he will lose to the centre. The moderate Tories I know (several in my family) will not vote for them this coming election because they are becoming more and more like the BNP these days.
I’d say most people are thoroughly fed up with the way this govt is scrabbling around, completely rudderless now and people aren’t falling for this distraction technique thing anymore. I’m a high mileage driver and couldn’t give a monkeys about 20mph limits, they’re fine. Country is in a mess, things are barely functioning now and it’s time for a change. Corruption is also at an all time high and I think people notice that too.
So the Tory vote will be split with Reform/reclaim/unicorn party or whatever that lot are called these days, and Sunak and the Tories in this current, abysmal form will thankfully be no longer.