Honestly, it wouldn't make much difference to our local state schools if the local private schools were forced to close. They don't have huge numbers of pupils anyway and the numbers would be dispersed across a significant number of local schools rather than all piling into just one or two. A few extra middle class kids with supportive parents really aren't going to break the state sector.
But I don't think many schools will close anyway. Most will find ways of cutting costs, and a lot of parents will find ways of paying the extra. A few might be forced into state, but I'm really not worried about the impact of that on state schools, it will be negligible.
Apologies for quoting rather than replying - for some reason the reply button doesn’t work for me.
The thing is that although 7% of children nationally are privately educated, that isn’t spread evenly across the country. In some areas it could be 0.5% and some it could be 25%. I live in an area where the proportion is really high, particularly at secondary level, and the state schools are overflowing, particularly at secondary level - the local authority relies on a certain percentage of kids being privately educated. In fact, the headteacher at my son’s state primary school advises families who can afford it (which does not include us) to go for private because the chances of getting into a local state secondary are already so low.
So it’s good that you don’t think that it’ll make much difference to your local schools, but there are areas where it could be really problematic.
I’m not so worried about private schools closing, but I do think there are areas in which even a relatively small influx of kids into state schools will be a disaster - and I also think that interest rates will start to bite over the next few years, so families who would previously have found the extra cash down the back of the sofa won’t necessarily be able to.
I don’t disagree conceptually with posters who say that private schools are businesses. But I think it’s worth asking why you support this change and what you think it will achieve.
It reminds me a bit of the Brexit debates - I was very strongly in favour of Remain and I used to have endless conversations with my dad (who voted Leave) where he would list all the things he didn’t like from an ideological point of view about the EU. But I would say to him that no one is saying the EU is perfect and beyond reproach, and also you don’t need to love it from an ideological point of view - you just need to understand that whatever its faults, life outside the EU will be much worse. He didn’t/wouldn’t understand that - and it is.