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Black Monday anyone? The tories should be in jail

994 replies

Upthebracket22 · 26/09/2022 06:51

The pound is now at its lowest point against the dollar since decimalisation in 1971 at 1.03. It’s probably going lower and the Bank of England will likely need to step in with an emergency interest rate rise today. Black Monday possibly?

All because of the mini budget on Friday. The Tories should be in jail. Especially if their rich backers were shorting the pound as it appears to get rich.

OP posts:
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PerfectlyPreservedQuagaarWarrior · 26/09/2022 12:34

And there is the rub, we (the Great British Public) in full possession of our mental faculties (mostly) CHOSE TO VOTE FOR A TORY GOVERNMENT.

We didn't. Governments never get a majority of the vote here, much less of the public. In this instance, 43% of those casting a vote went Tory, which is about 30% of the electorate as a whole. What actually happened was that our electoral system, as it is wont to do, created a majority in the Commons that went way beyond what existed amongst the public.

TalkSomeSense1 · 26/09/2022 12:35

Nothing like the 'person at work'. I'm of the opinion you can't just complain/throw out comments about a situation without at least thinking about a possible solution. Putting an entire political party in jail isn't the answer (and, yes, I realise that particular comment was emotionally charged rhetoric).

NoMichaelNo · 26/09/2022 12:36

This is what happens when you let 140,000 rich morons appoint the PM. It's starting to look like they may have actually managed to pick someone even worse for the country than Boris Johnson, which is a level of incompetence so staggering that it previously seemed impossible.

Blossomtoes · 26/09/2022 12:37

sóh₂wl̥ · 26/09/2022 12:30

I heard the Shadow Chancellor in interview this morning - I didn't feel she came across particularly well - but while Labour shadow minister gave a poor interview (IMO) the Tory chancellor gave a dire budget.

DH thinks they are gambling economy will bounce before dropping off and they can call a snap election in the sweet spot. I'm not so sure - and if they are I'm not sure it will work.

Reeves was good, she’s always good. She’s a former BoE economist and knows exactly what she’s talking about. She said the chancellor has his foot flat n the floor on the accelerator while the BoE is stamping on the brake. Absolutely spot on.

Hermione101 · 26/09/2022 12:38

sst1234 · 26/09/2022 07:38

The pound didn’t drop just because of mini budget. The bigger problem for the markets is that interest rates are not going up at the same velocity as the US. If you’re going to have the largesse of printing £450bn in two years to shit down the economy, then rates have to rise to deal with it. The US can afford to to do this because it has a strong economy right now, because believe it or not their economy is structured in exactly the way that people around here don’t like. There is no easy way out of this. You don’t like it, but growth is the only way out of it. This low productivity economy has been on QE life support for too long. The re structuring of the economy though lower taxation and big investment (private and public) is needed. That latter is yet to happen and takes a lot longer.

But why is it so difficult to have rational debate here. When you read the comments on this thread, it’s hysterical shrieking.

Say it louder for the people in the back!

Suzi888 · 26/09/2022 12:38

Yep. They’re never getting back in are they.

icelolly12 · 26/09/2022 12:40

When even the Daily Mail are calling it a "full blown crisis" yet you have people on here defending it... laughable.

Coucous · 26/09/2022 12:41

Rishi is somewhere saying I told you!

Amboseli · 26/09/2022 12:43

Ori1 · 26/09/2022 12:28

@StJeanDeVence

But...but ...Jerumbly Cromblims! BINGO!
Ah, yes, Corbyn who was going to turn the UK economy into a basket case and take us back to the 70s. Thank FUCK we didn't go there, eh?

😆😆I have to say, I agree. This problem is bigger than any one political party, and it really doesn't help the opposition's cause when they roll out a dusty puppet who wants to "revolutionise" Britain by re-imagining the golden days of the 70's. He had dreams and half-forgotten memories in his head - and it would have been an absolute disaster if he'd ever got into power. Of course, the Tories will fuck the lower classes from behind with a huge dildo, at hyper-speed until the batteries fall out - it's what they enjoy. But no amount of squealing will make them stop; it's the ballot box that does the talking.

And there is the rub, we (the Great British Public) in full possession of our mental faculties (mostly) CHOSE TO VOTE FOR A TORY GOVERNMENT. Yes, the choice was right there. Presumably we knew what we were voting for. But was it a case of the devil or the deep blue sea for many? I think so.

Brexit - should never have been put to the public. We can't be trusted. We made the wrong decision there too.

Covid - no political party could talk that away, it was always going to have large, far-reaching economic repercussions that transcended anyone in power. We always knew we'd have to pay for it didn't we?

So some factors could not have been avoided but some were conscious decisions to go down those paths, and the mixture of the two has created the place we find ourselves in now. It's always bigger and more complex and more layered than people pretend it is.

I agree. We need a benign dictatorship.

I think it was Winston Churchill who said the biggest argument against democracy was spending 5 minutes with the average man/woman on the street.

scaredoff · 26/09/2022 12:44

FluffySocksAndHotChocolate · 26/09/2022 08:10

My question is how are they getting away with this?

If it happened under labours watch they'd be screaming for a general election now.... so why are the tories allowed to send our country bank rupt?

Because most of the UK media functions either as a direct propaganda outlet for the Tory party, or at the very least as a compliant support for the status quo. And that now, sadly, includes so-called "moderate" sources like the BBC.

BigWoollyJumpers · 26/09/2022 12:44

Skyellaskerry · 26/09/2022 12:28

Another item I am dreading the detail of is the reference by KK to reducing planning restrictions as all I can think is that this will remove or massively reduce current environmental assessment requirements.

And this is the other rub isn't it. Everyone agrees we need more housing, everyone agrees we need on-shore wind and solar and nuclear, everyone agrees we need investment in public and private infrastructure, but that needs land, and that needs relaxing on planning restrictions.

franticflip · 26/09/2022 12:45

"Reeves was good, she’s always good. She’s a former BoE economist and knows exactly what she’s talking about. She said the chancellor has his foot flat n the floor on the accelerator while the BoE is stamping on the brake. Absolutely spot on."

She was repeating what Mohammed El Arian said moments earlier

1245J · 26/09/2022 12:45

BirmaBrite · 26/09/2022 11:41

Well, interesting. I have just got off the phone on a client matter. Working in corporate finance. Work on an inward investment of £300m at Heads of Terms stage has now suspended. It is going back to the core investors to decide, but likely now to be mothballed until November 2023 at the earliest, might even be 2024. Reason - the UK underlying finance rate projections are too unclear now and so the money is going to the US.

But surely they should be willing to wait and see how it all pans out, just because it isn't clear now, doesn't mean it won't all work out marvellously at some undefined point in the future Wink

Which is what I said. They will review. In the meantime work stops and if you know anything about large scale investments, it can take only a little movement at XY to bring everything to a shuddering halt.

Money is no longer cheap and printed with abandon. Those days are over. There are more projects and more competition. Sure this portfolio will be resurrected at some point, but when and in what format who knows. We had a plan, we likely do not now.

In any given timeframe it is better to have profits earlier than later.

placemats · 26/09/2022 12:46

There's little point in sending in letters to trigger another leadership election. What is needed is a vote of no confidence and a general election.

The Conservative Conference will be interesting!

Blossomtoes · 26/09/2022 12:46

franticflip · 26/09/2022 12:45

"Reeves was good, she’s always good. She’s a former BoE economist and knows exactly what she’s talking about. She said the chancellor has his foot flat n the floor on the accelerator while the BoE is stamping on the brake. Absolutely spot on."

She was repeating what Mohammed El Arian said moments earlier

I know. It’s still right, isn’t it?

franticflip · 26/09/2022 12:46

sóh₂wl̥ · 26/09/2022 12:30

I heard the Shadow Chancellor in interview this morning - I didn't feel she came across particularly well - but while Labour shadow minister gave a poor interview (IMO) the Tory chancellor gave a dire budget.

DH thinks they are gambling economy will bounce before dropping off and they can call a snap election in the sweet spot. I'm not so sure - and if they are I'm not sure it will work.

I agree , I thought she came across very poorly

What a shitshow it all is

scaredoff · 26/09/2022 12:47

SnackSizeRaisin · 26/09/2022 08:30

At least this means the Tories will be voted out at the next election

No it doesn't.

Cherryblossoms85 · 26/09/2022 12:47

They're basically trying to recreate the US, but seem to have missed the fact it's the biggest economy in the world, and has thousands of sectors and industries to diversify across. We sell...confidence, basically, because that's all the services sector is.
My assumption is that the timing of the "mini budget" has been done deliberately, nothing to do with shorting the pound (that's a bit of a conspiracy theory tbh), they're merely amping up a sense of panic so that the planned huge cuts to public sector spending can look inevitable and sensible to shore up GBP.

Bestcatmum · 26/09/2022 12:47

According to the BBC news tory MPs have already started putting in letters of no confidence again.
How long must this farce go on.

Abhannmor · 26/09/2022 12:49

I never understood ' shorting'. But there's a YouTube channel called A Different Bias. He explains it simply.

BirmaBrite · 26/09/2022 12:50

The re structuring of the economy though lower taxation and big investment (private and public) is needed. That latter is yet to happen and takes a lot longer.

As another poster pointed out, investment becomes tricky when those who you want to invest are unsure of the economic climate.

BirmaBrite · 26/09/2022 12:53

My assumption is that the timing of the "mini budget" has been done deliberately, nothing to do with shorting the pound (that's a bit of a conspiracy theory tbh), they're merely amping up a sense of panic so that the planned huge cuts to public sector spending can look inevitable and sensible to shore up GBP.

Unfortunately I think you are probably right.

PerfectlyPreservedQuagaarWarrior · 26/09/2022 12:54

Bestcatmum · 26/09/2022 12:47

According to the BBC news tory MPs have already started putting in letters of no confidence again.
How long must this farce go on.

Well, she never had massive support in the parliamentary party and a lot of them can't stand her. 113 votes out of 357 isn't much of a base. So this isn't a great surprise.

scaredoff · 26/09/2022 12:54

Blossomtoes · 26/09/2022 08:36

Go and put some money on them winning. The bookies will give you mind blowing odds. You could clean up.

Nope. Bookies' odds on the Tories winning most seats at the next election are barely better than even money.

www.oddschecker.com/politics/british-politics/next-uk-general-election/most-seats

Blossomtoes · 26/09/2022 12:56

scaredoff · 26/09/2022 12:47

No it doesn't.

Oh, I think it does - unless you live in a parallel universe.