Free bird, I don’t disagree with you at all.
I fully understand that all the systems track based on thousands of students and most likely outcomes. They don’t chart individual children nor say a likely outcome will occur for every individual child. They absolutely are broad brush as you say. Schools might use them to predict the overall performance of a year group if they have a large year group, but won’t be able to say with any certainty exactly which students might achieve which results.....although they might hazard a guess and be right in lots of cases, there will alway be surprises.
That’s why I don’t think this school had the conversation purely based on one set of CATs tests. I think there is a bigger picture, and Op herself said much of the conversation washed over her and she didn’t absorb all the info. There will be a bigger picture here beyond one CAT test, although that’s the thing Op heard and jotted down.
Yes, it would be impossible to tell a parent that their child will categorically achieve certain grades at GCSE (or not) based on this one test. I very much doubt that this was what was actually said and Op herself says she didn’t hear the full message.
I guess my point really is that it isn’t always wrong for schools with selective seniors attached or for any school with families who hope to go onto selective senior schools to be honest with parents about where their child is. It isn’t writing children off. Children do have different levels of ability and whilst we cannot box them up too tightly, some senior schools are not suitable for some children. Parents and children deserve to hear that information from teachers and schools who have had time to see how a child is getting on.
And the thing is, senior school entrance exams do box children up. In the end, they get their palace based on a test result on one day or sometimes on the recommendation and assessment of the attached Prep which is formed over several years, but can only be based on what has happened so far and what looks likely. There will be children this system fails. Lots in here talk about loser performance when younger but great achievements later. Those kids probably wouldn’t have passed the selective entrance exams...but those exams can only test on the day. And that’s how school places are allocated.
Ops school knows this and they feel her son won’t be getting a recommendation or passing an exam to the senior school. The CAT result will be only 1 part of their judgement on that. And my key point is it’s right to tell parents. It has to be done gently and in a careful way. Op will need another and possibly several appointments with the school to get her head round this and to make decisions about the information and next steps. She will choose what to do next not the school. But they needed to voice their concerns and the possible realities of them for the next couple or few years or they wouldn’t be doing their job and Prepping. Whether they have done all they can for the boy and provided for his needs is in my mind a different issue...perhaps they have or have not....but they have told the parents that they need to consider alternative senior schools.