we've done very well, the point I was making is there has to be a fear element (of catching the disease), and early on with a handful of deaths and a 100 cases or whatever the numbers were that wouldn't be there. If you lock down too early then lockdown can only last so long it's only tolerable for a certain amount of time so the stage you do it is all important. People are getting irritable now even
I think 26k deaths, around 50% in the excess deaths category, is not doing well.
Because we locked down late and a very weak lockdown at that, we will have a far longer period of restrictions, after 5 weeks Germany is relaxing restrictions and its R rate is still 0.7% despite what Raab tried to say....
Germany has tested 2.5m people, UK 780k (as of 28/4) for every 1 positive test, Korea tests an additional 56, the UK tracks just 5...
Hancock has focused on this 100k test rate but we also need to be testing the right people.
Our daily infection rate is still very high and we have only kept the hospitals from being overwhelmed is by not admitting CV patients until very ill and by cancelling almost all other treatments.
Because Johnson told the nation that CV wasn't so serious, the population followed his lead and didn't take it seriously either, so yes a lockdown in Feb/early March would have been met with incredulity, If he'd been more serious, we would have followed.
Listening to his speech yesterday, i still don't think he has grasped the seriousness of this pandemic at all, to him and his "advisors" its all about the politics.