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AIBU?

Share your dilemmas and get honest opinions from other Mumsnetters.

Measles Outbreak?

1003 replies

MoaningLisa · 27/05/2011 13:56

I am sure you have all heard on the news that there has been an outbreak of measles.

Papers, Schools, Hv, Drs are saying if you or your child haven't had the vaccine(s) now would be a good time to get it done.

I cant help but think though that the parents who haven't and wont get their child vaccinated are putting their children at risk.

Aibu to think that its just bloody selfish and very daring to play with their own childs life?

OP posts:
MurphyWasAnOptimist · 30/05/2011 10:22

The increasing incidence of autism is an interesting hypothesis. Shame it's complete pie in the sky imagination.

Many articles have shown that when you apply the previous diagnosis methods and account for differences in surveillance, you get a very small increase in incidence of autism if at all. This incresae can be accounted for by established causal mechanisms such as increasing age of parents and greater exposure to rubella due to decreases in vaccination rates (how ironic!).

exoticfruits · 30/05/2011 10:23

Sorry-heard immunity-don't know where instinct came from.

exoticfruits · 30/05/2011 10:23

herd not heard-shows I should stop!

Riveninside · 30/05/2011 10:26

The biggest risk of MMR is that your child will run a fever after having it. This is pretty common for a lot of vaccines. We mums are pretty comfortable with this I think. Your odds of a severe reaction that could be life threatening are 1 in 4,000,0000.'

No, the biggest risk is death and brain damage. Its rare but it exists. And exists for all vaccines. No govt disagrees with this hence the vaccine damage compensation prgramme. Which is pathetic.

Gooseberrybushes · 30/05/2011 10:30

they were on that last thread - I'll repost this afternoon Smile

sorry you had such a struggle opening the links earlier

you might of course (with your obsession with peer review) be interested to know that it's accepted among the scientific community that most of the peer reviewed studies into the safety of MMR are worthless

ReshapeWhileDamp · 30/05/2011 10:30

I don't buy into all this collective social responsibility crap and never will.

Hmm Nice. I wonder what sort of values someone who held this POV would teach their children?

Gooseberrybushes · 30/05/2011 10:31

that was to windward - so many posts while I was looking for the links

Gooseberrybushes · 30/05/2011 10:32

"Shame it's complete pie in the sky imagination."

Links to "most articles" please?

exoticfruits · 30/05/2011 10:33

Really? How did you come to that conclusion? Why not 5,6,7? Why take the figures per decade? Why not in 10 year cycles from 1945 for example.

Just one more as I missed this comment. You asked me to look at the figures and I quickly found a way to do it. I wasn't writing a thesis or writing a scientific paper! If I had the time, and the inclination (which I don't) I could choose 5 yrs or 7 yrs etc. Do it any which way and the numbers come down after 1968.

Gooseberrybushes · 30/05/2011 10:33

WW it's interesting that now you are looking for absolute proof of connections between MMR and the complex range of neural development disorders.

To be honest, to agree with Wakefield you only need to know there's enough research to suggest a link and that using single vaccines would be wise.

bubbleymummy · 30/05/2011 10:35

Exotic, it would depend on how long the vaccine lasts. The percentage of the population above the age that the vaccine wanes would need to be less than 5% for herd immunity to exist and that would be with a 100% vaccination rate and 100% effectiveness which just won't happen. Natural herd immunity works because infection from the disease provides lifelong immunity ( with very fewexceptions)

LookToWindward · 30/05/2011 10:42

"WW it's interesting that now you are looking for absolute proof of connections between MMR and the complex range of neural development disorders. "

I'm not - and if you knew the first thing about how peer review and indeed science in general works you would know that I wouldn't even consider asking for "proof". Proof is for mathematicians and the ignorant. I want evidence indicating a casual link.

Even evidence suggesting a causation would be a start.

Despite asking you couldn't provide any then and won't now because it doesn't exist.

Instead I expect to see a flood of links to a couple of sites containing badly written, unreferenced, poorly researched bull shit written by someone who hasn't the first idea what they're talking about. Just like last time.

If by some fluke you manage to identify something I'll have a look but until then keep flailing at those windmills.

LookToWindward · 30/05/2011 10:50

It's probably worth pointing out that the above are peer reviewed.

Stuff like this is not peer reviewed: educate-yourself.org/vcd/

onagar · 30/05/2011 11:37

LookToWindward I said "The claim seems to be that they would not be exposed to the disease because so few would be unprotected."

You can call that a 'Strawman' argument but it was your argument. You are one of those saying that people must vaccinate to protect those around them from being exposed.

I am simply asking how effective it is when even with full cooperation everyone is going to be in contact with half a dozen or more people who can not be vaccinated or for whom the MMR fails to work.

onagar · 30/05/2011 11:39

LookToWindward I poointed out that everyone will still be exposed to the disease because so many can't be vaccinated.

You can call that a 'Strawman' argument but it was your argument. You are one of those saying that people must vaccinate to protect those around them from being exposed.

I am simply asking how effective it is when even with full cooperation everyone is going to be in contact with half a dozen or more people who can not be vaccinated or for whom the MMR fails to work.

onagar · 30/05/2011 11:41

excuse the double post. I lost the first post (so i thought) in a crash and had to rewrite it.

Another bit of hardware bites the dust - sigh.

Gooseberrybushes · 30/05/2011 11:56

Thanks for the links. Smile I'll read them - I bet you won't read mine when I post them.

Gooseberrybushes · 30/05/2011 11:57

"Your aggressive and slightly bonkers manner tells me your just in it for a bun fight."

Hmm at this - did you see ww posting earlier? is one side allowed to be abusive and the other side not allowed to call them on it?

Gooseberrybushes · 30/05/2011 12:02

well the first one is based on 38 people

it just about shows that "some children who would nowadays be diagnosed unambiguously with autistic disorder had been diagnosed with developmental language disorder in the past"

but it's tiny - and diagnostic criteria are continually under review

and it's not about fully austistic people

AW's case study was twelve and he just said it shows more research is needed

so yes, not impressed by that

more later will read the rest and post mine

onagar · 30/05/2011 12:09

Even evidence suggesting a causation would be a start.

Wasn't that Wakefield did? Not offer proof, but something suggesting a connection? Wasn't exactly well received was it.

I'm not even saying he was right in his theory, but theories don't have to be right. That's why they are theories.

PigletJohn · 30/05/2011 12:33

no, that's when they are hypotheses.

Wakesfield's errors began when after publishing a very tentative article, he held a press conference and gushed out a lot more nonsense that was not included in the article or supported by research.

The fact that the research was later discredited is a separate issue.

Gooseberrybushes · 30/05/2011 12:44

"he held a press conference and gushed out a lot more nonsense that was not included in the article or supported by research".

shows how much you know (but then I think we're well on the way to establishing that anyway)

AW did not volunteer his answer - there were others at the presser who would have given a different answer but Richard Horton directed that specific question directly at AW

Gooseberrybushes · 30/05/2011 12:46

I knew you weren't interested in informing yourself

you would never have posted that if you'd read the information linked to previously

all you want to do is opine from a wilfully uninformed point of view

bruffin · 30/05/2011 13:02

The press conference speaks for itself Gooseberry

    Interview: Dr Andrew Wakefield,

    research team leader,

    Royal Free Hospital School of Medicine

    INTERVIEWER: Dr Wakefield, what exactly have you found?

    DR ANDREW WAKEFIELD: Well this work started just over a year ago when we were contacted by a group of mothers who complained that their children had been developing perfectly normally until they had encountered an environmental insult, in many cases they claimed it was the measles, mumps and rubella vaccine, and then had lost their ? all their acquired skills, such as speech, language, developmental milestones. And at the time we were not sure of the implications of that. But what was interesting is that those children had also suffered gastrointestinal symptoms, diarrhoea, alternating constipation and diarrhoea, sometimes blood loss. And it became evident to us that after five calls in two days we had to look at this very seriously to (investigate) these gastrointestinal side effects in particular. Now one of the questions that had been raised before ? the claims had been rather put to one side of gastrointestinal disturbances, these were just a function of the behavioural problems, but we felt they merited taking a little more seriously and so that we investigated them. Interestingly, we set out a study, ten children, we thought we might find inflammation perhaps in one or two based upon the history -- we?ve now looked at 40 children and 39 of those have exactly the same findings. And that?s been intriguing. The children have a patchy inflammation of the colon, rather like colitis as we recognise it historically. And they also have great big swollen lymph glands in the terminal ileum, that is the end of the small intestine. And that combination, as we call it ?ileo hyperplasia?, follicular hyperplasia of the terminal ileum and colitis, is the, is the core of the gastrointestinal syndrome. Interestingly, they also have all undergone developmental regression after a period of normal development.

    INTERVIEWER: There has been concern recently over any long term effects as a result of the MMR vaccine, are you saying now then that there does appear to be a proven link between the vaccine and the side effects?

    DR ANDREW WAKEFIELD: No, the work certainly raises a question mark over MMR vaccine, but it is, there is no proven link as such and we are seeking to establish whether there is a genuine causal association between the MMR and this syndrome or not. It is our suspicion that there may well be but that is far from being a causal association that is proven beyond doubt.

    INTERVIEWER: But if you say there?s at least a question mark over it now, should the vaccine continue to be administered while you?re investigating?

    DR ANDREW WAKEFIELD: I think if you asked members of the team that have investigated this they would give you different answers. And I have to say that there is sufficient anxiety in my own mind of the safety, the long term safety of the polyvalent, that is the MMR vaccination in combination, that I think that it should be suspended in favour of the single vaccines, that is continued use of the individual measles, mumps and rubella components.

    INTERVIEWER: Because that begs the question that you know, are the ? do the advantages of continuing with the vaccines outweigh the disadvantages of a problem developing if you, if you continue to have them?

    DR ANDREW WAKEFIELD: Well I think it?s a very complex question. Certainly if you continue, as I would recommend to use the single vaccine, you do not incur a greater risk of those diseases in the children, so that you do not lose the benefits of vaccination if you space them over time.

    INTERVIEWER: (CUTS) So even measles?

    DR ANDREW WAKEFIELD: Well as yet we don?t know, but there is no doubt that if you give three viruses together, three live viruses, then you potentially increase the risk of an adverse event occurring, particularly when one of those viruses influences the immune system in the way that measles does. And it may be, and studies will show this or not, that giving the measles on its own reduces the risk of this particular syndrome developing.

    INTERVIEWER: So you?re saying that a parent should still ensure that their child is inoculated but perhaps not with the MMR combined vaccine?

    DR ANDREW WAKEFIELD: Again, this was very contentious and you would not get consensus from all members of the group on this, but that is my feeling, that the, the risk of this particular syndrome developing is related to the combined vaccine, the MMR, rather than the single vaccines.

    INTERVIEWER: Now what you seem to be indicating is that there?s ? the effects are on this intestinal disease of the gut and also autism which is a personality disorder. What?s the link there? How can there be a link?

    DR ANDREW WAKEFIELD: Well this is intriguing of course. We?ve been looking for the cause of autism in the brain for many many years and yet have failed to define it. People have been saying for some time, people on the periphery of autism, have been saying for some time that this may well be related to bowel damage. The Italians for example have found that children who are autistic have in many cases a leaky intestine. Others, biochemists, have been saying that it may be a toxic state that absorption of chemicals such as opioid, peptides, morphine like substances from the gut that you and I produce in our diet from milk and wheat, are actually getting access through that leaky gut into the developing brain. And perhaps if that occurs at a particular time of life, when the brain is rapidly developing, then it is susceptible to long term damage. And that is intriguing again, because many parents report that certain foodstuffs make their children?s behaviour much worse, and that withholding that food, those foods, improves their behaviour. What we?ve been able to do here, by directly visualising and biopsying the bowel, is to confirm, at least in this group of children, that there is a link, it may well be a link between gut inflammation and behavioural abnormalities.

    INTERVIEWER: Is this likely to be permanent damage or can, can it be treated?

    DR ANDREW WAKEFIELD: We simply don?t know at this stage. We have ? We entered this as a pilot study to look at ten children, we?ve now looked at 40 children,we?ve been going for a year; we sincerely hope that we can (CUTS) something to ameliorate the damage that has been done, but we do not yet know whether that?s the case.

    INTERVIEWER: Of course there?ll be many parents whose children have had this MMR vaccine who will now be concerned about what may happen to their children. What advice would you give to them?

    DR ANDREW WAKEFIELD: Well, the interesting thing is that the damage, the behavioural or developmental change tends to occur quite soon after administration, and this is where, why parents or GPs or paediatricians have been able to make the link, the association with MMR. So if that hasn?t happened then it is extremely unlikely to happen.

    INTERVIEWER: But there are going to be parents now whose children are about to have the vaccination, and they?re gonna say: I?m not gonna risk it. What would you say to them?

    DR ANDREW WAKEFIELD: Well, my message is for the Department of Health and the regulatory authorities, and that is that this needs urgent investigation; it needs funding and it needs the appropriate level of commitment in terms of basic scientific research and clinical research to answer the question. And until that time we cannot offer any definitive evident, any definitive message to parents about this.

    INTERVIEWER: Sounds to be saying, you seem to be saying perhaps don?t?

    DR ANDREW WAKEFIELD: My opinion, again, is that the monovalent, the single vaccines, measles, mumps and rubella, are likely in this context to be safer than the polyvalent vaccine.

    INTERVIEWER: That?s the MMR vaccine?

    (INTERVIEW ENDS)

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