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Ukraine Invasion - Part 62

768 replies

MagicFox · 05/08/2026 07:18

Thanks as always to everybody consistently posting and keeping us all up to date πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦

**
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blueshoes · 19/10/2026 02:08

https://understandingwar.org/research/russia-ukraine/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-october-17-2026/

Key Takeaways

  1. It remains unclear whether Ukrainian forces can use SpaceX’s low-earth orbit satellite communication technology (Starlink and Starshield) to intercept Russian jet-powered drones as of October 17.
  2. The Ukrainian military officially refuted Russian Chief of the General Staff Army General Valery Gerasimov’s exaggerated battlefield claims from October 16.
  3. US President Donald Trump signed an Executive Order on the night of October 16 that waives key sanctions, restrictions, and tariff provisions against Russia from the Lindsey O. Graham Sanctioning Russia and Iran Act – a decision that will help Russia finance and protract the war in Ukraine.
  4. Polish authorities warn that Russia may escalate its sabotage attempts and provocations against Polish logistics infrastructure, likely in an attempt to disrupt the transportation of Western aid to Ukraine during Winter 2026-2027.
  5. Ukrainian forces recently advanced east of Kramatorsk, and Russian forces recently advanced north of Kostyantynivka.
  6. Russia launched 332 drones and an unspecified number of missiles and Banderol/Dan-T loitering munitions against Ukraine overnight.
Natsku · 19/10/2026 04:46

MissConductUS · 18/10/2026 00:41

What an incredibly brave man!

DrBlackbird · 19/10/2026 10:37

The whole Starsheild/Starlink issue is very worrying for Ukraine. Such a power play. I don’t understand why Musk wouldn’t want to support Ukraine?

Also points to the danger of vital communication technology being subject to the whims of a single idiosyncratic man. The UK and EU need to work to catch up. Though god knows our poor exosphere doesn’t need tens of thousands of more satellites cluttering up space.

DesdamonasHandkerchief · 19/10/2026 10:46

Live:Ukraine

⚑️Volodymyr Zelensky stated that the US is again sharing intelligence data with Ukraine.

He said this in an interview with NBC, Bloomberg reports. The president also added that he hopes to hold talks with the US next week.

β–ͺ️Earlier this week, the US did not warn about at least two ballistic strikes on Kyiv. This followed reports that the US had threatened to stop intelligence sharing with Ukraine over strikes on Russian oil refineries.

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΈUS Secretary of State Marco Rubio says Donald Trump refused to implement the "hellish sanctions" law against Russia in order to analyze their impact on the global economy.

According to Rubio, these sanctions concern not only Russia but also countries that purchase Russian energy resources, including India. Therefore, the White House has taken 60 days to determine how the application of sanctions will affect the US and other countries.

He also rejected the accusation that easing sanctions on Russian diesel was a "gift" to Putin. He argued that Russia would have sold this fuel on the global market anyway, and the only question was what portion of it should go to the US.

According to the Secretary of State, current conflicts increasingly affect one another and create a risk of further increases in oil and diesel prices. Therefore, the Trump administration is trying to find a balance between pressure on Russia and stability of the global energy market.

⚑️ Volodymyr Zelensky held a phone call with US President's representatives Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner.

The sides summarized the results of negotiations between the Ukrainian and American delegations in Florida, agreed on further diplomatic steps, and discussed Russian attacks and strengthening air defense.

"Peace comes only through strength and cooperation built on trust. We are doing everything on our side for this, and to ensure that America's position is strong and helps bring closer the peace that everyone except Russia has been waiting for more than four and a half years," Zelensky wrote.

⚑️Volodymyr Zelensky stated that the instruction to restrict the operation of Starshield in Ukraine came from the US government, and the company SpaceX carried it out technically.

The president noted that this is not only his opinion but also that of Ukrainian military personnel and the government. However, Zelensky does not know who exactly made this decision. According to him, the restrictions on Starshield for Ukraine have still not been fully lifted.

At the same time, US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent stated that no one in the US presidential administration ordered restrictions on the military version of Starlink satellite communications for Ukraine. He called Zelensky's statement "very imprudent" and urged him to be careful with such statements.

When asked what then explains the reduction in Starshield's speed, Bessent did not give a specific answer.

β–ͺ️On the night of October 14, SpaceX restricted the operation of Starshield terminals without warning. The terminals stopped working at a speed of 160 km/h. SpaceX founder Elon Musk stated that these systems belong to the US government, and the rules for their use are determined by the military and the president. At the same time, the White House called the Starshield restrictions a "technical malfunction."

⚑️ Trump stated that Zelensky allegedly does not want to end the war and never has, and also blamed the Ukrainian president for high diesel fuel prices. [See Photo of his disgusting post]

πŸ‡ΉπŸ‡·Turkey will receive Russian diesel under the Moscow-Washington agreement. This was stated by the country's Energy Minister Alparslan Bayraktar.

According to him, in recent months Russia had restricted diesel exports due to supply problems. Now Moscow has agreed with the US on fuel supplies, and Ankara will receive part of these volumes after negotiations.

Bayraktar did not specify exactly how much diesel will be supplied to Turkey. But he called the agreement important for Turkey's energy security.

β–ͺ️On October 9, Donald Trump stated that Russia had agreed to supply diesel to American and global markets to lower fuel prices. After that, the US Treasury issued a temporary license for the export of Russian diesel.

Since evening, the Russians have been striking Kyiv. A 21-year-old woman was killed and three people were injured.

In the Solomianskyi district, missile debris struck a 25-story residential building; in the Dniprovskyi district, a strike hit the territory of non-residential buildings; and in the Desnianskyi district, a medical center was hit.

The attack damaged a ground-level metro station on the left bank, as well as tracks and the cable network. The ground-level stations "Chernihivska" and "Lisova" will be temporarily closed for entry and exit; trains on the red line are running between the "Akademmistechko" and "Darnytsia" stations.

Overnight, the Russian army also struck Dnipro. The attack damaged private houses, and an 84-year-old woman was injured.

⚑️Ukraine receives only 12 Patriot interceptor missiles per month from the US β€” roughly a quarter of the pace under Joe Biden, Volodymyr Zelensky said in an interview with Bloomberg.

According to the president, the US has not approved some of the arms deliveries already paid for by Ukraine under the PURL program. Zelensky emphasized: "And this is not a technical problem."

Under Donald Trump, Ukraine buys missiles from the US, whereas under Biden they were provided free of charge β€” as military aid.

Zelensky also stated that he sees US steps that are meant to "convince Ukraine to capitulate." He clarified that he is not claiming this is the goal of the American partners, but, according to him, that is exactly what it all looks like.

Ukraine Invasion - Part 62
DesdamonasHandkerchief · 19/10/2026 11:02

United 24 Media:

πŸ”ΉKremlin envoy Kirill Dmitriev posted an image on X celebrating what seems to be a shift in US strategy toward Russia. [See Photo depicting Russia & America fighting together against U.K. & the rest of Europe 🀯]

πŸ”Έ β€œI don’t trust Putin, and I don’t trust Russia,” Darlene, the sister of Senator Lindsey Graham, said, expressing her disagreement with U.S. President Donald Trump’s decision not to impose β€œhellish sanctions” on Russia.

β€œPersonally, I would prefer to put pressure on Russia to end the war and lower fuel prices,” she said at a campaign event.

Graham plans to discuss Trump’s decision with the President himself next week, when Trump appears at a rally for his supporters in South Carolina.

❗️Ukraine will not be able to prevail or stand if the US officially takes Russia’s side β€” President Zelenskyy said that US support for Russia would be a historic mistake and a great tragedy.

πŸ”Ή President Zelenskyy held a conversation with Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner.

The parties discussed the outcomes of the meeting between the Ukrainian and American teams in Florida, as well as further diplomatic steps.

Zelenskyy noted that the teams remain in constant contact. Ukraine is also keeping its partners informed about Russian attacks and its air defense needs.

"Peace is achieved only through strength and cooperation built on trust. We are doing everything on our part to ensure this and to help keep America’s position strong, a position that contributes to bringing about the peace that everyone, except Russia, has been awaiting for over four and a half years," Zelenskyy stated.

πŸ”Έ Italy’s Defense Minister Guido Crosetto on Russia during a recent BBC interview:

β€œThere is a desire to put back together what Russia was before the collapse of the Soviet Union.

Precisely because Russia is not a great power, and Russia does not accept not being a great power, not being on the same level as the United States or China.

Since the global competition is now being fought only between the United States and China, Russia would like to be the third country at the table.”

πŸ”Ή Nearly half of the participants at an International Monetary Fund meeting in Bangkok walked out when Russian Finance Minister Anton Siluanov took the floor, Reuters reports.

Representatives from Ukraine and several European countries staged the walkout to protest Russia’s aggression and attempts to reintegrate Moscow into international financial forums.

The protest took place on October 17 during the annual meetings of the IMF and the World Bank in the Thai capital.

As Siluanov began speaking in Russian, representatives from the United Kingdom, Germany, France, Denmark, Sweden, Finland, Norway, Lithuania, Latvia, Estonia, and other countries left the room.

Andrew Bailey, Governor of the Bank of England, also joined the protest, the British central bank confirmed.

Joachim Nagel, President of the German Bundesbank, said nearly half of the delegates had left the meeting.

β€œThis is a very strong signal of solidarity and commitment to values. It would be best for the global economy if this unprovoked war of aggression against Ukraine were to end,” Nagel said.

He added that he was proud of the number of participants who joined the protest.

Andriy Pyshnyy, Governor of the National Bank of Ukraine, was among those who walked out.

In an interview with Reuters, Pyshnyy said he makes a point of leaving the room whenever Russian officials speak at international events. He did the same in Bangkok but was surprised by the number of representatives from central banks and financial institutions who joined him.

β€œI was struck by the number of participants,” Pyshnyy said.

He described the walkout as an important gesture of support for Ukraine.

β€œFor me, it was a truly profound and emotional moment,” the NBU governor said.

Pyshnyy emphasized that the protest sent an important signal to Russia and its allies.

β€œThis unprovoked aggression must be stopped,” he said.

Not all European financial officials joined the walkout. According to two attendees, European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde remained in the room.

One European diplomat told Reuters that Russia’s war against Ukraine has existential significance for Europe.

β€œThe war in Ukraine is an existential issue for us in Europe. We cannot normalize relations with Russia,” the diplomat said.

Germany had previously warned against attempts to bring Russia back onto the international stage. Nevertheless, Siluanov attended meetings of G20 finance ministers and central bank governors this year. Just over a month before the Bangkok meeting, he also attended an event in the United States, marking his first in-person participation in a G20 meeting since Russia launched its full-scale invasion of Ukraine.

The United States, which currently holds the G20 presidency, supports Russian representatives’ participation in such events. US Deputy Secretary of the Treasury Erin Brown told Reuters that the administration considers dialogue necessary to resolve conflicts.

β€œWe believe it is very important to maintain an open dialogue if you want to resolve a crisis. You cannot have a dialogue or reach a conflict resolution if no one is talking to anyone,” she said.

Mohammed Al-Jadaan, Saudi Arabia’s finance minister and chair of the International Monetary and Financial Committee, acknowledged that a significant number of delegates had walked out during Siluanov’s remarks.

However, he stressed that participants had still managed to agree on the chair’s concluding statement.

β€œWe came here with a specific objective, and we achieved it. Look at the Chair’s statement: it clearly indicates that all members agreed to the document. That is what matters,” Al-Jadaan said.

πŸ”Έ Russian Chief of the General Staff Valery Gerasimov told Vladimir Putin that Russian forces had captured the settlement of Malokaterynivka and advanced to within five kilometers of Zaporizhzhia, a claim rejected by Ukrainian military officials, who say the settlement remains firmly under Ukrainian control.

According to Maksym Kravchuk, public affairs officer of Ukraine’s Southern Group of Forces, on October 18, Ukrainian troops remain present in Malokaterynivka, approximately 12 kilometers from the southern outskirts of Zaporizhzhia.

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said on October 19 that Ukrainian forces were eliminating Russian troops 20 kilometers from Zaporizhzhia, not five kilometers away, as Gerasimov had falsely claimed.

❗️Russia attacked Ukraine overnight with ballistic and cruise missiles and 269 drones. Ukrainian air defenses shot down four cruise missiles and 243 UAVs.

Strikes were recorded at 25 locations, while drone debris fell at eight locations.

πŸ”Ή One person was killed and eight others injured in a Russian overnight attack on Kyiv, Ukraine’s State Emergency Service reports.
Damage was recorded in at least three city districts.

❗️Russia’s budget deficit exceeds full-year target in just nine months β€” Foreign Intelligence Service

Russia’s federal budget deficit reached 5.186 trillion rubles ($61.08 billion) from January to September 2026, or 2.2% of GDP. That is 37% higher than the government’s initial deficit target for the entire year.

Russian authorities initially projected a full-year deficit of 3.786 trillion rubles ($44.59 billion), or 1.6% of GDP. In September, they raised the forecast to 7.345 trillion rubles ($86.51 billion), or 3.2% of GDP.

Ukraine Invasion - Part 62
DesdamonasHandkerchief · 19/10/2026 11:11

Kyiv Independent:

⚑️Lithuania foils arson attack on Starlink equipment, suspects Russian involvement.

The attackers attempted to set fire to satellite antennas and a control unit. Investigators found incendiary liquids and containers with capacities ranging from three to 10 liters at the scene, Prime Minister Mindaugas Sinkevicius said.

⚑️️️️️️️'A great deal depends on America's position' β€” Zelensky holds call with Trump's peace envoys as US pivots to Moscow's side.

According to the president, the U.S. and Ukraine are in "constant communication" and are preparing their "next steps in diplomacy."

⚑️US resumes intel sharing on Russian missile launches with Ukraine, Zelensky says.

"We are very thankful for this... Now it works," President Volodymyr Zelensky said.

⚑️️️️️️️NATO jets scramble as drone explodes in Lithuanian airspace.

A flying object, likely a drone, entered Lithuanian airspace and exploded on Oct. 18, sending residents to shelters and damaging a civilian vehicle, Lithuanian President Gitanas Nauseda said.

⚑️️️️️️️Update: Ukraine needs 60-day ceasefire in order to hold elections during war, Zelensky says.

"If you think that I don't want elections, it's not true, and it's not fair," Zelensky told NBC News in an interview published Oct. 18.

The president said he would run for office again if elections were held during wartime, citing a responsibility to continue defending his country.

⚑️️️️️️️Russian ballistic missiles slam Kyiv right as air raid alarms sound.

Residents had little warning before the missiles struck late on Oct. 18. A medical center in Kyiv was hit during the Russian attack, according to Mayor Vitali Klitschko.

⚑️'I want this war end' β€” Trump defends pro-Russian policies in scathing diatribe against Zelensky.

U.S. President Donald Trump took to his social media platform Truth Social on Oct. 18 to defend his recent decisions regarding Russia β€” including the waiving of sanctions, a deal to buy diesel, and intense pressure on Ukraine to stop targeting oil refineries.

⚑️US Treasury Secretary downplays Russia sanctions waiver, warns Zelensky to 'be careful'.

U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent denied accusations that Washington’s recent actions were tipping the scales in Russia's favor and warned President Volodymyr Zelensky to "be careful," in an Oct. 18 interview with NBC News.

⚑️Zelensky: Ukraine has retaken more territory than Russia captured this fall.

Ukrainian forces have recaptured more territory than Russian forces have seized this fall, President Volodymyr Zelensky said in an Oct. 18 post on social media.

⚑️Update: Explosions again heard in Kyiv, metro station damaged in renewed Russian attack.

Multiple explosions rocked Kyiv on Oct. 18 and again early on Oct. 19, Kyiv Independent journalists on the ground reported, as Russia launched successive ballistic missile attacks on the Ukrainian capital.

⚑️US delaying Patriot missiles already paid for under NATO initiative, Zelensky says.

The United States is delaying the delivery of Patriot interceptor missiles already paid for under a NATO-coordinated weapons purchasing initiative, President Volodymyr Zelensky said in an interview with Bloomberg on Oct. 18.

⚑️US-Russia-China summit would only 'encourage Putin to continue this war,' Ukraine says.

"A trilateral meeting between the leaders of Ukraine, the U.S., and Russia could help end the war sooner," Foreign Minister Andrii Sybiha said. "A trilateral meeting between the leaders of Russia, China, and the U.S. would do only the opposite: encourage Putin to continue this war."

⚑️ These are the indicative estimates of Russia’s combat losses as of Oct. 19, according to the Armed Forces of Ukraine. [Massive troop losses once again]

Ukraine Invasion - Part 62
DesdamonasHandkerchief · 19/10/2026 11:18

Kyiv Post:

⚑️ US envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner urged Ukraine and EU allies to resume Russian gas transit in a peace deal, NYT reported.

Berlin rejected the plan, though Washington framed energy flows as economic leverage to halt the war.

⚑️ Russia carried out 76 strikes on Ukraine’s energy grid since Donald Trump announced an β€œenergy ceasefire,” Andrii Sybiha warned.

Easing sanctions now only finances further aggression while Moscow feigns diplomacy, Ukraine’s foreign minister said.

⚑️ Russia’s Cosmos 2612 satellite made an aggressive approach toward the ICEYE X36 radar satellite serving Ukraine, LeoLabs reported.

The Russian craft closed to within 5 km in under 24 hours, raising alarm among US officials over potential interference.

⚑️ Russian disinformation network Matryoshka is using bot farms and AI deepfakes to target US Democrats ahead of the midterms.

The campaign fakes celebrity clips and news broadcasts across 20 Senate races to erode support for Ukraine.

⚑️ If the US officially sides with Russia, Ukraine "will not prevail and will not be able to stand," Zelensky warned.

Speaking on Meet the Press, he called US support for Putin a historic mistake, urging Washington to at least stay neutral.

The US government ordered restrictions on Starlink and Starshield, which SpaceX then carried out, Volodymyr Zelensky said on NBC.

Zelensky added that terminal speeds are not fully restored and US intelligence sharing was cut for 3 days.

⚑️ US Secretary of State Marco Rubio denied Washington had paused intelligence sharing with Ukraine, contradicting Kyiv’s account of a three-day suspension. His remarks came as Donald Trump intensified pressure on Volodymyr Zelensky, accusing the Ukrainian president of not wanting to end the war with Russia.

⚑️ Putin has proposed a meeting with Donald Trump and Xi Jinping next month to discuss ending Russia’s war against Ukraine on terms favourable to Moscow.

The talks could take place during the APEC summit in Shenzhen, China, in November.

⚑️ Zelensky has offered to halt Ukraine’s strikes on Russian oil refineries, if the US provides more Patriot missiles to shield Ukrainian cities from Russian ballistic attacks.

He says delayed interceptors and Starlink restrictions look like pressure on Kyiv to capitulate.

ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 19/10/2026 12:22

Dear God, Trump and the US are just Putin's pets now.

"We will destroy you from within"

DesdamonasHandkerchief · 19/10/2026 12:32

A piece in today’s Times ref Oleshky:

I survived the Road of Death to escape town being starved by Russia

Nataliia is one of the few to have recently left Oleshky, an occupied Ukrainian town where the suffering has drawn comparison to the horrors of Stalin's reign

by Marc Bennetts, Kyiv & Kateryna Malofieieva, Western Ukraine

After finally escaping Oleshky, a Russian-occupied town in southern Ukraine, Nataliia burst into tears at the sight of a loaf of bread. β€œI just stood there and cried,” she said.
Cut off from the outside world by minefields and Russian drone attacks, Oleshky's remaining residents are on the brink of starvation, Ukrainian officials say. The last regular food delivery arrived on May 26.
Nataliia, whose name has been changed for security reasons, is one of only a handful of people from Oleshky who are known to have reached Ukrainian-controlled territory in September. She described nightmarish scenes that have few parallels in Europe since the end of the Second World War.
There is no electricity, gas or drinking water and only basic medical care. The town's streets are lined with the bodies of civilians killed by Russian mines or drones. Some have been eaten by stray dogs. An unknown number of others died in their own homes last winter, when temperatures dropped to as low as minus 10C, and have yet to be removed, Nataliia said.
β€œIn the summer we were still holding on. We had our own vegetable garden, so we survived on what we grew. But at the end of August, everything simply ran out and nothing was being brought in.
Every morning you get up and think, what will we eat today?” Nataliia told The Times in western Ukraine, where she is recovering.
Oleshky, which had a pre-war population of 24,000, is now home to no more than 2,000 people, including 35 children, according to Tetiana Hasanenko, the exiled head of the town's military
administration. Among them are many bedridden and elderly people who will not survive the winter unless they are evacuated, she said.
Occupied by Russia since early in the full-scale invasion, Oleshky became a frontline town in November 2022, when Russian troops withdrew across the Dnipro from Kherson, the regional capital.
On top of war and hunger, Oleshky was also hit by a devastating flood after the destruction of the nearby Kakhovka Dam in 2023. Hundreds of people are believed to have drowned. The town's isolation worsened in January, when Russian troops began laying mines around it.
β€œPeople can't bring anything in and people can't leave,” Nataliia said. β€œThere is constant shelling, every day and every night.” Russian soldiers have also warned locals against fishing in the river or collecting firewood in the forest. At least one man was shot dead as he approached the riverbank, she said. People are relying on water from wells to survive.
β€œRussians are trying to turn the Ukrainian town of Oleshky into a death trap,” Andrii Sybiha, the Ukrainian foreign minister, wrote on X on Saturday. β€œThe hospital has run out of medicine. Dozens of bodies lie in the streets or in homes, as Russians forbid residents from burying them. Families are starving, surviving on leftover garden vegetables, preserves and even snails.”
Some locals make the perilous journey to Radensk, another Russian-controlled town, to fetch supplies for elderly relatives too weak to leave. The 12-mile journey crosses an area known as the Road of Death that is covered with landmines and the charred remains of vehicles. Attack drones can swoop without warning. A number of people have been killed or injured on the road, locals say.
Russian troops also appear to be running short of food. β€œThey shot lots of dogs and took them away. One girl asked them what they were doing and they told her, 'We need to eat.' Then a soldier carried a dog away under his arm,” Nataliia said.
Ukraine has managed to drop food into Oleshky by drone, but Russian forces confiscated some of it and locals who received the supplies were arrested, Hasanenko said. As desperation set in, prices soared. In September, a single cabbage cost 3,000 roubles (Β£27) while a tomato was 1,000 roubles (Β£9), Nataliia said.
In early April, Alla, 41, was killed by a drone. Her body lay in the street for more than six weeks before Russian forces allowed it to be taken to a morgue.
β€œBy then, the dogs had already eaten her stomach. There were no intestines left,” said Alla's mother, Liudmyla, who escaped Oleshky in 2023 and learnt of her daughter's death from friends who remain in the town. Nataliia confirmed her account. Both women are staying at a shelter for displaced people.
The Vatican said on Friday that the Pope had appealed to President Putin for a ceasefire to allow aid to reach Oleshky and to evacuate residents. The Kremlin said it would co-operate but gave no details. Ukrainian officials are sceptical and say Russia is
using Oleshky's residents as a human shield to deter a counteroffensive by Kyiv's forces. Moscow has accused Ukraine of being responsible for the blockade but has given no proof.

The long, perilous journey to safety
The fighting means that the only way to get from Oleshky to Ukrainian-controlled territory is through Russia and Belarus. On September 10, with winter approaching, Nataliia joined a group of ten other people who had decided to risk the long trip.
The initial stage of their gruelling journey took them across the Road of Death. A Ukrainian volunteer group co-ordinated the escape, its drone guiding them through the war-ravaged landscape. The morning was foggy, which gave them some protection from Russian attack drones. On the way they saw the desiccated corpse of a young man who had been killed last winter. β€œHe looked like a mummy,” Nataliia said.
Although Radensk is also under Russian control, there is some food in the shops and it was there that Nataliia wept when she saw bread for the first time in months. From there, they travelled in minibuses provided by volunteers towards Russia.
Of Nataliia's group, only four people made it to the Russian border. Like many people in Oleshky, Nataliia said she had been forced to take a Russian passport to gain access to basic services at the start of the occupation. The other members of the group
remained in Kremlin-controlled areas of the Kherson region because their passports had been destroyed in fires or the flooding. One man from their group was seized by soldiers after trying to get a Russian passport in Skadovsk, a town that was on their way. He has not been heard from since, Nataliia said.
At the Russian border, although other Ukrainians were interrogated by the FSB security service, Nataliia's group was waved through. β€œEveryone in the minibus in front of us was taken away for questioning. Only one woman was released. Maybe the checks are selective,” she said. They then spent three days travelling through Russia and Belarus before they were finally able to cross the Mokrany–Domanove humanitarian corridor into Ukrainian-controlled territory.
β€œWhen we were on the trains, we kept imagining a Shahed drone flying after us. When the wheels screeched, you know, it sounded like a drone. Even now at night, I lie here with the window open, a car goes by, and I hear that sound and think it's a drone. This will pass though, I know,” Nataliia said.
The crisis in Oleshky has rekindled memories of the famine, known in Ukraine as the Holodomor, which killed millions of people in 1932-33. A result of Joseph Stalin's policy of forced collectivisation and grain requisition, the famine was a taboo subject during the Soviet era but is now central to Ukraine's historical memory.
β€œMy grandma lived through the Holodomor and when I was little, she had a small chest of drawers in which she kept salt and matches. I always asked her why she had them and she replied, 'We went through such things',” Nataliia said. β€œShe witnessed hunger and she knew what it was. But it's impossible to believe that this is happening again in the 21st century.”

Ukraine Invasion - Part 62
Ukraine Invasion - Part 62
notimagain · 19/10/2026 19:05

For info a C&P from a.newsletter I got yesterday

<<< The Pentagon isn’t commenting, and Russia has said nothing. But something is definitely happening in low Earth orbit.

Over the weekend, a Russian military satellite, Cosmos 2612, paid a visit to ICEYE-X36, a radar satellite that supplies imagery to Ukraine. The two came within a few hundred meters of each other, according to orbital data published by the US Space Force.

β€œTo my knowledge this is the first LEO (low Earth orbit) rendezvous of two active satellites,” says satellite tracker Jonathan McDowell, recently retired from Harvard University.

The two are separating now. On Sunday, Cosmos 2612 fired its thrusters and raised its orbit by about 2 km. Dutch satellite analyst Marco Langbroek says it’s not yet clear whether Cosmos 2612 is leaving or setting up for another approach.

Does Cosmos 2612 pose a threat? Only Russia knows for sure. The satellite’s specs have never been published. It might be taking a closer look, jamming signals, or ... in 2020, another Russian satellite, Cosmos 2543, released a high-speed object in orbit. U.S. Space Command said it had the hallmarks of an anti-satellite weapon.

Located ~100 km above the orbit of the ISS, the satellites are extremely close together. During their weekend close approach, they were as little as 1 or 2 arcminutes apart--a single point to the human eye, but an easy split in binoculars or a small backyard telescope. ,>>

(From spaceweather.com)

MMBaranova · 19/10/2026 22:27

So much hangs on the thread of a life. Putin, Trump, Zelensky. remove one of them from the stage and things shift (not necessarily in ways one would imagine).

Meanwhile, in North Korea...

blueshoes · 19/10/2026 23:40

MMBaranova · 19/10/2026 22:27

So much hangs on the thread of a life. Putin, Trump, Zelensky. remove one of them from the stage and things shift (not necessarily in ways one would imagine).

Meanwhile, in North Korea...

Yes, Xi's as well. Recent signs of aging at the recent US summit include Xi's need for frequent rest breaks and walking unsteadily down the plane holding on to his wife and the rails.

Then again, Putin has been 'dying' for years but he is still here.

ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 20/10/2026 11:09

I think a lot of Putin's 'dying' was wishful thinking. Although the way he moves and holds himself makes it look like he is in a certain amount of pain, at least to my eyes.

ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 20/10/2026 12:27

Kyiv Independent Telegram Highlights

'It's significant': Ukraine fears US is withholding allied-funded air defense supplies to pressure Kyiv
U.S. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth has yet to approve the transfer of a significant batch of Patriot interceptor missiles for Ukraine, Ukrainian officials told the Kyiv Independent, raising suspicions that Washington is deliberately withholding the weapons.
The delay comes amid daily Russian ballistic strikes on critical infrastructure and follows wider political tensions over Ukraine's strikes on Russian oil refineries.

⚑️ Russia strikes 28 critical energy facilities across Ukraine in latest wave of attacks, Zelensky says.
At least 550,000 households lost power overnight, Zelensky said, following a coordination meeting on the situation in Ukraine's regions.

⚑️Power outages in 12 regions after Russian assault on Ukraine's power plants.
To avoid overloading previously damaged equipment, power limitation schedules for industry will be applied across all of Ukraine, as well as hourly outage schedules in some regions, Ukrenergo announced.

⚑️ Russian drone strike on park in Kharkiv Oblast kills children and infant.
The drone struck the town's central park while many people, including families with children, were there, Interior Minister Ivan Vyhivskyi said. An infant in a stroller and two women were among those killed, he added.

⚑️What Russia's doing to Ukraine is 'fine,' Trump says.
"Russia, frankly, has been fine on Ukraine. They haven't been doing much," Trump said, hours after a Russian drone strike in a public park killed six people, including two children. [fucking piece of shit]

⚑️Zelensky appeals to US lawmakers for answers as White House turns on Kyiv.
"We want to understand what is happening, why it's happening, and where all this is heading," President Zelensky told a bipartisan group of U.S. senators and representatives.

⚑️Witkoff plans Ukraine peace talks in Norway, Putin meeting in Russia.
U.S. President Donald Trump's special envoy Steve Witkoff is expected to travel to Norway this week for peace talks involving Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky and European officials before traveling to Russia for a meeting with Russian President Vladimir Putin, Reuters reported on Oct. 19.

⚑️ US reacts to Kyiv's claim it received no advance notice of Russian ballistic missile launches.
In the Oct. 19 attack on Kyiv, at least one person was killed, and eight others were injured as Russian missiles struck Kyiv in multiple waves overnight.

⚑️Zelensky, Rubio discuss critical military systems amid US-Ukraine tensions.
"I am grateful for his readiness to help and his clear position," President Volodymyr Zelensky said after the conversation.

⚑️Hungary blocks next step in EU membership bids of Ukraine, Moldova, no explanation given.
Colleagues asked their Hungarian counterparts to explain their position, but they did not, one diplomat said.

⚑️Ukraine appoints new commander of Third Army Corps as Biletskyi takes charge of Center forces.
Dmytro "Rohoz" Rohoziuk has been appointed commander of Ukraine's Third Army Corps, replacing Brig. Gen. Andrii Biletskyi, who now leads the Ukrainian military's Center grouping of forces.

⚑️ Ukrainian forces evacuate injured soldier from front-line position by drone in 'first-of-its-kind' mission, video shows.
The operation involved Ukraine's 92nd Separate Assault Brigade, 30th Separate Mechanized Brigade, and 10th Army Corps, along with Ukrainian drone manufacturer Gurzuf Defense.

⚑️ Ukraine, Russia nearing agreement on evacuation of civilians from occupied Oleshky, ombudsman says.
The two sides are discussing a local ceasefire to allow residents to be evacuated directly to Ukrainian-controlled territory, Lubinets said on Oct. 18.

⚑️Zelensky's trust rating surges amid Trump's pressure campaign, poll finds.
U.S. President Donald Trump has repeatedly criticized Zelensky, saying Ukraine should consider finding someone else to negotiate on its behalf.

⚑️Fire at oil pumping station in Russia’s Tambov Oblast after drone attack, monitoring channels say.
Tambov Oblast governor Yevgeny Pervyshov said that a Ukrainian drone attack caused a fire 'on the territory of one of the enterprises' in Michurinsky district but did not specify at which facility.

⚑️ Ukraine to compensate damaged cargo ships, as Russia rejects Black Sea proposal.
Under a mechanism developed by Ukraine’s Infrastructure Ministry, Kyiv will compensate shipowners, operators, and charterers whose vessels fly under the Ukrainian or a foreign flag for up to 80% of the assessed damage if insurers don’t cover the risks.

⚑️ Over 100,000 Ukrainians safe from deportation as US is set to extend protection status.
Temporary Protection Status was granted to Ukraine’s citizens on March 3, 2022, just over a week after Russia began its full-scale war against Ukraine.

Why Russia's war on Ukraine's data centers could backfire on Moscow
Russia’s campaign of targeting Ukrainian data centers could backfire on Moscow, experts told the Kyiv Independent, as retaliatory drone strikes have exposed the severe vulnerabilities of Russia’s centralized IT infrastructure.

⚑️ Russian attacks cost Ukrainian businesses $7.7 billion in 2026, prime minister says.
Russian attacks have destroyed or damaged over 1 million square meters of commercial real estate in 2026, Prime Minister Serhii Koretskyi said in an interview published Oct. 19.
The heavy strikes on warehouse and logistics facilities have compounded operational disruptions, driving down production capacity and leaving almost half of surveyed companies unable to forecast their business outlook.

⚑️Moldova denies sending protest note to Ukraine over border guards' Dniester crossing.

⚑️ Russian captain charged with stealing Ukrainian grain from occupied territories.
The captain was charged with violating the procedure for entering and exiting Ukraine's temporarily occupied territory with intent to harm the interests of the state, and violating the laws and customs of war.

⚑️Russian court jails pro-war blogger critical of Kremlin.
Tetiana Montian, a Ukrainian-born blogger, has supported Russia's aggression against Ukraine but at the same time accused the Russian authorities of incompetence and corruption.

⚑️Pope Leo, Zelensky discuss hopes for ceasefire in Russian-occupied Oleshky.

⚑️Shooting at Kyiv draft office injures 6 as mobilization tensions rise.

Kyiv faces growing risk of a water crisis this winter
As regular Russian strikes on energy facilities leave parts of Kyiv without running water, fears are mounting that further power outages could spark a serious public health crisis.
Experts warn that the failure of the wastewater system β€” which needs constant electricity β€” could lead to sewage flooding and environmental hazards. While generators help, they cannot replace the main power grid.

⚑️ Ukraine brings home 23 children from Russian occupation.
Among the children returned to Ukrainian-controlled territory is 9-year-old Stefan, who was forced to undergo military training at a school under Russian occupation, according to Bring Kids Back UA.

⚑️Russian drone attack on Kyiv rush-hour traffic kills at least 1, injures 6.
The Russian drone crashed near a gas station in the Holosiivskyi District near the administrative border with Kyiv Oblast, according to Kyiv city mayor Vitali Klitschko.

⚑️At least 14 killed, 71 injured in Russian attacks across Ukraine over past day as Russian drone kills 2 children in park.
On the night of Oct. 20, Russia attacked Ukraine with 165 Shahed-type and other drones, 105 of them jet-powered, Ukraine's Air Force said.

Ragnar Bjartur Gudmundsson πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦
@ragnarbjartur.bsky.social
⚑ RUSSIA'S WAR AGAINST UKRAINE β€” OCT 20, 2026
β–  Highest 7-day casualty average of the war, though the day's casualties and engagements were below average
β–  Nine tanks hit, the most since late July; ground robotic system losses well above average
β–  Overnight πŸ‡·πŸ‡Ί attacks: low drone interception rate; 43 locations hit or affected by debris, the most since late August
β–  πŸ‡·πŸ‡Ί drones used at the front down day on day; total πŸ‡·πŸ‡Ί drone losses pass 570,000; three πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ air and artillery strikes reported

Ukraine Invasion - Part 62
ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 20/10/2026 12:39

UNITED24 Media Telegram Highlights

πŸ’Š Russian forces struck a warehouse belonging to BaDM, one of Ukraine’s largest pharmaceutical distributors, during a drone attack on Rivne. No casualties were reported.

Sweden will allocate €5.4 million ($6.4 million) to the Ukraine Transport Infrastructure Support Fund (UTSF) to help repair transit networks damaged by Russia’s full-scale invasion.
https://united24media.com/war-in-ukraine/sweden-allocates-over-eur5-million-to-restore-ukraines-transport-network-23604

❗️Not a single day has passed without strikes on Ukraine’s energy sector since mid-summer, Prime Minister Koretskyi said.
Since July 16, when the new government took office, Russia has launched 2,147 strikes against energy infrastructure, Prime Minister Serhii Koretskyi told BBC News Ukraine.
β€œLiterally, there has not been a single day when the Russians did not strike the energy sector

[ @notimagain ]
Bullying in orbit: Russia may be attempting to interfere with ICEYE-X36, a satellite that gathers intelligence for Ukraine. This assessment comes from Georgy Tryshkin, a space popularizer, rocket-launch analyst, and author of scientific papers on astronautics and rocket engineering.
The distance between the American-Finnish ICEYE-X36 satellite and Russia’s Kosmos-2612 has narrowed to 26 meters, with their relative speed dropping to zero.
In orbital mechanics, an approach within 1 kilometer is considered critical. In this case, the two spacecraft are effectively flying in an uncoordinated tandem.
ICEYE-X36 is a small military satellite weighing less than 100 kilograms. It belongs to a private company but is registered in the United States. The satellite was launched in 2024 into a sun-synchronous orbit at an altitude of 550 kilometers.
Kosmos-2612 is one of six military satellites launched in a batch in April 2026 for the Russian Aerospace Forces. It is also a small satellite.
β€œWhat we are witnessing is one of the first demonstrations of a new type of orbital confrontation: non-invasive blocking achieved through the expenditure of fuel,” Tryshkin said.
Directly interfering with another spacecraft, whether through kinetic means or directed-energy methods, is dangerous and could constitute an act of aggression, he added. Spacecraft orbits are well known, making it virtually impossible to hide objects in space. A target can be selected and imaged without approaching it closely.
A satellite’s operational lifespan is usually limited not by its hardware but by the fuel available for orbital maneuvers. Repeated course corrections in response to close approaches can shorten that lifespan.
Satellite operators must react when the uncertainty zone around one spacecraftβ€”where its precise position cannot be establishedβ€”overlaps with another spacecraft.
Starlink operators typically coordinate maneuvers between their satellites in advance. This is more efficient and considered good practice. Whether the Russian Aerospace Forces coordinate such maneuvers with the US military is unknown, but Tryshkin considers it highly unlikely.
ICEYE-X36 is carrying out a specific mission, giving its operator something to lose. If Kosmos-2612’s objective is to deliberately deplete another satellite’s fuel reserves, it is achieving that goal at relatively low cost, without the need for an β€œaccidental” collision.
Given the precision required for close approaches in orbit, Tryshkin suspects the encounter was deliberate. He believes the Russian Aerospace Forces adjusted their satellite’s orbit to approach ICEYE-X36.
Notably, the satellite singled out was linked to the United States, despite the availability of other satellites from the same Russian military series and other countries. Tryshkin left readers to draw their own conclusions.
The consequences remain unclear as the situation unfolds. An emergency orbital adjustment by ICEYE-X36 could temporarily disrupt its operations and affect its service life. However, the impact may not become apparent until next year, as such spacecraft are designed to operate for at least three years.
If this approach proves successful, similar incidents could become more frequent. That would have significant implications for manufacturers operating satellite fleets numbering in the dozens rather than thousands and could force them to revise their orbital correction algorithms.

Ice arenas in Kyiv where Ukrainian figure skaters train were damaged in a Russian attack.

πŸ“š A German publisher has halted the release of a novel about a romance between a Ukrainian woman and a Russian soldier following widespread criticism.
Yuna Libbrecht, author of Who I Am When You See Me, has apologized to those who felt offended or hurt, saying she never intended to offend anyone or romanticize the war.
After the novel was announced, its publisher, Molino, received substantial criticism. Readers argued that portraying a Russian soldier as a savior and romantic partner to a Ukrainian civilian in occupied Kherson risked romanticizing military occupation and the violence and suffering endured by Ukrainians.

❗️Overnight, Russia attacked Ukraine with 165 drones. Air defense forces shot down 115 of them. Impacts were recorded at 30 locations, while debris fell at 13 others.

Three people were killed and six injured in a Russian attack on a production and warehouse facility in the Obukhiv district of the Kyiv region.
Russian forces also struck an apartment building in Sumy’s Zarichnyi district.
In the Shepetivka district of the Khmelnytskyi region, a church was damaged in a Russian attack. An industrial facility was also hit.
In Izium, Kharkiv region, five people were injured. Residential buildings and the city’s education department office were damaged or destroyed.
Russian attacks also damaged energy infrastructure in the Ternopil and Odesa regions. Power outages were reported in parts of the Odesa region.

Ukraine Invasion - Part 62
notimagain · 20/10/2026 12:42

@ReleaseTheDucksOfWar

"Bullying in orbit: Russia may be attempting to interfere with ICEYE-X36,......"

Many thanks for that piece, some interesting thoughts contained within.

ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 20/10/2026 12:43

All from UNITED24 Media.

they are, ofc, very one sided but they go into more depth than most of the other popular news outlets.

ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 20/10/2026 12:52

Kyiv Post Telegram Highlights

Former NATO commander Wesley Clark accused Trump of potentially sacrificing Ukraine to secure Putin’s cooperation on Iran, comparing the possible deal to the 1938 Munich Agreement, when Hitler was appeased after invading Czechoslovakia.
β€œThis is a very, very corrupt, dangerous bargain. The President of the United States is supposed to be the leader of the free world. He’s got to act like it and not cozy up to Putin.”

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky accused the Pentagon of delaying Patriot missile deliveries already paid for by European allies, saying the weapons were awaiting US approval.

Russian security forces are checking men’s military-registration records at airports and handing conscription notices to some newly naturalised citizens.
Moscow confirms there are 17 airport migration-control points, but it remains unclear whether military enlistment officers have a permanent presence at every airport.

61% of Ukrainians reject giving Russia all of Donbas in exchange for security guarantees, a new KIIS poll shows. Only 35% said they could accept the concession.
Opposition is strongest in Kyiv, where 66% reject the proposal, and spans every region of government-controlled Ukraine.

South Korea will withdraw some staff from its embassy in Ukraine as a diplomatic dispute escalates over Kyiv’s disclosure of the transfer of two North Korean prisoners of war to Seoul, despite Ukraine’s insistence that the matter has been resolved.

Italy has reduced visa processing time for Russian nationals from 60 days to 45 days as the EU weighs visa restrictions amid rising hybrid threats from Moscow.
Italy has reportedly opposed the restrictions, as data estimates that Rome issued 160,000 tourist visas to Russians in 2025, when the bloc issued a record 477,878 tourist visas to Russians.

The 12th Kyiv International Economic Forum (KIEF) will take place in Kyiv on October 26, bringing together more than 500 participants. This year’s theme is β€œPeople. Business. Economy. What’s Next?” Kyiv Post has joined KIEF 2026 as an international media partner.

Congresswoman Madeleine Dean accused Trump of helping Putin by delaying $400 million in weapons for Ukraine, disrupting missile warnings, and easing sanctions on Russia.
β€œWe need real diplomats. But instead, we have found that our president, and this is sad, he has been a puppet of Putin.”

Poland scrambled military aircraft twice as Russia carried out air attacks on Ukraine, with alerts sent to residents of the Lublin and Subcarpathian regions.
The alerts were lifted after the threat passed. The deployments came as Russian forces attacked western Ukraine, including a drone strike near Lviv that set a warehouse building on fire.

Kyiv Post has become the first Ukrainian partner of NewsGuard AI in 2026.
NewsGuard AI is NewsGuard’s new artificial intelligence chatbot designed to help readers navigate information and distinguish reliable reporting from misinformation.
[...]
Explore NewsGuard AI and claim your Kyiv Post reader offer:
https://www.newsguard.ai/campaign/kyiv-post

BREAKING: Two women and an infant in a stroller were killed after a Russian strike hit the central park in Nova Vodolaha, in Ukraine’s Kharkiv region.
At least 14 people were injured, including seven children. The park was crowded at the time of the attack.

A week without US early-warning intelligence has left Ukrainians with little or no time to reach shelter before Russian ballistic missile strikes.
At least six civilians have been killed and 21 injured. While US officials deny a cut-off, Ukrainian officials, military sources and civilian air-defence networks report warnings are now arriving too late.

Putin’s forces killed a baby in her stroller on a playground. Her name was Angelina.
She was just over a year old when a Russian Shahed drone struck a park beside a cafΓ© in Ukraine’s Kharkiv region β€” as Donald Trump continued to push for a ceasefire.
Her mother, Inna, later died in hospital. An 11-year-old girl was also killed. Six people died in total, while 14 others, including six children, were injured.

β€œRussia, frankly, has been fine on Ukraine. They haven’t been doing much,” US President Donald Trump said."

Ukraine Invasion - Part 62
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Ukraine Invasion - Part 62
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Ukraine Invasion - Part 62
ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 20/10/2026 12:53

I realise I'm repeating the info about the baby killed and Trump's claim that 'Russia hasn't been doing much" but right now I'm struggling to contain fury and outrage.

ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 20/10/2026 13:02

Live: Ukraine Telegram Highlights

Nearly 70% of Ukrainians support freezing the front line, but without legal recognition of the occupied territories as Russian and with movement toward the EU and NATO, according to a KIIS survey.
22% of respondents do not support this idea, and 9% are undecided.
Also according to the survey, 62% of Ukrainians are ready to endure the war for as long as necessary. Another 4% speak of a conditionally long period β€” 1 year. 23% of people are ready to endure the war for several months or half a year. At the same time, despite terror by jet-powered drones, 72% of Kyiv residents are ready to endure the war for as long as necessary.
The absolute majority of Ukrainians (79%) believe that Ukraine will win the war, while 7% believe Russia will win.
75% of Ukrainians allow for negotiations with Russia to end the war now.
The survey was conducted from September 12–21, 2026, using telephone interviews based on a random sample of mobile numbers of Ukrainians aged 18 and older.

Business losses from the war this year amounted to $7.7 billion. The Russians destroyed or significantly damaged over 1 million mΒ² of real estate, including warehouse and logistics facilities, Prime Minister Serhiy Koretskyi said in an interview with BBC News Ukraine.
According to the prime minister, the country continues to share all intelligence and information summaries with businesses: where strikes occur and what the consequences are. He said the government meets frequently with business representatives. At the last meeting, they discussed a proposal to raise VAT by 1% to create a special fund to compensate for insurance and military risks.
Other statements by the prime minister:
πŸ”΄Currently, there are more people who have a deferral or are reserved than those serving. Tens of thousands of people receive reservations or deferrals every month. That is why the government will change the reservation rules, but nothing will change for truly critical companies.
πŸ”΄This year, Russia changed its tactics for strikes on critical infrastructure, which means it is necessary "to prepare for much more difficult everyday circumstances." The Russians have focused on water supply in Kyiv. Therefore, the government is currently preparing backup power, backup pumping stations, and various alternative supply methods.
πŸ”΄The government is also developing a pension reform, but there are currently no funds in the budget for it. Due to the budget deficit, Ukraine will either cancel or significantly reduce other programs.

⚑️After strikes on Yandex data centers in Russia, anti-Israeli activity on the internet fell by 60%, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu stated during the presentation of the country's new security doctrine.
According to him, part of the online activity of Russian entities directed against Israel disappeared. Netanyahu called the information space the "eighth front" and stated that Israel will develop its own capabilities to fight on it, including with the help of artificial intelligence.

Overnight, Russia attacked Ukraine with 165 drones, 105 of them jet-powered. Air defense neutralized 115 UAVs, including 73 jet-powered. However, the enemy struck 30 locations, with debris falling in 13 others. Key points on the aftermath:
πŸ”΄In the Kyiv region, a Russian strike on a production and warehouse building in the Obukhiv district killed three people and injured six others.
πŸ”΄Kharkiv region. Drones attacked Izium, injuring five people. The strikes damaged residential and administrative buildings, outbuildings, and vehicles.
πŸ”΄In Sumy, a drone struck an apartment building and a warehouse.
πŸ”΄Dnipro. At dawn, a Russian attack damaged private houses in the suburbs.
πŸ”΄Odesa region. Russian strikes damaged energy facilities and caused power outages in part of the region.
πŸ”΄Ternopil region: Russia damaged three energy facilities in the Kremenets district and private houses in the Chortkiv district.

A Russian drone struck the Kyiv–Odesa highway. Cars caught fire β€” preliminary reports indicate there are dead and injured.
Also this morning, the Russians struck warehouses in the suburbs of Dnipro. Three people were injured, one man is in serious condition.
In the strike on the highway in the Kyiv region, three people were killed and four injured.

Ukraine Invasion - Part 62
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Ukraine Invasion - Part 62
ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 20/10/2026 13:17

heh. Mumsnet are taking an awful long time to debate the photos of that poor little baby.

MMBaranova · 20/10/2026 19:24

Some things are not to be. Yet.

Ukraine Invasion - Part 62
blueshoes · 20/10/2026 21:00

https://understandingwar.org/research/russia-ukraine/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-october-19-2026/

Key Takeaways

  1. Ukrainian officials continue to report disruptions to US assistance to Ukraine.
  2. Devastating Russian drone and missile strikes on the night of October 18 to 19 heavily damaged energy and civilian infrastructure across Ukraine β€” killing at least four and wounding at least 55.
  3. Daytime Russian strikes are also inflicting significant civilian casualties.
  4. The Kremlin is reportedly pushing for a trilateral meeting between the United States, Russia, and the People’s Republic of China (PRC), likely as part of a dual-pronged effort to present itself as a diplomatic peer while supporting structures that challenge Western-led international organizations.
  5. Recent aggressive Russian military satellite maneuvers are a continuation of Russia’s space policy against third country satellites since at least 2022.
  6. Ukrainian forces recently advanced in the Lyman tactical area, east of Dobropillya, and in western Zaporizhia Oblast.
blueshoes · 20/10/2026 21:03

https://understandingwar.org/research/russia-ukraine/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-october-18-2026/

Key Takeaways

  1. Ukraine’s ability to use SpaceX’s low-earth orbit satellite communication technology (Starlink and Starshield) to intercept Russian jet-powered drones remains unclear as of October 18.
  2. Ukrainian forces conducted their largest strike against Russian digital, energy, and logistics infrastructure in St. Petersburg, Leningrad Oblast since 2022, overnight on October 17 to 18.
  3. Russia continues to expand kinetic actions in Europe that are likely intended to disrupt Western assistance to Ukraine and test NATO resolve.
  4. ISW has observed additional evidence corroborating information about the recent restructuring of the 4th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade into the 84th Motorized Rifle Division (3rd Combined Arms Army, Southern Military District).
  5. Russia launched 337 drones and one Iskander-M ballistic missile against Ukraine during the day on October 17 and overnight on October 17 to 18.
  6. Ukrainian forces recently advanced in northern Sumy Oblast.
Natsku · 21/10/2026 05:50

DrBlackbird · 19/10/2026 10:37

The whole Starsheild/Starlink issue is very worrying for Ukraine. Such a power play. I don’t understand why Musk wouldn’t want to support Ukraine?

Also points to the danger of vital communication technology being subject to the whims of a single idiosyncratic man. The UK and EU need to work to catch up. Though god knows our poor exosphere doesn’t need tens of thousands of more satellites cluttering up space.

It is very worrying. That's why it'll be great when Iceye and Nokia get their own version up, which will be in the control of the countries that buy it so no one person can do something like Musk is doing. But won't be ready for some time yet so something needs to be done about Musk now.

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