Please or to access all these features

Chat

Join the discussion and chat with other Mumsnetters about everyday life, relationships and parenting.

Ukraine Invasion - Part 62

768 replies

MagicFox · 05/08/2026 07:18

Thanks as always to everybody consistently posting and keeping us all up to date πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦

**
Agreed thread guidance:

A. The agreed purpose of the thread is for the sharing of information and commentary on current events

B. If you post a link please tell us where it leads/give a precis of the content

C. Discussion and debate is welcome, but please keep it respectful

D. Please keep on topic

OP posts:
Thread gallery
328
notimagain · 13/10/2026 13:58

@DesdamonasHandkerchief

In the 2016 referendum, a majority of UK citizens (52%) supported leaving the EU..

Just a point of order, it was 52% of those who voted....

DesdamonasHandkerchief · 13/10/2026 14:13

United 24 Media:

πŸ”Ή Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy stated on October 12 that Russian bot activity on social media had declined following Ukrainian drone strikes on Yandex data centers.

😠🌾 Russia seeks new grain export routes amid Black Sea port disruptions

Russian grain exporters are exploring the possibility of shipping produce via China due to operational issues at ports in the Azov-Black Sea basin.

According to Ksenia Bolomatova, Executive Director of the Russian Grain Association, Ukrainian drone strikes and restrictions at southern ports have forced Russia to seek alternative routes, particularly via the Far East and the Caspian Sea.

Russian analysts had previously estimated that the country’s export potential could drop from 59 million to 39 million tons, leaving another 20 million tons of grain at risk of remaining unsold.

An oversupply has already caused grain prices in southern Russia to fall by nearly half, while stockpiles could rise to 34.8 million tons by the end of the year.

πŸ”Έ President Volodymyr Zelenskyy met with the Ukrainian negotiating delegation that had returned from the United States.

β€œUkraine is ready for concrete decisions and de-escalation steps to bring the end of this war closer.

Ukraine has supported an energy ceasefire. Our position is absolutely clear: Ukraine is ready to guarantee an energy ceasefire, as announced by the US President, and Russia must take corresponding steps.

As of now, there is no indication that Russia is fulfilling the conditions outlined by the US President.

Unfortunately, our energy infrastructure was struck yesterday, and attacks are continuing today. Air raid alerts have been sounding across Ukraine all day. Russian Shahed drones are being deployed, and aerial bomb strikes are ongoing.

If these strikes are Russia’s response to the US President’s statement, it means Russia has squandered yet another opportunity to bring peace closer.

A great deal depends on America’s stance if de-escalation is to succeed. Pressure on Russia is required.

We continue to engage with the American side at all levels. We have defined the next steps and the diplomatic framework,” Zelenskyy said.

πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί EU countries have agreed to open the second and third negotiation clusters on Ukraine’s accession to the European Union, Minister of State for European Affairs and Defence, Thomas Byrne, said.

πŸ”Ή β€œLast night, we did not attack any energy facilities within Russian territory because President Trump had said there would be an energy truce between Ukraine and Russia. We refrained from attacking, even while Russia struck our gas stations, energy infrastructure, and other facilities. I believe this was Putin’s response to President Trump,” President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said in an interview with Fox News.

β€œAnd the signals coming from Russia were very clear: they know nothing about an energy truce.

It is a pity, because they always find reasons not to stop this war. That is precisely why I believe more pressure needs to be put on Russia,” Zelenskyy added.

πŸ”Έ China steps up border controls with Russia amid plague fears β€” The Telegraph

Authorities in northeastern China are intensifying sanitary controls at the border, holding emergency meetings, issuing warnings, and stepping up surveillance at ports and customs checkpoints to monitor travelers and cargo.

Notices have been issued in Manzhouli and Hulunbuir advising people who have recently arrived from Russia to monitor themselves for potential symptoms of the disease.

❗️An section to a residential building collapsed in Kharkiv following Russian shelling. People may be trapped under the rubble, Mayor Ihor Terekhov said.

πŸ”Ή NATO has unveiled a plan to repel a potential Russian attack, dubbed the β€œTheory of Victory.”

The concept outlines three stages designed to defeat an adversary. It was presented by General Christopher Cavoli, Supreme Allied Commander Europe (SACEUR), at the Warsaw Security Forum.

The first stage, β€œBlock,” aims to halt the initial attack and prevent the adversary from gaining momentum.

If the offensive continues, NATO would move to the second stage, β€œBlunt,” which aims to strip advancing forces of their ability to push further forward.

The third stage, β€œBreak,” involves destroying not only advancing units but also the military infrastructure supporting their operations. NATO plans to disrupt supply lines, disable command systems, and undermine the attacking forces’ combat effectiveness.

Cavoli said NATO had been developing the plan for several years but decided to present it publicly for the first time in light of recent events.

Some have blamed the surge in global diesel prices on Ukrainian strikes against Russian refineries. But market data shows that a major driver of the price increase lies thousands of kilometers awayβ€”in the Persian Gulf, where the war with Iran has disrupted shipping through the Strait of Hormuz and sharply reduced fuel exports. [photo]

πŸ”Έ After more than two years in Russian captivity, Oleksandr Vedernikov became the first serviceman to remove his photo from the β€œTree of Hope” in Kostopil.

Upon returning home, the 57-year-old defender visited the symbolic tree and personally took down his photograph. Around 150 photos of community residents who are missing in action or held in Russian captivity remain on the tree.

Vedernikov volunteered to defend Ukraine despite health issues. On February 26, 2022, he joined the local Territorial Defense forces and was later deployed to the Donetsk sector.

Contact with him was lost in April 2024 after he failed to return to his position following a battle. He spent more than two years in Russian captivity and was released on August 18, 2026. [Photo]

πŸ”Ή Ukrainian assault troops are using TM-62 mines to blow up multi-story buildings in Kostiantynivka, Donetsk region, occupied by Russian infantry.

πŸ”Έ Denmark to turn IKEA stores into shelters in the event of a Russian attack β€” Yle

Denmark is preparing for a potential military threat from Russia by enlisting the help of private companies, including furniture giant IKEA.

For example, a hypermarket in Copenhagen could be quickly converted into a shelter or temporary hospital. In an emergency, the restaurant would serve food, generators would provide electricity, and patient beds would be assembled in the warehouse.

More than 200 companies in Denmark have joined a network designed to assist authorities during various emergencies. In addition to retail chains, the network includes construction companies and telecommunications operators.

❗️Russia attacked commercial vessels near Bulgaria’s territorial waters, injuring citizens of Ukraine and Azerbaijan, says Foreign Minister Andrii Sybiha.

According to Sybiha, the strike once again demonstrates Moscow’s β€œdeliberate disregard” for civilian lives and the safety of navigation in the Black Sea.

He called on partners to increase pressure on Russia and β€œtake decisive measures” to hold it accountable and protect freedom of navigation.

β€œThe Black Sea is a vital artery for global food security. Russia is attacking it to weaponize hunger and hold the world hostage. This requires a response through decisive action,” Sybiha emphasized.

πŸ”Ή Rescuers have extinguished a fire in an educational institution building following a Russian attack on central Rivne, the Regional Military Administration reported.

Fourteen people have been reported injured, one of them in serious condition.

❗️Ukraine has not attacked Russian oil refineries or energy infrastructure in general for the two days since Trump called for a halt to strikes on the energy sector, Zelenskyy said.

However, Russia did not heed the American president’s call. During this time, Russian forces have attacked both Ukraine’s energy facilities and critical infrastructure, sending a clear signal that they do not intend to refrain from striking Ukraine. Nineteen regions of the country came under attack during these two days alone.

β€œOur position remains unchanged: Ukraine is ready for reciprocal de-escalation measures, but effective pressure on Russia is required to achieve de-escalation. Wars end when the aggressor realizes they no longer have the ability to prolong the conflict,” the Ukrainian leader stated.

πŸ”Έ Bulgarian Prime Minister Rumen Radev indirectly accused Russia of attacks on merchant vessels in the Black Sea.

Another attack occurred last night. At approximately 01:30, the vessel Chelsea 3, located near the Bulgarian town of Byala, issued a distress signal. It was later revealed that the ship had been attacked by three drones.

The Chelsea 3 sails under the Maltese flag but is registered in Odesa and is Ukrainian-owned.

All 15 crew members, including seven Ukrainian citizens and eight Azerbaijani citizens, were evacuated to the port of Varna. Five of them are receiving medical attention.

β€œThe latest attack on a merchant vessel in the immediate vicinity of Bulgaria’s territorial waters is absolutely unacceptable.

Our permanent representatives to NATO and the EU have been informed.

Bulgaria continues to seek support for an investigation into these attacks to determine the country of origin of the drones.

We are also requesting assistance to enhance air and maritime surveillance and improve our response capabilities.

We do not have clear and conclusive evidence to attribute responsibility to either side. However, logic suggests that the outcome benefits the Russian Federation. Therefore, I will summon the Russian ambassador for a meeting today,” Radev stated.

πŸ”Ή Serbia has accredited a Russian diplomat who was expelled from Bulgaria in 2021 amid a spy scandal, according to media reports.

Oleksandr Krasiy received accreditation in Serbia in 2026 as an assistant military attachΓ©.

Radio Liberty’s investigation found that leaked data from Russian databases links Krasiy to Russian military intelligence. Security experts have criticized Serbian institutions for failing to respond to such appointments.

Investigative journalists also note that since the start of Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine, Serbia has accepted Russian diplomats who were previously expelled or placed on sanctions lists by EU countries.

Ukraine Invasion - Part 62
Ukraine Invasion - Part 62
DesdamonasHandkerchief · 13/10/2026 14:22

Kyiv Post:

⚑️ Germany vows to stand by Ukraine as Merz tells Zelensky: β€œYou can rely on us.”

The chancellor said Berlin and Europe would keep working for a just and lasting peace that protects Ukraine’s freedom and Europe’s security.

⚑️ Weapons and ammunition deliveries to Ukraine through the PURL mechanism are continuing, a NATO official said, despite Trump’s demand that Kyiv halt strikes on Russian oil refineries and reports that the program could be suspended, as reported by Suspilne.

β€œSupport for Ukraine through PURL continues to arrive,” the official said.

⚑️ NATO’s top commander in Europe urged allies to counter Russia’s hybrid threats by strengthening support for Ukraine through the PURL weapons program.

The remarks push back against reports that Washington may cut off arms supplies to Kyiv through the mechanism amid the fallout over Trump’s diesel deal with Moscow.

⚑️ Trump said he believed Vladimir Putin wanted a deal more than Volodymyr Zelensky did.

The US president later said both leaders wanted to reach an agreement but did not know how to do so, adding that the United States would make them reach one.

⚑️ Trump said an β€œenergy ceasefire” between Ukraine and Russia remained in place, although neither Kyiv nor Moscow had confirmed such an agreement.

When pressed on the matter, Trump said: β€œThey agreed. You know why? Because I said, β€˜You agree.’ That’s why.”

⚑️ Former US envoy Kellogg said Ukraine should decide how to fight Russia, including whether to strike Russian refineries.

β€œWe should all need to step back and let Ukraine make determinations of what it’s going to do, how it’s going to attack,” Kellogg said, dismissing tensions between Trump and Zelensky as β€œnoise.”

⚑️ BREAKING: Zelensky confirmed that Ukraine received no intelligence warning from its partners ahead of last night’s Russian strike.

β€œUnfortunately, there was no warning from our partners about this strike. Intelligence on the launch of Russian ballistic missiles helps save lives, and this is one of the most critical issues. It is precisely this information that helps prevent killings when there is advance warning of ballistic missiles.”

⚑️ The French Navy intercepted and boarded the sanctioned oil tanker DF Peak more than 450 nautical miles south of Réunion.

France suspects the vessel of using a false flag and participating in illegal fuel transportation linked to Russia’s shadow fleet.

⚑️ Finland is urging the EU to STOP issuing tourist visas to Russian citizens until Moscow ends its war against Ukraine.

β€œIt is not right that Russians can travel to Europe to enjoy the way of life and freedoms here while their country bombs the homes of Ukrainians,” Finnish Foreign Minister Elina Valtonen said.

⚑️ US Ambassador to NATO Matthew Whitaker said he was aware of no change to weapons flows to Ukraine through the PURL program, declining to comment on β€œunconfirmed reports.”

He acknowledged Kyiv’s air-defense shortage but described it as a short-term challenge, saying companies were working on alternatives to close the gap.

The EBRD is increasing the capacity of its war-risk insurance scheme for Ukrainian businesses from €110m to €150m after Ukrainian insurers and their clients exhausted the existing limit.

The expansion is intended to help businesses keep operating and investing despite Russia’s war.

Mb76 · 13/10/2026 19:34

notimagain · 13/10/2026 13:58

@DesdamonasHandkerchief

In the 2016 referendum, a majority of UK citizens (52%) supported leaving the EU..

Just a point of order, it was 52% of those who voted....

Good spot! Majority of the UK population did not vote at all… I can’t remember exactly but wasn’t it 38% of everyone eligibility vote in the referendum did? I’m still not over it… sorry to derail.

notimagain · 13/10/2026 19:46

Mb76 · 13/10/2026 19:34

Good spot! Majority of the UK population did not vote at all… I can’t remember exactly but wasn’t it 38% of everyone eligibility vote in the referendum did? I’m still not over it… sorry to derail.

It's sort of water under the bridge, I can't remember how it all worked out in the end but I do know the majority of UK citizens eligible to vote did not vote to leave the EU...but we are where we are.

AskingQuestionsAllTheTime · 13/10/2026 20:14

notimagain · 13/10/2026 19:46

It's sort of water under the bridge, I can't remember how it all worked out in the end but I do know the majority of UK citizens eligible to vote did not vote to leave the EU...but we are where we are.

72.21% of the eligible population voted, I think.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Results_of_the_2016_United_Kingdom_European_Union_membership_referendum

So 51.9% of 72.21% voted to leave, which is indeed not a majority of those eligible.

blueshoes · 13/10/2026 23:46

https://understandingwar.org/research/russia-ukraine/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-october-12-2026/

Key Takeaways

  1. Russia and Ukraine have not agreed to a ceasefire against energy infrastructure as of October 12, as Russian forces continued to strike Ukrainian energy infrastructure overnight on October 11 to 12.
  2. Senior Russian officials confirmed that there is no ceasefire agreement as of October 12 and outright rejected any ceasefire proposal that would allow Ukraine to hold elections.
  3. A Russian State Duma deputy and a Russian ultranationalist mouthpiece supported the Kremlin’s rejection of an energy ceasefire proposal and openly stated that Ukrainian strikes against Russian refineries are not the primary driver of global diesel shortages. [more fool Trump]
  4. Ukrainian forces delayed a Russian strike package by striking Russian ballistic missile launchers located in Russia.
  5. Ukrainian forces did not strike Russian oil refineries on October 11 to 12 due to President Trump’s energy ceasefire announcement on October 11. Russian forces launched 121 drones against Ukraine overnight.
  6. Ukrainian forces recently advanced in the Oleksandrivka direction.
DuncinToffee · 14/10/2026 10:21

https://kyivindependent.com/this-cannot-be-a-coincidence-ukraines-starlink-access-restricted-without-warning-zelensky-adviser-says/

⚑️ 'This cannot be a coincidence' β€” Ukraine's Starlink access restricted without warning, Zelensky adviser says.

Ukraine relies on Starlink to operate its mid-strike drones in Russian-occupied Ukraine.

MMBaranova · 14/10/2026 10:36

Yes strikes are getting through to Ukrainian power generation and Starlink is not what it was last week.

The Enemy is truly evil.

And so is Putin.

ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 14/10/2026 11:35

Kyiv Independent Telegram Highlights

⚑️ 'This cannot be a coincidence' β€” Ukraine's Starlink access restricted without warning, Zelensky adviser says.
Ukraine relies on Starlink to operate its mid-strike drones in Russian-occupied Ukraine.

⚑️Russian missile strike on Kyiv residential building kills 1, injures 21. Official says allies gave no early warning.

⚑️Update: Several power plants struck in Russian missile attack on Kyiv.
Several power plants were struck in the capital overnight on Oct. 14, an energy official told the Kyiv Independent, as Russia continues to intensify its attacks on energy infrastructure ahead of the coming winter months.

⚑️Trump refuses to accuse Russia of breaking energy ceasefire, says Ukraine 'hit sites the day before'
U.S. President Donald Trump on Oct. 13 did not directly accuse the Kremlin of violating his energy ceasefire, saying Ukraine also previously struck Russian energy sites in response to reporters' questions.

⚑️ US senators urge Trump to drop Russian diesel deal, use Graham's sanctions law.
"This deal is a gift to our adversary and a betrayal of our Allies; it should be rescinded," reads the letter signed by six Democratic and six Republican senators.

⚑️Ukraine advances EU membership bid with 4 of 6 integration to-do lists unlocked
Ukraine celebrated the opening of two more EU enlargement clusters at a ceremony in Luxembourg on Oct. 13, a key milestone in the process to eventually become a member state.

How the Russian army is learning from Ukraine and NATO
"For decades, [Russian military education] had trained officers to carry out tactical tasks and work with staff documents, but not to think and act independently,” writes Liubov Tsybulska, director of NGO Join Ukraine, in this op-ed.

⚑️ EU disburses close to 3 billion euros of defense money to Ukraine ahead of leaders summit.
The funding will go towards drones, air defense systems, missiles, radars, electronic warfare systems, and ammunition, reads a European Commission press statement.

⚑️Massive fire at industrial plant in Russia's Rostov Oblast spreads to 9,000 square meters
The Aksaykardandetal plant manufactures drive shafts and metal components for agricultural and specialized machinery, and has metalworking capabilities which could potentially be used to manufacture military equipment components.

⚑️'Even isolated Shahed strikes cause power and water outages' β€” Zelensky criticizes Kyiv's preparedness for Russian attacks
Zelensky said he had begun consultations on urgent security and administrative measures to address the situation and accelerate the implementation of Kyiv's resilience plan.

⚑️Russia detains Japanese journalist on espionage charges.
Russia's Security Service (FSB) said that a Japanese citizen, Yuki Imai, working for the Hokkaido Shimbun newspaper was arrested in the country's far east near islands disputed by Russia and Japan before being taken to Moscow.

'Blown out of proportion' β€” Domestic politics at the core of South Korea's rift with Ukraine
Seoul's diplomatic spat with Kyiv continues to deepen following South Korea's decision to recall its ambassador over a dispute regarding North Korean POW transfers.
However, experts tell the Kyiv Independent that the feud is less about Ukraine than about South Korea's own politics and piling geopolitical challenges.

Fact check: Russia turns to AI to push fakes about β€˜women’s draft’ in Ukraine
Russian disinformation yet again targets the sensitive topic of mobilization in Ukraine β€” this time, pushing falsehoods about an alleged forced draft of women.
Pro-Kremlin social media accounts and Russian media have spread AI-generated images alleging that Ukrainian women are being lured to join the Armed Forces by targeted recruitment posters, while others claim they are being outright called up for military service.
But though tens of thousands of Ukrainian women enlisted in the army as volunteers, these claims are false β€” there is no mandatory draft of women in place, nor is it being prepared.

No, Ukraine's strikes on Yandex data centers didn't cripple Russian influence ops
Ukrainian strikes on Yandex data centers sparked viral claims about a sudden drop in Russian influence operations on social media, but experts and disinformation monitors say there is no evidence to support this.
Disinformation researchers tell the Kyiv Independent that viral charts showing a drop in Yandex "bots" actually measure search engine crawlers, while Moscow's influence networks rely heavily on foreign proxy servers abroad.

⚑️Update: At least 3 killed, 22 injured in large-scale Russian missile attack on Kyiv.
The casualty toll from Russia's large-scale overnight missile attack on Kyiv has grown, with officials reporting one additional victim killed and another injured as the attack continues.

Ragnar Bjartur Gudmundsson πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦
@ragnarbjartur.bsky.social

⚑ RUSSIA'S WAR AGAINST UKRAINE β€” OCT 14, 2026 β–  Engagements and casualties slightly above average; drone losses above average
β–  Overnight πŸ‡·πŸ‡Ί attacks: 35 of 39 missiles got through, though not all reached their targets; excellent drone interception rate; 30 locations hit or affected by debris, the most since Sep 28
β–  Fewest strike drones launched at πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ over 7 days since Aug 20
β–  πŸ‡·πŸ‡Ί kamikaze drones used at the front down day on day; four πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ air and artillery strikes reported; at least 500 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ drones launched into πŸ‡·πŸ‡Ί and occupied πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦, joint 4th-highest on record
β–  Key πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ targets: a strike-drone launch site and supply warehouses

Ukraine advances EU membership bid with 4 of 6 integration to-do lists unlocked

The move was made possible the day after Ukraine's parliament passed a law bolstering the rights of the country's Hungarian-speaking minority β€” a demand that Hungary had said must be fulfilled before it would allow further progress.

https://kyivindependent.com/ukraine-advances-eu-membership-bid-with-4-of-6-integration-to-do-lists-unlocked/

ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 14/10/2026 11:40

bugger

Ukraine Invasion - Part 62
ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 14/10/2026 11:43

UNITED24 Media Telegram Highlights

SpaceX has unexpectedly imposed a 100 mph speed limit on StarShield military terminals while in motion, Ukrainian officials confirmed. Implemented overnight without advance warning, the restriction directly disrupted active defense missions.

❗️Russia struck the Kyivska substation, CHPP-5 in Kyiv, the Trypillia TPP, and other energy facilities in the Kyiv region.

❗️Russia struck all of Kyiv’s combined heat and power (CHP) plants during a massive overnight attack, the National Security and Defense Council (NSDC) reported.
β€œThe scale of this attack leaves no room for ambiguity: Russia has not merely continued but intensified strikes on facilities essential for people’s survival. This is Russia’s de facto response to the US President’s initiative for an β€˜energy ceasefire,’” stated Ihor Klymenko, Secretary of Ukraine’s National Security and Defense Council.

❗️Russia launched approximately 24 missiles at Kyiv and the surrounding region within an hour and a half, carrying out a massive attack on key energy infrastructure.
Kharkiv’s energy infrastructure is also under heavy attack.

❗️Overnight, Russia launched massive strikes on railway infrastructure in the Kharkiv, Kyiv, Vinnytsia, Khmelnytskyi, and Ternopil regions.

❗️A significant portion of the missiles launched overnight were S-400s. Although their range is shorter, it is sufficient to strike Kyiv and the Kyiv region, said Yuriy Ihnat, head of the Communications Directorate of the Air Force Command of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
These were S-400 missiles, which are designed to engage aerial targets but are also used by Russia against ground-based targets.
Russia is accelerating missile production, and components manufactured just weeks ago in Europe, the US, and other countries are sometimes found among the wreckage, Ihnat noted.

Russian monitoring channels report that satellites from the β€œRassvet” constellation are continuing an uncontrolled descent, seemingly eager to β€œreturn to Earth.”
β€œThere is no encouraging news from orbit yet: the NR-17 and NR-23 satellites from the β€˜Rassvet’ constellation still really want to return to Earth, losing altitude at a rate of up to 1.5 km per day,” the channels β€œOboronnaya Liniya” (β€œDefense Line”) and β€œMinnaya Diviziya” (β€œMine Division”) wrote.
The decline in altitude indicates difficulties maintaining the target operational orbit, which was planned at approximately 800 km.
The project, intended as Russia’s equivalent of Starlink, has already encountered technical challenges. In June, one of the first mass-produced satellites prematurely de-orbited and burned up in the atmosphere.
A significant portion of the second batch of satellites is also struggling to reach its planned operational altitude.

❗️Russia is bringing another drone base, β€œMillerovo,” into operation to scale up attacks on Kyiv and western Ukraine using β€œGeran-5” jet-powered drones.
Just a month ago, the site was an empty field. Now, it has 32 launch-preparation bays, and drones are already being unloaded.

Former U.S. Special Envoy Keith Kellogg stated that Ukraine should have full freedom to strike military and other targets within Russian territory.
β€œLet the Ukrainians do what they do best,” he said.
He emphasized that Moscow should not be granted β€œsafe zones” for waging war, especially given Russia’s constant attacks on Ukraine’s energy infrastructure.

❗️Russia is preparing for a direct military confrontation with Europe by 2045. Northern Europe could be a target, according to the Foreign Intelligence Service of Ukraine
β€œToday, Russia’s primary goal regarding Europe is to undermine support for Ukraine while maintaining the lowest possible level of risk for itself.
To achieve this, Moscow possesses a toolkit far more effective than direct invasion: sabotage, cyberattacks, influence operations, disinformation, β€˜accidental’ drone incursions, and espionage.
According to the Foreign Intelligence Service, nearly 400 Russian intelligence operatives are currently present in Europe. Their activities allow Moscow to systematically test the limits of what is permissible, attempting to operate below the threshold that would trigger a collective NATO response.
No fewer than six scenarios for a future military confrontation involving Russia are linked to Northern Europe. Scenarios concerning Poland and the Baltic states are also being actively developed.
The Kremlin formulates its plans with β€˜public sentiment’ in mind. According to the ECFR, Russians identify Great Britain, France, Germany, Poland, Finland, and the Baltic states as key hostile nations.
At the same time, 61% of respondents believe the time has come for negotiations, yet 59% feel that aggressive actions should be intensified if those negotiations fail.
Today, Russia’s objective is to undermine European unity and discredit Europe’s security architecture. One possible tool is a controlled regional crisis on NATO’s eastern flank.
According to Russian assessments, the Baltic states represent one of the most vulnerable links in European security. The scenario could involve creating a situation that forces the Alliance to make decisions under conditions of uncertainty and time constraints.
The goal is not to defeat NATO militarily, but to demonstrate its alleged inability to respond promptly and collectively defend its members.
Thus, the Russian threat to Europe has long since moved beyond the possibility of a direct attack by Moscow. Russia is preparing for a long-term confrontation in which the Ukrainian and European fronts are interconnected.
Consequently, Europe must view Ukraine not as a peripheral element of its own security, but as an indispensable frontline, grounded in the principle of the indivisibility of Ukrainian and European security.

13-year-old Maksym has died from injuries sustained in a Russian attack on Ukraine's Rivne region on October 9. Doctors fought to save his life for nearly 24 hours, but despite their efforts, he did not survive.
The attack struck a family with several children, injuring multiple family members. Three children suffered moderate injuries, while Maksym was left in critical condition.

One person was killed and 21 were injured in the Desnianskyi district following a Russian attack, Mayor Vitali Klitschko reported.
Among the injured is an eight-year-old child. Medics hospitalized 16 of the wounded, four of whom are in serious condition.
A search-and-rescue operation is underway at the building struck by the Russian missile.

❗️Three people were killed and 27 injured, including a child, in a combined Russian attack on Kyiv, city police reported.

Ukraine Invasion - Part 62
ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 14/10/2026 11:49

Kyiv Post Telegram Highlights

Czech VC firm DEPO Ventures has made the first investment from its new Ukraine Fund in Zvook, a Ukrainian defence-tech startup.
The funding will help scale Zvook’s AI-powered acoustic sensors, designed to detect and identify threats by sound.

Ukrainians are already feeling the effects of Russia’s energy grid strikes ahead of winter. Blackouts can vary across the country, and with an energy truce uncertain, many Ukrainians interviewed by Kyiv Post raised concerns about water supplies and urged authorities to act now, learning lessons from 2025-26.

Zelensky said on Tuesday, that Kyiv trails every other region, including frontline areas, in implementing its resilience plan.
It was his second rebuke of Kyiv’s authorities in a week, and he said he is preparing decisions that include changing how the capital is managed, although no additional details were provided.

Ukraine has pushed back against a Washington Post column describing an emerging β€œjoint US-European peace proposal.”
Presidential adviser Dmytro Lytvyn said its four components represented the views of some US officials expressed during talks in Florida, calling the report β€œgood American PR.”

Russia has wiped out Epicentr’s last major logistics hub in Khmelnytskyi, with repeated strikes destroying about 85% of the goods stored there.
Epicentr is one of Ukraine’s largest retail chains, selling home-improvement goods, furniture, appliances and everyday products. The warehouse was effectively the company’s only major distribution centre to survive the full-scale war.

Russia hit by overnight drone barrage as nearly 500 UAVs head toward Moscow.
Russian officials said the drones disrupted airport operations. Residential buildings were damaged in Balakovo, while a fire near Rostov-on-Don may have affected at least eight oil-terminal tanks, according to OSINT analysts.

Russia launched 39 ballistic missiles and more than 120 attack drones at energy facilities and critical infrastructure in Kyiv, the surrounding region and Kharkiv overnight, President Volodymyr Zelensky said.
β€œThe scale of the attack was entirely deliberate and a clear demonstration β€” Russia has never shown such blatant disrespect for the United States. Russia does not consider the US president’s statements strong,” Zelensky said.

The death toll from Russia’s missile attack on Kyiv has risen to five, with 36 people injured.
Three women, aged 35, 58 and 84, were killed in the Desnianskyi district, where 25 people, including a child, were wounded.

Ukraine Disputes β€˜Joint’ Peace Plan With Land, Pipeline and Sanctions Deals

Zelensky advisor says the four-point proposal reflects ideas from part of the American administration team, not an agreed US-European plan.

https://www.kyivpost.com/post/86940

ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 14/10/2026 11:53

Live: Ukraine Telegram Highlights

⚑️Partners did not warn Ukraine about the ballistic strike on Kyiv, Zelensky reported.
Five missiles struck civilian infrastructure.
"Intelligence data about the launch of Russian ballistic missiles helps save people's lives, and this is one of the most critical issues. This is exactly what helps prevent killings when there is a warning about ballistic threats," he added.
β–ͺ️At the same time, Ukraine's Foreign Minister Sybiha today at the Warsaw Security Forum reported that Ukraine continues to receive intelligence data from the United States.
"You are probably asking whether we receive intelligence data from the American side. Yes, we continue this cooperation," the Foreign Minister confirmed.

Kyiv Mayor Vitalii Klitschko has been summoned to the Rada amid accusations of poor preparation of the capital for the heating season.
Klitschko has not yet said whether he will appear in parliament tomorrow. However, he told journalists that Kyiv is fully prepared for the heating season and called the accusations of poor preparation "groundless."

Overnight, drones attacked a large data processing center of Sberbank and the Balakovo Metallurgical Plant in Russia, monitoring channels report.
In particular, several fire hotspots have been recorded in the industrial zone of Balakovo β€” where the attacked Russian facilities are located. Explosions there began at 04:00.
The Balakovo Metallurgical Plant produces steel and metal products. The plant produces over 1 million tons of steel products per year. Sberbank's data processing center is designed to store the bank's IT infrastructure and process data.

In Kupiansk, the Russians shelled civilians whom they themselves were using as human shields.
Drones of the 2nd Corps of the National Guard "Khartiia" recorded how this morning Russian military personnel were leading a group of civilians, including a child, to the "Shebelynka β€” Ostrogozhsk" gas pipeline in the Kharkiv region. They had already done this at the end of September to transport civilians to occupied territory and cover the withdrawal of their own forces.
However, this time, on the way to the gas pipeline, the Russians opened fire with artillery and mortars. Drone footage shows that there are casualties among the people. According to the military, the shelling came from the eastern bank of the Oskil, where the occupiers are based.
"Khartiia" emphasizes that this was a deliberate Russian provocation to blame Ukraine for a strike on civilians. But Ukrainian forces did not open fire.

Overnight, Russia used 39 ballistic missiles and over 120 strike drones against Ukraine's energy and critical infrastructure.
According to President Volodymyr Zelensky, targets in Kyiv and the Kyiv and Kharkiv regions were attacked. At least 600,000 people were left without electricity.
The Air Force reported that air defense neutralized 115 UAVs and four ballistic missiles.
In particular, in the Khmelnytskyi region, a gas station was hit, and two people were injured. A fire also broke out at one of the enterprises.
In Kyiv, the number of injured has risen to 25. Among the injured in the Desnianskyi district is a 7-year-old girl with cuts and burns to her hand.
In the Dnipropetrovsk region, two people were killed and six others injured. An enterprise in Dnipro was also damaged.

MissConductUS · 14/10/2026 11:54

More Russian men are legging it to avoid the next wave of conscription. From The Economist:

Russian men are fleeing before the army can grab them - Vladimir Putin looks poised for a huge wave of forced inductions

The Russian troop shortages do seem to be becoming more dire. Strategic missile troops are being used as assault infantry. I found this link in a military newsletter I get. It's in Ukrainian, so hopefully your browser has an AI translation function:

https://wz.lviv.ua/blogs/559964-yak-okupanty-likviduiut-vlasni-defitsytni-kadry-v-miasnykh-shturmakh

Here's the summary from the newsletter:

Strategic Cannon Fodder: Russia Throws Its Missile Troops Into Meat Assaults”
By Dmytro Snegirev/Oct. 10, 2026

According to Ukraine’s General Staff, Russian losses hit a 2026 record of 46,230 in September, up nearly 46 percent from January, while Russia's recruitment system replaces only 30,000–35,000 soldiers a month, mostly through rising cash bonuses. Dmytro Snegirev cites Russia’s use of Strategic Missile Forces technicians and guards as assault infantry, recently spotted in Sumy region as evidence of severely depleted reserves. He expects the Kremlin to quietly expand mobilization under Putin's still-active 2022 decree, pointing to a new Duma law raising reserve age limits by five to ten years, extending eligibility to 55 for most reservists.

β€œThrowing highly skilled specialists into conventional assaults as cannon fodder is a direct result of Russia’s traditional contract recruitment system failing to keep pace with monthly battlefield losses. Facing an acute manpower shortage, the Kremlin’s political and military leadership will be forced to step up a second wave of mobilization while trying to avoid drawing public attention.”

Π“Π°Ρ€ΠΌΠ°Ρ‚Π½Π΅ ΠΌ'ясо стратСгічного призначСння: як ΠΎΠΊΡƒΠΏΠ°Π½Ρ‚ΠΈ Π»Ρ–ΠΊΠ²Ρ–Π΄ΡƒΡŽΡ‚ΡŒ власні Π΄Π΅Ρ„Ρ–Ρ†ΠΈΡ‚Π½Ρ– ΠΊΠ°Π΄Ρ€ΠΈ Π² "ΠΌ'ясних ΡˆΡ‚ΡƒΡ€ΠΌΠ°Ρ…"

Π—Π° ΠΌΠΈΠ½ΡƒΠ»Ρƒ Π΄ΠΎΠ±Ρƒ ΠΊΡ€Π°Ρ—Π½Π°-агрСсор Π²Ρ‚Ρ€Π°Ρ‚ΠΈΠ»Π° Π½Π° Π²Ρ–ΠΉΠ½Ρ– ΠΏΡ€ΠΎΡ‚ΠΈ Π£ΠΊΡ€Π°Ρ—Π½ΠΈ ΠΏΡ€ΠΈΠ±Π»ΠΈΠ·Π½ΠΎ 1830 солдатів. Π—Π°Π³Π°Π»ΡŒΠ½Ρ– Π²Ρ‚Ρ€Π°Ρ‚ΠΈ Π°Ρ€ΠΌΡ–Ρ— Ρ€Ρ„ станом Π½Π° 9 Товтня, ΡΡ‚Π°Π½ΠΎΠ²Π»ΡΡ‚ΡŒ ΠΎΡ€Ρ–Ρ”Π½Ρ‚ΠΎΠ²Π½ΠΎ 1 547 780 Π²Ρ–ΠΉΡΡŒΠΊΠΎΠ²ΠΈΡ… Π²Π±ΠΈΡ‚ΠΈΠΌΠΈ Ρ‚Π° ΠΏΠΎΡ€Π°Π½Π΅Π½ΠΈΠΌΠΈ

https://wz.lviv.ua/blogs/559964-yak-okupanty-likviduiut-vlasni-defitsytni-kadry-v-miasnykh-shturmakh

blueshoes · 14/10/2026 14:36

https://understandingwar.org/research/russia-ukraine/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-october-13-2026/

Key Takeaways

  1. Senior Russian officials explicitly stated that the war in Iran β€” not Ukrainian strikes against Russian oil refineries β€” is the primary driver of global diesel shortages, while simultaneously using the October 9 fuel agreement to convince the US to support its negotiation position.
  2. Russian officials are meanwhile attempting to assuage the Russian domestic populace’s fears of domestic fuel shortages.
  3. Likely Russian drones struck two civilian vessels in the Bulgarian Exclusive Economic Zone (EEZ) in the southwestern Black Sea overnight on October 12 to 13.
  4. French authorities seized a Russian shadow fleet oil tanker in the Indian Ocean on October 12.
  5. Ukrainian forces recently advanced northeast of Sumy City.
  6. Ukrainian forces continued their long-range strike campaign against Russia’s critical and ballistic missile infrastructure. Russian forces launched five Iskander-M or S-400 ballistic missiles, 108 drones, and nine Banderol or Dan-T loitering munitions against Ukraine overnight.
ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 14/10/2026 16:21

I realise this is extremely small fry compared to the atrocity of what Trump and Musk are doing, or not doing, in Ukraine ... but fucking hell

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/us/news/2026/10/13/donald-trump-tiger-video/

DesdamonasHandkerchief · 14/10/2026 16:27

He’s nuts 🀯

blueshoes · 15/10/2026 01:21

wtf what did I just see?

Natsku · 15/10/2026 04:13

Absolutely insane, I can't understand why no one is stepping in when he's clearly losing it.

RE the starlink issue, would be good if iceye and Nokia could speed up their starlink alternative plans, that would really help ukraine.

Llttledrummergirl · 15/10/2026 08:26

They are all fucking power crazy. Who gives a shit how many people die, as long as the bunch of juvenile fuckwits get their testosterone fix.

What infuriates me is the people who enable this shit by saying nothing. There should be diplomatic outrage from around the world, and yet, nothing. Americans appear to have accepted the horrific standards as normal.

ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 15/10/2026 11:22

I suspect a lot of sane Americans are horrified and simply hunkering down waiting for the storm to pass.

The Republicans have a great deal to answer for allowing him to become head of the party though.

DuncinToffee · 15/10/2026 11:24

https://bsky.app/profile/pickardje.bsky.social/post/3mxvs67b2ac2v

plot twist:

Zelenskyy’s office told the FT on Thursday that Starlink’s functionality had been restored and speed limits lifted, confirming a report by Bloomberg

ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 15/10/2026 11:26

Thank GOD.

I wonder if it was a warning shot again by Musk, or if he genuinely relented.

ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 15/10/2026 11:40

Kyiv Independent Telegram Highlights

⚑️ Breaking: Starlink service in Ukraine 'restored,' Defense Ministry source says.
SpaceX, the owner of Starlink, implemented speed restrictions on Oct. 14 without warning.

⚑️Update: Musk says Trump holds ultimate power over Ukraine's Starlink access.
"Any limits on speed or usage are decided by the U.S. military and ultimately (the president)," SpaceX CEO Elon Musk said after a day of restricted access among Ukrainian forces.
"Usage of Starlink is limited to civilian or defensive activities and cannot be used for offensive military action," he added.

⚑️Moscow says scope of Trump's energy truce unclear after launching new attack on Ukraine
The comments come hours after Russia launched another deadly aerial attack targeting Ukrainian cities and power plants, in what Zelensky called a show of disregard for the Trump-backed truce.

⚑️Trump's diesel deal 'legitimizes Moscow' while it bombs Ukraine, Italy's Meloni says
Speaking to the Italian Senate, Meloni noted that "the surge in fuel prices is due primarily to the war in Iran, not the conflict in Ukraine," the Italian Ansa news agency reported.

⚑️Zelensky says he feels betrayed over Trump-Russia deal.
"It's painful when President Trump chooses one side, not our side," Zelensky said in an interview with British host Piers Morgan.

Russia turns to new tactics to destroy Ukraine’s energy grid this winter for good
Volleys of explosions deafened Kyiv in the early hours of Oct. 14, as Russia targeted multiple energy facilities powering the capital amid a new campaign to isolate the city ahead of winter.
Deploying jet-powered drones en masse alongside ballistic missiles, Moscow is adapting its tactics to hit power lines, substations, and critical grid connections. Energy experts warn the strikes could also jeopardize nuclear-generated electricity supplies.

Exclusive: Hungary, Bulgaria, water down ambition on Ukraine's EU membership bid β€” again
Ukraine's EU membership bid does not need to advance "as soon as possible" anymore, according to the latest draft conclusions of the Oct. 15-16 summit of EU leaders in Brussels, due to pressure from Bulgaria and Hungary.

⚑️Hungary’s Magyar to meet Zelensky for first time at upcoming EU summit.

⚑️ Slovakia to hold talks with Ukraine, revive economic meetings with Russia.
The Slovak-Ukrainian talks will be held in Lviv on Nov. 5 and focus on expanding border crossings, providing humanitarian assistance to Ukraine, and establishing a school for Ukrainian children in Bratislava.

⚑️Germany puts Ukrainian on trial over Nord Stream sabotage.
On the first day of the trial, prosecutors accused Serhii Kuznetsov of being an accomplice to war crimes by committing an attack against civilian infrastructure. Kuznetsov has denied any involvement.

⚑️Zelensky arrives in UK as London vows to speed up anti-drone missile deliveries for Ukraine
The British government announced an air defense missile package worth 45 million pounds (around $60 million) for Ukraine, as the country faces an intensifying onslaught of Russian missiles and drones.

⚑️Ukrainian drones reportedly hit Sberbank data center in Russia
Ukrainian defense company Fire Point commented in a social media post on Wednesday morning, saying 'You didn’t think it would stop with just Yandex, did you?'

⚑️'Intense' Russian assault on Kropyvnytskyi kills 3, injures 6.
The city and surrounding region were targeted in an "intense" Russian attack that began late on Oct. 14, Governor Andrii Raikovych reported. The strike targeted local logisitcs, transportation, and industrial enterprises.

⚑️ Ukrainian parliament passes key bill on international parcel taxes.
The bill's passage is a condition for unlocking an approximately $700 million IMF tranche and 3.7 billion euros ($4.1 billion) in EU macro-financial assistance.

⚑️SBU detains 18-year-old suspected FSB agent in Kyiv over attempt to activate 148 Starlink terminals for Russia.
The SBU reported that the terminals were intended to support the planning of Russian military operations in the Donetsk and Zaporizhzhia regions.
Ukrainian security officers say they prevented the devices from being activated.

Exclusive: Draft EU summit conclusions reveal what leaders will and will not say on Ukraine

⚑️Russian POW reportedly escapes in Kharkiv Oblast, kills 5 Ukrainian soldiers
The Kharkiv Regional Prosecutor's Office said that an unknown person killed five service members of Ukraine's armed forces in Kharkiv Oblast on Oct. 13

⚑️Update: Suspect arrested in alleged killing of 5 Ukrainian soldiers, 1 civilian in Kharkiv Oblast.
The detained man is a 36-year-old Russian citizen from St. Petersburg serving in the Second Battalion of Russia's 1009th motorized rifle regiment, the Kharkiv Regional Prosecutor's Office reported.
The suspect allegedly murdered six people in Kharkiv Oblast on Oct. 13.


Bill Browder, an investor and longtime sanctions advocate, argues that the deal resulted from Russian President Vladimir Putin’s plea to Trump to help protect Russia’s energy infrastructure from Ukrainian drone strikes.

⚑️Netherlands denies visas to 3 Russian athletes, barring them from world championships

⚑️Russian drone debris damages artwork of famous contemporary artist at museum in northwestern Ukraine
Debris from a Russian drone damaged artwork by one of Ukraine's most prolific contemporary artists at the Korsak Art Museum in Lutsk, a northwestern Ukrainian city, the museum staff reported on Oct. 14.

⚑️Update: Zelensky meets Charles III during UK visit

⚑️ Ukraine hits 6 Russian Su-34 bomber jets with Neptune missile, military says.
The attack was carried out with the Neptune coastal missile system, Ukraine's naval forces said.

[yesterday]
⚑️Russian attacks kill at least 10, injure 91 across Ukraine over past day as ballistic missiles strike Kyiv for second straight night
In total, President Volodymyr Zelensky said Russia struck Ukraine with 39 missiles including Iskander-M, KN-23, S-400, Zircon, and Onyx missiles.

⚑️Russian drone attack on western Ukraine kills 6, injures 20 in Lutsk, Rivne
Wreckage from a drone damaged damaged several buildings in Lutsk, while a drone crashed into Rivne.

⚑️Russian attacks on Dnipropetrovsk Oblast kill 2, spark residential fires.

Ragnar Bjartur Gudmundsson πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦
@ragnarbjartur.bsky.social
⚑ RUSSIA'S WAR AGAINST UKRAINE β€” OCT 15, 2026

β–  Engagements well above average; 6th-highest casualties of the year β–  Equipment losses include three air defence systems
β–  Overnight πŸ‡·πŸ‡Ί attacks: most strike drones since Sep 12; excellent interception rate, the best since Sep 15; 42 locations hit or affected by debris, the most since Aug 21
β–  πŸ‡·πŸ‡Ί kamikaze drones used at the front down day on day, the fewest since Sep 30; two πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ air and artillery strikes reported

Ukraine Invasion - Part 62
Swipe left for the next trending thread