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Ukraine Invasion: Part 59

1000 replies

MagicFox · 17/10/2025 22:11

Well, it’s thread 59.

Thanks to all regular contributors, especially those doing the daily hard work. Slava Ukraini 🇺🇦

Agreed thread guidance:

A. The agreed purpose of the thread is for the sharing of information and commentary on current events

B. If you post a link please tell us where it leads/give a precis of the content

C. Discussion and debate is welcome, but please keep it respectful

D. Please keep on topic

OP posts:
Thread gallery
441
PerkingFaintly · 13/01/2026 19:36

Can tell you that at least a few pennies of that $9000 was because of this thread: I made Children of Heroes one of my Christmas donations.

Mb76 · 13/01/2026 19:41

PerkingFaintly · 13/01/2026 19:36

Can tell you that at least a few pennies of that $9000 was because of this thread: I made Children of Heroes one of my Christmas donations.

Thank you 🙏

PerkingFaintly · 13/01/2026 20:23

Thank @ReleaseTheDucksOfWar and the other rounders-up! It is they who informed me of Children of Heroes!

And thanks to your fine self, too, for helping keep us in touch with what matters to Ukrainians. It's reassuring to learn you feel this charity may be worthwhile.

ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 14/01/2026 12:02

Kyiv Independent Telegram Highlights

Russia 'going all in (kyivindependent.com/russian-ballistic-missiles-rock-kyiv-target-energy-infrastructure-across-ukraine/)' to destroy Ukraine's energy system as 70% of Kyiv left without power.

Ukraine officially awards lithium deposit to Trump-linked investors, $179 million set for development (kyivindependent.com/ukraine-to-attract-179-million-u-s-investment-in-key-lithium-deposit/)
Ukraine’s prime lithium deposit has been officially awarded to a U.S.-linked group of investors as the country courts U.S. President Donald Trump with business deals amid ongoing peace proposal talks.

⚡️Parliament appoints (kyivindependent.com/parliament-appoints-mykhailo-fedorov-as-defense-minister/) Mykhailo Fedorov as defense minister.
The Ukrainian parliament on Jan. 14 appointed Mykhailo Fedorov as defense minister.
Fedorov, who had previously been deputy prime minister and digital transformation minister, submitted his resignation from these positions on Jan. 9.

⚡️ 'A series of loud explosions (https://kyivindependent.com/a-series-of-loud-explosions-ukraine-destroys-key-russian-drone-factory-in-taganrog-sbu-says/)' — Ukraine 'destroys' key Russian drone factory in Taganrog, SBU says.
The plant is involved in the production of "Orion" drones, electronic warfare complexes, and digital integration systems

⚡️Update: Parliament fails to appoint (kyivindependent.com/parliament-votes-on-government-reshuffle-live/) energy minister, post remains vacant for nearly 2 months.
The Ukrainian parliament failed to appoint Denys Shmyhal as energy minister on Jan. 13, as Kyiv and other Ukrainian regions face a dire energy situation, with Russia targeting the country's critical infrastructure.

⚡️Russian drone strikes leave 45,000 subscribers without power (kyivindependent.com/russian-drone-strike-leaves-45-000-subscribers-without-power-in-kryvyi-rih/) in Kryvyi Rih.
Russian Shahed drones carried out the overnight attack on Jan. 14, leaving 700 buildings without heat across the city, Oleksandr Vilkul, the head of the Kryvyi Rih Defense Council, said.

Ukraine war latest: Belgorod governor warns of possible evacuation as Russian border region reels from power outages (https://kyivindependent.com/ukraine-war-latest-update-2026-01-13/)
Russian Belgorod Oblast Governor Vyacheslav Gladkov urged residents on Jan. 13 to be prepared to temporarily relocate as power and heating outages hit the border region near Ukraine, saying officials were drawing up contingency plans in case the situation worsens.
At the same time, unidentified drones hit three Greek-managed oil tankers in the Black Sea on Jan. 13 as the ships headed to load crude at a terminal on Russia’s coast near Novorossiysk, Reuters reported.

⚡️Russia's own air defense missile hits apartment building (kyivindependent.com/russian-air-defense-missile-hits-apartment-building-in-rostov-on-don-media-reports/) in Rostov-on-Don, fire seen at nearby factory, media reports.

⚡️Ukrainian veteran politician Yulia Tymoshenko charged (kyivindependent.com/ukraines-anti-corruption-watchdogs-expose-bribery-scheme-in-parliament-search-party-offices-of-political-veteran-yulia-tymoshenko/) in corruption case.
Yulia Tymoshenko, the leader of the Batkivshchyna (Fatherland) party, has been charged in a corruption case, Olha Postolyuk, a spokesperson for the Specialized Anti-Corruption Prosecutor's Office (SAPO), told the news outlet Suspilne on Jan. 14.

⚡️Tymoshenko offered (kyivindependent.com/ukraines-anti-corruption-watchdogs-expose-bribery-scheme-in-parliament-search-party-offices-of-political-veteran-yulia-tymoshenko/) bribes to lawmakers from Zelensky's party, source says.

⚡️ 'Russia is trying to disconnect Kyiv (kyivindependent.com/russian-ballistic-missiles-rock-kyiv-target-energy-infrastructure-across-ukraine/)' — Supermarkets, public transport struggle after yet more strikes on energy infrastructure.

Ragnar Bjartur Gudmundsson 🇺🇦
‪@ragnarbjartur.bsky.social‬
⚡️ RUSSIA'S WAR AGAINST UKRAINE — JAN 14, 2026
■ Record kamikaze drone usage and record drone losses; massive land-based equipment losses as well
■ Overnight 🇷🇺 attacks included 113 drones and three Iskander-M missiles; 78% intercepted, with 16 locations hit or affected by debris
■ 16 🇺🇦 strikes reported; 🇷🇺/🇺🇦 strike ratio continues to improve
■ Engagements and casualties remain below the 7-day average; no confirmed area change; freezing temperatures along the frontlines

Ukraine Invasion: Part 59
ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 14/01/2026 12:12

UNITED24 Media Telegram Highlights

Witkoff and Kushner are planning a visit to Moscow to meet with Putin and discuss a peace plan for Ukraine, Bloomberg reports.
According to sources, the meeting could take place as early as January, though the plans are not finalized and may change depending on developments related to Iran.
The key obstacle remains whether Putin is interested in holding a new meeting.
Witkoff and Kushner are expected to present updated peace proposals, including potential US and European security guarantees for Ukraine, as well as issues related to post-war reconstruction.

Ukraine’s G7 partners will meet with Trump in Davos to seek his personal support for post-ceasefire security guarantees for Kyiv — FT.
According to a European official involved in pre-Davos talks, deploying a multinational force previously promised to Ukraine by the UK and France would be impossible without US approval.

🔥 At least 20% of Russia’s “shadow fleet” vessels are currently grounded — Zelenskyy.
Moscow is trying to offset these losses by bringing in new ships. All of them should be added to sanctions lists. Sanctions pressure will also continue against tanker crews, captains, insurers, and the entire “shadow fleet” infrastructure, the president said.
According to Zelenskyy, existing restrictions on Russian maritime oil exports should cut Russia’s revenues by at least $30 billion a year.

EU to propose new sanctions against Iran swiftly — Ursula von der Leyen

❗️The Verkhovna Rada has appointed Mykhailo Fedorov as Ukraine’s Minister of Defense.

In his address before the vote, Mykhailo Fedorov said the president had set a clear task: to build a system capable of stopping the enemy in the air, advancing on the ground, and intensifying asymmetric and cyber strikes against the enemy and its economy.

🇵🇱 The Polish consulate in Odesa was damaged during the Russian attack on the night of January 13, Polish Foreign Ministry spokesman Maciej Wewżur said.
He added that none of the consulate’s staff were injured in the attack.

Britain is considering funding military support for Ukraine with oil seized from Russia’s “shadow fleet,” The Times reports.
A government source described the idea as a “double whammy” — cutting off Russia’s illicit oil revenues while simultaneously strengthening Ukraine.
Amid these discussions, British special forces are preparing for possible tanker seizures. Authorities have already identified legal grounds for such actions under sanctions and anti–money laundering laws.
According to The Times, potential operations could target the tankers Spring Fortune and Range Vale, which are sailing through the English Channel under false flags and carrying Russian oil. Both vessels are linked to Russian oil exports and have previously been sanctioned.
NATO is also monitoring several other suspicious tankers heading toward Europe, stressing that allies regularly share intelligence and coordinate actions to counter maritime threats.

Ukrainian forces have successfully intercepted at least 21 Russian Shahed-type attack drones using the new Tempest short-range air defense system, according to a video released by the Ukrainian Air Force’s Central Command on January 13, 2026.
Ukrainian soldiers praised the system’s mobility and quick deployment capability, which proved critical during recent nighttime attacks in eastern Ukraine.
Tempest, developed by US-based defense contractor V2X, was first publicly unveiled in October 2025 at the AUSA defense exhibition. At the time, the company said the system was designed for mobile airspace protection in response to lessons learned from the war in Ukraine.
However, evidence now suggests that the system had already been in Ukrainian service for months prior to the official debut.
Find out more details: united24media.com/latest-news/us-tempest-system-secretly-enters-combat-in-ukraine-already-downs-21-shahed-drones-14985

🛢 Russia unable to sell 35 million barrels of oil due to US sanctions
Following sanctions on Rosneft and Lukoil, Russian companies are stuck with around 35 million barrels of oil. India and China are refusing part of the supplies, leaving the oil stored on tankers at sea, Bloomberg reports.
▫️ In total, about 216 million barrels have accumulated on ships. Dozens of tankers are anchored off the coast of Oman, waiting for buyers.
▫️ India has cut purchases to their lowest level in three years. As a result, Russia has already begun reducing oil production, despite having room to increase output under OPEC+ quotas.
▫️ Experts say storage capacity is nearly exhausted, and sanctions are dealing a serious blow to exports.

Last year, Russian attacks killed about 2,400 Ukrainian civilians and injured nearly 12,000 — almost 30% more than in 2024, Bloomberg reports.
Since the start of the full-scale war, Russia has killed around 15,000 civilians and injured more than 40,000.
Since February 24, 2022, 758 Ukrainian children have been killed and another 2,445 injured.

Kharkiv Regional Military Administration head Oleh Syniehubov released photos of the Ukrainian postal service ‘Nova Post’ terminal in the suburbs of Kharkiv destroyed by Russian forces, where four people were killed.
The strike demolished the building and caused multiple fires across an area of about 500 square meters. Vehicles and equipment were also set ablaze.

Ukraine Invasion: Part 59
Ukraine Invasion: Part 59
Ukraine Invasion: Part 59
ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 14/01/2026 12:21

Kyiv Post Telegram Highlights

Russia boasts ‘Oreshnik’ strike crippled key Ukraine jet repair plant. (www.kyivpost.com/post/67974)
Moscow claims its missile hit the Lviv State Aviation Repair Plant, a facility servicing Ukraine’s warplanes — including Western-supplied F-16s and MiG-29s.

Ukraine’s army chief Oleksandr Syrsky says Ukrainian forces are on track to grind the Russian army (www.kyivpost.com/post/67992) down through sustained losses.
He may be right — but the strategy has earned him critics both in the Kremlin and at home.

Moscow-linked firm refuses to hand over control (www.kyivpost.com/post/68014) of Venezuelan production after US president claims Washington will run exports.

Trump’s quiet caucasus power play sidelines Russia.
A new US-Armenia framework (www.kyivpost.com/post/68015) aims to unlock transit through the South Caucasus, strengthen Armenia’s sovereignty, and sideline Russia and Iran – just as Yerevan heads into a volatile election year.

Iran sold $4 billion in arms to Russia since 2021. (www.kyivpost.com/post/67983)
As the US weighs military options against Tehran, an unnamed official told Bloomberg that Iran has supplied Moscow with $4 billion worth of weapons — including $2.7 billion in missiles.

Sanctions sham as Putin’s war factories still run on US, Czech and Chinese machines, Ukraine intel reveals, (https://www.kyivpost.com/post/68039) with 50 foreign-made systems still powering Russia’s weapons production.

Ukraine urged NATO allies to rush Patriot (www.kyivpost.com/post/67984) and NASAMS missiles as Russian strikes left about 500,000 people in Kyiv alone without heat, electricity and water, and more across the country.

The UK and Poland move to tighten cooperation against air and missile threats, (www.kyivpost.com/post/68008) bolstering the defense of their skies.
“It is another example of how the UK and Poland are stepping up to defend Europe and face down the threat from Putin,” John Healey, the UK defense secretary, said.

Ukraine Exposes Foreign Tech Sustaining Russia’s War Machine

Ukraine’s intel revealed 50 foreign-made machines, including US, Czech and Chinese equipment, still powering Russia’s weapons production, exposing ongoing sanctions evasion.

https://www.kyivpost.com/post/68039)

ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 14/01/2026 12:25

Live: Ukraine Telegram Highlights

🇪🇺 The EU wants to appoint its own negotiator with Putin due to the risk of secret agreements between the U.S. and Russia, writes Politico, citing sources.
France and Italy have already secured the support of the European Commission and several other countries to create this new position. The goal is to ensure that Ukraine's potential NATO membership and its sovereignty remain inviolable.
A potential candidate for the role of negotiator is Finnish President Alexander Stubb. The experienced center-right diplomat maintains a friendly relationship with U.S. President Donald Trump.
At the same time, Kaja Kallas, the EU High Representative for Foreign Affairs, is positioning herself as the sole candidate for the role of negotiator with Putin.

🇪🇺🇺🇦 A new dispute over funds for Ukraine has emerged in the EU. France has opposed purchasing weapons from the U.S., reports Politico.
Paris is pushing for a strict "Buy European" rule to ensure that money from the €90 billion loan goes exclusively to European defense companies. Critics, however, argue that this stance would tie Ukraine’s hands in its war against Russia.
Germany and the Netherlands insist that Kyiv must have the freedom to spend the funds as needed for defense, including purchasing air defense systems, ammunition for F-16s, and long-range weaponry from the United States.
While most EU countries support a general "Buy European" guideline, France’s hardline position on this issue is currently shared only by Greece and Cyprus.

Kyiv faces serious electricity problems following Russian attacks on energy infrastructure; in some districts, residential buildings have been connected to generators.
Emergency power outages are in effect in Kyiv. "The situation on the right bank has worsened to the level of the left bank," reported Sergey Kovalenko, CEO of the energy company Yasno, on Facebook.
The head of the Ukrainian government, Yulia Svyrydenko, stated that 1 GW of electrical capacity has been added to the grid, which "is already significantly helping to balance the system amid the consequences of shelling and severe frosts." According to her, in Kyiv districts with the greatest power supply issues, the State Emergency Service (SES) is providing residential buildings with high-capacity generators.
Svyrydenko emphasized that special attention is being paid to securing fuel reserves and providing people with food. The Prime Minister noted that Russian attacks, low temperatures, and the icing of power lines create additional strain on the energy system.
Kyiv Mayor Vitali Klitschko denied media reports that supermarkets in the Ukrainian capital were not operational. At the same time, "RBC-Ukraine," citing Fozzy Group (which includes Silpo, Fora, and Thrash! stores), writes that due to low temperatures and partial power outages, equipment in individual supermarkets sometimes fails, and in such cases, the supermarket may be briefly closed.
The SES reported that 42 mobile aid stations have been deployed on Kyiv's left bank.
Ukraine has initiated discussions regarding the massive Russian attacks within the OSCE, reported the country's Foreign Minister, Andrii Sybiha.
On the night of January 13, Russia attacked Ukraine with 25 missiles and 293 UAVs. The strikes hit Dnipropetrovsk, Zhytomyr, Zaporizhzhia, Kyiv, Odesa, Sumy, Kharkiv, and Donetsk regions, according to Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy.

Europe's largest prosthetic workshop has begun operations at the LNMU University Hospital.
The facility was opened in the fall of 2025, but the full set of materials from partners was delivered only at the end of the year. Patients receive their prosthetics free of charge.
The workshop operates 20 3D printers, capable of producing up to 600 prosthetics per month. Micro-clinics for taking measurements are already active in Poltava, Vynnyky, and Kyiv, with plans to expand the network further.

A Russian soldier has been sentenced to life imprisonment for the execution of a Ukrainian prisoner of war.
The incident occurred in June 2024 near Vovchansk, Kharkiv region. At that time, Russian soldier Sergey Tuzhilov, along with an accomplice, captured three Ukrainian servicemen. He killed one with a shot to the back of the head, while the other two were tortured and later shot as well. Before the executions, they coordinated their actions with their command via radio.
Subsequently, the Russian unit was destroyed by the Armed Forces of Ukraine, and Tuzhilov — the sole survivor — was taken prisoner. The court found him guilty of war crimes and the brutal treatment of prisoners of war.

A former Russian teacher recruited hundreds of foreigners for the war against Ukraine, according to a BBC investigation.
Previously, 40-year-old Polina Azarnykh managed a Facebook group that helped Arab students come to Moscow for studies. In 2024, she launched her own Telegram channel, which now has 21,000 subscribers.
On the channel, she offers foreigners one-year military service contracts. She has sent nearly 500 invitations to men from countries such as Yemen, Syria, Egypt, Morocco, Iraq, Ivory Coast, and Nigeria.
Mercenaries and families of those killed in the war told journalists: Azarnykh promised they would not have to fight if they paid her $3,000 (the initial contract payment for foreign soldiers is $5,000). Instead, they ended up on the front lines.

Ukraine Invasion: Part 59
Ukraine Invasion: Part 59
Ukraine Invasion: Part 59
Ukraine Invasion: Part 59
OP posts:
ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 14/01/2026 14:20

Thanks very much Magic.

Slava Ukraini

blueshoes · 14/01/2026 17:28

https://understandingwar.org/research/russia-ukraine/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-january-13-2026/

Key Takeaways

  1. Russian strikes caused significantly more civilian casualties in Ukraine in 2025 compared to previous years.
  2. Russia dramatically increased the size, scale, and destructiveness of its strike packages throughout 2025, which likely contributed to the increase in civilian casualties.
  3. Russian forces conducted a series of missile and drone strikes against Ukraine on the night of January 12 to 13 that significantly damaged energy infrastructure throughout Ukraine and hit a postal terminal in Kharkiv Oblast.
  4. Russia continues to scale up the production and innovation of inexpensive strike drones that have succeeded in generating favorable battlefield effects for Russian forces.
  5. Russian forces are struggling with other technological aspects of the battlespace, however, including with the effectiveness of some guided artillery munitions.
  6. Western sanctions on aircraft components will likely continue to constrain Russia’s ability to produce military aircraft.
  7. Ukrainian forces continued their long-range strike campaign against Russian defense industrial and energy assets.
  8. Unidentified drones struck multiple oil tankers off the Russian coast in the Black Sea.
  9. The Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD) reportedly dismissed Russian Navy Deputy Commander for Coastal and Ground Forces Lieutenant General Sukhrab Akhmedov.
  10. Russian forces recently advanced near Borova, in the Kostyantynivka-Druzhkivka tactical area, and in western Zaporizhia Oblast.
Ukraine Invasion: Part 59
Ukraine Invasion: Part 59
ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 19/01/2026 10:54

@DesdamonasHandkerchief hey :) Are you back and feeling like taking over the Mondays again, or shall I do it today?

Actually now is the best time for me, so if I do it now and you take over next week, does that work?

ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 19/01/2026 10:57

Kyiv Independent Telegram Highlights

⚡️US-Ukraine peace talks (kyivindependent.com/us-ukraine-talks-to-continue-in-davos-kyivs-top-negotiator-says/) to continue in Davos, Kyiv's top negotiator says.

⚡️ Putin invited to join Trump's new Gaza Peace Board, Kremlin claims. (kyivindependent.com/putin-allegedly-invited-to-join-trumps-new-gaza-peace-board/)
Moscow is currently studying the proposal, Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov told reporters, according to state news agency TASS.

⚡️ Trump vows to eliminate (kyivindependent.com/trump-vows-to-get-russian-threat-away-from-greenland/) 'Russian threat' to Greenland as he ramps up pressure on Europe.
"NATO has been telling Denmark, for 20 years, that 'you have to get the Russian threat away from Greenland,'" Trump said, accusing Denmark of being unable "to do anything about it."

⚡️EU prepares to retaliate (kyivindependent.com/eu-prepares-to-retaliate-against-trumps-greenland-threats/) against Trump's Greenland threats.
The European Union is preparing possible retaliation against the United States, including up to €93 billion ($101 billion) in tariffs or restrictions on U.S. companies operating in the bloc, amid escalating tensions with U.S. President Donald Trump over Greenland, the Financial Times reported Jan. 18.

Zelensky picks a fight with Kyiv Mayor Klitschko as mismanagement, Russian attacks push city to the brink (kyivindependent.com/zelensky-picks-up-a-fight-with-kyiv-mayor-klitschko-as-mismanagement-russian-attacks-push-city-to-the-brink/)
Now, following Russia’s Jan. 9 attack, Kyiv has been pushed into a humanitarian crisis, leaving residents without heating, hot water, and electricity through the coldest winter in years.
Now, following Russia’s Jan. 9 attack, Kyiv has been pushed into a humanitarian crisis, leaving residents without heating, hot water, and electricity through the coldest winter in years. President Volodymyr Zelensky called the situation in Kyiv “especially difficult,” slamming the local authorities.
Klitschko hit back, dismissing the accusations as “groundless” and politicized. He said the government had not coordinated any joint response to the crisis.

Ragnar Bjartur Gudmundsson 🇺🇦
‪@ragnarbjartur.bsky.social‬
⚡️ RUSSIA'S WAR AGAINST UKRAINE — JAN 19, 2026
■ Increased engagements and casualties but stay below average; no newly confirmed area change
■ Record 7-day equipment losses, driven by high drone and land-based equipment losses in recent days
■ Overnight 🇷🇺 attacks incl. 145 drones; 87% were intercepted, with 17 locations hit or affected by debris
■ 15 🇺🇦 strikes reported; the 30-day 🇷🇺/🇺🇦 strike ratio now below 18

Ukraine Invasion: Part 59
ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 19/01/2026 11:00

UNITED24 Media Telegram Highlights

We held detailed discussions in the United States on the economic development and prosperity plan, as well as security guarantees for Ukraine, with a focus on practical mechanisms for their implementation, said Secretary of the National Security and Defense Council Rustem Umerov.
“For two days, Kyrylo Budanov, Davyd Arakhamia, and I worked in the United States. On the American side, the consultations included Stephen Witkoff, Jared Kushner, US Army Secretary Daniel Driscoll, and White House official Josh Gruenbaum.
We briefed our American partners on recent Russian attacks on Ukraine’s energy infrastructure.
We agreed to continue work at the team level during the next round of consultations in Davos.”

❗️Russia could launch up to 1,000 drones per day in 2026, Commander-in-Chief Oleksandr Syrskyi said.
He stressed that Ukraine must move to offensive actions, noting that “there will be no victory in defense.”
According to Syrskyi, the enemy has failed to implement any of its strategic plans to seize Ukraine, calling this one of the key achievements of the Defense Forces.

🇮🇹 A shipment of heating equipment from Italy will arrive in Ukraine in the coming days to support regions most affected by Russian attacks, said Kyrylo Budanov, head of the President’s Office.
“As part of the first stage, 78 industrial boilers with a total capacity of 116.5 MW are being delivered to Ukraine. This equipment is critically needed amid constant strikes on our infrastructure,” he said.

❗️Russian forces damaged a power plant in Odesa overnight.
The destruction is significant, and repairs will take considerable time to restore the equipment to working condition. Specialists are on site clearing debris, DTEK reported.
As a result of the shelling, 30,800 households are currently without electricity.

🤔 Putin is losing credibility on the world stage, and his lies are no longer taken seriously — WP.
The Washington Post writes that the Russian president’s international influence is weakening amid crises among his allies and a loss of trust from the United States.
Analysts note that Putin is avoiding harsh rhetoric so as not to appear weak in relations with Trump. The seizure of a tanker flying the Russian flag and Washington’s public refutation of Kremlin statements show that the US no longer views Moscow as a strong player.
According to WP, the erosion of the Kremlin’s position coincides with growing domestic discontent in Russia over the war against Ukraine and the collapse of the myth of Russia’s “invincibility.”

ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 19/01/2026 11:05

Kyiv Post Telegram Highlights

Trump is preparing to take his “Greenland obsession” global this week at the World Economic Forum, bringing a 99-year lease proposal and multibillion-dollar tariff threats (www.kyivpost.com/post/68295) to the table as he pitches the plan to EU allies in Davos, Kyiv Post reports, citing two sources familiar with the plans.

Ukraine will carry out new offensive operations, (www.kyivpost.com/post/68318) as victory cannot be achieved through defence alone. Meanwhile, Russia plans to mobilise more than 400,000 troops in 2026, Commander-in-Chief Syrsky said.

Serbia given break on oil sanctions (www.kyivpost.com/post/68293) while Russians look to sell off refinery stake.
Hungary’s foreign minister said he expects Hungarian oil company MOL and Gazprom Neft to reach an agreement for the purchase of remainder of Russian shares in Serbia’s NIS.

ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 19/01/2026 11:06

Live: Ukraine Telegram Highlights

Polish Foreign Minister Radosław Sikorski has urged India not to trust Russia.
Polskie Radio reports that during his speech at a literary festival in Jaipur, India, Sikorski emphasized that Moscow does not honor its agreements, and Putin "calls the Ukrainian people brothers, yet kills them," despite having signed border treaties.

U.S. President Donald Trump has invited Putin to a "Peace Council" regarding the Gaza Strip, stated Putin's press secretary, Dmitry Peskov.
Earlier, the FT, citing sources, reported that there is a proposal in the U.S. to expand the mandate of the Trump-led "Peace Council" to other hotspots, including Ukraine and Venezuela. One source mentioned that the Trump administration views the "Peace Council" as a sort of replacement for the UN to resolve global conflicts.
The creation of a separate "Peace Council" for the Russian-Ukrainian war is part of a 20-point peace agreement currently being developed by Ukraine, the U.S., and European partners.

ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 19/01/2026 11:08

Top highlights:

Trump is preparing to take his “Greenland obsession” global this week at the World Economic Forum, bringing a 99-year lease proposal and multibillion-dollar tariff threats (www.kyivpost.com/post/68295) to the table as he pitches the plan to EU allies in Davos, Kyiv Post reports, citing two sources familiar with the plans.

Trump’s Arctic Sweetener: US Prepares ‘Puerto Rico Option’ and Century-Long Lease for Greenland, Sources Say

All roads lead to Davos as Trump prepares to take his “Greenland obsession” global this week, armed with a 99-year lease proposal and multi-billion dollar tariff threats.

https://www.kyivpost.com/post/68295)

ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 19/01/2026 11:08

Top highlights:

Trump is preparing to take his “Greenland obsession” global this week at the World Economic Forum, bringing a 99-year lease proposal and multibillion-dollar tariff threats (www.kyivpost.com/post/68295) to the table as he pitches the plan to EU allies in Davos, Kyiv Post reports, citing two sources familiar with the plans.

U.S. President Donald Trump has invited Putin to a "Peace Council" regarding the Gaza Strip, stated Putin's press secretary, Dmitry Peskov.
Earlier, the FT, citing sources, reported that there is a proposal in the U.S. to expand the mandate of the Trump-led "Peace Council" to other hotspots, including Ukraine and Venezuela. One source mentioned that the Trump administration views the "Peace Council" as a sort of replacement for the UN to resolve global conflicts.

Trump’s Arctic Sweetener: US Prepares ‘Puerto Rico Option’ and Century-Long Lease for Greenland, Sources Say

All roads lead to Davos as Trump prepares to take his “Greenland obsession” global this week, armed with a 99-year lease proposal and multi-billion dollar tariff threats.

https://www.kyivpost.com/post/68295)

DesdamonasHandkerchief · 19/01/2026 11:46

ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 19/01/2026 10:54

@DesdamonasHandkerchief hey :) Are you back and feeling like taking over the Mondays again, or shall I do it today?

Actually now is the best time for me, so if I do it now and you take over next week, does that work?

Yes I’m back. Totally jet lagged so just got up! Thanks for doing today. I’ll be back to normal next Monday and let me know when you need me to cover Mon to Fri’s in February whilst you’re away 👍

ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 19/01/2026 12:17

Hope you had a good time!

Will do, it's not that long now - thanks a lot :)

ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 20/01/2026 10:54

Kyiv Independent Telegram Highlights

⚡️Ukraine war latest live (kyivindependent.com/ukraine-war-latest-update-2026-01-19/): Russian forces pushing to take city of Lyman in Donetsk Oblast through semi-encirclement, Ukraine's military says.

⚡️Ukraine war latest live (kyivindependent.com/ukraine-war-latest-update-2026-01-19/): Russian troops attempting to mine Huliaipole in Zaporizhzhia Oblast after failing to gain foothold in area, Ukraine says.

⚡️ Denmark 'substantially increases (kyivindependent.com/denmark-substantially-increases-greenland-troops-as-trump-refuses-to-answer-if-hed-use-force/)' Greenland troops as Trump won't rule out using force.
Chief of the Royal Danish Army Major General Peter Boysen will also deploy to the island alongside soldiers.

⚡️Exclusive: Ukraine needs billions in US arms (kyivindependent.com/ukraine-needs-billions-in-us-arms-as-greenland-dispute-pushes-alliance-to-breaking-point-documents-reveal/)as Greenland dispute pushes alliance to breaking point, documents reveal
Ukraine needs at least $27 billion in military equipment from non-European Union sources in 2026, highlighting the bloc's dependence on American technology to support Kyiv, negotiating documents show.

⚡️ Update: Trump invites Lukashenko (kyivindependent.com/putin-allegedly-invited-to-join-trumps-new-gaza-peace-board/) to join Gaza Peace Board, Minsk claims.
"The proposal has been conveyed to (Alexander Lukashenko) and received positively," said Belarusian Foreign Ministry spokesperson Ruslan Varankov, according to Belta.
Earlier, the Kremlin said that Russian President Vladimir Putin had also been invited to join the new body.

Facing Russia and global shifts, Moldova’s Sandu opens door to reunification with Romania (https://kyivindependent.com/facing-russia-and-global-shifts-moldovas-sandu-opens-door-to-reunification-with-romania/)

⚡️Moldova moves to withdraw (kyivindependent.com/moldova-moving-to-withdraw-from-russian-led-cis-foreign-minister-says/) from Russian-led CIS, Foreign Minister says.
Moldova is in the process of formalizing its exit from the Russian-led Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS), Foreign Minister Mihai Popsoi told Radio Moldova on Jan. 19.

⚡️ Update: Russia targets (kyivindependent.com/russia-attacks-kyiv-with-ballistic-missiles-targeting-city-on-freezing-night-amid-energy-crisis/) nuclear power plant substations, thousands in Kyiv without power, water.
Substations connected to Ukraine’s nuclear power plants were targeted, but Moscow failed to disconnect the plants, Vitaliy Zaichenko, the CEO of Ukraine’s state-grid operator Ukrenergo, told the Kyiv Independent on Jan. 20.

⚡️ Czech government refuses to sell L-159 aircraft (kyivindependent.com/czech-government-wont-sell-l-159/) to Ukraine.
Czechia will not sell its L-159 light combat aircraft to Ukraine, Prime Minister Andrej Babis said on Jan. 19, despite Czech President Petr Pavel advocating for the move.

⚡️Zelensky names Pavlo Yelizarov new Air Force deputy commander (kyivindependent.com/zelensky-names-pavlo-yelizarov-new-air-force-deputy-commander-calls-for-overhaul-of-ukrianes-air-defenses/), calls for overhaul of Ukraine's air defenses.
"Our task is to build an anti-drone dome over Ukraine. A system that does not react after the fact, but destroys the threat even during its approach," Defense Minister Mykhailo Fedorov said regarding Yelizarov's appointment.

⚡️Ukraine hits drone warehouse (kyivindependent.com/ukraine-hits-drone-warehouse-in-russian-occupied-luhansk-oblast-military-says/) in Russian-occupied Luhansk Oblast, military says.
Ukrainian forces successfully attacked a drone warehouse belonging to Russia's 144th Motorized Rifle Division in Novokrasnianka, occupied Luhansk Oblast, Ukraine's General Staff reported.

⚡️ Russia's oil, gas revenues to drop by 46% (kyivindependent.com/russias-oil-gas-revenues-to-drop-by-46-in-january-year-on-year/) in January year-on-year, Reuters reports.
The development is driven by a stronger ruble and low oil prices, according to the news agency's calculations.

⚡️Bulgaria's president resigns (kyivindependent.com/bulgarias-president-resigns-plans-to-run-for-parliament/), plans to run for parliament.
Bulgarian President Rumen Radev has staunchly opposed military aid to Kyiv, calling Ukraine's fight against Russia a "doomed cause." He will submit his resignation on Jan. 20 and likely run for parliament in the country's upcoming elections.

⚡️Ukraine's SBU captures Russian soldier (kyivindependent.com/ukraines-sbu-captures-russian-soldier-suspected-of-executing-9-ukrainian-pows-in-kursk/) suspected of executing 9 Ukrainian POWs in 2024.
"We will find every Russian murderer," President Volodymyr Zelensky said after announcing the arrest. The Russian soldier allegedly shot nine Ukrainian POWs in Kursk Oblast in October 2024.

‪Ragnar Bjartur Gudmundsson 🇺🇦‬ ‪@ragnarbjartur.bsky.social‬
· 1h
⚡️ RUSSIA'S WAR AGAINST UKRAINE — JAN 20, 2026
■ Engagements and casualties above average; 13 km² of 🇷🇺 gains confirmed (net gains in 2026: 98 km²; 21k casualties)
■ Equipment losses well above average; record 7-day equipment losses
■ Major overnight attack wave incl. 340 drones and 33 missiles; 92% intercepted, with 24 locations hit or affected by debris
■ Information on 🇷🇺 MLRS and 🇺🇦 strikes is missing from today’s GSUA report

Ukraine Invasion: Part 59
ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 20/01/2026 10:59

UNITED24 Media Telegram Highlights

Ukraine is tightening control over Kupiansk and blocking Russia’s attempts to use the city as a bargaining chip in negotiations, The Washington Post reports.
Russian troops are trying to enter the city in small groups, crossing the river and even moving through an unused gas pipeline. Ukrainian drones track and eliminate them before they can gain a foothold. According to the article, these are isolated incursions with no territorial control.
Ukrainian commanders say Moscow hoped to leverage Kupiansk in talks, but those plans have failed.
Fighting continues in small groups. Supplies and evacuations are carried out mainly by drones. A full clearance may take several more months, but Russia’s presence remains limited, and heavy equipment is not being brought into the city.

Russia is preparing to test a new generation of solid-fuel intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBMs) in 2026 as part of a program to replace its aging Topol-M systems, Izvestia reported on January 12, citing defense sources.
The upcoming trials are expected to include both silo-based and mobile-launch variants, with the missiles reportedly designed to carry advanced guided hypersonic warheads.
According to Army Recognition on January 19, the new missiles are part of a broader effort to modernize Russia’s land-based nuclear deterrent.
The missiles are expected to feature enhanced solid propellants and updated payloads, distinct from the current Avangard-class hypersonic gliders.
The Topol-M, designated RT-2PM2, was the first ICBM developed by Russia after the collapse of the Soviet Union. It entered service in 2000 with the Strategic Rocket Forces and has an estimated range of 11,000 kilometers. A total of 78 units remain deployed—60 in silos and 18 on road-mobile platforms—according to Army Recognition.

Ukraine has suspended additional orders for attack drones from the German-based defense technology startup Helsing after problems during frontline combat tests, Bloomberg reports.
According to the publication, the company’s flagship attack drone, the HX-2, experienced takeoff issues during testing.

Latvian authorities have detained at least three individuals over the past two weeks in connection with the group calling itself the “Anti-Fascists of the Baltics,” which investigators say operated an informant network supplying Russian intelligence with sensitive information.
According to Latvian public broadcaster LSM on january 19, the network had for an extended period passed on data about the movement of military equipment, Ukrainian nationals, and people expressing support for Ukraine.

A Russian submarine struck by an SBU naval drone in the port of Novorossiysk has remained in the same position for more than a month, according to satellite imagery cited by Radio Svoboda.
An image dated January 19 shows the submarine still moored at the damaged berth, with visible signs of repair work on the pier.

Russia’s civil aviation sector is turning to stored aircraft from previous decades to maintain passenger capacity amid a continued shortfall in new domestically produced airliners, Izvestia reported on January 19, citing state corporation Rostec.
According to the report, twelve previously mothballed aircraft—including nine Tupolev Tu‑204 and Tu‑214 models, one Antonov An‑148, and two Ilyushin Il‑96 jets—are being restored for commercial service. @notimagain [will they be safe?]

China has sharply increased its imports of Russia’s Urals crude oil as Indian refiners—previously the largest buyers of the grade—scale back their purchases due to sanctions-related risks, according to a report by Baird Maritime on January 19.
Seaborne shipments of Russian crude to China exceeded 1.5 million barrels per day in December, roughly 300,000 barrels per day above the January–November average.
At the same time, deliveries of Urals crude that had traditionally gone to India tripled to about 259,000 barrels per day in the fourth quarter.
The shift accelerated in January, when China’s Urals imports jumped another 70% to 447,000 barrels per day, the highest level since April 2023.
The surge was driven by some of the deepest discounts offered since the start of Russia’s full-scale war, according to the report. Discounts at Russian ports reached $26–28 per barrel, while net discounts in China—after transport costs—were closer to $10 per barrel.

For the first time since the full-scale invasion, Russia used RM-48U target missiles against Ukraine overnight, according to military sources.
The RM-48U is a converted 5V55 or 48N6DM missile from the S-300PM and S-400 air defense systems. These missiles were originally designed for training air defense crews and are produced from decommissioned rounds whose service life has expired.
They are now being used to strike ground targets, effectively turning the S-300 and S-400 systems into makeshift operational-tactical missile platforms.
According to Ukraine’s Main Intelligence Directorate, Russia has around 400 such missiles.

Last night, Russian forces attacked Ukraine using a Zircon missile, Iskander-M/S-300 missiles, Kh-101 cruise missiles, and drones.
According to the Armed Forces of Ukraine, 27 of 34 missiles and 315 of 339 UAVs were shot down.

❗️ In Kyiv, 5,635 high-rise buildings are without heating following a nighttime Russian attack — mayor.
Almost 80% of them are buildings where heat supply had been restored on January 9. As of yesterday evening, 16 out of nearly 6,000 buildings remained without heating due to damage to critical infrastructure caused by the enemy on January 9, Klitschko reported.
The left bank of the capital is still without water supply.

Maria Kalesnikava, the Belarusian opposition figure who spent five years in prison, has called for Europe to resume engagement with Belarusian dictator Alexander Lukashenko.
“Lukashenko is a pragmatic person. He understands the language of business. If he is ready for humanitarian steps in response to a relaxation of sanctions, including the release of prisoners and allowing independent media and NGOs into Belarus, this needs to be discussed,” Kalesnikava said in an interview with the Financial Times.

😈 Legendary carmaker Renault is set to produce military drones — BFM.
The company has signed a contract with France’s Directorate General of Armaments (DGA) to manufacture drones for the armed forces.
Assembly will take place at Renault’s plant in Le Mans, while engines will be produced at the Cléon facility in Normandy. The project is being implemented in partnership with defense firm Turgis & Gaillard.
The drones, known as Chorus, are long-range remotely controlled munitions that can also be used for reconnaissance and surveillance. Production capacity is expected to reach up to 600 drones per month.
According to L’Usine Nouvelle, the contract could bring Renault around €1 billion over the next ten years.
Renault confirmed the project, saying it was “invited by the French Ministry of the Armed Forces” to take part in building a national drone industry, drawing on its experience in mass-producing high-tech products.

“Alpha” SBU eliminated enemy air defense assets worth $4 billion in 2025
Long-range strikes by special forces of the Alpha Special Operations Center of the Security Service of Ukraine have inflicted significant losses on key elements of Russia’s layered air defense system. The total value of destroyed and disabled enemy air defense assets over the past year is estimated at approximately $4 billion.
Destroyed systems include:
▪️ S-300 / S-350 / S-400
▪️ Buk-M1 / Buk-M2
▪️ Pantsir-S1 / Pantsir-S2
▪️ Tor-M1 / Tor-M2 / Tor-M3
In addition, Russia’s radar reconnaissance and guidance capabilities suffered serious losses. Damaged assets include radar stations critical for detecting air targets and operating air defense systems:
▪️ 55Zh6U Nebo-U / Nebo-M
▪️ Podlyot radar
▪️ Niobium radar
▪️ Kasta-2E2 radar
▪️ Gamma-D radar
▪️ Protyvnik-GE radar
▪️ Radars from Buk and S-300 / S-400 systems
▪️ 92N6 radar and others

Russia has complained about Denmark’s alleged “Russophobia.”
Russian Ambassador to Denmark Vladimir Barbin told the state-run agency TASS that the Danish government’s “repressive decisions” have significantly reduced the staff of the Russian diplomatic mission.

notimagain · 20/01/2026 11:02

@ReleaseTheDucksOfWar

I doibt anything Russian that's flying around is up to spec and certainly not anything coming out of storage.

ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 20/01/2026 11:09

Kyiv Post Telegram Highlights

Zelensky’s planned appearance in Davos today has been canceled.
Following Russia’s overnight attack, he has stayed in Kyiv to coordinate the response, media report.

Kyiv was hit hardest. Up to 80% of the capital has been left without electricity. Almost the entire Left Bank of the city is also without water, while temperatures overnight dropped below −10°C, sharply worsening conditions for residents.

Zelensky confirmed that Ukraine has been invited to Donald Trump’s proposed “Peace Council.”
However, he pointed to a key complication, noting that Russia and Belarus — Ukraine’s enemy and its ally, respectively — were also invited. He said it is difficult to imagine how cooperation would be possible within the same council under such conditions.

Russia has prepared for a massive attack expected in the coming days, President Zelensky warned.

Ukraine rolls out “anti-drone dome” using interceptor UAVs (www.kyivpost.com/post/68383) and mobile air defense teams to shoot down Russian missiles and drones.

Zelensky says Ukraine’s army has largely shut down Russian attacks, (www.kyivpost.com/post/68356) as swarms of Ukrainian drones choke battlefields and inflict heavy losses on invading forces.
Frontline reports point to skies thick with drones and mounting Russian casualties — even as the Kremlin insists it is still “winning.”

Ukraine’s security service has smashed Russian air defences, causing an estimated $4 billion (www.kyivpost.com/post/68353) in damage and punching holes through layered systems.

Ukraine has upheld reforms and macro stability under fire, (www.kyivpost.com/post/68279) but needs sustained external financing and to widen its tax base, IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva tells Kyiv Post.

Russia’s deadly new jet drone exposed (www.kyivpost.com/post/68327) — geran-5 blasts at 600km/h with 90kg warhead, Ukrainian intel reveals.
The geran-5 is a major upgrade, faster and more powerful than earlier drones used in mass strikes on cities and energy targets.

New outage schedules warn that some regions of Ukraine (www.kyivpost.com/post/68344) could be without electricity for more than 16 hours a day.
Ongoing attacks mean there is still no clear timeline for improvement.

Russian forces launched ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and more than 300 attack drones against Ukraine, hitting multiple regions, with the most difficult situation currently in Kyiv, President Volodymyr Zelensky said.
According to the president, the attack targeted Kyiv and the Kyiv region, as well as Vinnytsia, Dnipropetrovsk, Odesa, Zaporizhzhia, Poltava, Sumy regions, and other parts of the country.

Zelensky said he will order additional pay for energy workers (www.kyivpost.com/post/68371) as Ukraine faces winter blackouts.
According to Zelensky, extra monthly payments are needed due to the emergency situation, particularly for workers who are repairing infrastructure on the ground after Russian strikes.

ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 20/01/2026 11:14

Live: Ukraine Telegram Highlights

The Kremlin leader's special envoy Dmitriev will visit Davos this week and hold meetings with members of the American delegation within the framework of the World Economic Forum according to Reuters.
According to Axios the meeting between Dmitriev and Witkoff and Kushner will take place on January 20.

European countries are considering the creation of a new military alliance as a counterweight to NATO, according to Politico.
According to the publication, Ukraine could play an important role in the new alliance because it possesses a large army, advanced drone production, and unique combat experience.
The Coalition of the Willing could become the foundation for the new armed alliance.
National security advisors from 35 governments maintain constant contact, often meeting online and in person while also communicating less formally. They are accustomed to seeking multilateral solutions in a world where Trump is a significant part of the problems, Politico writes.

[more info]
Ukraine halted its order of German Helsing drones following problems during testing according to Bloomberg.
The publication states that the flagship strike drone HX-2 from the German company had issues with takeoff during trials.
A presentation from November 20 prepared by a group within the German Ministry of Defense notes that the model intended to include artificial intelligence components for pilotless control lacked some of these tools.

The newest version of the Ukrainian Octopus interceptor drone was showcased in Kyiv.
This drone with an artificial intelligence based control system was developed within the Armed Forces of Ukraine to combat Shahed drones.
The drone has already proven its effectiveness in combat and is currently being produced in Ukraine and the United Kingdom. There are plans to manufacture several thousand of these drones per month.

Russians attacked four regions of Ukraine during the day resulting in deaths and injuries. Here is what is known about the consequences of the shelling now.
🔴Kharkiv was struck by guided aerial bombs (KABs). In the Slobidskyi district a 65 year old woman was killed and 9 people were injured. Private houses were destroyed.
🔴In Zaporizhzhia two women aged 72 and 75 were wounded due to a Russian drone strike. A house and a garage caught fire.
🔴Sloviansk in the Donetsk region was attacked twice by Russia today. One person was killed and two others were wounded by guided aerial bomb strikes. At least 23 private houses vehicles and warehouses were damaged.
🔴In Kherson a 70 year old female resident was injured due to Russian shelling.

"I ask for bread": a 19-year-old drone pilot named Maliuk saw this inscription in the village, which is located in the buffer zone.
It was made by a local resident, an elderly woman. Our soldier dropped bread and cookies for her. Later, the woman expressed her gratitude for the food, also using an inscription in the snow. [I wonder how many people have frozen or starved to death thanks to the Russians]

Ukraine Invasion: Part 59
Ukraine Invasion: Part 59
Ukraine Invasion: Part 59
MissConductUS · 20/01/2026 16:12

notimagain · 20/01/2026 11:02

@ReleaseTheDucksOfWar

I doibt anything Russian that's flying around is up to spec and certainly not anything coming out of storage.

Hasn’t their strategic bomber force been largely kept out of the fight?

Sorry, I see now that you were referring to civilian/commercial aviation.

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