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Ukraine Invasion: Part 43

992 replies

MagicFox · 08/07/2023 11:10

With thanks as usual to everyone!

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ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 23/07/2023 13:10

https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-july-22-2023

Key Takeaways:

  • Ukrainian forces continued counteroffensive operations on at least three sectors of the front on July 22.
  • Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky stated that Ukrainian counteroffensive operations may soon increase in tempo and that the delay in counteroffensive operations was in part due to limited materiel.
  • Ukrainian officials stated on July 22 that Ukraine’s interdiction campaign against Russian military targets in rear areas is successfully degrading Russian logistics and counterbattery capabilities, likely contributing to an asymmetrical attrition gradient in Ukraine’s favor.
  • Ukrainian forces struck a Russian oil depot and ammunition depot in Crimea as part of this Ukrainian pressure campaign.
  • Russian strikes against Ukrainian shipping and agricultural infrastructure in southern Ukraine may be subsiding or entering a temporary lull.
  • Further details about former Russian officer and ardent nationalist Igor Girkin’s arrest for extremism continue to suggest a shifting balance of power among Kremlin factions and a notable factionalism within the Russian Federal Security Service (FSB), in which Girkin had served.
  • Girkin’s affiliates have launched a public effort to cast Girkin as an embattled figure in opposition to Russian leadership.
  • Girkin’s arrest has not generated widespread outrage in the Russian ultranationalist community as some previous cases have, suggesting an increasing fragmentation within the information space.
  • Girkin’s arrest is likely not an indicator of a wider effort to censor the Russian ultranationalist community, but rather an attempt to excise a specific segment of the community that is vocally hostile to the Kremlin.
  • Ukrainian forces conducted offensive operations along the Kupyansk-Svatove-Kreminna line and in the Bakhmut area but did not make gains.
  • Russian forces conducted offensive operations in the Kupyansk and Bakhmut areas and along the Avdiivka-Donetsk City line and made claimed advances in the Kupyansk area.
  • Ukrainian forces conducted offensive operations along the western Donetsk-eastern Zaporizhia Oblast border area and in western Zaporizhia Oblast but did not make advances.
  • Russian forces conducted offensive operations along the western Donetsk-eastern Zaporizhia Oblast border area but did not make any confirmed or claimed advances.
  • Prominent Russian Federation Council members opposed a bill aimed at increasing the upper age limit for the conscription age while maintaining the lower limit of 18.
  • Russian occupation authorities continue to relocate Ukrainian children in occupied Ukraine to Russia.
  • The Wagner Group’s footprint in Belarus is likely expanding.

extra:
Zelensky stated ... on July 21 that Ukrainian forces had plans to launch counteroffensive operations in the spring but that a lack of munitions and military equipment, such as mine-clearing equipment and continued Ukrainian training abroad, necessitated a delay.[3] Zelensky noted that the delay in Ukrainian counteroffensive operations allowed Russian forces to establish minefields and multiple defensive lines.[4] ISW assessed in January 2023 that the provision of Western weapons and materiel to Ukraine has been essential to Ukraine’s previous ability to conduct successful counteroffensive operations and that delays between Western pledges to send higher-end Western systems to Ukraine and the arrival of those systems likely hinder Ukraine’s ability to initiate and sustain large-scale counteroffensive operations.[5] Zelensky stated that counteroffensive operations may soon increase in tempo due to ongoing mine-clearing operations.[6] US Secretary of State Antony Blinken stated on July 21 at the Aspen Security Forum that it is too early to draw conclusions about Ukrainian counteroffensive operations and that Ukraine will likely “make a profound difference” on the battlefield as Kyiv commits all of the forces that Ukraine prepared for the counteroffensive.[7] [my italics/bold]

Ukraine Invasion: Part 43
ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 23/07/2023 13:26

[can't find the source now, it wasn't the Kyiv Indep, but last night I saw a claim that the USA has firmly decided against providing ATACMS to Ukraine]

Kyiv Independent Telegram

⚡️Zelensky discusses https://kyivindependent.com/zelensky-discusses-grain-deal/ grain deal by phone with Stoltenberg.

⚡️ Zelensky asks https://kyivindependent.com/zelensky-asks-stoltenberg-to-convene-ukraine-nato-council-over-grain-deal-crisis/ Stoltenberg to convene NATO-Ukraine Council over grain deal crisis.

⚡️Explosions reported https://kyivindependent.com/explosions-reported-in-crimea-russian-proxy-claims-it-was-drone-attack/**in occupied Crimea, Russian proxy claims drone attack.

⚡️Ukraine's military: Oil depot, Russian military warehouses destroyed https://kyivindependent.com/military-oil-depot-russian-military-warehouses-destroyed-in-occupied-crimea/ in occupied Crimea.

⚡️Swedish government pledges https://kyivindependent.com/swedish-government-pledges-522-6-euros-for-ukraines-recovery/) 522.6 million euros for Ukraine's recovery.

⚡️ Lukashenko arrives https://kyivindependent.com/lukashenko-goes-to-saint-petersburg-to-talk-with-putin/**in St. Petersburg to meet with Putin.

⚡️Ukraine has developed https://kyivindependent.com/ukraine-has-developed-its-own-air-defense-systems/ its own air defense systems, official says.
Ukraine has developed and is now testing its own medium-range air defense systems, Verkhovna Rada official Yehor Cherniev said during a televised broadcast on July 22.

⚡️Governor: Aid center https://kyivindependent.com/governor-russias-cluster-munitions-attack-hits-aid-center-in-donetsk-oblast/ in Donetsk Oblast hit by Russian cluster munitions.
Russian forces hit the front-line town of Chasiv Yar in Donetsk Oblast overnight with cluster munitions, Governor Pavlo Kyryenko reported on July 23.
A double-tap attack occurred when emergency services were trying to extinguish the fire in the culture center turned humanitarian aid distribution point, the governor said. No casualties were reported.

Warsaw has summoned the Russian Ambassador to Poland after President Vladimir Putin threatened Poland and claimed it was eyeing territory in Ukraine and Belarus. https://kyivindependent.com/poland-summons-russian-ambassador-after-putins-remarks/

⚡️Russian state media: Russian propagandist killed https://kyivindependent.com/russian-state-media-russian-propagandist-killed-on-the-front-line/on front line.

The Russian-language service of Deutsche Welle reported on July 22 that their camera operator Yevgeny Shilko was injured by Russian cluster munitions in the city of Druzhkivka in Donetsk Oblast, located about 23 kilometers from the front line. https://kyivindependent.com/dw-cameraman-injured-by-russian-cluster-munitions/

⚡️Prosecutor General's Office: 496 Ukrainian children killed https://kyivindependent.com/prosecutor-general-496-children-killed-by-russias-all-out-war/ by Russia's all-out war. [does not account for Mariupol and occupied territories, I think]

When Russian forces destroyed the Kakhovka dam, volunteers rushed to help those in flooded Kherson Oblast. There they faced Russian artillery targeting rescuers and victims, leading to a filmed and publicized attack that provided evidence of a war crime. https://kyivindependent.com/how-russian-soldiers-shared-evidence-of-their-own-war-crime/

⚡️Zelensky: Former Odesa military enlistment office head suspected https://kyivindependent.com/zelensky-former-head-of-odesa-military-enlistment-office-served-suspicion-notice-in-abstentia/**of illicit enrichment.

⚡️UNESCO condemns https://kyivindependent.com/unesco-condemns-attack-on-odesas-historic-center/ Russian attack on Odesa's historic center.

⚡️Russian missile attack destroys https://kyivindependent.com/russian-missile-attack-destroys-odesas-transfiguration-cathedral/**Odesa's Transfiguration Cathedral.

⚡️ Russian Defense Ministry claims attack that hit Odesa cathedral targeted https://kyivindependent.com/russian-defense-ministry-claims-attack-on-odesa-targeted-sites-where-terrorist-acts-against-russia-prepared/sites where Ukraine was constructing 'unmanned boats' to be used against Russia.

Ragnar Gudmundsson
HIGHLIGHTS FOR JUL 23:
■ High combat activity, numerous strikes
■troop losses continue to be above 7-day average
■ Double-digit artillery, drone, vehicle & tank losses
Largest tank losses in over 5 weeks

Ukraine Invasion: Part 43
Ukraine Invasion: Part 43
ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 23/07/2023 13:27

I don't know why some parts of the Kyiv Indep stuff comes out in italics, there are no around them, but at this point it's taking too long to try to work it out. So apologies and hopefully it's still readable.

ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 23/07/2023 13:28

no italic bracketsaround them*

ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 23/07/2023 13:38

UNITED24 Media Telegram

The USA successfully tested a drone that spies from the stratosphere
At an altitude of 20 km, the drone cannot be seen by radars, it is invulnerable to air defense systems. It is noted that PHASA-35 could potentially play a decisive role in the war in Ukraine.

⚔️ The military initiative along the entire line of the front is now on the side of Ukraine, — Volodymyr Gavrilov.

🇺🇸 The USA plans to announce a new $400 million aid package on Tuesday, — Reuters.

❗️Rheinmetall will provide Ukraine with new ammunition to shoot down Russian drones
Rheinmetall is to supply 300,000 shells for the Gepard, 40,000 of which will be delivered this year.
Due to the shortage of ammunition, the Ukrainian military usually fire only five volleys, although the guns of these installations fire up to 20 shells in one round.

The communication node of the occupiers near Bakhmut has been destroyed.
The other day, information about the location of the enemy's communications center on the outskirts of the city was received by the intelligence headquarters of the Third Airborne Assault Division.

Britain handed over to Ukraine several dozen Wolfram mobile ground platforms for Brimstone missiles
Previously, these missiles were adapted for launch from trucks.

⚡️ Complete demining of Ukraine will take about 757 years — The Washington Post citing experts.
This is assuming that 500 demining teams will demine the territory. Ukraine is currently the most mined country in the world.

The service center for the repair of Leopard tanks started working in Poland, — the Minister of Defense of the country Mariusz Blaszczak.

The actions of "Wagner" PMC in Belarus are designed to intimidate Ukrainians, — Serhii Naev, the commander of "Pivnich" OC.
He emphasized that the Defense Forces of Ukraine are doing everything to prevent subversive groups of Russians from successfully operating on Ukrainian soil, in particular in the Chernobyl zone in the direction of Kyiv.

The government of South Korea plans to lift the ban on visiting Ukraine for businessmen who will participate in reconstruction projects in Ukraine, — Yonhap

⚡️ Prosecutor General's Office: 496 children died in Ukraine as a result of Russian armed aggression
🔷 More than 1564 children have suffered in Ukraine as a result of Russia's full-scale armed aggression. As of the morning of July 22, 2023, according to official information from juvenile prosecutors, 496 children were killed and more than 1068 were injured of varying severity.
🔹These figures are not final. Work continues to establish them in the areas of hostilities, in the temporarily occupied and liberated territories.
🔹Most children were injured in Donetsk region - 474, Kharkiv - 297, Kyiv - 129, Kherson - 116, Zaporizhzhia - 97, Mykolaiv - 89, Dnipro - 83, Chernihiv - 71, Luhansk - 67.

The occupiers took 100 children from Kalanchak, Kherson region to Russia, — Center of National Resistance.
The children will be sent to the sanatorium "Forest Tale" in Saransk, where the so-called cultural and educational events will be held:
▫️lectures about "Special Military Operation" and their affiliation to the Russian Federation;
▫️the Russian propaganda version of history will be taught;
▫️Russian artists will perform in the camp;
▫️will hold lectures on Russian literature.

Devastating photos of grain storage facilities destroyed by Russian aerial strikes in Odesa this week.

The Washington Post publishes a new satellite image of the Wagner PMC camp in the Belarusian village of Tsel.

Ukraine Invasion: Part 43
Ukraine Invasion: Part 43
Ukraine Invasion: Part 43
Ukraine Invasion: Part 43
notimagain · 23/07/2023 13:42

The USA successfully tested a drone that spies from the stratosphere
At an altitude of 20 km, the drone cannot be seen by radars, it is invulnerable to air defense systems.

That's a brave claim (thinks F-117)..

ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 23/07/2023 13:49

Seen the claim a couple of times, but no further info on it. though there again, perhaps that's not surprising =)

It's also a test drone. No info on how soon it can be put into full production, so it seems a very tall order that it can be a game changer for Ukraine, as the claim tends to put it.

notimagain · 23/07/2023 13:53

ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 23/07/2023 13:49

Seen the claim a couple of times, but no further info on it. though there again, perhaps that's not surprising =)

It's also a test drone. No info on how soon it can be put into full production, so it seems a very tall order that it can be a game changer for Ukraine, as the claim tends to put it.

If it's genuinely PHASA-35 then it's this British vehicle:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/BAE_Systems_PHASA-35

BAE Systems PHASA-35 - Wikipedia

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/BAE_Systems_PHASA-35

blueshoes · 23/07/2023 15:03

More drone chat from WSJ. I have summarised as it is behind a paywall.

https://www.wsj.com/articles/drones-reach-stratospheric-heights-in-race-to-fly-higher-longer-a29ceea3

Drones Reach Stratospheric Heights in Race to Fly Higher, Longer
New military and commercial craft aim to go far higher than jumbo jets and stay there for months, offering more flexible alternative to satellites

This month, BAE Systems’ PHASA-35 drone took off from a missile range in New Mexico climbed above 65,000 feet into the stratosphere and flew for 24 hours before landing, in a recent test flight.

Drones have already shaken up warfare, recently playing a prominent role in the war in Ukraine. But militaries have long sought craft that can provide intelligence at a height beyond the reach of most radar and missile-defense systems, and for extended periods. For commercial users, high-altitude drones, sometimes referred to as pseudo-satellites, can be a way to beam internet services into areas with low connectivity.

BAE Systems says the solar-powered PHASA-35 is designed to stay in the air for as long as a year. It has a wingspan of 115 feet but weighs only as much as a typical motorcycle. The long wings are needed to carry the solar panels that generate energy and to give the drone sufficient lift in the thin stratospheric air.
It is expected to enter service as soon as late 2026. [Ducks, you are right about taking a while before it can go into production for Ukraine’s use]

That delicate structure needs to climb and descend more than 12 miles of variable weather, meaning operators—who work around the clock—require highly accurate meteorological data. “It’s the equivalent of a very fragile boat crossing rapids to get to calmer weather beyond,” said Steve Wright, an associate professor in aerospace engineering at the University of the West of England, in Bristol. Once in the stratosphere, these drones then face temperatures of minus 40 degrees Celsius as well as solar radiation, which their sophisticated electronics will be exposed to for months. “The electronics have to be super tough,” said Wright.

For military use, high-altitude drones have low radar signatures, partly because their engines give off less heat than jets. And at such heights they are also harder to shoot down. “We are very difficult to see,” said BAE’s Corfield.

Airbus has developed a drone called the Zephyr that has already flown up to 70,000 feet for 64 days. Its target is to fly for more than 200 days.

The race to send drones higher for longer is littered with failures. Boeing, Meta and Google are among the big names that have stumbled in their efforts to get drones and balloons up into the harsh conditions of the stratosphere, and then land again.

Highflying military drones already in service include Northrop Grumman’s Global Hawk and General Atomics Aeronautical Systems’ Reaper, which can reach around 60,000 feet and 50,000 feet, respectively. Both can fly for around 30 hours.

Others working on high-altitude drones include Japan’s SoftBank, which tested its Sunglider craft at 62,500 feet in 2020, and National Aerospace Laboratories, a research arm of the Indian government.

Drones Reach Stratospheric Heights in Race to Fly Higher, Longer

New military and commercial craft aim to go far higher than jumbo jets and stay there for months, offering a more flexible alternative to satellites.

https://www.wsj.com/articles/drones-reach-stratospheric-heights-in-race-to-fly-higher-longer-a29ceea3

newnametemporarilyyy · 23/07/2023 16:31

Mb76 · 20/07/2023 20:06

These issues are key as one of the roots of the whole of the current conflict as well. In 1991 when Ukraine became independent, it was something like 40 percent ethnic Russian and many of those were very pro Russian and spoke Russian as their first language day to day is one of the roots of the current conflict; nationalists on the other hand wanted the Russian language and culture to be banned (this has been freely stated by many nationalists). According to many testimonies coming out of Donbass, many people had called upon Russia to help them as day to day life had been very difficult in places where the nationalist National Guard had had control.

Oh give over, what a load of crap. Testimonies?

The Russian speaking citizens of Ukraine never had an issue with the language until Russia started their propaganda shortly before 2013.

“Nationalists” - please do explain, who are they? Do you mean Ukrainians? This is offensive!

I am one of those 40% Russian speaking Ukrainians from Donbas. Donetsk itself. I remember 1991. I know exactly when this language conflict nonsense started and it was not in 1991. Do you know that you until the 1950’s most population in Donetsk and Luhansk and even in some Russian regions of Rostov have been primarily Ukrainian speaking? Do you know what changed that?

maybe you should go back and do your research before you come here preaching about things you don’t know or understand!

I am responding to your post as you say you are from Donetsk. I am not going to get into a huge row over my post, with you or anyone else, as my post simply explained that there are children who speak Russian not Ukrainian etc.

So, responding to your points - because I think the more we understand about all this the easier it is to find international solutions - you say most of Donbass was Ukrainian speaking in the 1950s, but this was still Soviet era and so I think your info is incorrect - from Stalin's death in 1953 there was a relaxing of what was required in terms of language ie Ukrainian was more accepted, and moving to the end of the 1950s people were allowed to choose their language of education but it appears that Russian remained the dominant language/leaning in Donbass, ie, that didn't change. I might be wrong, but I can't find any sources which say what you have said. There have been many developments since. If you look at what sparked the Orange Revolution, and look at the voting patterns, you will see that irrespective of who won the election, the agreed voting patterns were that around 50 percent were voting for the pro Russian candidate, ie the Eastern half and the other half voting for the other. After the Orange revolution it looks like language was an issue - there are mumsnet threads going back well before 2014/2013 which talk about language issues and different loyalties.

In relation to nationalists the BBC has done many documentaries about the rise of nationalism but more than this. many "nationalists" are self defining, ie they identify as nationalist online and express clear views. I am sorry if you find that offensive, it wasn't intended to be.

newnametemporarilyyy · 23/07/2023 16:37

blueshoes · 20/07/2023 20:02

@newnametemporarilyyy If you truly held the abhorrent views that you do to throw off your cloak of anonymity and stand and be counted by your usual posting name. The fact that you are afraid to shows a lack of bona fides and level of fabrication and cowardice not dissimilar to the pro-Russian views that you parrot.

Another slug of cash for Ukaine's cause. The day cannot come sooner for Russia to get out of Ukraine.

Nothing I have said is abhorrent. The reason why I wouldn't use my usual name is because of posts like yours, the level of threat and aggression.

MissConductUS · 23/07/2023 17:04

The reason why I wouldn't use my usual name is because of posts like yours, the level of threat and aggression.

How ironic that someone with pro-Russian views fears threats and aggression in an online forum. And how egocentric that you dispute the account of someone who lived in the area because it conflicts with something you think you read years ago but can't find online now.

Greenshake · 23/07/2023 17:04

@newnametemporarilyyy, please highlight where the “threat and aggression” is in the blueshoes post you have quoted?

newnametemporarilyyy · 23/07/2023 17:08

MissConductUS · 23/07/2023 17:04

The reason why I wouldn't use my usual name is because of posts like yours, the level of threat and aggression.

How ironic that someone with pro-Russian views fears threats and aggression in an online forum. And how egocentric that you dispute the account of someone who lived in the area because it conflicts with something you think you read years ago but can't find online now.

gaslighting

prettybird · 23/07/2023 17:34

Hmm at the incorrect use of gaslighting.

I'll stop reading that poster's posts now. They add nothing of worth.

I prefer to read posts from those that have real experience and/or can evidence their posts.

newnametemporarilyyy · 23/07/2023 17:35

The OP says:

Discussion and debate is welcome, but please keep it respectful

In a post upthread I referred to testimonies online. There are literally hundreds and hundreds which give many different views and many different views from those expressed here. We all have to use our judgement when reading or watching things online, and my impression is that the vast majority - ie 99.9 percent - of the testimonies I have seen are from normal (Ukrainian) people, not influenced by any government or power group. * *

I am out now as I don't appreciate being called abhorrent for raising the above as an issue.

blueshoes · 23/07/2023 17:38

newnametemporarilyyy · 23/07/2023 17:35

The OP says:

Discussion and debate is welcome, but please keep it respectful

In a post upthread I referred to testimonies online. There are literally hundreds and hundreds which give many different views and many different views from those expressed here. We all have to use our judgement when reading or watching things online, and my impression is that the vast majority - ie 99.9 percent - of the testimonies I have seen are from normal (Ukrainian) people, not influenced by any government or power group. * *

I am out now as I don't appreciate being called abhorrent for raising the above as an issue.

We all have to use our judgement when reading or watching things online, and my impression is that the vast majority - ie 99.9 percent - of the testimonies I have seen are from normal (Ukrainian) people, not influenced by any government or power group.

So you can read Ukrainian and Russian, can you? Hmm

prettybird · 23/07/2023 18:06

SIL is Ukrainian (interestingly I'd initially thought db had met a Russian: she was brought up mostly in Russia and spoke Russian). She now has a British passport and lives in France.

I listen to what she has to say: which is heartbreaking as there is now a split between her and her grown up daughter and her parents who live in Russia and still believe that it's a "special military operation" and that Russia was defending itself Sad

Her cousin had to escape the invasion with her family and are now living close by - while her cousin's dh had stayed behind to fight.

But her parents choose to ignore that/stick their hands over their ears. Truly double think Sad

Chatillon · 23/07/2023 18:19

I am somewhat encouraged by the stats that @ReleaseTheDucksOfWar has posted as of late. In the first 15 months of the war the average daily Russian losses compared to the last 2 months (24 May to 23 July) are:

Troops - 447 (622)
APV - 16 (11)
Vehicles and trucks - 13 (17)
Tanks - 8 (6)
Artillery - 7 (22)
UAV - 6 (18)
MLRS - 1.2 (2.2)

The amelioration of traditional artillery, drones and to some extent MLRS is necessary before a successful counter-offensive can begin, particularly when air support is negligible. I am reserving judgment on whether the counter-offensive has really begun in earnest yet. The reconnaissance and slow, but sure degradation of the systems, particularly artillery, that can otherwise wrought much destruction and hold the Ukrainian army in check is certainly being carried out. Within 2-3 months Russia's artillery units will no longer be sustainable. I do indeed believe there is much going on that we will read about later and things might be better strategically than we believe at the moment.

Once I was hoping for major gains during the Summer months, but now I'm not so sure. I hope for a slow but sure further degradation and an usurping of Russian forces out of their defensive lines in several places. That will kill their morale as Autumn sets in. I cannot see how Russian troops can hold broken lines going into Winter. Some air support will also deal a heavy blow.

AskingQuestionsAllTheTime · 23/07/2023 18:57

This reply has been deleted

Message deleted by MNHQ. Here's a link to our Talk Guidelines.

DesdamonasHandkerchief · 23/07/2023 19:04

⚡️ Complete demining of Ukraine will take about 757 years — The Washington Post citing experts.
This is assuming that 500 demining teams will demine the territory. Ukraine is currently the most mined country in the world.

757 Years assuming 500 demining teams 🤯 My God that is so depressing.

L1ttledrummergirl · 23/07/2023 19:15

@Chatillon, I get the impression that this battle is less shock and awe, and more drawn out battle lines similar to wwi. Rather than throwing troops into a meat grinder, it seems Ukrainian commanders have learnt from history and are adapting the art of warfare to avoid high troop losses.
Using precision warfare to target artillery and now cluster bombs to clear the trenches instead of blanket bombing and sacrifice.

I would hazard a guess that they have special forces behind the lines doing reconnaissance and causing mayhem similar to how the sas operated in wwii.

I actually think that when they go, the ground will be better prepared because of the planning phase and they will move fast as a result. The aim is to regain their territory with as little loss of life as possible.

blueshoes · 23/07/2023 19:32

Mines are one of the biggest obstacles causing Ukraine’s slow offensive. Before Ukraine can get to the Russian enemy lines which is heavily mined, they have to open a gap in their own minefields which were laid to slow Russia’s advance. Then once they get to enemy lines, they are up against a belt of antitank mines, five rows deep, in front of a Russian position. Ukrainian sappers are working at night, practically hand clearing mines at huge risk to their lives. This is part of the painstaking work that goes on behind the scenes to decrease loss of Ukrainian lives but at the risk of the sappers' :( True courage 🇺🇦

Excerpts from the WSJ article, as it is behind a paywall.

https://www.wsj.com/articles/the-pivotal-mission-in-ukraines-counteroffensive-hunting-for-mines-78197558

The Pivotal Mission in Ukraine’s Counteroffensive: Hunting for Mines
Mines are proving one of the biggest challenges for Kyiv’s slow-moving counteroffensive

The Ukrainian soldiers set off in pitch black, stealing through shell-cratered fields to carry out one of the most important tasks of the counteroffensive—and one of the most dangerous.

Armed with a metal detector, a shovel and a grappling hook, the combat engineers—known as sappers—hunt for mines along the front line with Russian forces, while trying to remain undetected by the enemy nearby.

“You can’t afford to be nervous,” said a 49-year-old sapper with the call sign Fisherman who leads a group of 50 within Ukraine’s 68th Jaeger Brigade.

After an initial thrust using Western-donated tanks and other armored vehicles foundered in a Russian minefield in early June, Ukrainian forces turned to men like Fisherman to clear a way forward.

Russia built some of the most extensive battlefield fortifications seen since the World Wars during the months that Western forces were training and equipping Kyiv’s forces to go on the offensive. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky has lamented that Western allies didn’t move faster, giving Russia time to mine an area larger than California.

Among the solutions are the Mine Clearing Line Charge, which launches a small rocket with a line of explosive charges across a minefield and is detonated to trigger any mines nearby. Ukraine already has a Soviet-developed equivalent. The Mine Clearing Line Charge, or Miclic, can clear a corridor of up to 328 feet long through minefields, and wide enough to safely accommodate tanks or personnel carriers. It works by launching a hydraulic rocket carrying a line of C-4 explosive charges behind. As they detonate, they also trigger mines within range, including antipersonnel mines and magnetically activated mines. The Miclic is easily towed wherever it’s needed.

One of the six Leopard 2R armored mine-clearing vehicles provided to Ukraine by Finland was destroyed in the early days of the counteroffensive and two were damaged, according to Oryx, an independent team of analysts tracking both sides’ losses in the war.

“When we go into occupied territory, we are blind,” said Buba.

Wearing night-vision goggles, the sappers scan the ground in front of them with a metal detector. At times they get so close to Russian positions they can hear the voices of their enemies. When the metal detector picks up a signal, they probe the earth to establish what lies beneath. There is no room for nerves. “Your hands can’t shake,” said Fisherman, wearing a T-shirt with the words “Good evening, we are from Ukraine.”

Often the metal detected is harmless shrapnel that litters fields along the front line in southern Ukraine. But if it is a mine, the sappers uncover it using a spade with a short handle before attaching a grappling hook with a cord.

From a safe distance, they tug at the cord to dislodge the antitank mine. Russian forces often place an antipersonnel mine underneath, which is triggered when the antitank mine is removed. “There is always a risk,” said Buba.

Tripwires aren’t visible in the dark, so the sappers sometimes wait until dawn to go out and search for them. For that, Fisherman said, the best tool is a reed: taut but yielding enough not to trigger a trip wire. “Nobody has come up with a tool better than this,” he said, plucking a reed from the bank of a river flowing past. The men were on a break from front-line duties and were staying in a vacant house while awaiting further orders.

Sappers have a short life expectancy, Fisherman said. Despite that, he said he hasn’t lost a single man to a mine so far. That, he considers his greatest achievement.

“I didn’t come here to be a hero,” he said. “I just came here to do my job: to win the war.”

The Pivotal Mission in Ukraine’s Counteroffensive: Hunting for Mines

Mines are proving one of the biggest challenges for a counteroffensive that is progressing more slowly than Kyiv and its allies had hoped.

https://www.wsj.com/articles/the-pivotal-mission-in-ukraines-counteroffensive-hunting-for-mines-78197558

Hillsmakeyoustrong · 23/07/2023 23:11

What's the noise around Poland? Today's Telegraph had the following headlines and I've extracted the main points.

Lukashenko ‘struggling to keep Wagner troops from attacking Poland’

Belarusian leader claims he is doing his best to prevent mercenaries from crossing border into neighbouring country

Belarus is struggling to restrain Wagner mercenaries from attacking Poland, Alexander Lukashenko has said.
The Belarusian leader made the claim during a meeting with Vladimir Putin in St Petersburg, days after Warsaw accused Moscow of using Wagner and Minsk to destabilise Eastern Europe.
He said: “The Wagnerites are beginning to stretch us. I ask: ‘Why do you need to go to the West?’ [They reply:] ‘We want to go on an excursion to Warsaw, to Rzeszow’.”
Mr Lukashenko also presented Putin with what he said was a map of Poland’s plan to attack Belarus. This week, the Russian president has warned that an attack on Belarus constitutes an attack on Russia.
”As we can see that, the ground is being prepared,” Mr Lukashenko said.
Poland has rushed extra soldiers to its border and said that it was monitoring Wagner fighters since they moved into Belarus earlier this month. Analysts have warned that the Kremlin may be setting up a “false flag” incident to justify an attack on Poland. Wagner fighters have been training Belarusian special forces on the border with Poland.

Is this just empty threats and the usual nonsense or is a false flag operation being planned?

Prigozhin arrives in Belarus as Lukashenko takes credit for rescuing Russia from coup

Wagner fighters expected to be given safe passage to Belarus to train country’s army as its president said he ‘could do with such a unit’

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2023/06/27/lukashenko-prigozhin-wagner-group-mutiny-russia-putin/

L1ttledrummergirl · 23/07/2023 23:29

Is this Lukashenko shaking the tree to bring NATO into it. He can then surrender his troops, taking Belarus out of it, whilst leaving Russia to fight alone? Destabilising Rusia and allowing Belarus to become independent?
It's like chess, except no-one knows what Lukashenko Is playing for. Does he want to be president of Russia in It's current form, an independent Belarus, or is he genuinely on team Putin?

His friendship with Prigozhin appears to have brought Wagner into his sphere, do they work for him, Prigozhin, or Putin?

So many questions because I wouldn't trust any of them to play with a straight bat.