Thanks for the link, TheGreatWave. Long ago, before the world turned upside down, I spent a lot of time with the elderly. I know that 2/3 of care homes have no cases of Covid and have heard that some managers have a terrible time trying to convince doctors not to put Covid on the death certificate of patients who didn't display any particularly Covid symptoms in a home where no cases are suspected. The attitude among some doctors, who haven't necessarily even set eyes on the patient, seems to be 'well, I might as well put Covid'.
It also seems that a lot of elderly people are dying at home, including in care homes as they are discouraged from sending patients to hospital, and, often are afraid they'll pick up Covid in the hospital. Apparently deaths in care homes for the week ending May 22 is 62% higher than the five year average. If no visitors are allowed to the dying in hospital, it's probably better if they do die in familiar surroundings with people they know around, saved aggressive interventions, although it's sad for the care homes.
Neil Ferguson reckons that he is 'less certain about what may happen in September' but that transmission 'should' stay 'relatively flat' until then. So, hands up who thinks keeping children and adults out of school until September is a good idea, then.
Is it even smart to keep any degree of lockdown going over the summer? I can't believe there's much appetite to stay more or less like this for months with the risk of tightening after September just as the weather declines. Specially as the vast majority of transmission seems to be in hospitals and care homes.