@BarkandCheese
Absolutely. The frothing about the excess deaths is marginally misplaced.
Yes, we have experienced a huge peak for the last month over and above the average. And yes, had that continued that would have been bad.
However, because people can't die twice just as much as they can't be resurrected the metric of excess deaths will only paint a clear picture of the impact when viewed over a statistically significant time frame. As deaths tend to follow 12 month cycles then looking at it over 12 months would be a bare minimum. 24 or 36 months would be better given the life expectancy of people in care homes.
The restrictions we have seen are a blunt tool, so we will likely see a reduction in other infectious causes of death as well over the next few months.