Get back to us when they are 35 about where they are in life.
This isn't just about a short term identity issue.
This is also about long term decisions impacting long term life.
These aren't great post transition. The initial honeymoon period is known about and documented.
The essential issue is the point it being effectively a way of 'running away from yourself' - it's a form of avoidant behaviour.
This can be driven by all types of things but avoidant behaviour is always mental health related because it's a form of anxiety. If you are trying to avoid being called the sex you are that's avoidant behaviour.
Avoidant behaviour can be upheld for a finite amount of time before a crisis which relies on you acknowledging the thing you are trying to avoid.
If it was a fear of spiders, you might get away with it your whole life.
If it's about being in denial about your sex, the side effects and implications of taking hormones / having surgery, relationship status, having or not having children and your medical issues more generally EVENTUALLY you are going to hit a road block.
The trouble with extreme avoidant behaviour is how it manifests. This can be really traumatic and involve lashing out at people around you, because YOU are that fucking scared of the world around you and it's out of proportion to any threat posed. You are in fight or flight mode.
Weirdly this idea of transphobia being everywhere and being about hate from pronouns is about this avoidant behaviour and the fear ISN'T coming from someone who goes "this is a lot of bullshit" and really otherwise couldn't care less what you are wearing or who you are but are rather pissed off at your lashing out and unreasonable demands. The fear is actually about the fear of having to face up to reality and the extent to which the avoidant behaviour has been enabled and encouraged.
I think in ten to fifteen years times this is likely to be one of the incoming narratives about the impact of avoidant behaviour and how it isn't properly recognised as the anxiety (mental health) related issues it should be.
We've got too caught up in 'being kind' as the only possible solution, when actually you can never run away from yourself and material reality. You can only come to terms with that reality.
This tends to be a natural process throughout your twenties too where you settle into your adult self. Removing this idea that you go from the awkward teen / very young adult to an older adult who no longer seeks the same level of peer inclusion and 'fitting in' to realising that actually all this fitting in business is just very immature/ a lack of confidence and thinking the world centres on you.
The second you move from the world being more than just you and you not being a planetary body which gravity revolves around, it all changes.
Transpeople don't seem to go through this process and ultimately end up becoming croppers for it, because they can't adjust to other people waking up to the fact they don't have to pander to this - because it doesn't do them any good and they realise it's really not actually doing anything to help the transperson because it merely can only delay that inevitable crash with reality and make them more unprepared for it.
It's like building a tower on sand - the higher the tower is built the further the fall for the person at the top of the tower who is still building it.
Without a good foundation on hard, solid ground your house will fall down. The subsidence will get you in the end regardless of how good the skill in masonry and woodwork the workmen have because they can't change the foundations on which that carefully crafted identity was built on.
I would like to say different. But nothing in history says anything different. The truth always shines through in the end.
You can not escape yourself. You can bully others but YOU always know deep down. This is the paradox of insecurity that can never be satisfied in the long run. The demands get bigger as someone realises that that need and the desire to avoid the true gets bigger and bigger.
When all your peers are settling down, have long term partners and start having kids and you find yourself in a position where your sex matters because having a child starts to rise up the priority list and your dating pool has shrunk to a very small pot and those people who have settled down no longer have the time for the bullshit and the pandering because it's so draining and they are busy playing house... Right about the time your physical health really starts deteriorating due to the drugs. That's when it starts to get real and very lonely...
Good luck.