Yup it looks like Swinny, Nicola Sturgeon's longtime deputy will be the anti-Forbes candidate. He was leader 2000-2003 and led the SNP to defeat. Gilruth and others have given endorsement.
Jenny Gilruth
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John Swinney is the best choice to be Scotland’s First Minister & @theSNP leader. I will be strongly supporting him if, as I hope, he chooses to run.
He will not be a huge improvement:
Trans rights and LGBT issues
As deputy first minister, Mr Swinney voted for the Gender Recognition Reform Bill, which would have allowed children as young as 16 to apply to legally change their gender without any accompanying medical evidence.
He was accused of misleading fellow SNP MSPs over the Bill, allegedly promising that it would be a free vote and that they could vote “with their conscience” before allegedly U-turning and telling colleagues there was a three-line whip.
While serving as education secretary for the Scottish Government, he announced in 2018 that Scotland would be “the first country in the world” to have an LGBT-inclusive education “embedded” into the school curriculum.
However it maybe gender is not a core thing for him, I suspect he was following Sturgeon's and others lead. I think he will try to do a Starmer and start reverse ferretting to some degree. Gilruth would be worse.
Back in 2017 he was being more sensible:
https://www.thescottishsun.co.uk/news/1683028/mum-of-transgender-child-natasha-york-slams-john-swinney-for-snubbing-plea-for-help/