I keep saying this.
In recent years people don't tend to vote FOR anyone. They vote against a party by choosing what they see as the least worst option.
And we've seen this repeatedly in voting patterns since 2010 as a significant driver of motivation.
Theres been an increasing dissatisfaction with the main parties and how they don't represent the public well. It's been demonstrated that Labour Members are more 'militant' in their views in relative terms than Labour Voters and this difference matters (the same can also be said for other party memberships so it's not a Labour Problem). They are fed up with dishonest, question dodging politician answers.
I was speaking to a local councillor about 6 or 7 years ago now and his comment then was he and his party were concerned about the rise of independent candidate in local politics.
Then Last Night has happened.
One of The Single Biggest Turnoffs in politics for voters, are the evangelicals who are utterly tone deaf to the public desire for moderation. Labour definitely has a problem with this. They aren't alone.
All parties have had an issue with not being inclusive of ordinary people with moderate, nuanced views. Instead we are stuck with a party who have a problem acknowledging racism, a party who have a problem with anti semitism and parties with a problem identified how we reproduce as humans cos not one of them can tell the fucking truth.
There was precisely nothing good in George Galloway's victory last night. Like Farage he feeds off public dissatisfaction and makes a career of it (but has precisely no solutions). It's depressing for so many reasons but it's definitely a protest vote. For me the second place was more interesting though.
But watch this next election: it's not as straightforward as people think. I think Labour will win, but not by the scale of the landslide many are anticipating. Watch the small parties and the independents.
The Righteous are one of THE majority problems in British politics. And tbh, I think actually this is where I sit: wanting to give the Righteous a massive slap for not listening.
Labour ignore this sentiment and dismiss it as pro-Tory at their peril. Too many people are fed up as being labelled as 'Bad' and no longer give a shit about the name calling. And these are people who traditionally and politically are left leaning...