I see this as opposing tensions.
On the one hand, the PR/culture grab from TRAs amongst the wider public failing (Adam Bryson, Lia Thomas, Mika Minio, SJB debacles hardening the "man/woman on the Clapham Omnibus" attitudes, indeed poll after poll showing Stonewall have comprehensively lost the public)...hence this uneasy mix of crazy talk from the left elites to support males breastfeeding etc, ramped up language of apocalypses, holocausts, fascists, Nazis etc...and this "new" sitting right on the dividing line from Stonewall Iain..."sooooo", "trans folk" etc.
Otoh, institutions, woke capitalism, Labour, LDs, Greens, SNP, all pushing down the trans road as if it's still 2015-2022. Robotic talking Self ID, hate laws, trans conversion bans, 99.9% of women having penises, both sides need to be courteous etc.
These battlelines coalescing right now in the schools issue, the natural tension between traditional child safeguarding and the weight of legal policy drift from 2004, that means the Stonewall message in schools is unbelievably hard to shift.
It's happened with prisons. It's happening with sports. It now must happen with schools. Then the NHS.