Bear in mind there are two options to change the Equality Act.
1 -Putting forward a bill to rewrite the Equality Act in detail. Takes a lot of time, can be amended.
2 - Or the Tories can issue a Statutory Instrument saying sex in Equality ACT means biological sex as in the original intention. Far quicker, cannot be amended only choice is a Parliamentary vote Yes or No, Abstain. Statutory Instruments are used all the time for this kind of thing to fix acts with loopholes, bad wording.
This is what Sex Matters has argued for. It is the best option by far.
Option 2 The Tories can definitely do, they have time for it. They would almost certainly win the vote bearing in mind so far Labour Front benchers have all said clarifying the Act is a good idea. Remember the vote on Activating clause 35 to stop the Scottish GRA went through easily. With an 80 majority and Labour probably abstaining that is an easy win.
What this article is saying is the Tories might do option 3 - do nothing and use it as an election weapon to say they will do it next time. That would be cynical, but obviously could get them votes. However, it is risky because do the Tories really want to extend this? After all it was the Tories who put male rapists and murderers in women's jails, allowed mixed sex wards to continue, changing rooms etc. Just using women as props underlines the Tories own sexist ideas. Option 2 still puts Labour on the spot and every other party. Because either you vote that biological sex exists YES, doesn't NO, or ABSTAIN - that this question isn't a big deal. Anything but yes makes you look stupid. The Lib Dems/SNP might be stupid enough to vote NO two major threats the Tories made to look like clowns. Labour will probably have a huge row about it and abstaining is still dumb.
Having the Vote for 2 early in 2023 is a great way to start off a campaign for a May election. Starmer abstains = he is confused about what a women is or isn't look how he voted. Or if Labour go for Yes = the internal Labour war shows their party as divided and the Greens/Lib Dems/SNP might go crazy attacking Labour over this. The debate continues, more culture war drama. The SNP break down further Sunak has saved the Union. The attacks and Tory puff piece articles write themselves. Because whatever happens in the UK this argument is going to continue in a much worse way in the US and the Tories can use that as a backdrop to undermine any left leaning party that doesn't say genderism is daft.