I also know that area pretty well. If Katherine can hang in there, and get her message across in a way that is balanced and like Claire Chandler’s approach she may have a chance at making a dent. I am not sure she could win given one week down and the witch hunt against her with 5 weeks (?) to go, but she would take some air out of Zali’s sails.
That electorate and the ones around it are very loyal and ‘blue ribbon’ liberal seats in the past. You have that one being ex Abbott, Bradfield next door to the south (ex premier Barry O’farrell lived in that electorate), Bennelong next door to the south was John Howard’s seat. Mackellar on the western border was Bronwyn Bishop’s seat for over 20 years. Those are all still Liberal seats.
That Warringah area will have some voters who are ‘being kind’ but if they are taken through the issues will make informed choices. Zali got in partly because people were voting against Abbott but also because it is Zali and she seems a good candidate (I left before last election so don’t know if she has performed well).
However, Katherine is a very new candidate and frankly the worst has been brought out. If Morrison is standing firm, he must also be standing firm on defence of women’s rights.
Albo was once my MP and he is a hard worker, but his partner was Carmel Tebbutt who I always associated as being ‘woke’ since she was my senior in my local government at the time I was in that area. So, where Albo stands on the strengthening of women’s and girl’s sex based rights, I don’t know.
I would expect to see Katherine fight back, she has mettle and I really think that area will support her if she can cut through. (Although it is the one electorate out of those mentioned that may be more likely to be ‘kind’. On account of the friends and people I know who live there.)